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Shifting baseline

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860: 31: 84:. He describes the way that radically depleted fisheries were evaluated by experts who used the state of the fishery at the start of their careers as the baseline, rather than the fishery in its untouched state. Areas that swarmed with a particular species hundreds of years ago, may have experienced long term decline, but it is the level of decades previously that is considered the appropriate reference point for current populations. In this way large declines in ecosystems or species over long periods of time were, and are, masked. There is a loss of 1972: 1676: 1114: 1960: 235: 480: 95:
Most modern fisheries' stock assessments do not ignore historical fishing and account for it by either including the historical catch or use other techniques to reconstruct the depletion level of the population at the start of the period for which adequate data is available. Anecdotes about
174:, and Flash videos along with photography, video, and stand-up comedy contests, all intended to promote the term to a broader audience. The Shifting Baselines Blog, "the cure for planetary amnesia" is run by the Shifting Baselines Ocean Media Project on the 111:. They used a slightly different version of the term in their paper, "Sliding baselines, ghosts, and reduced expectations in kelp forest communities". Both terms refer to a shift over time in the expectation of what a healthy ecosystem baseline looks like. 497: 46:) is a type of change to how a system is measured, usually against previous reference points (baselines), which themselves may represent significant changes from an even earlier state of the system. 1450: 1103: 494: 312: 844: 466: 181:
The concept has been broadened to apply to underappreciated, slowly-occurring positive change by Mark Henry who labelled it Progress Attention Deficit.
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The Shifting Baselines Ocean Media Project grew from its three founding partners (Scripps Institution of Oceanography,
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historical populations levels can be highly unreliable and result in severe mismanagement of the fishery.
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_ A 10-minute clip of the effect of shifting baseline on the health of the Puget Sound.
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Proving the ‘shifting baselines’ theory: how humans consistently misperceive nature
495:"Importance of historical dimension policy management in natural resource systems." 356: 124: 1930: 1750: 1501: 1359: 1148: 938: 893: 878: 779: 594: 570: 501: 453:"Sliding baselines, ghosts, and reduced expectations in kelp forest communities." 175: 522: 306: 302: 1935: 1904: 1879: 1869: 1861: 1740: 1702: 1665: 1491: 1420: 1334: 983: 963: 943: 918: 868: 799: 789: 749: 689: 652: 213: 1040: 563: 1992: 1755: 1511: 1506: 1410: 1173: 1071: 1041: 928: 913: 898: 774: 361: 201: 73: 1894: 1889: 1874: 1841: 1630: 993: 908: 888: 834: 744: 714: 580: 196: 61: 1899: 1826: 1798: 1745: 1660: 1615: 1246: 1158: 1008: 988: 973: 958: 953: 903: 684: 603: 344: 104: 155:
in 2003 to help promote a wider understanding and use of the concept in
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Randy Olson broadened the definition of shifting baselines with an
76:" population size (e.g. how abundant a fish species population was 72:
where fisheries scientists sometimes fail to identify the correct "
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Perceived baseline versus historical baseline of an organism
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of fisheries". Pauly developed the concept in reference to
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Papworth SK, Rist J, Coad L and Milner-Gulland EJ (2008)
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Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
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Dayton PK, Tegner MJ, Edwards PB and Riser KL (1998)
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Maunder, Mark N.; Piner, Kevin R. (1 January 2015).
216: – Range of ideas tolerated in public discourse 99:The concept was further refined and applied to the 536:"California Coast & Ocean: Shifting Baselines" 270: 64:in his paper "Anecdotes and the shifting baseline 1990: 300: 1461:International Seafood Sustainability Foundation 1087:United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea 425:In Fact: An Optimist's Guide to Ireland at 100 308:Approaches to the regulation of fishing effort 301:Beddington, John R.; Rettig, R. Bruce (1984). 210: – Cognitive bias of experimental subject 1579: 619: 303:"Techniques for Regulating Fishing Mortality" 342: 1726:List of harvested aquatic animals by weight 1651:Illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing 1237:List of commercially important fish species 1082:Illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing 588:Daniel Pauly: The ocean's shifting baseline 1586: 1572: 633: 626: 612: 153:The Shifting Baselines Ocean Media Project 27:Type of change to how a system is measured 533: 360: 80:human exploitation) and thus work with a 49:The concept arose in landscape architect 1209:Regional fishery management organisation 29: 14: 1991: 277:. The Natural History Press. pp.  268: 1567: 1039: 646: 607: 422: 394:"Around the Pier: Shifting Baselines" 391: 1092:United Nations Fish Stocks Agreement 114: 1267:Future of Marine Animal Populations 1144:Fishery Resources Monitoring System 1134:Monitoring control and surveillance 398:Scripps Institution of Oceanography 149:Scripps Institution of Oceanography 109:Scripps Institution of Oceanography 107:by Paul Dayton and others from the 24: 392:Casey, Shannon (1 February 2007). 25: 2025: 1466:Sea Shepherd Conservation Society 1199:National Marine Fisheries Service 1194:European Fisheries Control Agency 511: 1971: 1970: 1958: 1674: 1112: 858: 675:Population dynamics of fisheries 530:- Conservation Science Institute 427:. Gill Books. pp. 398–401. 233: 88:of change that occurs when each 1959: 1396:Aquaculture Stewardship Council 1252:Environmental impact of fishing 484:Trends in Ecology and Evolution 222: – Sociological phenomenon 1370:U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 730:Otolith microchemical analysis 416: 385: 376: 349:ICES Journal of Marine Science 336: 294: 285: 262: 13: 1: 1365:European Environmental Agency 1355:Grey nurse shark conservation 1262:Destructive fishing practices 760:Pop-up satellite archival tag 445: 92:redefines what is "natural". 1345:Marine conservation activism 795:Climate change and fisheries 547:Sea Around Us (organization) 423:Henry, Mark (October 2021). 193: – Statistical property 172:public service announcements 7: 1626:Fish diseases and parasites 184: 10: 2030: 1391:Marine Stewardship Council 1184:EU Common Fisheries Policy 518:Shifting Baselines website 208:Observer-expectancy effect 2014:Environmental terminology 1944: 1913: 1860: 1832:Gathering seafood by hand 1807: 1769: 1716: 1683: 1672: 1606: 1545:Glossary of fishery terms 1540:Index of fishing articles 1530: 1479: 1378: 1322: 1257:Fishing down the food web 1232:Maximum sustainable yield 1219: 1121: 1110: 1064: 1060: 1035: 867: 856: 790:Match/mismatch hypothesis 663: 659: 642: 220:Normalization of deviance 1646:Individual fishing quota 1431:Save Our Seas Foundation 1164:Individual fishing quota 1139:Vessel monitoring system 785:Hydrographic containment 226: 1077:Exclusive economic zone 755:GIS and aquatic science 710:Standard weight in fish 564:Puget Sound Partnership 523:Shifting Baselines Blog 507:: Research Report No 8. 456:Ecological Applications 1306:Turtle excluder device 979:Shoaling and schooling 362:10.1093/icesjms/fsu015 204: – Cognitive bias 35: 1330:Marine protected area 1204:Regional fishery body 830:Census of Marine Life 725:Catch per unit effort 558:Volume 22, No.3, 2006 493:Pauly, Daniel (2001) 479:Pauly, Daniel (1995) 164:The Ocean Conservancy 33: 1636:Fisheries management 1169:Minimum landing size 1129:Fisheries management 1104:Magnuson–Stevens Act 1099:Fisheries Convention 850:Fisheries scientists 470:Conservation Letters 269:McHarg, Ian (1969). 191:Bias of an estimator 168:Surfrider Foundation 70:fisheries management 1794:Fishing tournaments 1656:Sustainable fishery 1446:Defying Ocean's End 1350:Salmon conservation 1340:Marine conservation 1280:The End of the Line 1273:The Sunken Billions 1242:Sustainable seafood 1227:Sustainable fishery 840:Fisheries databases 770:Age class structure 740:Fisheries acoustics 59:fisheries scientist 1736:Commercial fishing 1708:History of fishing 1535:Outline of fishing 1154:Fisheries observer 805:Aquatic ecosystems 593:2014-02-05 at the 569:2012-02-20 at the 500:2008-04-19 at the 273:Design With Nature 55:Design With Nature 53:'s 1969 manifesto 36: 18:Shifting baselines 2009:Fisheries science 1986: 1985: 1789:Catch and release 1693:Artisanal fishing 1641:Fisheries science 1621:Diversity of fish 1561: 1560: 1557: 1556: 1553: 1552: 1517:Threatened sharks 1416:Ocean Conservancy 1401:Friend of the Sea 1031: 1030: 1027: 1026: 939:Lobster fisheries 884:Diversity of fish 680:Shifting baseline 649:Fisheries science 528:Shifting baseline 251:Shifting baseline 134:Los Angeles Times 115:Broadened meaning 42:(also known as a 40:shifting baseline 16:(Redirected from 2021: 1974: 1973: 1962: 1961: 1931:Fishing villages 1870:Artificial flies 1837:Handline fishing 1784:Big-game fishing 1678: 1588: 1581: 1574: 1565: 1564: 1497:Marine pollution 1301:Cetacean bycatch 1296:Incidental catch 1116: 1062: 1061: 1037: 1036: 1004:Humboldt current 862: 780:Trophic cascades 720:Data storage tag 705:Fish measurement 700:Stock assessment 661: 660: 644: 643: 628: 621: 614: 605: 604: 584:, June 24, 2009. 560: 555: 553: 540: 505:ACP-EU Fisheries 439: 438: 420: 414: 413: 411: 409: 400:. Archived from 389: 383: 380: 374: 373: 371: 369: 364: 340: 334: 333: 331: 329: 298: 292: 289: 283: 282: 276: 266: 237: 236: 125:marine biologist 82:shifted baseline 44:sliding baseline 21: 2029: 2028: 2024: 2023: 2022: 2020: 2019: 2018: 1989: 1988: 1987: 1982: 1940: 1936:Marine habitats 1909: 1880:Bite indicators 1856: 1803: 1765: 1712: 1679: 1670: 1602: 1592: 1562: 1549: 1526: 1522:Threatened rays 1502:Mercury in fish 1475: 1374: 1360:Shark sanctuary 1318: 1215: 1149:Catch reporting 1117: 1108: 1056: 1023: 929:Krill fisheries 894:Coral reef fish 879:Ocean fisheries 870: 863: 854: 695:Condition index 666: 655: 638: 632: 595:Wayback Machine 571:Wayback Machine 551: 549: 543:seaaroundus.org 538: 534:Anne Canright. 514: 502:Wayback Machine 448: 443: 442: 435: 421: 417: 407: 405: 404:on 12 July 2019 390: 386: 381: 377: 367: 365: 341: 337: 327: 325: 323: 299: 295: 290: 286: 267: 263: 258: 257: 256: 238: 234: 229: 187: 178:Science Blogs. 176:Seed (magazine) 117: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 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Index

Shifting baselines

Ian McHarg
fisheries scientist
Daniel Pauly
syndrome
fisheries management
baseline
perception
generation
ecology
kelp forests
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
filmmaker
marine biologist
op-ed
Los Angeles Times
coral reef
ecologist
Jeremy Jackson
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
conservation
The Ocean Conservancy
Surfrider Foundation
public service announcements
Seed (magazine)
Bias of an estimator
Flynn effect
Observer bias
Observer-expectancy effect

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