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Contingency (philosophy)

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235:(1754), reviewed the relationships between action, determinism, and personal culpability. Edwards begins his argument by establishing the ways in which necessary statements are made in logic. He identifies three ways necessary statements can be made for which only the third kind can legitimately be used to make necessary claims about the future. This third way of making necessary statements involves conditional or consequential necessity, such that if a contingent outcome could be caused by something that was necessary, then this contingent outcome could be considered necessary itself "by a necessity of consequence". Prior interprets Edwards by supposing that any necessary consequence of any already necessary truth would "also 'always have existed,' so that it is only by a necessary connexion (sic) with 'what has already come to pass' that what is still merely future can be necessary." Further, in 88: 62:, so a contingent statement is false in at least one possible world. While contingent statements are false in at least one possible world, possible statements are not also defined this way. Since necessary statements are a kind of possible statement (e.g. 2=2 is possible and necessary), then to define possible statements as 'false in some possible world' is to affect the definition of necessary statements. Since necessary statements are never false in any possible world, then some possible statements are never false in any possible world. So the idea that a statement might ever be false and yet remain an unrealized 156: 198:. The opposing view, with an early version from Cicero, is that Aristotle was not attempting to disqualify assertoric statements about future contingents from being either true or false, but that their truth value was indeterminant. This latter reading takes future contingents to possess a truth value, one which is necessary but which is unknown. This view understands Aristotle to be saying that while some event's occurrence at a specified time was necessary, a fact of necessity which could not have been known to us, its occurrence at simply any time was not necessary. 42:, in which statements are true. Contingency is one of three basic modes alongside necessity and possibility. In modal logic, a contingent statement stands in the modal realm between what is necessary and what is impossible, never crossing into the territory of either status. Contingent and necessary statements form the complete set of possible statements. While this definition is widely accepted, the precise distinction (or lack thereof) between what is contingent and what is necessary has been challenged since antiquity. 194:, a fact which seems to contradict their contingency. Aristotle's intention with these claims breaks down into two primary readings of his work. The first view, considered notably by Boethius, supposes that Aristotle's intentions were to argue against this logical determinism only by claiming future contingent statements are neither true nor false. This reading of Aristotle regards future contingents as simply disqualified from possessing any truth value at all until they are 143:
outlines rudimentary notes about a "Logic for Contingent Beings." Deutsch believes that the solution to Prior's concern begins by removing the assumption that logical statements are necessary. He believes the statement format, "If all objects are physical, and ϕ exists, then ϕ is physical," is logically true by form but is not necessarily true if ϕ
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false in a world in which it is also always logically achievable. In such a world, the contingent idea is never necessarily false since this would make it impossible in that world. But if it's false and yet still possible, this means the truths or facts in that world would have to change in order for the contingent truth to become
54:. This means there is a way to imagine a world in which a statement is true and in which its truth does not contradict any other truth in that world. If it were impossible, there would be no way to conceive such a world: the truth of any impossible statement must contradict some other fact in that world. Contingency is 227:
states that a thing is called contingent when "we do not know whether the essence does or does not involve a contradiction, or of which, knowing that it does not involve a contradiction, we are still in doubt concerning the existence, because the order of causes escape us." Further, he states, "It is
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is always possible and always true, which makes it necessary and therefore not contingent. This mathematical truth does not depend on any other truth, it is true by definition. On the other hand, since a contingent statement is always possible but not necessarily true, we can always conceive it to be
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is entirely reserved to contingent statements alone. While all contingent statements are possible, not all possible statements are contingent. The truth of a contingent statement is consistent with all other truths in a given world, but not necessarily so. They are always possible in every imaginable
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seems to require that "whatever exists exists necessarily." He says this threatens the definition of contingent statements as non-necessary things when one generically intuits that some of what exists does so contingently, rather than necessarily. Harry Deutsch acknowledged Prior's concern and
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When a statement is false in at least one possible world, this does not mean there is always some world in which it is literally false, only that there is some imaginable world in which a statement is literally false and that this would not contradict some other truth in that imaginable
727:"Always true" means "tautologically true" or "necessarily true" since if a contingent truth is possible in every world it may happen to be true in every possible world but not as a matter of tautological necessity, only as a matter of coincidence. 228:
in the nature of reason to perceive things under a certain form of eternity as necessary and it is only through our imagination that we consider things, whether in respect to the future or the past, as contingent.
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idea of synchronic contingency, which attempted to remove perceived contradictions between necessity, human freedom and the free will of God to create the world. In the 17th Century, Baruch Spinoza in his
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to represent their truth or falsity, this may not be the case of contingent future-tense statements. Aristotle asserts that if this were the case for future contingent statements as well, some of them
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This distinction begins to reveal the ordinary English meaning of the word "contingency," in which the truth of one thing depends on the truth of another. On the one hand, the mathematical idea that
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A Careful and Strict Enquiry into the Modern Prevailing Notions of that Freedom of Will which is supposed to be Essential to Moral Agency, Virtue and Vice, Reward and Punishment, Praise and Blame
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A Careful and Strict Enquiry into the Modern Prevailing Notions of that Freedom of Will which is supposed to be Essential to Moral Agency, Virtue and Vice, Reward and Punishment, Praise and Blame
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and Arthur Pap consider the concept of analytic truths, for example (as distinct from synthetic ones) to be ambiguous since in practice they are defined or used in different ways. And while
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distinctions as well as the modal distinctions already noted. But there is not always agreement about exactly what these distinctions mean or how they are used. Philosophers such as
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observes an apparent paradox in the nature of contingency. He considers that while the truth values of contingent past- and present-tense statements can be expressed in pairs of
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Cicero, De fato, with an English translation by H. Rackham, (Loeb Classical Library 349), London: Heinemann, and Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1968.
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Medieval thinkers studied logical contingency as a way to analyze the relationship between Early Modern conceptions of God and the modal status of the world
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claims that there are examples in which analytic statements are not necessary. Kripke uses the example of a meter stick to support the idea that some
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Some philosophical distinctions are used to examine the line between contingent and necessary statements. These include
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is the feature of a statement making it neither necessary nor impossible. Contingency is a fundamental concept of
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Boethius, Commentarii in librum Aristotelis Perihermeneias I–II, C. Meiser (ed.), Leipzig: Teubner, 1877–1880.
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Frede, Dorothea (1985). "The Sea-Battle Reconsidered : A Defense of the Traditional Interpretation".
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exists, then A. N. Prior is physical" may be logically true by form, but not necessarily true.
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not to create the universe or set in order a series of natural events. In the 16th century,
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Aristotle's example of a sea battle as a future contingent demonstrates the paradox of the
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argues that a cross-examination between the basic principles of modal logic and those of
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The Problem of Divine Foreknowledge and Future Contingents from Aristotle to Suarez
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His creation. Early Modern writers studied contingency against the freedom of the
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Anscombe, G. E. M. (1956). "Aristotle and the Sea Battle: De Interpretatione 9".
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Aristotle, Categories and De Interpretatione: Translated with Notes and Glossary
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In logic, a thing is considered to be possible when it is true in at least one
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A Spinoza Reader: the Ethics and other works. Translated by Curley, Edwin.
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A Spinoza Reader: the Ethics and other works. Translated by Curley, Edwin.
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Fine, Gail (1984). "Truth and Necessity in De interpretatione 9".
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The eighteenth-century philosopher Jonathan Edwards in his work
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Necessity, Cause and Blame: Perspectives on Aristotle's Theory
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Time and Necessity: Studies in Aristotle's Theory of Modality
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stipulates that analytic statements are always necessary and
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Contingency and Natural Order in Early Modern Science
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world but not always true in every imaginable world.
45: 925:. In Omodeo, Pietro Daniel; Garau, Rodolfo (eds.). 147:, for example, a specific person who is not alive. 1035:Logical and Analytic Truths That Are Not Necessary 795:(1–2). Springer Science + Business Media: 89–102. 82: 1061: 201: 167: 91:The statement "If all objects are physical, and 921:Omodeo, Pietro Daniel (September 19, 2019). 887:(2nd ed.). Harvard University Press. 634:, Princeton University Press, p. 71, 607:, Princeton University Press, p. 26, 998:(1st ed.). Oxford University Press. 1041:, 85, vol. 2, Journal of Philosophy 863: 756: 561: 548: 367: 339:Are All Necessary Propositions Analytic? 154: 86: 1012: 844: 815: 782: 737: 680: 654: 626: 599: 500: 478: 465: 452: 323: 297: 27:Possible truths which are not necessary 14: 1062: 920: 882: 587: 426: 400: 310: 38:. Modal logic concerns the manner, or 1045: 1031: 993: 974: 901: 835: 773: 693: 667: 526: 513: 439: 413: 150: 838:Oxford Studies in Ancient Philosophy 826: 574: 1055:, Stanford Metaphysics Research Lab 335: 24: 709: 25: 1096: 720: 46:Contingency and modal possibility 829:History of Philosophy Quarterly 686: 673: 660: 647: 620: 593: 580: 567: 554: 541: 532: 519: 506: 493: 484: 471: 458: 445: 216:European Reformed Scholasticism 83:Contingency and modal necessity 822:(5th ed.). J. Murgatroyd. 711: 432: 419: 406: 393: 361: 329: 316: 303: 290: 13: 1: 1049:Basic Concepts in Modal Logic 785:"Contingency and Modal Logic" 722: 283: 202:Determinism and foreknowledge 174:Problem of future contingents 168:Problem of future contingency 1017:. Cornell University Press. 774:Craig, William Lane (1988), 371:Are Logical Truths Analytic? 72:a sum of two and two is four 7: 979:. Oxford University Press. 935:10.1007/978-3-319-67378-3_8 849:(3rd ed.). 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Clarendon Press. 258:Logical possibility 18:Contingent question 801:10.1007/BF00370979 516:, p. 3:31-87) 180:De Interpretatione 165: 151:Future contingency 145:rigidly designates 97: 1085:Concepts in logic 1080:Sentences by type 977:Time and Modality 628:Spinoza, Benedict 601:Spinoza, Benedict 220:John Duns Scotus' 212:Christian Trinity 132:Time and Modality 16:(Redirected from 1092: 1056: 1054: 1042: 1040: 1028: 1009: 990: 971: 969: 967: 917: 898: 879: 860: 841: 832: 823: 812: 779: 770: 753: 726: 715: 697: 690: 684: 677: 671: 664: 658: 651: 645: 644: 624: 618: 617: 597: 591: 584: 578: 571: 565: 558: 552: 545: 539: 536: 530: 523: 517: 510: 504: 497: 491: 488: 482: 475: 469: 468:, p. 94-95) 462: 456: 449: 443: 436: 430: 423: 417: 410: 404: 397: 391: 390: 365: 359: 358: 333: 327: 320: 314: 307: 301: 294: 178:In chapter 9 of 21: 1100: 1099: 1095: 1094: 1093: 1091: 1090: 1089: 1060: 1059: 1052: 1038: 1025: 1006: 987: 965: 963: 945: 914: 895: 876: 857: 750: 734: 706: 701: 700: 691: 687: 678: 674: 665: 661: 652: 648: 642: 625: 621: 615: 598: 594: 585: 581: 572: 568: 559: 555: 546: 542: 537: 533: 524: 520: 511: 507: 498: 494: 489: 485: 476: 472: 463: 459: 450: 446: 437: 433: 424: 420: 411: 407: 398: 394: 380:10.2307/2183264 366: 362: 348:10.2307/2182079 334: 330: 321: 317: 308: 304: 295: 291: 286: 249: 204: 176: 170: 153: 109:Jaakko Hintikka 85: 48: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 1098: 1088: 1087: 1082: 1077: 1072: 1058: 1057: 1043: 1029: 1023: 1010: 1004: 991: 985: 972: 943: 918: 912: 899: 893: 880: 874: 861: 855: 842: 833: 824: 813: 780: 771: 754: 748: 733: 730: 729: 728: 718: 705: 702: 699: 698: 696:, p. 114) 685: 672: 659: 646: 640: 619: 613: 592: 579: 566: 553: 540: 531: 518: 505: 492: 483: 481:, p. 132) 470: 457: 444: 431: 418: 405: 392: 360: 328: 326:, p. 231) 315: 302: 300:, p. 231) 288: 287: 285: 282: 281: 280: 275: 270: 265: 263:Modal collapse 260: 255: 248: 245: 218:subscribed to 203: 200: 188:contradictions 172:Main article: 169: 166: 152: 149: 84: 81: 56:not impossible 52:possible world 47: 44: 26: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1097: 1086: 1083: 1081: 1078: 1076: 1073: 1071: 1068: 1067: 1065: 1051: 1050: 1044: 1037: 1036: 1030: 1026: 1024:9780801492440 1020: 1016: 1011: 1007: 1005:9780198243113 1001: 997: 992: 988: 986:9780198241584 982: 978: 973: 962: 958: 954: 950: 946: 944:9783319673783 940: 936: 932: 928: 924: 919: 915: 913:9780631224266 909: 906:. Blackwell. 905: 900: 896: 894:0-674-59845-8 890: 886: 881: 877: 875:9780198243656 871: 867: 862: 858: 856:9781138910584 852: 848: 843: 839: 834: 830: 825: 821: 820: 814: 810: 806: 802: 798: 794: 790: 786: 781: 777: 772: 768: 764: 760: 755: 751: 749:0-19-872086-6 745: 741: 736: 735: 725: 724: 719: 714: 713: 708: 707: 695: 689: 682: 676: 669: 663: 656: 650: 643: 641:0-691-00067-0 637: 633: 629: 623: 616: 614:0-691-00067-0 610: 606: 602: 596: 589: 583: 576: 570: 563: 562:Hintikka 1973 557: 550: 549:Anscombe 1956 544: 535: 528: 522: 515: 509: 502: 496: 487: 480: 474: 467: 461: 455:, p. 93) 454: 448: 441: 435: 429:, p. 75) 428: 422: 415: 409: 403:, p. 39) 402: 396: 389: 385: 381: 377: 373: 372: 364: 357: 353: 349: 345: 341: 340: 332: 325: 319: 313:, p. 14) 312: 306: 299: 293: 289: 279: 276: 274: 271: 269: 268:Modal fallacy 266: 264: 261: 259: 256: 254: 251: 250: 244: 242: 238: 234: 229: 226: 221: 217: 213: 209: 199: 197: 193: 189: 185: 181: 175: 162: 161:modal fallacy 157: 148: 146: 141: 137: 133: 128: 126: 122: 118: 114: 110: 106: 102: 94: 89: 80: 78: 73: 68: 65: 61: 60:not necessary 57: 53: 43: 41: 37: 33: 19: 1075:Propositions 1048: 1034: 1014: 995: 976: 964:. 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Oxford. 575:Fine 1984 184:Aristotle 105:epistemic 630:(1994), 603:(1994), 247:See also 125:a priori 117:a priori 101:analytic 809:4320149 732:Sources 388:2183264 356:2182079 241:Enquiry 1021:  1002:  983:  959:  951:  941:  910:  891:  872:  853:  807:  746:  717:world. 638:  611:  386:  354:  225:Ethics 1053:(PDF) 1039:(PDF) 957:S2CID 805:JSTOR 704:Notes 384:JSTOR 352:JSTOR 1019:ISBN 1000:ISBN 981:ISBN 968:2021 949:OCLC 939:ISBN 908:ISBN 889:ISBN 870:ISBN 851:ISBN 759:Mind 744:ISBN 636:ISBN 609:ISBN 103:and 40:mode 931:doi 797:doi 763:doi 376:doi 344:doi 208:qua 130:In 1066:: 955:. 947:. 937:. 803:. 793:60 791:. 787:. 761:. 723:^β 712:^α 382:, 350:, 243:. 182:, 134:, 119:, 1027:. 1008:. 989:. 970:. 933:: 916:. 897:. 878:. 859:. 831:. 811:. 799:: 769:. 765:: 752:. 692:( 683:) 679:( 670:) 666:( 657:) 653:( 586:( 573:( 564:) 560:( 547:( 529:) 525:( 512:( 503:) 499:( 477:( 464:( 451:( 442:) 438:( 425:( 412:( 399:( 378:: 346:: 322:( 309:( 296:( 163:. 20:)

Index

Contingent question
modal logic
possible world
actualized

A. N. Prior
analytic
epistemic
Jaakko Hintikka
Saul Kripke
Edward Zalta
A. N. Prior
quantificational logic
rigidly designates

modal fallacy
Problem of future contingents
Aristotle
contradictions
would be necessarily true
actualized
Christian Trinity
European Reformed Scholasticism
John Duns Scotus'
Conceptual necessity
Logical possibility
Modal collapse
Modal fallacy
Modal logic
Subjunctive possibility

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