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Financial risk modeling

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proposal for all the major international banking institutions by the various national depository institution regulators. In the past, risk analysis was done qualitatively but now with the advent of powerful computing software, quantitative risk analysis can be done quickly and effortlessly.
203:. There are several approaches to deal with model uncertainty. Jokhadze and Schmidt (2018) propose practical model risk measurement framework based on Bayesian calculation. They introduce 82:(EVT) in order to analyze a portfolio and make forecasts of the likely losses that would be incurred for a variety of risks. As above, such risks are typically grouped into 204: 199:
Rapid development of financial innovations lead to sophisticated models that are based on a set of assumptions. These models are usually prone to
274: 509:, Antonio Dalessandro, Matthias Neugebauer and Fares Triki, explaining how to use different stochastic processes for risk measurement. 534: 981: 371: 343: 298: 391: 445:
Jokhadze, Valeriane; Schmidt, Wolfgang M. (2018). "Measuring model risk in financial risk management and pricing". SSRN.
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Many large financial intermediary firms use risk modeling to help portfolio managers assess the amount of
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Modeling the changes by distributions with finite variance is now known to be inappropriate.
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found in the 1960s that changes in prices in financial markets do not follow a
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to maintain, and to help guide their purchases and sales of various classes of
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The Crash of 2008 and What it Means: The New Paradigm for Financial Markets
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The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence
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that enables consistent market and model risk measurement.
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a bit more than 1/2. Large changes up or down, also called
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is a web site devoted to risk, with a collection of books.
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and its modeling have been under question in the light of
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Machina, Mark J., and Michael Rothschild (1987). "Risk,"
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Risk modeling uses a variety of techniques including
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Financial economics § Challenges and criticism
503:A Stochastic Processes toolkit for Risk Management 286: 1189: 30:techniques to measure, monitor and control the 444: 253: 386: 528: 418:"Financial economics: Efficiency and beyond" 392:"We will never have a perfect model of risk" 281: 256:An Introduction to Risk Management (2nd ed.) 320: 318: 275:The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics 116:Formal risk modeling is required under the 535: 521: 352: 410: 315: 192:, and for their failure to predict the 139:Financial engineering § Criticisms 1190: 131:Financial mathematics § Criticism 516: 380: 180:in the past few years (most notably, 505:at SSNR.com is a tutorial paper by 151:, but are rather modeled better by 13: 14: 1214: 490: 435:From The Economist print edition. 810:Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) 247: 188:, the revised FAS 123R and the 1129:Strategic financial management 932:Asset and liability management 438: 362:and Richard L. Hudson (2006). 61: 1: 308: 124: 7: 707:Operational risk management 210: 10: 1219: 879:Proportional hazards model 830:Interest rate immunization 242:Managerial risk accounting 128: 1162: 919: 780: 745: 697: 609: 561: 554: 548:financial risk management 278:, v. 4, pp. 201–206. 222:Financial risk management 153:LĂ©vy stable distributions 52:Financial risk management 16:Modelling financial risks 825:First-hitting-time model 790:Arbitrage pricing theory 254:Crockford, Neil (1986). 205:superposed risk measures 50:'s portfolio value; see 1198:Financial risk modeling 1134:Stress test (financial) 840:Modern portfolio theory 194:financial crash of 2008 20:Financial risk modeling 474:Cite journal requires 1172:Investment management 1074:Investment management 800:Replicating portfolio 576:Sovereign credit risk 326:Nassim Nicholas Taleb 258:. Woodhead-Faulkner. 227:Knightian uncertainty 149:Gaussian distribution 76:historical simulation 22:is the use of formal 1177:Mathematical finance 1109:Risk-return spectrum 1099:Mathematical finance 1054:Fundamental analysis 987:Exchange traded fund 571:Consumer credit risk 451:10.2139/ssrn.3113139 80:extreme value theory 1167:Financial economics 1124:Statistical finance 890:Value-at-Risk (VaR) 795:Black–Scholes model 635:Holding period risk 217:Black–Scholes model 1144:Structured product 1139:Structured finance 1119:Speculative attack 805:Cash flow matching 768:Non-financial risk 665:Interest rate risk 591:Concentration risk 232:Financial modeling 190:Sarbanes–Oxley Act 178:corporate scandals 167:standard deviation 56:financial modeling 1203:Actuarial science 1185: 1184: 957:Corporate finance 952:Capital structure 906:Cash flow at risk 902:Liquidity at risk 875:Survival analysis 776: 775: 722:Reputational risk 596:Credit derivative 373:978-0-465-04357-6 360:BenoĂ®t Mandelbrot 345:978-1-4000-6351-2 300:978-1-58648-699-0 293:. PublicAffairs. 145:BenoĂ®t Mandelbrot 1210: 1059:Growth investing 977:Enterprise value 927:Asset allocation 910:Earnings at risk 892:and extensions ( 835:Market portfolio 699:Operational risk 684:Refinancing risk 559: 558: 537: 530: 523: 514: 513: 484: 483: 477: 472: 470: 462: 442: 436: 434: 432: 431: 414: 408: 407: 405: 404: 384: 378: 377: 356: 350: 349: 322: 304: 292: 269: 111:financial assets 107:capital reserves 100:operational risk 40:operational risk 1218: 1217: 1213: 1212: 1211: 1209: 1208: 1207: 1188: 1187: 1186: 1181: 1158: 1094:Systematic risk 992:Expected return 972:Economic bubble 967:Diversification 962:Cost of capital 915: 772: 741: 693: 675:Volatility risk 639:Price area risk 605: 581:Settlement risk 550: 541: 493: 488: 487: 475: 473: 464: 463: 443: 439: 429: 427: 416: 415: 411: 402: 400: 397:Financial Times 385: 381: 374: 366:. Basic Books. 357: 353: 346: 323: 316: 311: 301: 266: 250: 213: 141: 127: 64: 17: 12: 11: 5: 1216: 1206: 1205: 1200: 1183: 1182: 1180: 1179: 1174: 1169: 1163: 1160: 1159: 1157: 1156: 1151: 1146: 1141: 1136: 1131: 1126: 1121: 1116: 1111: 1106: 1101: 1096: 1091: 1086: 1081: 1076: 1071: 1066: 1061: 1056: 1051: 1050: 1049: 1044: 1039: 1034: 1029: 1024: 1019: 1014: 1009: 1004: 994: 989: 984: 979: 974: 969: 964: 959: 954: 949: 944: 939: 934: 929: 923: 921: 920:Basic concepts 917: 916: 914: 913: 898:Margin at risk 894:Profit at risk 887: 885:Tracking error 882: 872: 867: 862: 857: 855:Risk-free rate 852: 847: 842: 837: 832: 827: 822: 817: 812: 807: 802: 797: 792: 786: 784: 778: 777: 774: 773: 771: 770: 765: 760: 755: 753:Execution risk 749: 747: 743: 742: 740: 739: 734: 732:Political risk 729: 724: 719: 714: 709: 703: 701: 695: 694: 692: 691: 680:Liquidity risk 677: 672: 670:Inflation risk 667: 662: 660:Margining risk 657: 652: 650:Valuation risk 647: 642: 619:Commodity risk 615: 613: 607: 606: 604: 603: 601:Securitization 598: 593: 588: 583: 578: 573: 567: 565: 556: 552: 551: 544:Financial risk 540: 539: 532: 525: 517: 511: 510: 500: 492: 491:External links 489: 486: 485: 476:|journal= 437: 409: 390:(2008-03-17). 388:Alan Greenspan 379: 372: 351: 344: 313: 312: 310: 307: 306: 305: 299: 279: 270: 264: 249: 246: 245: 244: 239: 234: 229: 224: 219: 212: 209: 126: 123: 96:liquidity risk 63: 60: 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1215: 1204: 1201: 1199: 1196: 1195: 1193: 1178: 1175: 1173: 1170: 1168: 1165: 1164: 1161: 1155: 1152: 1150: 1149:Systemic risk 1147: 1145: 1142: 1140: 1137: 1135: 1132: 1130: 1127: 1125: 1122: 1120: 1117: 1115: 1112: 1110: 1107: 1105: 1102: 1100: 1097: 1095: 1092: 1090: 1087: 1085: 1082: 1080: 1077: 1075: 1072: 1070: 1067: 1065: 1062: 1060: 1057: 1055: 1052: 1048: 1045: 1043: 1040: 1038: 1035: 1033: 1030: 1028: 1025: 1023: 1020: 1018: 1015: 1013: 1010: 1008: 1005: 1003: 1000: 999: 998: 995: 993: 990: 988: 985: 983: 980: 978: 975: 973: 970: 968: 965: 963: 960: 958: 955: 953: 950: 948: 947:Capital asset 945: 943: 940: 938: 937:Asset pricing 935: 933: 930: 928: 925: 924: 922: 918: 911: 907: 903: 899: 895: 891: 888: 886: 883: 880: 876: 873: 871: 870:Sortino ratio 868: 866: 863: 861: 858: 856: 853: 851: 848: 846: 843: 841: 838: 836: 833: 831: 828: 826: 823: 821: 818: 816: 813: 811: 808: 806: 803: 801: 798: 796: 793: 791: 788: 787: 785: 783: 779: 769: 766: 764: 763:Systemic risk 761: 759: 756: 754: 751: 750: 748: 744: 738: 735: 733: 730: 728: 725: 723: 720: 718: 715: 713: 712:Business risk 710: 708: 705: 704: 702: 700: 696: 689: 685: 681: 678: 676: 673: 671: 668: 666: 663: 661: 658: 656: 653: 651: 648: 646: 643: 640: 636: 632: 628: 624: 620: 617: 616: 614: 612: 608: 602: 599: 597: 594: 592: 589: 587: 584: 582: 579: 577: 574: 572: 569: 568: 566: 564: 560: 557: 553: 549: 545: 538: 533: 531: 526: 524: 519: 518: 515: 508: 507:Damiano Brigo 504: 501: 498: 495: 494: 481: 468: 460: 456: 452: 448: 441: 425: 424: 423:The Economist 419: 413: 399: 398: 393: 389: 383: 375: 369: 365: 361: 355: 347: 341: 337: 333: 332: 327: 321: 319: 314: 302: 296: 291: 290: 284: 280: 277: 276: 271: 267: 265:0-85941-332-2 261: 257: 252: 251: 243: 240: 238: 237:Value-at-Risk 235: 233: 230: 228: 225: 223: 220: 218: 215: 214: 208: 206: 202: 197: 195: 191: 187: 183: 179: 175: 174:risk analysis 172:Quantitative 170: 168: 164: 163: 158: 154: 150: 146: 140: 136: 132: 122: 119: 114: 112: 108: 103: 101: 97: 93: 89: 85: 81: 77: 73: 72:value at risk 69: 59: 57: 53: 49: 45: 44:balance sheet 41: 37: 33: 29: 25: 21: 1104:Moral hazard 1089:Risk of ruin 865:Sharpe ratio 781: 727:Country risk 688:Deposit risk 586:Default risk 467:cite journal 440: 428:. Retrieved 426:. 2009-07-16 421: 412: 401:. Retrieved 395: 382: 363: 354: 336:Random House 330: 288: 283:George Soros 273: 255: 248:Bibliography 198: 171: 160: 142: 115: 104: 102:categories. 65: 48:fund manager 42:on a firm's 24:mathematical 19: 18: 1154:Toxic asset 1114:Speculation 1047:social work 1032:engineering 860:Risk parity 845:Omega ratio 758:Profit risk 645:Equity risk 623:Volume risk 611:Market risk 563:Credit risk 88:market risk 84:credit risk 68:market risk 62:Application 36:credit risk 32:market risk 28:econometric 1192:Categories 737:Legal risk 717:Model risk 631:Shape risk 627:Basis risk 555:Categories 497:Risk World 430:2009-07-18 403:2009-07-18 309:References 201:model risk 129:See also: 92:model risk 1084:Risk pool 997:Financial 459:169594252 162:fat tails 125:Criticism 78:(HS), or 1007:analysis 942:Bad debt 820:Drawdown 782:Modeling 328:(2007). 285:(2009). 211:See also 186:Basel II 118:Basel II 1022:betting 1012:analyst 1002:adviser 655:FX risk 74:(VaR), 1064:Hazard 815:Copula 682:(e.g. 621:(e.g. 457:  370:  342:  297:  262:  137:, and 98:, and 38:, and 1069:Hedge 1027:crime 1017:asset 850:RAROC 746:Other 455:S2CID 182:Enron 157:power 1079:Risk 1042:risk 546:and 480:help 368:ISBN 340:ISBN 295:ISBN 260:ISBN 26:and 1037:law 982:ESG 447:doi 184:), 1194:: 908:, 904:, 900:, 896:, 686:, 637:, 633:, 629:, 625:, 471:: 469:}} 465:{{ 453:. 420:. 394:. 338:. 334:. 317:^ 196:. 169:. 133:, 113:. 94:, 90:, 86:, 70:, 58:. 34:, 912:) 881:) 877:( 690:) 641:) 536:e 529:t 522:v 482:) 478:( 461:. 449:: 433:. 406:. 376:. 348:. 303:. 268:.

Index

mathematical
econometric
market risk
credit risk
operational risk
balance sheet
fund manager
Financial risk management
financial modeling
market risk
value at risk
historical simulation
extreme value theory
credit risk
market risk
model risk
liquidity risk
operational risk
capital reserves
financial assets
Basel II
Financial mathematics § Criticism
Financial economics § Challenges and criticism
Financial engineering § Criticisms
Benoît Mandelbrot
Gaussian distribution
LĂ©vy stable distributions
power
fat tails
standard deviation

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