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Modal fallacy

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wins', is true (always has been and ever will be) and the other is false (always has been and ever will be). Suppose 'A wins' is today true. Then whatever A does (or fails to do) today will make no difference; similarly, whatever B does (or fails to do) today will make no difference: the outcome is already settled. Or again, suppose 'A wins' is today false. Then no matter what A does today (or fails to do), it will make no difference; similarly, no matter what B does (or fails to do), it will make no difference: the outcome is already settled. Thus, if propositions bear their truth-values timelessly (or unchangingly and eternally), then planning, or as Aristotle put it 'taking care', is illusory in its efficacy. The future will be what it will be, irrespective of our planning, intentions, etc.
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The conclusion is false, since, even though Mickey Mouse is over 35 years old, there is no logical necessity for him to be. Even though it is certainly true in this world, a possible world can exist in which Mickey Mouse is not yet 35 years old. If instead of adding a stipulation of necessity, the
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Two admirals, A and B, are preparing their navies for a sea battle tomorrow. The battle will be fought until one side is victorious. But the 'laws' of the excluded middle (no third truth-value) and of non-contradiction (not both truth-values), mandate that one of the propositions, 'A wins' and 'B
77:. A statement is considered necessarily true if and only if it is impossible for the statement to be untrue and that there is no situation that would cause the statement to be false. Some philosophers further argue that a necessarily true statement must be true in all 341:
gave the following example of how the modal fallacy can lead one to conclude that the future is already set, regardless of one's decisions; this is based on the "sea battle" example used by Aristotle to discuss the
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In modal logic, there is an important distinction between what is logically necessary to be true and what is true but not logically necessary to be so. One common form is replacing
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argument just concluded that Mickey Mouse is 35 or older, it would be valid.
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A common example in everyday life might be the following:
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Thus, Mickey Mouse is necessarily 35 years or older.
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In logic syntax, this is equivalent to 361:Suppose that the statement "A wins" is given by 66:is a special type of fallacy that occurs in 104:can be necessarily true or false (denoted 548:{\displaystyle \lnot \diamond (A\land B)} 311:but is not logically necessary to be so. 324:The President is at least 35 years old. 785: 321:is the President of the United States. 18: 767:Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy 712: 264:{\displaystyle p\rightarrow \Box q} 13: 760: 738: 524: 186: 137: 14: 819: 697:suffers from the modal fallacy. 595:are both true at the same time) 195:{\displaystyle \diamond \lnot P} 23: 754: 732: 706: 542: 530: 252: 235:{\displaystyle p\rightarrow q} 226: 211: 84:In modal logic, a proposition 49:Proposed since September 2024. 16:Type of fallacy in modal logic 1: 763:"Foreknowledge and Free Will" 700: 344:problem of future contingents 693:Swartz also argued that the 146:{\displaystyle \Box \lnot P} 7: 32:It has been suggested that 10: 824: 637:{\displaystyle \diamond B} 614:{\displaystyle \diamond A} 440:{\displaystyle \diamond B} 417:{\displaystyle \diamond A} 271:. In the first statement, 169:{\displaystyle \diamond P} 555:(it is not possible that 381:and "B wins" is given by 715:"Modal (Scope) Fallacy" 695:argument from free will 468:{\displaystyle A\lor B} 684: 683:{\displaystyle \Box B} 661: 660:{\displaystyle \Box A} 638: 615: 589: 569: 549: 509: 489: 469: 441: 418: 395: 375: 359: 305: 285: 265: 236: 196: 170: 147: 121: 120:{\displaystyle \Box P} 98: 685: 662: 639: 616: 590: 570: 550: 510: 490: 470: 442: 419: 396: 376: 354: 306: 286: 266: 237: 197: 171: 148: 122: 99: 719:Logically Fallacious 671: 648: 625: 602: 579: 559: 521: 499: 479: 453: 428: 405: 385: 365: 331:Why is this false? 295: 275: 246: 220: 180: 157: 131: 108: 88: 42:into this article. ( 803:Philosophical logic 798:Non-classical logic 741:"The Modal Fallacy" 35:Modal scope fallacy 808:Informal fallacies 680: 657: 634: 611: 585: 565: 545: 505: 485: 465: 437: 414: 391: 371: 301: 281: 261: 232: 192: 166: 143: 117: 94: 588:{\displaystyle B} 568:{\displaystyle A} 508:{\displaystyle B} 488:{\displaystyle A} 394:{\displaystyle B} 374:{\displaystyle A} 349:On Interpretation 304:{\displaystyle p} 284:{\displaystyle q} 97:{\displaystyle P} 56: 55: 51: 815: 778: 777: 775: 773: 761:Swartz, Norman. 758: 752: 751: 749: 747: 739:Swartz, Norman. 736: 730: 729: 727: 725: 710: 689: 687: 686: 681: 666: 664: 663: 658: 643: 641: 640: 635: 620: 618: 617: 612: 594: 592: 591: 586: 574: 572: 571: 566: 554: 552: 551: 546: 514: 512: 511: 506: 494: 492: 491: 486: 474: 472: 471: 466: 446: 444: 443: 438: 423: 421: 420: 415: 400: 398: 397: 392: 380: 378: 377: 372: 310: 308: 307: 302: 290: 288: 287: 282: 270: 268: 267: 262: 241: 239: 238: 233: 201: 199: 198: 193: 175: 173: 172: 167: 152: 150: 149: 144: 126: 124: 123: 118: 103: 101: 100: 95: 47: 27: 26: 19: 823: 822: 818: 817: 816: 814: 813: 812: 783: 782: 781: 771: 769: 759: 755: 745: 743: 737: 733: 723: 721: 711: 707: 703: 672: 669: 668: 649: 646: 645: 626: 623: 622: 603: 600: 599: 580: 577: 576: 560: 557: 556: 522: 519: 518: 500: 497: 496: 480: 477: 476: 454: 451: 450: 429: 426: 425: 406: 403: 402: 386: 383: 382: 366: 363: 362: 296: 293: 292: 276: 273: 272: 247: 244: 243: 221: 218: 217: 214: 181: 178: 177: 158: 155: 154: 132: 129: 128: 109: 106: 105: 89: 86: 85: 79:possible worlds 52: 28: 24: 17: 12: 11: 5: 821: 811: 810: 805: 800: 795: 780: 779: 753: 731: 704: 702: 699: 679: 676: 656: 653: 633: 630: 610: 607: 584: 564: 544: 541: 538: 535: 532: 529: 526: 504: 484: 464: 461: 458: 436: 433: 413: 410: 390: 370: 329: 328: 325: 322: 300: 291:is true given 280: 260: 257: 254: 251: 231: 228: 225: 213: 210: 191: 188: 185: 165: 162: 142: 139: 136: 116: 113: 93: 60:formal fallacy 54: 53: 31: 29: 22: 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 820: 809: 806: 804: 801: 799: 796: 794: 791: 790: 788: 768: 764: 757: 742: 735: 720: 716: 713:Bennett, Bo. 709: 705: 698: 696: 691: 677: 674: 654: 651: 631: 628: 608: 605: 596: 582: 562: 539: 536: 533: 527: 516: 502: 482: 462: 459: 456: 448: 434: 431: 411: 408: 388: 368: 358: 353: 352: 350: 345: 340: 339:Norman Swartz 336: 332: 326: 323: 320: 317: 316: 315: 312: 298: 278: 258: 255: 249: 229: 223: 209: 207: 206: 189: 183: 163: 160: 140: 134: 114: 111: 91: 82: 80: 76: 74: 69: 65: 64:modal fallacy 61: 50: 45: 41: 37: 36: 30: 21: 20: 770:. Retrieved 766: 756: 744:. Retrieved 734: 722:. Retrieved 718: 708: 692: 597: 517: 449: 360: 355: 347: 337: 333: 330: 319:Mickey Mouse 313: 215: 203: 83: 72: 63: 57: 48: 33: 793:Modal logic 212:Description 73:necessarily 68:modal logic 787:Categories 701:References 205:contingent 772:26 August 746:26 August 675:◻ 652:◻ 629:⋄ 606:⋄ 537:∧ 528:⋄ 525:¬ 515:is true) 460:∨ 432:⋄ 409:⋄ 256:◻ 253:→ 227:→ 187:¬ 184:⋄ 161:⋄ 138:¬ 135:◻ 112:◻ 644:implies 475:(either 724:29 July 346:in his 62:or the 44:Discuss 40:merged 242:with 774:2017 748:2017 726:2023 667:and 621:and 575:and 176:and 127:and 75:true 58:The 495:or 424:or 38:be 789:: 765:. 717:. 81:. 776:. 750:. 728:. 678:B 655:A 632:B 609:A 583:B 563:A 543:) 540:B 534:A 531:( 503:B 483:A 463:B 457:A 435:B 412:A 389:B 369:A 351:: 299:p 279:q 259:q 250:p 230:q 224:p 190:P 164:P 141:P 115:P 92:P 46:)

Index

Modal scope fallacy
merged
Discuss
formal fallacy
modal logic
necessarily true
possible worlds
contingent
Mickey Mouse
Norman Swartz
problem of future contingents
On Interpretation
argument from free will
"Modal (Scope) Fallacy"
"The Modal Fallacy"
"Foreknowledge and Free Will"
Categories
Modal logic
Non-classical logic
Philosophical logic
Informal fallacies

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