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Murphy's law

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117: 355:, supposedly around June 1949, Murphy's assistant wired the harness and the rocket sled was launched. The sensors provided a zero reading; however, it became apparent that they had been installed incorrectly, with some sensors wired backwards. It was at this point a frustrated Murphy made his pronouncement, despite being offered the time and chance to calibrate and test the sensor installation prior to the test proper, which he declined somewhat irritably, getting off on the wrong foot with the MX981 team. George E. Nichols, an engineer and quality assurance manager with the 360:
was condensed to "If it can happen, it will happen", and named for Murphy in mockery of what Nichols perceived as arrogance on Murphy's part. Others, including Edward Murphy's surviving son Robert Murphy, deny Nichols' account, and claim that the phrase did originate with Edward Murphy. According to Robert Murphy's account, his father's statement was along the lines of "If there's more than one way to do a job, and one of those ways will result in disaster, then he will do it that way."
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attitude. One is sour, the other an affirmation of the predictable being surmountable, usually by sufficient planning and redundancy. Nichols believes Murphy was unwilling to take the responsibility for the device's initial failure (by itself a blip of no large significance) and is to be doubly damned for not allowing the MX981 team time to validate the sensor's operability and for trying to blame an underling in the embarrassing aftermath.
105: 268: 488:, asking impressions on a drawing) with said physicist: "As for himself he realized that this was the inexorable working of the second law of the thermodynamics which stated Murphy's law 'If anything can go wrong it will'. I always liked 'Murphy's law'. I was told that by an architect." ADS member Stephen Goranson, investigating this in 2008 and 2009, found that Anne Roe's papers, held in the 520:, so-called laws like Murphy's law and Sod's law are nonsense because they require inanimate objects to have desires of their own, or else to react according to one's own desires. Dawkins points out that a certain class of events may occur all the time, but are only noticed when they become a nuisance. He gives an example of 368:
under consideration; he then summarized the law and said that in general, it meant that it was important to consider all the possibilities (possible things that could go wrong) before doing a test and act to counter them. Thus Stapp's usage and Murphy's alleged usage are very different in outlook and
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who was present at the time, recalled in an interview that Murphy blamed the failure on his assistant after the failed test, saying, "If that guy has any way of making a mistake, he will." Nichols' account is that "Murphy's law" came about through conversation among the other members of the team; it
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wrote on June 23, 1866: "The first experiment already illustrates a truth of the theory, well confirmed by practice, what-ever can happen will happen if we make trials enough." In later publications "whatever can happen will happen" occasionally is termed "Murphy's law", which raises the possibility
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It is found that anything that can go wrong at sea generally does go wrong sooner or later, so it is not to be wondered that owners prefer the safe to the scientific β€¦ Sufficient stress can hardly be laid on the advantages of simplicity. The human factor cannot be safely neglected in planning
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strapped to a seat on the sled, but subsequent tests were performed by Stapp, at that time a USAF captain. During the tests, questions were raised about the accuracy of the instrumentation used to measure the g-forces Captain Stapp was experiencing. Edward Murphy proposed using electronic
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itself had already long since been known. As quoted by Richard Rhodes, Matthews said, "The familiar version of Murphy's law is not quite 50 years old, but the essential idea behind it has been around for centuries. The modern version of Murphy's Law has its roots in
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and aeronautical engineer. The phrase was coined in an adverse reaction to something Murphy said when his devices failed to perform and was eventually cast into its present form prior to a press conference some months later – the first ever (of many) given by
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series, prints a letter that he received from Nichols, who recalled an event that occurred in 1949 at Edwards Air Force Base that, according to him, is the origination of Murphy's law, and first publicly recounted by Stapp. An excerpt from the letter reads:
558:(the law of entropy) because both are predicting a tendency to a more disorganized state. Atanu Chatterjee investigated this idea by formally stating Murphy's law in mathematical terms and found that Murphy's law so stated could be disproved using the 574:. Before long, variations of the law applied to different topics and subjects had passed into the public imagination, changing over time. Arthur Bloch compiled a number of books of corollaries to Murphy's law and variations thereof, the first being 440:
The association with the Muroc incident is by no means secure. Despite extensive research, no trace of documentation of the saying as "Murphy's law" has been found before 1951. The next citations are not found until 1955, when the May–June issue of
973:"Holt, Alfred. 'Review of the Progress of Steam Shipping during the last Quarter of a Century', Minutes of Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers, Vol. LI, Session 1877–78 – Part I, at 2, 8 (November 13, 1877 session, published 1878)" 363:
The phrase first received public attention during a press conference in which Stapp was asked how it was that nobody had been severely injured during the rocket sled tests. Stapp replied that it was because they always took
163:, but only because his original thought was modified subsequently into the now established form that is not exactly what he himself had said. Research into the origin of Murphy's law has been conducted by members of the 347:
attached to the restraining clamps of Stapp's harness to measure the force exerted on them by his rapid deceleration. Murphy was engaged in supporting similar research using high speed centrifuges to generate g-forces.
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caused him to remark β€“ "If there is any way to do it wrong, he will" β€“ referring to the technician who had wired the bridges at the Lab. I assigned Murphy's law to the statement and the associated
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archives include a letter in which Robertson offers Roe an interview within the first three months of 1949, making this apparently predate the Muroc incident said to have occurred in or after June 1949.
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that often do not share a relation to the original law or Edward Murphy himself, but still posit him as a relevant expert in the law's subject. Examples of these "Murphy's laws" include those for
66:. Murphy's original quote was the precautionary design advice that "If there are two or more ways to do something and one of those results in a catastrophe, then someone will do it that way." 215:
go wrong. Whether we must attribute this to the malignity of matter or to the total depravity of inanimate things, whether the exciting cause is hurry, worry, or what not, the fact remains.
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that is typically stated as: "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong." In some formulations, it is extended to "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong, and at the worst possible time."
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It is an experience common to all men to find that, on any special occasion, such as the production of a magical effect for the first time in public, everything that
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he described as "Murphy's law or the fourth law of thermodynamics" (actually there were only three last I heard) which states: "If anything can go wrong, it will."
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is an optimistic reversal of Murphy's law, stating that "anything that can go right will go right". Its name directly references this, being "Murphy" in reverse.
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interfering with filming: there are always aircraft in the sky at any given time, but they are only taken note of when they cause a problem. This is a form of
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on February 12, 1955, saying "I hope it will be known as Strauss' law. It could be stated about like this: If anything bad can happen, it probably will."
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In astronomy, "Spode's Law" refers to the phenomenon that the skies are always cloudy at the wrong moment; the law was popularized by amateur astronomer
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of the law. Since then, Murphy's law has remained a popular (and occasionally misused) adage, though its accuracy has been disputed by academics.
594:"Mrs. Murphy's law" is a corollary of Murphy's law, which states that "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong while Mr. Murphy is out of town." 1064: 445:
included the line "Murphy's law: If an aircraft part can be installed incorrectly, someone will install it that way", and Lloyd Mallan's book
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Though similar statements and concepts have been made over the course of history, the law itself was coined by, and is named after, American
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formulated "Drucker's law" in dealing with complexity of management: "If one thing goes wrong, everything else will, and at the same time."
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in 2003 in engineering " for (probably) giving birth to the name". Murphy's Law was also the theme of 2024 Ig Nobel Prize ceremony.
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Klipstein, D. L. (August 1967). "The Contributions of Edsel Murphy to the Understanding of the Behaviour of Inanimate Objects".
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from early on (see the quotation from Anne Roe's book above). In particular, Murphy's law is often cited as a form of the
282:(pictured circa the late 1940s or early 1950s). Murphy's law most likely originated during similar tests in 1948 and 1949. 286:
Differing recollections years later by various participants make it impossible to pinpoint who first coined the saying
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machinery. If attention is to be obtained, the engine must be such that the engineer will be disposed to attend to it.
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referred to "Reilly's law", which states that "in any scientific or engineering endeavor, anything that can go wrong
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has long been a subject of comment, and precursors to the modern version of Murphy's law are abundant. According to
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described the same principle, "Anything that can possibly go wrong, does", as an "ancient mountaineering adage".
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ADS member Stephen Goranson found a version of the law, not yet generalized or bearing that name, in a report by
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From its initial public announcement, Murphy's law quickly spread to various technical cultures connected to
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studies performed in 1949 on the effects of rapid deceleration on pilots." Matthews goes on to explain how
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will ensure that those ones are remembered and the many times Murphy's law was not true are forgotten.
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tests some time between 1948 and 1949, and was finalized and first popularized by testing project head
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should lead one to expect the kind of events predicted by Murphy's law to occur occasionally.
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From 1948 to 1949, Stapp headed research project MX981 at Muroc Army Air Field (later renamed
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Visions of technology: a century of vital debate about machines, systems, and the human world
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wrote in 1908 that, during special occasions, "everything that can go wrong will go wrong".
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The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day
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John Paul Stapp, Edward A. Murphy, Jr., and George Nichols were jointly awarded an
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The law entered wider public knowledge in the late 1970s with the publication of
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There have been persistent references to Murphy's law associating it with the
2090: 2079: 1590: 1128: 1069: 588: 457: 450: 391: 220: 1836: 1974: 1934: 753: 742: 493: 403: 344: 112:(pictured circa 1860) wrote in 1866 that "whatever can happen will happen". 85: 70: 1867: 472:, has shown that in 1952 the adage was called "Murphy's law" in a book by 2049: 2044: 1944: 1831: 1439: 644:– Practice of planning for contingencies in the design stage of a project 424: 275: 196: 179: 55: 535:, emeritus professor of mathematics and senior research investigator at 1939: 1759: 606: 420: 373: 352: 304: 271: 59: 16:
Adage typically stated as: "Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong"
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Chatterjee, Atanu (2016). "Is the statement of Murphy's Law valid?".
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during rapid deceleration. The tests used a rocket sled mounted on a
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The law's namesake was Capt. Ed Murphy, a development engineer from
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In May 1951, Anne Roe gave a transcript of an interview (part of a
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The term is sometimes used to describe concise, ironic, humorous
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ADS member Bill Mullins found a slightly broader version of the
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The name "Murphy's law" was not immediately secure. A story by
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which was malfunctioning due to an error in wiring the
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Paul Hellwig, Insomniac's Dictionary (Ivy Books, 1989)
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epigraph (1952), reprinted in Shapiro, Fred R., ed.,
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The Magic of Reality: How We Know What's Really True
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The Entropy Vector: Connecting Science and Business
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Murphy's Law, and Other Reasons Why Things Go WRONG
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Murphy's Law, and Other Reasons Why Things Go WRONG
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Murphy's Law, and Other Reasons Why Things Go WRONG
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Murphy's Law, and Other Reasons Why Things Go WRONG
1466:Management, Tasks, Responsibilities, and Practices 1256:, Los Angeles: Price/Stern/Sloan Publishers, Inc. 695: β€“ Adage about the cursedness of the universe 652:Pages displaying short descriptions with no spaces 578:, which received several follow-ups and reprints. 1727: 2077: 1657: 1523:Ann Landers (May 9, 1978), "Mrs. Murphy's Law", 1492: 1043:A Dictionary of Slang and Unconventional English 511: 1670: 709: β€“ American animated TV series (2016-2019) 701: β€“ Adages and sayings named after a person 1040: 1030:. Cambridge University Press. pp. 35, 74. 683: β€“ Counterintuitive result in probability 182:at an 1877 meeting of an engineering society. 1883: 1616: 1272: 1270: 1025: 659: β€“ Adage to assume stupidity over malice 1635: 1507: 1477: 1180:Rogers Dry Lake – National Historic Landmark 863: 1897: 1823:1955 term citation of phrase "Murphy's law" 1709:Why toasted bread lands buttered-side-down. 1522: 146:"Murphy's law" originated in 1949, but the 1890: 1876: 1267: 902: 351:During a trial run of this method using a 338:at the end. Initial tests used a humanoid 262: 1854:Reference to 1941 citation of the proverb 1741: 1403:Robert D. Handscombe, Eann A. Patterson, 1362:"The 34th First Annual Ig Nobel Ceremony" 1041:Eric Partridge (1984). Paul Beale (ed.). 933:"Supplement to the Budget of Paradoxes", 638:– Idiom representing pessimistic outlooks 1123: 1121: 1119: 1117: 1115: 869: 762: β€“ Unforeseen outcomes of an action 266: 115: 103: 1863:tracks down the origins of Murphy's law 1772:Is the statement of Murphy's Law valid? 998:"Maskelyne, Nevil. 'The Art In Magic', 2078: 1290: 1288: 913:. New York, NY: Simon & Schuster. 908: 77:, which included other variations and 1871: 1248: 1246: 1127: 1112: 715: β€“ Adage related to Murphy's Law 1591:"Murphy's Laws of Combat Operations" 870:Matthews, Robert A.J. (April 1997). 406:, in the first volume (1977) of his 1718:for physics in 1996 for this work ( 1285: 1103:The Butcher: The Ascent of Yerupaja 566:Variations (corollaries) of the law 435: 253:The Butcher: The Ascent of Yerupaja 13: 1495:Mysteries of life and the universe 1243: 14: 2107: 1811: 1643:. Arrow Books. pp. 128–137. 896:10.1038/scientificamerican0497-88 665: β€“ Type of confirmation bias 322:) for the purpose of testing the 1407:, p134, World Scientific, 2004, 733: β€“ Risk management strategy 727: β€“ Negative mental attitude 476:, quoting an unnamed physicist: 128:The perceived perversity of the 1610: 1583: 1559: 1530: 1516: 1501: 1486: 1471: 1458: 1427: 1418: 1397: 1388: 1379: 1354: 1329: 1317: 1302:. Linguist List. Archived from 1228:. Linguist List. Archived from 1214: 1199:. Linguist List. Archived from 1185: 1173: 1151: 1095: 1076: 1058: 1049: 1034: 1019: 1004:. Linguist List. Archived from 950:. Linguist List. Archived from 247:In 1952, as an epigraph to the 1252:Bloch, Arthur (1980 edition). 990: 965: 940: 927: 839: 815: 785: 490:American Philosophical Society 376:in the February 1955 issue of 1: 2025:Rebound effect (conservation) 1861:Annals of Improbable Research 1324:Genetic Psychology Monographs 872:"The Science of Murphy's Law" 809: 756: β€“ British culture axiom 512:Academic and scientific views 199:. The British stage magician 21:Murphy's law (disambiguation) 2005:Parable of the broken window 797:fourth law of thermodynamics 791:Also less commonly known as 556:second law of thermodynamics 7: 1677:European Journal of Physics 1279:The Yale Book of Quotations 1107:The Yale Book of Quotations 1065:"Report on Resistentialism" 628: 453:attributed Murphy's law to 447:Men, Rockets and Space Rats 443:Aviation Mechanics Bulletin 419:. Frustration with a strap 334:with a series of hydraulic 10: 2112: 2065:Tyranny of small decisions 1697:10.1088/0143-0807/16/4/005 1226:, February 12, 1955, p. 5" 1195:Astounding Science-Fiction 541:law of truly large numbers 486:thematic apperception test 379:Astounding Science Fiction 223:but dates from the 1930s. 99: 25: 18: 1950:Excess burden of taxation 1905: 1619:A History of Murphy's Law 1493:William H. Shore (1994), 1298:The Making of a Scientist 1158:The Fastest Man on Earth 1134:A History of Murphy's Law 693:Laws of infernal dynamics 636:Buttered toast phenomenon 560:principle of least action 417:Wright Field Aircraft Lab 357:Jet Propulsion Laboratory 1671:Matthews, R A J (1995). 1639:(1981). "Murphy's law". 1182:at National Park Service 909:Rhodes, Richard (1999). 847:"Dr Karl - Murphy's Law" 779: 522:aircraft noise pollution 388:Atomic Energy Commission 165:American Dialect Society 26:Not to be confused with 2035:Self-defeating prophecy 1899:Unintended consequences 1777:David J. Hand ( 2014). 1276:Shapiro, Fred R., ed., 1197:, February 1955, p. 54" 937:no. 2017 p. 836 col. 2 760:Unintended consequences 731:Precautionary principle 681:Infinite monkey theorem 537:Imperial College London 469:Yale Book of Quotations 296:United States Air Force 263:Association with Murphy 120:British stage magician 84:Similar "laws" include 2060:Tragedy of the commons 1837:Murphy's Law of Combat 1799:, Simon and Schuster, 1714:Matthews received the 1617:Nick T. Spark (2006). 1028:The Amateur Astronomer 1026:Patrick Moore (1957). 799:, and historically as 699:List of eponymous laws 675:Totalitarian principle 587:Management consultant 552:laws of thermodynamics 539:, points out that the 482: 433: 320:Edwards Air Force Base 283: 217: 189: 125: 113: 108:British mathematician 2010:Paradox of enrichment 1842:Murphy's Law's Origin 1818:1952 proverb citation 1508:Harold Faber (1979), 1478:Arthur Bloch (1998), 1224:Chicago Daily Tribune 572:aerospace engineering 478: 413: 397:Chicago Daily Tribune 270: 205: 184: 136:in a 1997 article in 134:Robert A. J. Matthews 119: 107: 1980:Inverse consequences 1385:Dawkins, pp. 220-222 466:, the editor of the 280:Muroc Army Air Field 236:, a jocular play on 157:Edward A. Murphy Jr. 52:Edward A. Murphy Jr. 19:For other uses, see 1955:Four Pests campaign 1752:2016Cmplx..21f.374C 1689:1995EJPh...16..172M 1525:The Washington Post 1300:46–47 (1952, 1953)" 1169:Improbable Research 1137:. Lulu Press, Inc. 1084:Thingness of Things 1002:, June 1908, p. 25" 888:1997SciAm.276d..88M 876:Scientific American 766:Worst-case scenario 139:Scientific American 2040:Self-refuting idea 2020:Perverse incentive 1847:2012-03-10 at the 1828:Murphy's law entry 1760:10.1002/cplx.21697 1641:The Official Rules 1621:. Periscope Film. 1464:Drucker, Peter F. 1163:2009-10-14 at the 1089:The New York Times 1000:The Magic Circular 455:United States Navy 394:was quoted in the 284: 226:In 1948, humorist 172:Augustus De Morgan 126: 114: 110:Augustus De Morgan 49:aerospace engineer 2073: 2072: 2030:Risk compensation 1650:978-0-09-926490-3 1628:978-0-9786388-9-4 1480:Murphy's Law 2000 1394:Hand, pp. 197-198 1337:"Past Ig Winners" 1326:volume 43, p. 204 1144:978-1-935700-79-1 979:on March 12, 2008 706:Milo Murphy's Law 526:confirmation bias 2103: 2055:Streisand effect 1965:Hawthorne effect 1925:Butterfly effect 1920:Braess's paradox 1892: 1885: 1878: 1869: 1868: 1774: 1745: 1711: 1667: 1654: 1632: 1605: 1604: 1602: 1601: 1587: 1581: 1580: 1578: 1577: 1563: 1557: 1556: 1554: 1553: 1544:. Archived from 1538:"Cheap Thoughts" 1534: 1528: 1527: 1520: 1514: 1513: 1510:The Book of laws 1505: 1499: 1498: 1490: 1484: 1483: 1475: 1469: 1462: 1456: 1455: 1453: 1452: 1443:. 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Index

Murphy's law (disambiguation)
Muphry's law
adage
epigram
aerospace engineer
Edward A. Murphy Jr.
rocket sled
John Stapp
press conference
Arthur Bloch
corollaries
Sod's law
Finagle's law
Yhprum's law

Augustus De Morgan

Nevil Maskelyne
universe
Robert A. J. Matthews
Scientific American
U.S. Air Force
Edward A. Murphy Jr.
eponym
American Dialect Society
Augustus De Morgan
Alfred Holt
aphorism
stage magic
Nevil Maskelyne

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