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Precognition

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798:. In it he alleges that 10% of his dreams appeared to include some element of future experience. He also persuaded some friends to try the experiment on themselves, with mixed results. He noted a strong cognitive bias in which subjects, including himself, were reluctant to ascribe their dream correspondences to precognition and determinedly sought alternative explanations. Dunne concluded that precognitive elements in dreams are common and that many people unknowingly have them. He suggested also that dream precognition did not reference future events of all kinds, but specifically the future experiences of the dreamer. He was led to this idea when he found that a dream of a volcanic eruption appeared to foresee not the disaster itself but his subsequent misreading of an inaccurate account in a newspaper. 664: 872:. J. B. Rhine used a method of forced-choice matching in which participants guessed the order of a deck of 25 cards, each five of which bore one of five geometrical symbols. Although his results were positive and gained some academic acceptance, his methods were later shown to be badly flawed and subsequent researchers using more rigorous procedures were unable to reproduce his results. His mathematics was sometimes flawed, the experiments were not double-blinded or even necessarily single-blinded and some of the cards to be guessed were so thin that the symbol could be seen through the backing. 3390: 878:, another leading member of the SPR, was described by Rhine as one of his harshest critics, running many similar experiments with wholly negative results. However, from around 1940 he ran forced-choice ESP experiments in which a subject attempted to identify which of five animal pictures a subject in another room was looking at. Their performance on this task was at chance, but when the scores were matched with the card that came 1097:'s vague predictions. For example, quatrain I:60 states "A ruler born near Italy...He's less a prince than a butcher." The phrase "near Italy" can be construed as covering a very broad range of geography, while no details are provided by Nostradamus regarding the era when this ruler will live. Because of this vagueness, and the flexibility of retrofitting, this quatrain has been interpreted by some as referring to 3402: 968:, used a questionnaire survey approach to investigate precognitive dreaming in college students during the 1980s. His survey of over 433 participants showed that 290 or 66.9 per cent reported some form of paranormal dream. He rejected many of these reports, but claimed that 8.8 per cent of the population was having actual precognitive dreams. 719:
Throughout history it has been believed that certain individuals have precognitive abilities, or that certain practices can induce such experiences, and these visions have sometimes been associated with important historical events. Despite the lack of scientific evidence, many people still believe in
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was widely read and "undoubtedly helped to form something of the imaginative climate of years", influencing many writers of both fact and fiction both then and since. According to Flieger, "Dunne's theory was so current and popular a topic that not to understand it was a mark of singularity." Major
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the target card, three of the thirteen subjects showed a very high hit rate; Rhine now described Soal's work as "a milestone in the field". However analyses of Soal's findings, conducted several years later, concluded that the positive results were more likely the result of deliberate fraud. The
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Precognition is sometimes treated as an example of the wider phenomenon of prescience or foreknowledge, to understand by any means what is likely to happen in the future. It is distinct from premonition, which is a vaguer feeling of some impending disaster. Related activities such as predictive
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A great deal of evidence for precognition has been put forward, both as witnessed anecdotes and as experimental results, but none has been accepted as rigorous scientific proof of the phenomenon. Even the most prominent pieces of evidence have been repeatedly rejected due to errors in those
792:, a British soldier and aeronautics engineer, experienced several dreams which he regarded as precognitive. He developed techniques to record and analyse them, identifying any correspondences between his future experiences and his recorded dreams. He reported his findings in his 1927 book 852:
and D. R. Wheeler used the event to test for dream precognition, by inviting the public to report any dreams of the child. A total of 1,300 dreams were reported. Only five per cent envisioned the child dead and only 4 of the 1,300 envisioned the location of the grave as amongst trees.
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The waking mind refuses point-blank to accept the association between the dream and the subsequent event. For it, this association is the wrong way round, and no sooner does it make itself perceived than it is instantly rejected. The intellectual revolt is automatic and extremely
1126:, where people experience a false feeling that an identical event has occurred previously. Some recent authors have suggested that déjà vu and identifying paramnesia are the same thing. This view is not universally held, with others instead treating them as distinct phenomena. 1087:, where people unconsciously infer, from data they have unconsciously learned, that a certain event will probably happen in a certain context. When the event occurs, the former knowledge appears to have been acquired without the aid of recognised channels of information. 891:
As more modern technology became available, more automated techniques of experimentation were developed that did not rely on hand-scoring of equivalence between targets and guesses, and in which the targets could be more reliably and readily tested at random. In 1969
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controversy continued for many years more. In 1978 the statistician and parapsychology researcher Betty Markwick, while seeking to vindicate Soal, discovered that he had tampered with his data. The untainted experimental results showed no evidence of precognition.
1798:. Prometheus Books. pp. 222–232. Hansel found that in the experiments of Schmidt there was no presence of an observer or second-experimenter in any of the experiments, no counterchecking of the records and no separate machines used for high and low score attempts. 659:
are the most widely reported occurrences of precognition. Usually, a dream or vision can only be identified as precognitive after the putative event has taken place. When such an event occurs after a dream, it is said to have "broken the
1044:) would need to be carried by physical particles doing the same. Experimental evidence from high-energy physics suggests that this cannot happen. There is therefore no direct justification for precognition from a physics-based approach. 630:
Precognition has been widely believed in throughout history. Despite the lack of scientific evidence, many people believe it to be real; it is still widely reported and remains a topic of research and discussion within the
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for experiences which challenged our understanding of Time. He received hundreds of letters in reply and believed that many of them described genuine precognitive dreams. In 2014 the BBC Radio 4 broadcaster
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process. In 2012, an independent attempt to reproduce Bem's results was published, but it failed to do so. The widespread controversy led to calls for improvements in practice and for more research.
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have conducted experiments which are claimed to show that people who feel loss of control in their lives will turn to belief in precognition, because it gives them a sense of regaining control.
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had suggested that emanations from future events could be sent back to the dreamer, Aristotle proposed that it was, rather, the dreamer's sense impressions which reached forward to the event.
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There is no known scientific mechanism which would allow precognition. It breaks temporal causality, in that the precognised event causes an effect in the subject prior to the event itself.
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Science and the Supernatural: An Investigation of Paranormal Phenomena Including Psychic Healing, Clairvoyance, Telepathy, and Precognition by a Distinguished Physicist and Mathematician
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Precognition would also contradict "most of the neuroscience and psychology literature, from electrophysiology and neuroimaging to temporal effects found in psychophysical research."
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with dreams believed to be 'mind-created phenomena'. Those dreams which 'warn of impending danger or even prepare us for overwhelming good news" are considered the most important.
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it is believed that dreams are mostly insignificant while others "have the potential to contain prophetic messages". Others hold that dreams have meaning, and bad dreams require
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In 1965 G. W. Lambert, a former Council member of the SPR, proposed five criteria that needed to be met before an account of a precognitive dream could be regarded as credible:
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believed that he had precognitive experiences and used the idea in some of his novels, especially as a central plot element in his 1956 science fiction short story "
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An early investigation into claims of precognition was published by the missionary Fr. P. Boilat in 1883. He claimed to have put an unspoken question to an African
1113: 757:. He accepted that "it is quite conceivable that some dreams may be tokens and causes " but also believed that "most dreams are, however, to be classed as mere 1002:
Claims of precognition are, like any other claims, open to scientific criticism. However, the nature of the criticism must adapt to the nature of the claim.
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experiments as well as follow-on studies contradicting the original evidence. This suggests that the evidence was not valid in the first place.
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remarked that, "The only theory known to me which seems worth consideration is that proposed by Mr. Dunne in his Experiment with Time."
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whom he mistrusted. Contrary to his expectations, the witch-doctor gave him the correct answer without ever having heard the question.
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introduced the use of high-speed random event generators (REG) for precognition testing, and experiments were also conducted at the
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precognition. A poll in 2005 showed 73% of Americans believe in at least one type of paranormal experience, with 41% believing in
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The term "precognition" first appeared in the 17th century but did not come into common use among investigators until much later.
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Hyman, Ray (2007). "Evaluating Parapsychological Claims". In Robert J. Sternberg; Henry L. Roediger; Diane F. Halpern (eds.).
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Various known psychological processes have been put forward to explain experiences of apparent precognition. These include:
577: 311: 2396:"Afterthoughts on precognition: No cogent evidence for anomalous influences of consequent events on preceding cognition" 3205: 2331: 2307: 2124: 1832: 1205: 351: 3374: 3318: 2834: 2599: 2533: 1731: 1494: 1231: 893: 990:. The paper was heavily criticised, and the criticism widened to include the journal itself and the validity of the 2310:"Precognition is the supposed ability to know something in advance of its occurrence or to predict a future event." 1102: 1389: 3428: 3405: 1285: 336: 2442:"Failing the Future: Three Unsuccessful Attempts to Replicate Bem's 'Retroactive Facilitation of Recall' Effect" 663: 3290: 3235: 3225: 3179: 3003: 805: 619:
There is no accepted scientific evidence that precognition is a real effect, and it is widely considered to be
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and unconscious enactment, where people unconsciously bring about events which they have previously imagined.
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writers whose work was significantly influenced by his ideas on precognition in dreams and visions include
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The large body of experimental work has produced no accepted scientific evidence that precognition exists.
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Greenaway, Katharine H.; Louis, Winnifred R.; Hornsey, Matthew J. (7 August 2013). Krueger, Frank (ed.).
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The first ongoing and organised research program on precognition was instituted by husband-and-wife team
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Ryback, David, PhD. "Dreams That Came True". New York: Bantam Doubleday Dell Publishing Group, 1988.
1040:); that is, that an effect does not happen before its cause. Information passing backwards in time ( 3360: 3048: 2923: 1078: 570: 219: 20: 2324:
Treatise on Basic Philosophy: Volume 6: Epistemology & Methodology II: Understanding the World
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LeGuin, Ursula K. (1984). "Science Fiction as Prophesy". In Stine, J.C.; Marowski, D.G. (eds.).
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The large body of anecdotal evidence can be explained by alternative psychological mechanisms.
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states as well as waking premonitions, giving rise to acts of prophecy and fortune telling.
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The description should be of an event destined literally, and not symbolically, to happen.
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precognition through prophetic dreams and the ability to interpret the dreams of others.
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Quantum Leaps in the Wrong Direction: Where Real Science Ends...and Pseudoscience Begins
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precognition through prophetic dreams and the ability to interpret the dreams of others.
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Murray, H. A.; Wheeler, D. R. (1937). "A Note on the Possible Clairvoyance of Dreams".
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failed to agree on the significance of the results. Nevertheless, the Philosopher
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Such claims of seeing the future have never been without their sceptical critics.
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Psychological explanations have also been proposed for belief in precognition.
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The establishment of data manipulation in the Soal-Shackleton experiments
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Stewart, V.; "J. W. Dunne and literary culture in the 1930s and 1940s",
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revisited Priestley's work and its relation to the ideas of J.W. Dunne.
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Franklin, Michael S; Baumgart, Stephen L; Schooler, Jonathon W (2014).
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Nickell, Joe (2019). "Premonition! Foreseeing what cannot be seen".
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The dream should be reported to a credible witness before the event.
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The time interval between the dream and the event should be short.
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Galak, J.; LeBoeuf, R. A.; Nelson, L. D.; Simmons, J. P. (2012).
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C. D. Broad; "The Philosophical Implications of Foreknowledge",
2811:"Precognition Studies and the Curse of the Failed Replications" 1162:: Direct knowledge of past events at which one was not present. 1106: 741: 737: 406: 174: 74: 2575:
Parapsychology: Science or Magic?: a psychological perspective
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carried out an inquiry into allegedly prophetic dreams in his
2953: 1645:. American Journal of Sociology. Vol. 43, No. 4. pp. 623–634. 1198:
Parapsychology-Science Or Magic?: A Psychological Perspective
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Claims of precognition are criticised on three main grounds:
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Association for the Scientific Study of Anomalous Phenomena
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Anon; "Obituary: Mr. J. W. Dunne, Philosopher and Airman",
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Since ancient times precognition has been associated with
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Precognition would violate the principle of antecedence (
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found that several necessary precautions were not taken.
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The event should be unexpected at the time of the dream.
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Consequently, precognition is widely considered to be
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Springer. pp. 225–226. 2049:10.3758/s13423-011-0088-7 1284:Freedman, Rabi Dr Moshe. 1200:Pergamon Press. pp. 3–6. 976:In 2011 the psychologist 915:" and in his 1956 novel 870:Parapsychology Laboratory 3361:The Roots of Coincidence 2924:Dermo-optical perception 2412:10.1177/0959354313485504 2362:10.3389/fnhum.2014.00332 2208:10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00907 1714:Betty Markwick. (1985). 1663:Hines (2003), pp. 78–81. 1454:Dunne (1927), pp.62-3. " 1415:van der Linden, Sander. 1177: 1112:False memories, such as 1079:Self-fulfilling prophecy 1060:Alternative explanations 402:Apparitional experiences 21:Precognition (Scots law) 3291:Extrasensory Perception 3284:An Experiment with Time 3211:Cambridge Ghost Society 2944:Extrasensory perception 2894:Apparitional experience 2709:An Experiment With Time 2615:Herman N. Sno (1991); " 2400:Theory & Psychology 2195:Frontiers in Psychology 1882:I Have Been Here Before 1508:Our Superconscious Mind 1311:Lang, Bernhard (2009). 1226:. Temple Smith. p. 83. 822:An Experiment with Time 795:An Experiment with Time 722:extrasensory perception 460:Argument from ignorance 427:Out-of-body experiences 140:Extrasensory perception 3429:Paranormal terminology 2989:Out-of-body experience 2789:. Joseph Henry Press. 2269:Hyman (2007), page217. 1916:Bem, DJ (March 2011). 1587:Literature and History 1292:. The Jewish Chronicle 1114:identifying paramnesia 1085:Unconscious perception 1032:Violation of causality 754:On Divination in Sleep 680: 639:Precognitive phenomena 604: 598: 485:Communal reinforcement 3194:Defunct organizations 3175:Rhine Research Center 2979:Near-death experience 1614:Journal of Psychology 1576:Flieger (1997) p.136. 1510:. Philip Allan. 1931. 1423:. Scientific American 1376:The Labyrinth of Time 928:television programme 666: 465:Argumentum ad populum 397:Anomalous experiences 377:Scientific skepticism 195:Paranormal television 3123:Active organizations 3009:Past life regression 2733:. Prometheus Books. 1853:fantasticfiction.com 1567:Flieger (1997) p.46. 1336:Sri Dhammananda, K. 998:Scientific reception 918:The World Jones Made 480:Cognitive dissonance 475:Begging the question 422:Ideomotor phenomenon 3454:Spiritual faculties 2959:Kirlian photography 2949:Ganzfeld experiment 2651:2013PLoSO...871327G 2458:2012PLoSO...733423R 2170:on 23 December 2017 1995:, March/April 2011 1897:Inglis (1986), p.85 1880:Francis Spufford, " 1871:Inglis (1986) p.90. 1761:2007Natur.446...10O 1519:Inglis (1986) p.92. 1261:Inglis (1985), p.89 913:The Minority Report 769:17th–19th centuries 696:. According to the 530:Scientific evidence 372:Scientific literacy 2919:Deathbed phenomena 2547:Skeptical Inquirer 2522:Sutherland, Stuart 2240:Kim, Alexander B. 2016:. January 7, 2011. 2014:The New York Times 1999:, January 6, 2011. 1997:Skeptical Inquirer 1991:2011-12-31 at the 1506:Lyttelton, Edith. 982:Cornell University 858:Joseph Banks Rhine 814:Theodore Besterman 784:Early 20th century 681: 240:Spirit photography 190:Paranormal fiction 110:Demonic possession 3416: 3415: 3034:Psychic detective 2994:Pam Reynolds case 2899:Astral projection 2795:978-0-309-07309-7 2759:978-0-521-60834-3 2740:978-1-57392-979-0 2589:via Hines (2003). 2584:978-0-08-025773-0 2511:978-0-230-75298-6 2288:978-0-805-80507-9 1689:978-0-04-445289-8 1443:Trans. J.I. Beare 1365:Priestley (1964). 1322:978-0-300-15156-5 887:Late 20th century 846:Charles Lindbergh 588: 587: 535:Scientific method 245:Spirit possession 55:Astral projection 19:For the law, see 3461: 3404: 3403: 3392: 3391: 3333:Life Before Life 3298:Irreducible Mind 2864: 2857: 2850: 2841: 2840: 2763: 2744: 2712: 2691: 2690: 2680: 2662: 2630: 2624: 2613: 2607: 2596: 2590: 2588: 2570: 2564: 2561: 2555: 2554: 2542: 2536: 2519: 2513: 2499:Wiseman, Richard 2496: 2490: 2489: 2479: 2469: 2437: 2431: 2430: 2428: 2426: 2391: 2385: 2384: 2374: 2364: 2340: 2334: 2317: 2311: 2296: 2290: 2276: 2270: 2267: 2258: 2257: 2255: 2253: 2237: 2231: 2230: 2220: 2210: 2186: 2180: 2179: 2177: 2175: 2159: 2153: 2152: 2141:10.1037/a0029709 2120: 2114: 2113: 2111: 2109: 2098: 2092: 2091: 2089: 2087: 2076: 2070: 2069: 2051: 2033: 2024: 2018: 2017: 2006: 2000: 1977: 1971: 1970: 1968: 1967: 1961: 1955:. 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W. 2698:Bibliography 2642: 2638: 2628: 2620: 2611: 2603: 2594: 2574: 2568: 2559: 2550: 2546: 2540: 2525: 2517: 2502: 2494: 2449: 2445: 2435: 2423:. Retrieved 2403: 2399: 2389: 2352: 2348: 2338: 2323: 2320:Bunge, Mario 2315: 2299: 2294: 2279: 2274: 2250:. Retrieved 2245: 2235: 2198: 2194: 2184: 2172:. Retrieved 2168:the original 2157: 2132: 2128: 2118: 2106:. Retrieved 2096: 2084:. Retrieved 2074: 2039: 2035: 2022: 2013: 2004: 1984: 1980:James Alcock 1975: 1964:. Retrieved 1957:the original 1928: 1924: 1911: 1902: 1893: 1885: 1876: 1867: 1856:. Retrieved 1852: 1843: 1824: 1818: 1809: 1803: 1795: 1787: 1752: 1748: 1738: 1723: 1715: 1710: 1679: 1659: 1650: 1642: 1634: 1617: 1613: 1607: 1599: 1594: 1586: 1581: 1572: 1563: 1555: 1550: 1542: 1537: 1529: 1524: 1515: 1507: 1502: 1488: 1484: 1481:Flew, Antony 1476: 1455: 1450: 1437: 1425:. Retrieved 1420: 1410: 1398:. Retrieved 1396:. Gallup Inc 1393: 1383: 1375: 1370: 1346:. Retrieved 1341: 1331: 1312: 1306: 1294:. Retrieved 1289: 1279: 1271: 1266: 1257: 1223: 1220:Taylor, John 1197: 1129: 1091:Retrofitting 1063: 1054: 1046: 1035: 1023: 1009: 1001: 985: 975: 972:21st century 963: 943: 929: 924:In 1963 the 923: 916: 906: 890: 879: 874: 855: 850:Henry Murray 843: 821: 800: 793: 787: 778:witch-doctor 775: 772: 761:...". Where 759:coincidences 752: 746: 731: 718: 706: 694:amelioration 687: 654: 642: 629: 618: 591:Precognition 590: 589: 550:Urban legend 540:Superstition 520:Protoscience 515:Junk science 455:Anomalistics 332:Cold reading 290: 289: 265:Supernatural 255:Spiritualism 250:Spirit world 200:Precognition 199: 120:Doppelgänger 80:Clairvoyance 25: 3114:Zener cards 3094:Telekinesis 3054:Pyrokinesis 3049:Psychometry 3019:Poltergeist 2821:David Marks 2553:(4): 17–20. 2252:20 February 1149:Oneiromancy 1095:Nostradamus 1069:Coincidence 992:peer-review 827:H. G. Wells 818:C. D. Broad 790:J. W. Dunne 684:In religion 635:community. 545:Uncertainty 270:Telekinesis 220:Psychometry 100:Conjuration 3423:Categories 3109:Xenoglossy 2999:Paranormal 2974:Mediumship 2964:Levitation 2909:Bilocation 2823:. (2000). 2809:. (2012). 2604:Britannica 2524:. (1994). 2501:. (2011). 2425:19 October 2322:. (1983). 2300:Psychology 2246:www.cbc.ca 2108:31 January 2086:31 January 1966:2013-09-10 1858:2019-12-05 1794:. (1980). 1720:Paul Kurtz 1641:. (1938). 1427:8 February 1400:8 February 1348:8 February 1296:25 January 1222:. (1980). 1196:. (1981). 1173:References 907:SF writer 763:Democritus 593:(from the 505:Groupthink 325:Skepticism 260:Stone Tape 165:Mediumship 115:Demonology 70:Bilocation 41:Paranormal 3099:Telepathy 2934:Ectoplasm 2669:1932-6203 2420:145690989 1556:The Times 1457:powerful. 1290:thejc.com 1166:Third eye 1038:causality 978:Daryl Bem 749:Aristotle 728:Antiquity 625:causality 342:Debunking 275:Telepathy 125:Ectoplasm 90:Cold spot 60:Astrology 3439:Prophecy 3395:Category 2769:(1986). 2729:(2003). 2707:(1927). 2687:23951136 2639:PLOS ONE 2486:22432019 2446:PLOS ONE 2381:24904372 2227:25202289 2174:7 August 2149:22924750 2066:12355543 2058:21573926 1989:Archived 1945:21280961 1779:17330012 1138:See also 1099:Napoleon 844:In 1932 709:Buddhism 646:prophecy 605:cognitio 510:Hypnosis 417:Hypnosis 145:Forteana 135:Exorcism 33:a series 31:Part of 3407:Commons 3029:Psychic 2880:Outline 2678:3737190 2647:Bibcode 2477:3303812 2454:Bibcode 2372:4034337 2355:: 332. 2218:4141237 1953:1961013 1757:Bibcode 1124:DĂ©jĂ  vu 966:Atlanta 930:Monitor 742:Oracles 715:History 690:Judaism 660:dream". 610:psychic 490:Fallacy 449:Related 285:Ufology 210:Psychic 170:Miracle 3255:People 2954:Ghosts 2887:Topics 2833:  2793:  2756:  2737:  2685:  2675:  2667:  2581:  2532:  2509:  2484:  2474:  2418:  2379:  2369:  2330:  2306:  2286:  2225:  2215:  2147:  2064:  2056:  1951:  1943:  1831:  1777:  1749:Nature 1730:  1686:  1493:  1319:  1230:  1204:  1107:Hitler 738:trance 734:dreams 702:Joseph 677:Joseph 657:dreams 614:seeing 407:Empath 175:Occult 35:on the 2904:Auras 2416:S2CID 2248:. 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Index

Precognition (Scots law)
a series
Paranormal
Astral projection
Astrology
Aura
Bilocation
Breatharianism
Clairvoyance
Close encounter
Cold spot
Crystal gazing
Conjuration
Cryptozoology
Demonic possession
Demonology
Doppelgänger
Ectoplasm
Electronic voice phenomenon
Exorcism
Extrasensory perception
Forteana
Fortune-telling
Ghost hunting
Magic
Mediumship
Miracle
Occult
Orb
Ouija

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