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76:, working on climate modeling and long range weather prediction. He now leads research and production of monthly, seasonal and decadal predictions at the Met Office. Scaife and his team have made recent advances in long range weather forecasting and have uncovered the paradox that current climate models are better at predicting the real world than they are at predicting themselves. Scaife's recent research demonstrates a link between year to year climate predictions, subtle changes in the rotation rate of the Earth and hence the length of day.
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Scaife, Adam A.; Athanassiadou, Maria; Andrews, Martin; Arribas, Alberto; Baldwin, Mark; Dunstone, Nick; Knight, Jeff; MacLachlan, Craig; Manzini, Elisa; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Pohlmann, Holger; Smith, Doug; Stockdale, Tim; Williams, Andrew (2014). "Predictability of the quasi-biennial oscillation and
534:
Scaife, A. A.; Arribas, A.; Blockley, E.; Brookshaw, A.; Clark, R. T.; Dunstone, N.; Eade, R.; Fereday, D.; Folland, C. K.; Gordon, M.; Hermanson, L.; Knight, J. R.; Lea, D. J.; MacLachlan, C.; Maidens, A.; Martin, M.; Peterson, A. K.; Smith, D.; Vellinga, M.; Wallace, E.; Waters, J.; Williams, A.
95:
and co-led the World
Meteorological Organisation's grand challenge on Near Term Climate Prediction. Scaife is also member of the Royal Meteorological Society climate communications group, regularly comments on extreme climate events, and is often involved in communicating
62:(1999, academic advisor Prof Ian N James). He joined the Met Office in 1992 where he worked on climate dynamics and the development of improved computer models of the climate. He also joined Exeter University as Professor in Applied Maths in 2017.
217:
250:
Scaife, Adam A.; Butchart, Neal; Warner, Christopher; Stainforth, David; Norton, Warwick; Austin, John (2000). "Realistic
Simulations of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in a simulation of the global climate".
1189:
231:
Scaife, Adam A.; Butchart, Neal; Warner, Christopher; Swinbank, Richard (2002). "Impact of a
Spectral Gravity Wave Parameterization on the Stratosphere in the Met Office Unified Model".
30:. Scaife carries out research into long range weather forecasting and computer modelling of the climate and has published over 250 peer reviewed studies on atmospheric
278:
Butchart, Neal; Scaife, Adam (2000). "Removal of chlorofluorocarbons by increased mass exchange between the stratosphere and troposphere in a changing climate".
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Scaife, Adam A.; Copsey, Dan; Gordon, Chris; Harris, Chris; Hinton, Tim; Keeley, Sarah; O'Neill, Alan; Roberts, Malcolm; Williams, Keith (2011).
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83:'s Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and served as a member of the scientific steering group of the
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Camp, J.; Roberts, M.; MacLachlan, C.; Wallace, E.; Hermanson, L.; Brookshaw, A.; Arribas, A.; Scaife, A. A. (2015).
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Scaife, Adam A.; Ineson, Sarah; Knight, Jeff R.; Gray, Lesley; Kodera, Kunihiko; Smith, Doug M. (2013).
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495:"Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system"
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841:"Why has it rained so much in the UK – and is it climate change? | Environment"
218:"Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale, High-Impact Weather and Climate Events"
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87:'s core project on the stratosphere and its role in climate. He is a fellow of the
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from months to decades ahead. Since 2003 he has led teams of scientists in the
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386:"A mechanism for lagged North Atlantic climate response to solar variability"
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1144:"Scaife Receives 2016 Atmospheric Sciences Ascent Award - Honors Program"
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537:"Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters"
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its northern winter teleconnection on seasonal to decadal timescales".
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168:"Prof Adam Scaife - CEMPS - - Mathematics, University of Exeter"
22:
is a
British physicist and head of long range prediction at the
988:: Season 48, Episode 13 : Global Weirding (27 March 2012)"
42:
as well as popular science and academic books on meteorology.
1068:. Manchester Literary and Scientific Society. 11 December 2018
935:: Season 50, Episode 14 : What's Wrong with Our Weather?"
533:
249:
1190:"Lloyd's Science of Risk : 2011 Conference and Winners"
492:
230:
1413:
340:"Angular Momentum, Length of Day and Climate Predictions"
65:
Many of his studies show how predictable factors affect
704:
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127:
Lloyds
Science of Risk Prize for Climate Science (2011)
121:
671:
383:
307:"Improved Atlantic winter blocking in a climate model"
58:(1991-1992) and was awarded a PhD in Meteorology from
1523:
499:
Quarterly
Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
112:Royal Meteorological Society's Buchan Prize (2019)
958:"El Nino could 'disrupt food markets' - BBC News"
109:Institute of Physics Edward Appleton Medal (2020)
74:Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
1559:
360:
589:"A Signal to Noise Paradox in Climate Science"
277:
118:American Geophysical Union ASCENT Award (2016)
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50:Scaife studied Natural Sciences (Physics) at
838:
1440:Peninsula College of Medicine and Dentistry
1042:. Royal Meteorological Society. 8 June 2018
586:
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1064:Predictability Beyond the Weather Forecast
863:"December 2015 record weather in the UK?"
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1603:Alumni of Fitzwilliam College, Cambridge
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796:"2016 Set to be Hottest Year on Record"
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54:(1988-1991), Environmental Science at
1578:Academics of the University of Exeter
1206:
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587:Scaife, Adam A.; Smith, Doug (2018).
1506:
1608:Alumni of the University of Reading
1573:UK Met Office staff and researchers
1450:University of St Mark & St John
593:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
233:Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
13:
1593:Alumni of the University of Surrey
14:
1619:
884:McGrath, Matt (6 February 2019).
839:Nicola Davis (11 February 2014).
124:L.G. Groves Memorial prize (2013)
81:World Meteorological Organisation
16:British meteorologist (born 1970)
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1016:. Met Office. 19 September 2017
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865:. Met office. 31 December 2015
746:"El Nino-Southern Oscillation"
728:"Near-term Climate Prediction"
697:"Royal Meteorological Society"
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190:"Google Scholar - Adam Scaife"
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1:
956:Briggs, Helen (21 May 2015).
903:Devlin, Hannah (3 May 2015).
131:
1324:Institute of Cornish Studies
1088:"Edward Appleton Medal 2020"
544:Geophysical Research Letters
428:Geophysical Research Letters
390:Geophysical Research Letters
311:Geophysical Research Letters
253:Geophysical Research Letters
93:Royal Meteorological Society
26:. He is also a professor at
7:
1370:University Chapel (St Luke)
79:Scaife was co-chair of the
10:
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1481:University of Exeter Press
1282:List of honorary graduates
1176:"LG Groves Memorial Prize"
1012:Slowdown in Global Warming
148:. Met Office. 4 April 2014
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818:"El Niño is back in town"
606:10.1038/s41612-018-0038-4
103:
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1319:Camborne School of Mines
1102:"The Buchan Prize 2019"
905:"Climate Science Myths"
115:Copernicus Medal (2018)
1568:British meteorologists
1265:Professor Lisa Roberts
1116:"The Copernicus Medal"
672:"Institute of Physics"
645:SPARC (6 April 2010).
365:. Science Media Centre
361:Science Media Centre.
798:. Telegraph Newspaper
1235:University of Exeter
911:. Guardian Newspaper
732:www.wcrp-climate.org
647:"Home :: SPARC"
564:10.1002/2014GL059637
448:10.1002/2013GL059160
324:10.1029/2011GL049573
265:10.1029/2000GL011625
89:Institute of Physics
52:Cambridge University
1404:Rugby Football Club
1340:Exeter Science Park
1309:Bill Douglas Centre
1158:"Adrian Gill Prize"
771:"Solar Variability"
556:2014GeoRL..41.2514S
511:2015QJRMS.141.2206C
440:2014GeoRL..41.1752S
402:2013GeoRL..40..434S
338:Nature Geoscience.
170:. Emps.exeter.ac.uk
146:"Prof. Adam Scaife"
1598:English physicists
1360:Halls of Residence
1255:Sir Michael Barber
505:(691): 2206–2219.
60:Reading University
36:computer modelling
1521:
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1399:Northcott Theatre
1272:List of academics
1130:"Met Office Blog"
1038:El Nino explainer
651:Sparc-climate.org
411:10.1002/grl.50099
259:(21): 3481–3484.
204:"30s Meteorology"
56:Surrey University
28:Exeter University
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