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Confirmation bias

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Participants knew that one basket contained 60 percent black and 40 percent red balls; the other, 40 percent black and 60 percent red. The experimenters looked at what happened when balls of alternating color were drawn in turn, a sequence that does not favor either basket. After each ball was drawn, participants in one group were asked to state out loud their judgments of the probability that the balls were being drawn from one or the other basket. These participants tended to grow more confident with each successive draw—whether they initially thought the basket with 60 percent black balls or the one with 60 percent red balls was the more likely source, their estimate of the probability increased. Another group of participants were asked to state probability estimates only at the end of a sequence of drawn balls, rather than after each ball. They did not show the polarization effect, suggesting that it does not necessarily occur when people simply hold opposing positions, but rather when they openly commit to them.
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evidence rather than falsifying evidence. This cognitive error is partly caused by the availability of evidence about the supposed disorder being diagnosed. For example, the client may have mentioned the disorder, or the GP may have recently read a much-discussed paper about the disorder. The basis of this cognitive shortcut or heuristic (termed anchoring) is that the doctor does not consider multiple possibilities based on evidence, but prematurely latches on (or anchors to) a single cause. In emergency medicine, because of time pressure, there is a high density of decision-making, and shortcuts are frequently applied. The potential failure rate of these cognitive decisions needs to be managed by education about the 30 or more cognitive biases that can occur, so as to set in place proper debiasing strategies. Confirmation bias may also cause doctors to perform unnecessary medical procedures due to pressure from adamant patients.
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the most information. Since the information content depends on initial probabilities, a positive test can either be highly informative or uninformative. Klayman and Ha argued that when people think about realistic problems, they are looking for a specific answer with a small initial probability. In this case, positive tests are usually more informative than negative tests. However, in Wason's rule discovery task the answer—three numbers in ascending order—is very broad, so positive tests are unlikely to yield informative answers. Klayman and Ha supported their analysis by citing an experiment that used the labels "DAX" and "MED" in place of "fits the rule" and "doesn't fit the rule". This avoided implying that the aim was to find a low-probability rule. Participants had much more success with this version of the experiment.
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for a job in real estate sales. There was a significant difference between what these two groups recalled, with the "librarian" group recalling more examples of introversion and the "sales" groups recalling more extroverted behavior. A selective memory effect has also been shown in experiments that manipulate the desirability of personality types. In one of these, a group of participants were shown evidence that extroverted people are more successful than introverts. Another group were told the opposite. In a subsequent, apparently unrelated study, participants were asked to recall events from their lives in which they had been either introverted or extroverted. Each group of participants provided more memories connecting themselves with the more desirable personality type, and recalled those memories more quickly.
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pointing to details that supported their viewpoint and disregarding anything contrary. Participants described studies supporting their pre-existing view as superior to those that contradicted it, in detailed and specific ways. Writing about a study that seemed to undermine the deterrence effect, a death penalty proponent wrote, "The research didn't cover a long enough period of time," while an opponent's comment on the same study said, "No strong evidence to contradict the researchers has been presented." The results illustrated that people set higher standards of evidence for hypotheses that go against their current expectations. This effect, known as "disconfirmation bias", has been supported by other experiments.
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correlated strongly with their initial attitudes. In later experiments, participants also reported their opinions becoming more extreme in response to ambiguous information. However, comparisons of their attitudes before and after the new evidence showed no significant change, suggesting that the self-reported changes might not be real. Based on these experiments, Deanna Kuhn and Joseph Lao concluded that polarization is a real phenomenon but far from inevitable, only happening in a small minority of cases, and it was prompted not only by considering mixed evidence, but by merely thinking about the topic.
616: 846:, that is, false and misleading information that is presented as credible news from a seemingly reliable source. Confirmation bias (selecting or reinterpreting evidence to support one's beliefs) is one of three main hurdles cited as to why critical thinking goes astray in these circumstances. The other two are shortcut heuristics (when overwhelmed or short of time, people rely on simple rules such as group consensus or trusting an expert or role model) and social goals (social motivation or peer pressure can interfere with objective analysis of facts at hand). 805:
external parties are overly aggressive or critical, people will disengage from thought altogether, and simply assert their personal opinions without justification. Lerner and Tetlock say that people only push themselves to think critically and logically when they know in advance they will need to explain themselves to others who are well-informed, genuinely interested in the truth, and whose views they do not already know. Because those conditions rarely exist, they argue, most people are using confirmatory thought most of the time.
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scientifically poor evidence for a conclusion about firefighters in general. However, the participants found them subjectively persuasive. When the case studies were shown to be fictional, participants' belief in a link diminished, but around half of the original effect remained. Follow-up interviews established that the participants had understood the debriefing and taken it seriously. Participants seemed to trust the debriefing, but regarded the discredited information as irrelevant to their personal belief.
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a mix of salient positive and negative qualities: a close relationship with the child but a job that would take them away for long periods of time. When asked, "Which parent should have custody of the child?" the majority of participants chose Parent B, looking mainly for positive attributes. However, when asked, "Which parent should be denied custody of the child?" they looked for negative attributes and the majority answered that Parent B should be denied custody, implying that Parent A should have custody.
1011: 677: 1356:. The participants reported that the homosexual men in the set were more likely to report seeing buttocks, anuses or sexually ambiguous figures in the inkblots. In fact the fictional case studies had been constructed so that the homosexual men were no more likely to report this imagery or, in one version of the experiment, were less likely to report it than heterosexual men. In a survey, a group of experienced psychoanalysts reported the same set of illusory associations with homosexuality. 346:
on a six-point scale, where one indicated "definitely yes" and six indicated "definitely no". Participants firstly evaluated if they would allow a dangerous German car on American streets and a dangerous American car on German streets. Participants believed that the dangerous German car on American streets should be banned more quickly than the dangerous American car on German streets. There was no difference among intelligence levels at the rate participants would ban a car.
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verdict had changed, the less stable were the participant's memories regarding their initial emotional reactions. When participants recalled their initial emotional reactions two months and a year later, past appraisals closely resembled current appraisals of emotion. People demonstrate sizable myside bias when discussing their opinions on controversial topics. Memory recall and construction of experiences undergo revision in relation to corresponding emotional states.
392:(ESP). Believers and disbelievers were each shown descriptions of ESP experiments. Half of each group were told that the experimental results supported the existence of ESP, while the others were told they did not. In a subsequent test, participants recalled the material accurately, apart from believers who had read the non-supportive evidence. This group remembered significantly less information and some of them incorrectly remembered the results as supporting ESP. 247:
Despite making many attempts over a ten-hour session, none of the participants figured out the rules of the system. They typically attempted to confirm rather than falsify their hypotheses, and were reluctant to consider alternatives. Even after seeing objective evidence that refuted their working hypotheses, they frequently continued doing the same tests. Some of the participants were taught proper hypothesis-testing, but these instructions had almost no effect.
1195:. They measured the attitudes of their participants towards these issues before and after reading arguments on each side of the debate. Two groups of participants showed attitude polarization: those with strong prior opinions and those who were politically knowledgeable. In part of this study, participants chose which information sources to read, from a list prepared by the experimenters. For example, they could read arguments on gun control from the 409:
participants to write essays. The participants were randomly assigned to write essays either for or against their preferred side of an argument and were given research instructions that took either a balanced or an unrestricted approach. The balanced-research instructions directed participants to create a "balanced" argument, i.e., that included both pros and cons; the unrestricted-research instructions included nothing on how to create the argument.
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and mixed. For example, various contradictory ideas about someone could each be supported by concentrating on one aspect of his or her behavior. Thus any search for evidence in favor of a hypothesis is likely to succeed. One illustration of this is the way the phrasing of a question can significantly change the answer. For example, people who are asked, "Are you happy with your social life?" report greater satisfaction than those asked, "Are you
1113:, there seemed to be a "pitting epidemic" in which windshields were damaged due to an unknown cause. As news of the apparent wave of damage spread, more and more people checked their windshields, discovered that their windshields too had been damaged, thus confirming belief in the supposed epidemic. In fact, the windshields were previously damaged, but the damage went unnoticed until people checked their windshields as the delusion spread. 835:, or "algorithmic editing", which displays to individuals only information they are likely to agree with, while excluding opposing views. Some have argued that confirmation bias is the reason why society can never escape from filter bubbles, because individuals are psychologically hardwired to seek information that agrees with their preexisting values and beliefs. Others have further argued that the mixture of the two is degrading 243:, where individuals seek opposing partisan news in order to counterargue. Individuals with low confidence levels do not seek out contradictory information and prefer information that supports their personal position. People generate and evaluate evidence in arguments that are biased towards their own beliefs and opinions. Heightened confidence levels decrease preference for information that supports individuals' personal beliefs. 952:, investors made more profit when they resisted bias. For example, participants who interpreted a candidate's debate performance in a neutral rather than partisan way were more likely to profit. To combat the effect of confirmation bias, investors can try to adopt a contrary viewpoint "for the sake of argument". In one technique, they imagine that their investments have collapsed and ask themselves why this might happen. 1421: 198:. Rather than searching through all the relevant evidence, they phrase questions to receive an affirmative answer that supports their theory. They look for the consequences that they would expect if their hypothesis was true, rather than what would happen if it was false. For example, someone using yes/no questions to find a number they suspect to be the number 3 might ask, "Is it an 202:?" People prefer this type of question, called a "positive test", even when a negative test such as "Is it an even number?" would yield exactly the same information. However, this does not mean that people seek tests that guarantee a positive answer. In studies where subjects could select either such pseudo-tests or genuinely diagnostic ones, they favored the genuinely diagnostic. 727:, this could explain why desired conclusions are more likely to be believed true. According to experiments that manipulate the desirability of the conclusion, people demand a high standard of evidence for unpalatable ideas and a low standard for preferred ideas. In other words, they ask, "Can I believe this?" for some suggestions and, "Must I believe this?" for others. Although 1435: 118:(the gradual accumulation of supportive evidence). Similarly, a police detective may identify a suspect early in an investigation, but then may only seek confirming rather than disconfirming evidence. A medical practitioner may prematurely focus on a particular disorder early in a diagnostic session, and then seek only confirming evidence. In 761:
Overestimating the friend's honesty may also be costly, but less so. In this case, it would be rational to seek, evaluate or remember evidence of their honesty in a biased way. When someone gives an initial impression of being introverted or extroverted, questions that match that impression come across as more
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argument. Studies have stated that myside bias is an absence of "active open-mindedness", meaning the active search for why an initial idea may be wrong. Typically, myside bias is operationalized in empirical studies as the quantity of evidence used in support of their side in comparison to the opposite side.
891:, scientists have resisted new discoveries by selectively interpreting or ignoring unfavorable data. Several studies have shown that scientists rate studies that report findings consistent with their prior beliefs more favorably than studies reporting findings inconsistent with their previous beliefs. 1408:
cases: in this example, instances of both pain and bad weather. They pay relatively little attention to the other kinds of observation (of no pain and/or good weather). This parallels the reliance on positive tests in hypothesis testing. It may also reflect selective recall, in that people may have a
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aims to mitigate the effect of individual scientists' biases, even though the peer review process itself may be susceptible to such biases Confirmation bias may thus be especially harmful to objective evaluations regarding nonconforming results since biased individuals may regard opposing evidence to
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Developmental psychologist Eve Whitmore has argued that beliefs and biases involved in confirmation bias have their roots in childhood coping through make-believe, which becomes "the basis for more complex forms of self-deception and illusion into adulthood." The friction brought on by questioning as
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In light of this and other critiques, the focus of research moved away from confirmation versus falsification of an hypothesis, to examining whether people test hypotheses in an informative way, or an uninformative but positive way. The search for "true" confirmation bias led psychologists to look at
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as their standard of hypothesis-testing, rather than the falsificationism used by Wason. According to these ideas, each answer to a question yields a different amount of information, which depends on the person's prior beliefs. Thus a scientific test of a hypothesis is one that is expected to produce
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test (a college admissions test used in the United States) to assess their intelligence levels. They then read information regarding safety concerns for vehicles, and the experimenters manipulated the national origin of the car. American participants provided their opinion if the car should be banned
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The preference for positive tests in itself is not a bias, since positive tests can be highly informative. However, in combination with other effects, this strategy can confirm existing beliefs or assumptions, independently of whether they are true. In real-world situations, evidence is often complex
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A less abstract study was the Stanford biased interpretation experiment, in which participants with strong opinions about the death penalty read about mixed experimental evidence. Twenty-three percent of the participants reported that their views had become more extreme, and this self-reported shift
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is the drive to seek positive feedback. Both are served by confirmation biases. In experiments where people are given feedback that conflicts with their self-image, they are less likely to attend to it or remember it than when given self-verifying feedback. They reduce the impact of such information
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Nickerson argues that reasoning in judicial and political contexts is sometimes subconsciously biased, favoring conclusions that judges, juries or governments have already committed to. Since the evidence in a jury trial can be complex, and jurors often reach decisions about the verdict early on, it
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However, assuming that the research question is relevant, the experimental design adequate and the data are clearly and comprehensively described, the empirical data obtained should be important to the scientific community and should not be viewed prejudicially, regardless of whether they conform to
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seeks to justify a specific point of view. Lerner and Tetlock say that when people expect to justify their position to others whose views they already know, they will tend to adopt a similar position to those people, and then use confirmatory thought to bolster their own credibility. However, if the
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Untruth naturally afflicts historical information. There are various reasons that make this unavoidable. One of them is partisanship for opinions and schools. ... if the soul is infected with partisanship for a particular opinion or sect, it accepts without a moment's hesitation the information that
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In one study, participants read a profile of a woman which described a mix of introverted and extroverted behaviors. They later had to recall examples of her introversion and extroversion. One group was told this was to assess the woman for a job as a librarian, while a second group were told it was
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Biased interpretation is not restricted to emotionally significant topics. In another experiment, participants were told a story about a theft. They had to rate the evidential importance of statements arguing either for or against a particular character being responsible. When they hypothesized that
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or a politically neutral public figure. They were also given further statements that made the apparent contradiction seem reasonable. From these three pieces of information, they had to decide whether each individual's statements were inconsistent. There were strong differences in these evaluations,
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personality dimension on the basis of an interview. They chose the interview questions from a given list. When the interviewee was introduced as an introvert, the participants chose questions that presumed introversion, such as, "What do you find unpleasant about noisy parties?" When the interviewee
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Even a small change in a question's wording can affect how people search through available information, and hence the conclusions they reach. This was shown using a fictional child custody case. Participants read that Parent A was moderately suitable to be the guardian in multiple ways. Parent B had
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A common finding is that at least some of the initial belief remains even after a full debriefing. In one experiment, participants had to distinguish between real and fake suicide notes. The feedback was random: some were told they had done well while others were told they had performed badly. Even
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A study has found individual differences in myside bias. This study investigates individual differences that are acquired through learning in a cultural context and are mutable. The researcher found important individual difference in argumentation. Studies have suggested that individual differences
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Another experiment gave participants a complex rule-discovery task that involved moving objects simulated by a computer. Objects on the computer screen followed specific laws, which the participants had to figure out. So, participants could "fire" objects across the screen to test their hypotheses.
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gave the interviewees little or no opportunity to falsify the hypothesis about them. A later version of the experiment gave the participants less presumptive questions to choose from, such as, "Do you shy away from social interactions?" Participants preferred to ask these more diagnostic questions,
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Experiments have shown that information is weighted more strongly when it appears early in a series, even when the order is unimportant. For example, people form a more positive impression of someone described as "intelligent, industrious, impulsive, critical, stubborn, envious" than when they are
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affects hiring decisions and can potentially prohibit a diverse and inclusive workplace. There are a variety of unconscious biases that affects recruitment decisions but confirmation bias is one of the major ones, especially during the interview stage. The interviewer will often select a candidate
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and Akiva Liberman's refinement of this theory assumes that people compare the two different kinds of error: accepting a false hypothesis or rejecting a true hypothesis. For instance, someone who underestimates a friend's honesty might treat him or her suspiciously and so undermine the friendship.
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The actual rule was simply "any ascending sequence", but participants had great difficulty in finding it, often announcing rules that were far more specific, such as "the middle number is the average of the first and last". The participants seemed to test only positive examples—triples that obeyed
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Myside bias was once believed to be correlated with intelligence; however, studies have shown that myside bias can be more influenced by ability to rationally think as opposed to level of intelligence. Myside bias can cause an inability to effectively and logically evaluate the opposite side of an
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Myside bias has been shown to influence the accuracy of memory recall. In an experiment, widows and widowers rated the intensity of their experienced grief six months and five years after the deaths of their spouses. Participants noted a higher experience of grief at six months rather than at five
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had been acquitted of murder charges. They described their emotional reactions and confidence regarding the verdict one week, two months, and one year after the trial. Results indicated that participants' assessments for Simpson's guilt changed over time. The more that participants' opinion of the
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Some psychologists restrict the term "confirmation bias" to selective collection of evidence that supports what one already believes while ignoring or rejecting evidence that supports a different conclusion. Others apply the term more broadly to the tendency to preserve one's existing beliefs when
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When people with opposing views interpret new information in a biased way, their views can move even further apart. This is called "attitude polarization". The effect was demonstrated by an experiment that involved drawing a series of red and black balls from one of two concealed "bingo baskets".
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This effect is a kind of biased interpretation, in that objectively neutral or unfavorable evidence is interpreted to support existing beliefs. It is also related to biases in hypothesis-testing behavior. In judging whether two events, such as illness and bad weather, are correlated, people rely
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Another experiment involved a slide show of a single object, seen as just a blur at first and in slightly better focus with each succeeding slide. After each slide, participants had to state their best guess of what the object was. Participants whose early guesses were wrong persisted with those
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One demonstration of irrational primacy used colored chips supposedly drawn from two urns. Participants were told the color distributions of the urns, and had to estimate the probability of a chip being drawn from one of them. In fact, the colors appeared in a prearranged order. The first thirty
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and Jason Reifler in 2010. However, subsequent research has since failed to replicate findings supporting the backfire effect. One study conducted out of the Ohio State University and George Washington University studied 10,100 participants with 52 different issues expected to trigger a backfire
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found that, on the whole, their predictions were not much better than chance. Tetlock divided experts into "foxes" who maintained multiple hypotheses, and "hedgehogs" who were more dogmatic. In general, the hedgehogs were much less accurate. Tetlock blamed their failure on confirmation bias, and
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Confirmation bias can be a factor in creating or extending conflicts, from emotionally charged debates to wars: by interpreting the evidence in their favor, each opposing party can become overconfident that it is in the stronger position. On the other hand, confirmation bias can result in people
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In combating the spread of fake news, social media sites have considered turning toward "digital nudging". This can currently be done in two different forms of nudging. This includes nudging of information and nudging of presentation. Nudging of information entails social media sites providing a
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hypothesis by examining cases where they expect a property or event to occur. This heuristic avoids the difficult or impossible task of working out how diagnostic each possible question will be. However, it is not universally reliable, so people can overlook challenges to their existing beliefs.
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The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion ... draws all things else to support and agree with it. And though there be a greater number and weight of instances to be found on the other side, yet these it either neglects or despises, or else by some distinction sets aside or
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People may remember evidence selectively to reinforce their expectations, even if they gather and interpret evidence in a neutral manner. This effect is called "selective recall", "confirmatory memory", or "access-biased memory". Psychological theories differ in their predictions about selective
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with and without the death penalty, and a comparison of murder rates in a state before and after the introduction of the death penalty. After reading a quick description of each study, the participants were asked whether their opinions had changed. Then, they read a more detailed account of each
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test. This fictional data was arranged to show either a negative or positive association: some participants were told that a risk-taking firefighter did better, while others were told they did less well than a risk-averse colleague. Even if these two case studies were true, they would have been
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Cognitive biases are important variables in clinical decision-making by medical general practitioners (GPs) and medical specialists. Two important ones are confirmation bias and the overlapping availability bias. A GP may make a diagnosis early on during an examination, and then seek confirming
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In Peter Wason's initial experiment published in 1960 (which does not mention the term "confirmation bias"), he repeatedly challenged participants to identify a rule applying to triples of numbers. They were told that (2,4,6) fits the rule. They generated triples, and the experimenter told them
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I know that most men—not only those considered clever, but even those who are very clever, and capable of understanding most difficult scientific, mathematical, or philosophic problems—can very seldom discern even the simplest and most obvious truth if it be such as to oblige them to admit the
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of myside bias; however, that those participants, who believe that a good argument is one that is based on facts, are more likely to exhibit myside bias than other participants. This evidence is consistent with the claims proposed in Baron's article—that people's opinions about what makes good
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A study by Christopher Wolfe and Anne Britt also investigated how participants' views of "what makes a good argument?" can be a source of myside bias that influences the way a person formulates their own arguments. The study investigated individual differences of argumentation schema and asked
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predicts that information matching prior expectations will be more easily stored and recalled than information that does not match. Some alternative approaches say that surprising information stands out and so is memorable. Predictions from both these theories have been confirmed in different
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The participants, whether supporters or opponents, reported shifting their attitudes slightly in the direction of the first study they read. Once they read the more detailed descriptions of the two studies, they almost all returned to their original belief regardless of the evidence provided,
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that is, how readily a particular idea comes to mind. It is also possible that people can only focus on one thought at a time, so find it difficult to test alternative hypotheses in parallel. Another heuristic is the positive test strategy identified by Klayman and Ha, in which people test a
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The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before
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Beliefs can survive potent logical or empirical challenges. They can survive and even be bolstered by evidence that most uncommitted observers would agree logically demands some weakening of such beliefs. They can even survive the total destruction of their original evidential bases.
235:. Selective exposure occurs when individuals search for information that is consistent, rather than inconsistent, with their personal beliefs. An experiment examined the extent to which individuals could refute arguments that contradicted their personal beliefs. People with high 1219:
effect. While the findings did conclude that individuals are reluctant to embrace facts that contradict their already held ideology, no cases of backfire were detected. The backfire effect has since been noted to be a rare phenomenon rather than a common occurrence (compare the
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Klayman and Ha's 1987 paper argues that the Wason experiments do not actually demonstrate a bias towards confirmation, but instead a tendency to make tests consistent with the working hypothesis. They called this the "positive test strategy". This strategy is an example of a
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in the 1960s suggested that people are biased toward confirming their existing beliefs. Later work re-interpreted these results as a tendency to test ideas in a one-sided way, focusing on one possibility and ignoring alternatives. Explanations for the observed biases include
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Charles Taber and Milton Lodge argued that the Stanford team's result had been hard to replicate because the arguments used in later experiments were too abstract or confusing to evoke an emotional response. The Taber and Lodge study used the emotionally charged topics of
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readings is that listeners apply a confirmation bias which fits the psychic's statements to their own lives. By making a large number of ambiguous statements in each sitting, the psychic gives the client more opportunities to find a match. This is one of the techniques of
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disclaimer or label questioning or warning users of the validity of the source while nudging of presentation includes exposing users to new information which they may not have sought out but could introduce them to viewpoints that may combat their own confirmation biases.
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Illusory correlation is the tendency to see non-existent correlations in a set of data. This tendency was first demonstrated in a series of experiments in the late 1960s. In one experiment, participants read a set of psychiatric case studies, including responses to the
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their hypothesized rule. For example, if they thought the rule was, "Each number is two greater than its predecessor," they would offer a triple that fitted (confirmed) this rule, such as (11,13,15) rather than a triple that violated (falsified) it, such as (11,12,19).
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centers of their brains were aroused. This did not happen with the statements by the other figures. The experimenters inferred that the different responses to the statements were not due to passive reasoning errors. Instead, the participants were actively reducing the
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Pearson, George David Hooke, and Silvia Knobloch-Westerwick. “Is the Confirmation Bias Bubble Larger Online? Pre-Election Confirmation Bias in Selective Exposure to Online versus Print Political Information.” Mass Communication & Society 22, no. 4 (2019): 466–86.
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Another study recorded the symptoms experienced by arthritic patients, along with weather conditions over a 15-month period. Nearly all the patients reported that their pains were correlated with weather conditions, although the real correlation was zero.
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or values. People display this bias when they select information that supports their views, ignoring contrary information, or when they interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing attitudes. The effect is strongest for desired outcomes, for
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in which the earlier items in a series leave a stronger memory trace. Biased interpretation offers an explanation for this effect: seeing the initial evidence, people form a working hypothesis that affects how they interpret the rest of the information.
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Confirmation biases provide one plausible explanation for the persistence of beliefs when the initial evidence for them is removed or when they have been sharply contradicted. This belief perseverance effect has been first demonstrated experimentally by
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Meppelink, Corine S., Edith G. Smit, Marieke L. Fransen, and Nicola Diviani. “‘I Was Right about Vaccination’: Confirmation Bias and Health Literacy in Online Health Information Seeking.” Journal of Health Communication 24, no. 2 (2019): 129–40.
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Similar studies have demonstrated how people engage in a biased search for information, but also that this phenomenon may be limited by a preference for genuine diagnostic tests. In an initial experiment, participants rated another person on the
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be weak in principle and give little serious thought to revising their beliefs. Scientific innovators often meet with resistance from the scientific community, and research presenting controversial results frequently receives harsh peer review.
968:. If a patient recovered, medical authorities counted the treatment as successful, rather than looking for alternative explanations such as that the disease had run its natural course. Biased assimilation is a factor in the modern appeal of 1203:. Even when instructed to be even-handed, participants were more likely to read arguments that supported their existing attitudes than arguments that did not. This biased search for information correlated well with the polarization effect. 769:
to ask, "Do you feel awkward in social situations?" rather than, "Do you like noisy parties?" The connection between confirmation bias and social skills was corroborated by a study of how college students get to know other people. Highly
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Westen, Drew; Blagov, Pavel S.; Harenski, Keith; Kilts, Clint; Hamann, Stephan (2006), "Neural bases of motivated reasoning: An fMRI study of emotional constraints on partisan political judgment in the 2004 U.S. Presidential election",
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draws favored one urn and the next thirty favored the other. The series as a whole was neutral, so rationally, the two urns were equally likely. However, after sixty draws, participants favored the urn suggested by the initial thirty.
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and the limited human capacity to process information. Another proposal is that people show confirmation bias because they are pragmatically assessing the costs of being wrong, rather than investigating in a neutral, scientific way.
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such as deductive reasoning ability, ability to overcome belief bias, epistemological understanding, and thinking disposition are significant predictors of the reasoning and generating arguments, counterarguments, and rebuttals.
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current theoretical predictions. In practice, researchers may misunderstand, misinterpret, or not read at all studies that contradict their preconceptions, or wrongly cite them anyway as if they actually supported their claims.
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with their current level of grief. Individuals appear to utilize their current emotional states to analyze how they must have felt when experiencing past events. Emotional memories are reconstructed by current emotional states.
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and many ways to combine or manipulate them. Hence it is almost inevitable that people who look at these numbers selectively will find superficially impressive correspondences, for example with the dimensions of the Earth.
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is the tendency for misinformation to continue to influence memory and reasoning about an event, despite the misinformation having been retracted or corrected. This occurs even when the individual believes the correction.
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Some of the worst examples of confirmation bias are in research on parapsychology ... Arguably, there is a whole field here with no powerful confirming data at all. But people want to believe, and so they find ways to
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is a desirable feature of attitudes, an excessive drive for consistency is another potential source of bias because it may prevent people from neutrally evaluating new, surprising information. Social psychologist
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after being fully debriefed, participants were still influenced by the feedback. They still thought they were better or worse than average at that kind of task, depending on what they had initially been told.
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An experimenter's confirmation bias can potentially affect which data are reported. Data that conflict with the experimenter's expectations may be more readily discarded as unreliable, producing the so-called
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a cult whose members were convinced that the world would end on 21 December 1954. After the prediction failed, most believers still clung to their faith. Their book describing this research is aptly named
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Miller, A.G.; McHoskey, J.W.; Bane, C.M.; Dowd, T.G. (1993), "The attitude polarization phenomenon: Role of response measure, attitude extremity, and behavioral consequences of reported attitude change",
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Hergovich, Andreas; Schott, Reinhard; Burger, Christoph (2010), "Biased evaluation of abstracts depending on topic and conclusion: Further evidence of a confirmation bias within scientific psychology",
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Wason interpreted his results as showing a preference for confirmation over falsification, hence he coined the term "confirmation bias". Wason also used confirmation bias to explain the results of his
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In police investigations, a detective may identify a suspect early in an investigation, but then sometimes largely seek supporting or confirming evidence, ignoring or downplaying falsifying evidence.
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Overall, the results revealed that the balanced-research instructions significantly increased the incidence of opposing information in arguments. These data also reveal that personal belief is not a
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in testing hypotheses, but try to avoid the most costly errors. For example, employers might ask one-sided questions in job interviews because they are focused on weeding out unsuitable candidates.
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conducted an experiment involving participants who felt strongly about capital punishment, with half in favor and half against it. Each participant read descriptions of two studies: a comparison of
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study's procedure and had to rate whether the research was well-conducted and convincing. In fact, the studies were fictional. Half the participants were told that one kind of study supported the
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Albarracin, D.; Mitchell, A.L. (2004), "The role of defensive confidence in preference for proattitudinal information: How believing that one is strong can sometimes be a defensive weakness",
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Hart, William; Albarracin, D.; Eagly, A. H.; Brechan, I.; Lindberg, M. J.; Merrill, L. (2009), "Feeling validated versus being correct: A meta-analysis of selective exposure to information",
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years. Yet, when the participants were asked after five years how they had felt six months after the death of their significant other, the intensity of grief participants recalled was highly
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Emerson, G.B.; Warme, W.J.; Wolf, F.M.; Heckman, J.D.; Brand, R.A.; Leopold, S.S. (2010), "Testing for the presence of positive-outcome bias in peer review: A randomized controlled trial",
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is reasonable to expect an attitude polarization effect. The prediction that jurors will become more extreme in their views as they see more evidence has been borne out in experiments with
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Weinstock, Michael; Neuman, Yair; Tabak, Iris (2004), "Missing the point or missing the norms? Epistemological norms as predictors of students' ability to identify fallacious arguments",
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showing only a weak bias towards positive tests. This pattern, of a main preference for diagnostic tests and a weaker preference for positive tests, has been replicated in other studies.
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in personal beliefs and can maintain or strengthen beliefs in the face of contrary evidence. For example, confirmation bias produces systematic errors in scientific research based on
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falsity of conclusions they have formed, perhaps with much difficulty—conclusions of which they are proud, which they have taught to others, and on which they have built their lives.
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Hastie, Reid; Park, Bernadette (2005), "The relationship between memory and judgment depends on whether the judgment task is memory-based or on-line", in Hamilton, David L. (ed.),
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and involved participants who reported having strong feelings about the candidates. They were shown apparently contradictory pairs of statements, either from Republican candidate
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experiment. Participants repeatedly performed badly on various forms of this test, in most cases ignoring information that could potentially refute (falsify) the specified rule.
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Stangor, Charles; McMillan, David (1992), "Memory for expectancy-congruent and expectancy-incongruent information: A review of the social and social developmental literatures",
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an adolescent with developing critical thinking can lead to the rationalization of false beliefs, and the habit of such rationalization can become unconscious over the years.
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Fischer, P.; Fischer, Julia K.; Aydin, NilĂŒfer; Frey, Dieter (2010), "Physically attractive social information sources lead to increased selective exposure to information",
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searching for evidence, interpreting it, or recalling it from memory. Confirmation bias is a result of automatic, unintentional strategies rather than deliberate deception.
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is agreeable to it. Prejudice and partisanship obscure the critical faculty and preclude critical investigation. The result is that falsehoods are accepted and transmitted.
10963: 10958: 10089: 8761: 464:; "... for it is a habit of mankind to entrust to careless hope what they long for, and to use sovereign reason to thrust aside what they do not fancy". Italian poet 231:
Personality traits influence and interact with biased search processes. Individuals vary in their abilities to defend their attitudes from external attacks in relation to
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Ross, Lee; Lepper, Mark R.; Hubbard, Michael (1975), "Perseverance in self-perception and social perception: Biased attributional processes in the debriefing paradigm",
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White, Michael J.; Brockett, Daniel R.; Overstreet, Belinda G. (1993), "Confirmatory bias in evaluating personality test information: Am I really that kind of person?",
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Lord, Charles G.; Ross, Lee; Lepper, Mark R. (1979), "Biased assimilation and attitude polarization: The effects of prior theories on subsequently considered evidence",
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Kahneman, Daniel; Slovic, Paul; Tversky, Amos, eds. (1982), "Shortcomings in the attribution process: On the origins and maintenance of erroneous social assessments",
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compared the transcript of a reading to the client's report of what the psychic had said, and found that the client showed a strong selective recall of the "hits".
8639: 8573: 8258: 1141:: the practice of finding meaning in the proportions of the Egyptian pyramids. There are many different length measurements that can be made of, for example, the 6487:
Lewicka, Maria (1998), "Confirmation bias: Cognitive error or adaptive strategy of action control?", in Kofta, MirosƂaw; Weary, Gifford; Sedek, Grzegorz (eds.),
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Anderson, Craig A.; Lepper, Mark R.; Ross, Lee (1980), "Perseverance of social theories: The role of explanation in the persistence of discredited information",
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cautions Dante upon meeting in Paradise, "opinion—hasty—often can incline to the wrong side, and then affection for one's own opinion binds, confines the mind".
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Friedrich, James (1993), "Primary error detection and minimization (PEDMIN) strategies in social cognition: a reinterpretation of confirmation bias phenomena",
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If the true rule (T) encompasses the current hypothesis (H), then positive tests (examining an H to see if it is T) will not show that the hypothesis is false.
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Confirmation biases are not limited to the collection of evidence. Even if two individuals have the same information, the way they interpret it can be biased.
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The CIE refers to the tendency for information that is initially presented as true, but later revealed to be false, to continue to affect memory and reasoning
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Further, confirmation biases can sustain scientific theories or research programs in the face of inadequate or even contradictory evidence. The discipline of
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is a name for the finding that given evidence against their beliefs, people can reject the evidence and believe even more strongly. The phrase was coined by
507:(1561–1626) noted that biased assessment of evidence drove "all superstitions, whether in astrology, dreams, omens, divine judgments or the like". He wrote: 8478: 5150:
Swann, William B.; Pelham, Brett W.; Krull, Douglas S. (1989), "Agreeable fancy or disagreeable truth? Reconciling self-enhancement and self-verification",
1512:, a professor and researcher at the Harvard Graduate School of Education, coined the term "myside bias" referring to a preference for "my" side of an issue. 5806: 2991:
Weinstock, Michael (2009), "Relative expertise in an everyday reasoning task: Epistemic understanding, problem representation, and reasoning competence",
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Mynatt, Clifford R.; Doherty, Michael E.; Tweney, Ryan D. (1978), "Consequences of confirmation and disconfirmation in a simulated research environment",
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Mason, Lucia; Scirica, Fabio (October 2006), "Prediction of students' argumentation skills about controversial topics by epistemological understanding",
1283:, however, was coined in a series of experiments using what is called the "debriefing paradigm": participants read fake evidence for a hypothesis, their 1090:
by interpreting it as unreliable. Similar experiments have found a preference for positive feedback, and the people who give it, over negative feedback.
8306: 4441:(July 2006), "The political brain: A recent brain-imaging study shows that our political predilections are a product of unconscious confirmation bias", 57:
Biased search for information, biased interpretation of this information, and biased memory recall, have been invoked to explain four specific effects:
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Shadish, William R. (2007), "Critical thinking in quasi-experimentation", in Sternberg, Robert J.; Roediger III, Henry L.; Halpern, Diane F. (eds.),
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Trope, Y.; Liberman, A. (1996), "Social hypothesis testing: Cognitive and motivational mechanisms", in Higgins, E. Tory; Kruglanski, Arie W. (eds.),
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is measured, then the fakery is exposed in detail. Their attitudes are then measured once more to see if their belief returns to its previous level.
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due to confirmation bias have been found in a wide range of political, organizational, financial and scientific contexts. These biases contribute to
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combines the cognitive and motivational theories, arguing that motivation creates the bias, but cognitive factors determine the size of the effect.
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Ditto, Peter H.; Lopez, David F. (1992), "Motivated skepticism: Use of differential decision criteria for preferred and nonpreferred conclusions",
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Pang, Dominic; Bleetman, Anthony; Bleetman, David; Wynne, Max (2 June 2017), "The foreign body that never was: the effects of confirmation bias",
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Experiments have found repeatedly that people tend to test hypotheses in a one-sided way, by searching for evidence consistent with their current
138:, is the tendency of people to favor information that confirms or strengthens their beliefs or values and is difficult to dislodge once affirmed. 9327: 8336: 7571: 4145:
Mitroff, I. I. (1974), "Norms and counter-norms in a select group of the Apollo moon scientists: A case study of the ambivalence of scientists",
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Safer, M.A.; Bonanno, G.A.; Field, N. (2001), "It was never that bad: Biased recall of grief and long-term adjustment to the death of a spouse",
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Risen, Jane; Gilovich, Thomas (2007), "Informal logical fallacies", in Sternberg, Robert J.; Roediger III, Henry L.; Halpern, Diane F. (eds.),
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observed that "An adopted hypothesis gives us lynx-eyes for everything that confirms it and makes us blind to everything that contradicts it."
6548: 10996: 10004: 9937: 9028: 8714: 7681: 4300:(2007), "Critical thinking in psychology: It really is critical", in Sternberg, Robert J.; Roediger III, Henry L.; Halpern, Diane F. (eds.), 1967: 691:
Cognitive explanations for confirmation bias are based on limitations in people's ability to handle complex tasks, and the shortcuts, called
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Before psychological research on confirmation bias, the phenomenon had been observed throughout history. Beginning with the Greek historian
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O'Brien, B. (2009), "Prime suspect: An examination of factors that aggravate and counteract confirmation bias in criminal investigations",
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Raymond Nickerson, a psychologist, blames confirmation bias for the ineffective medical procedures that were used for centuries before the
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was described as extroverted, almost all the questions presumed extroversion, such as, "What would you do to liven up a dull party?" These
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Levine, L.; Prohaska, V.; Burgess, S.L.; Rice, J.A.; Laulhere, T.M. (2001), "Remembering past emotions: The role of current appraisals",
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Devine, Patricia G.; Hirt, Edward R.; Gehrke, Elizabeth M. (1990), "Diagnostic and confirmation strategies in trait hypothesis testing",
126:, or "algorithmic editing", which display to individuals only information they are likely to agree with, while excluding opposing views. 8705: 8366: 5696: 9255: 9043: 3739: 3215: 3204: 3181: 3170: 693: 596: 8192: 5450: 3048: 9953: 9708: 8744: 8634: 8372: 8080: 5197: 1993: 4364:
JĂŒni, P.; Altman, D.G.; Egger, M. (2001), "Systematic reviews in health care: Assessing the quality of controlled clinical trials",
239:
levels more readily seek out contradictory information to their personal position to form an argument. This can take the form of an
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Hilton, Denis J. (2001), "The psychology of financial decision-making: Applications to trading, dealing, and investment analysis",
325:(MRI) scanner which monitored their brain activity. As participants evaluated contradictory statements by their favored candidate, 294: 1130:, with which a psychic can deliver a subjectively impressive reading without any prior information about the client. Investigator 748:
assume that people do not just test hypotheses in a disinterested way, but assess the costs of different errors. Using ideas from
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Confirmation bias can lead investors to be overconfident, ignoring evidence that their strategies will lose money. In studies of
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Changes in emotional states can also influence memory recall. Participants rated how they felt when they had first learned that
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Kendrick, Douglas T.; Cohen, Adam B.; Neuberg, Steven L.; Cialdini, Robert B. (2020), "The science of anti-science thinking",
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Mahoney, Michael J. (1977), "Publication prejudices: An experimental study of confirmatory bias in the peer review system",
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neutrally considers multiple points of view and tries to anticipate all possible objections to a particular position, while
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Media Echo Chambers: Selective Exposure and Confirmation Bias in Media Use, and its Consequences for Political Polarization
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Bartlett, Steven James, "The psychology of abuse in publishing: Peer review and editorial bias," Chap. 7, pp. 147–177, in
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Darley, John M.; Gross, Paget H. (2000), "A hypothesis-confirming bias in labelling effects", in Stangor, Charles (ed.),
1110: 665: 341:
Biases in belief interpretation are persistent, regardless of intelligence level. Participants in an experiment took the
45:) is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one's prior 5666: 778:, asked more matching questions when interviewing a high-status staff member than when getting to know fellow students. 10266: 10084: 9999: 9140: 9084: 8499: 8240: 688:, most biased evidence processing occurs through a combination of "cold" (cognitive) and "hot" (motivated) mechanisms. 257:
Smart people believe weird things because they are skilled at defending beliefs they arrived at for non-smart reasons.
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Russell, Dan; Jones, Warren H. (1980), "When superstition fails: Reactions to disconfirmation of paranormal beliefs",
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Social psychologists have identified two tendencies in the way people seek or interpret information about themselves.
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in the early 1960s and has become a popular approach. According to Beck, biased information processing is a factor in
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Quote: Both adversarial and inquisitorial systems seem subject to the dangers of tunnel vision or confirmation bias.
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Cognitive behavioural processes across psychological disorders: a transdiagnostic approach to research and treatment
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Croskerry, Pat (2002), "Achieving quality in clinical decision making: Cognitive strategies and detection of bias",
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Gadenne, V.; Oswald, M. (1986), "Entstehung und VerÀnderung von BestÀtigungstendenzen beim Testen von Hypothesen ",
994:. His approach teaches people to treat evidence impartially, rather than selectively reinforcing negative outlooks. 10717: 10534: 10438: 10024: 9797: 9468: 9265: 9217: 8836: 8627: 7942: 6973: 5912:
When prophecy fails: A social and psychological study of a modern group that predicted the destruction of the world
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guesses, even when the picture was sufficiently in focus that the object was readily recognizable to other people.
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character's guilt, they rated statements supporting that hypothesis as more important than conflicting statements.
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Mahoney, Michael J.; DeMonbreun, B.G. (1977), "Psychology of the scientist: An analysis of problem-solving bias",
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Wood, Thomas; Porter, Ethan (2019), "The elusive backfire effect: Mass attitudes' steadfast factual adherence",
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Swann, William B.; Read, Stephen J. (1981), "Self-verification processes: How we sustain our self-conceptions",
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American Psychological Association (2018), "Why we're susceptible to fake news – and how to defend against it",
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Trope, Yaacov; Bassok, Miriam (1982), "Confirmatory and diagnosing strategies in social information gathering",
11116: 10192: 9920: 9107: 9003: 8042: 7765: 1464: 715:. It is known that people prefer positive thoughts over negative ones in a number of ways: this is called the " 7495: 3731: 11141: 10106: 10019: 9880: 9870: 9779: 7841: 7381: 7035: 4534:
Normality does not equal mental health: The need to look elsewhere for standards of good psychological health
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Taber, Charles S.; Lodge, Milton (July 2006), "Motivated skepticism in the evaluation of political beliefs",
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with participants much more likely to interpret statements from the candidate they opposed as contradictory.
219: 142: 66:(when a disagreement becomes more extreme even though the different parties are exposed to the same evidence) 6945: 11136: 11048: 10948: 10759: 10598: 10246: 10206: 10014: 9481: 9448: 9443: 9322: 9200: 8890: 8466: 8216: 7795: 7667: 7030: 6434:
Koehler, Jonathan J. (1993), "The influence of prior beliefs on scientific judgments of evidence quality",
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Swann, William B.; Read, Stephen J. (1981), "Acquiring self-knowledge: The search for feedback that fits",
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Nyhan, B. & Reifler, J. (2010). 'When corrections fail: The persistence of political misperceptions".
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Behavioral finance and wealth management: how to build optimal portfolios that account for investor biases
1991:
Kunda, Ziva; Fong, G.T.; Sanitoso, R.; Reber, E. (1993), "Directional questions direct self-conceptions",
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specifically on their inability to make use of new information that contradicted their existing theories.
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Shrauger, J. Sidney; Lund, Adrian K. (1975), "Self-evaluation and reactions to evaluations from others",
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Sanitioso, Rasyid; Kunda, Ziva; Fong, G.T. (1990), "Motivated recruitment of autobiographical memories",
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Snyder, M.; Cantor, N. (1979), "Testing hypotheses about other people: the use of historical knowledge",
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Shafir, E. (1993), "Choosing versus rejecting: why some options are both better and worse than others",
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Kuhn, Deanna; Lao, Joseph (March 1996), "Effects of evidence on attitudes: Is polarization the norm?",
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sense that two events are correlated because it is easier to recall times when they happened together.
1307: 1038:
ignoring or misinterpreting the signs of an imminent or incipient conflict. For example, psychologists
322: 314: 8174: 7995: 6156:
Redelmeir, D.A.; Tversky, Amos (1996), "On the belief that arthritis pain is related to the weather",
6035:"Misinformation and public opinion of science and health: Approaches, findings, and future directions" 3596:; Regan, Dennis T. (October 2002), "Motivated reasoning and performance on the Wason Selection Task", 2250:
Stanovich, K.E.; West, R.F.; Toplak, M.E. (2013), "Myside bias, rational thinking, and intelligence",
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Story, Amber L. (1998), "Self-esteem and memory for favorable and unfavorable personality feedback",
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the current hypothesis (H), then either a negative test or a positive test can potentially falsify H.
232: 157:, in which a person's expectations influence their own behavior, bringing about the expected result. 5390: 5323: 2880: 2504: 2444: 2358: 1938: 1137:
As a striking illustration of confirmation bias in the real world, Nickerson mentions numerological
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When your deepest convictions are challenged by contradictory evidence, your beliefs get stronger.
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Atwood, Kimball (2004), "Naturopathy, pseudoscience, and medicine: Myths and fallacies vs truth",
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Tweney, Ryan D.; Doherty, Michael E. (1980), "Strategies of rule discovery in an inference task",
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Snyder, Mark; Swann, William B. Jr. (1978), "Hypothesis-testing processes in social interaction",
1916: 765:. This suggests that when talking to someone who seems to be an introvert, it is a sign of better 11033: 10486: 10340: 10334: 10034: 9910: 9511: 9506: 9486: 9400: 9069: 9013: 8979: 8868: 8448: 8324: 7972: 7825: 7750: 3373: 1266: 749: 389: 283: 147: 94: 8378: 8282: 3859: 3849: 3561: 3549: 3377: 3367: 11146: 11023: 10886: 10814: 10779: 10496: 10378: 10241: 9101: 8991: 8974: 8330: 8246: 8180: 8086: 8021: 7851: 7629: 7313: 7293: 7074: 7052: 6928: 6634: 6626: 5998: 5355: 5318: 2875: 2499: 2439: 2353: 1933: 1353: 1325: 1159:
that confirms their own beliefs, even though other candidates are equally or better qualified.
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effect and the other undermined it, while for other participants the conclusions were swapped.
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Dancing with absurdity: Your most cherished beliefs (and all your others) are probably wrong
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The secret language of money: How to make smarter financial decisions and live a richer life
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Ross, Lee; Anderson, Craig A. (1974), "Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases",
5442: 4452: 4222: 1924: 1484: 1346: 1238: 1027: 969: 600: 589: 583: 569: 331: 85: 910:. To combat this tendency, scientific training teaches ways to prevent bias. For example, 8: 10916: 10846: 10251: 9292: 8969: 8826: 8821: 8546: 8384: 8122: 7761: 7516: 7433: 7333: 7268: 7208: 7198: 7193: 7057: 6631:
Cognitive illusions: A handbook on fallacies and biases in thinking, judgement and memory
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Cognitive illusions: A handbook on fallacies and biases in thinking, judgement and memory
1768: 1272: 1232: 977: 965: 881: 877: 796: 716: 523: 360: 274: 115: 70: 6169: 6050: 5847: 4456: 4226: 697:, that they use. For example, people may judge the reliability of evidence by using the 11131: 11126: 10991: 10734: 10712: 10707: 10625: 10620: 10576: 10346: 10187: 9568: 9074: 7937: 7413: 7398: 7158: 7148: 7131: 6793: 6766:
Wason, Peter C. (1960), "On the failure to eliminate hypotheses in a conceptual task",
6614: 6583: 6391: 6077: 6034: 5867: 5639: 5592: 5588: 5368: 5256: 4854: 4646: 4386: 4269:"The trouble with scientists: How one psychologist is tackling human biases in science" 4245: 4210: 4162: 4128: 4089: 4054: 4028: 3884: 3764: 3613: 3471: 3312: 2978: 2933: 2841: 2796: 2751: 2525: 2465: 2379: 2304: 2267: 2188: 2149: 1959: 1590: 1242: 1192: 1031: 973: 888: 867: 643:
When the working hypothesis (H) includes the true rule (T) then positive tests are the
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Pseudoscience and extraordinary claims of the paranormal: A critical thinker's toolkit
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The European witch-craze of the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries and other essays
4549:(1990), "The philosophical basis of peer review and the suppression of innovation", 2937: 2800: 2755: 2271: 1963: 317:
allowed researchers to examine how the human brain deals with dissonant information.
10933: 10829: 10819: 10591: 10508: 10361: 9979: 9840: 9764: 9501: 9496: 9287: 9270: 9250: 9145: 8895: 7930: 7866: 7757: 7593: 7453: 7393: 7318: 7303: 7163: 7116: 7025: 7020: 7005: 6777: 6618: 6606: 6587: 6575: 6536: 6532: 6443: 6409: 6383: 6317: 6183: 6173: 6072: 6054: 6008: 5946: 5851: 5773: 5631: 5584: 5364: 5328: 5284: 5240: 5206: 5159: 5130: 4981: 4849: 4770: 4735: 4630: 4560: 4508: 4504: 4460: 4421: 4409: 4381: 4373: 4297: 4240: 4230: 4211:"Affirmative citation bias in scientific myth debunking: A three-in-one case study" 4154: 4132: 4120: 4084: 4066: 4020: 4015:
Weinmann, Markus; Schneider, Christoph; vom Brocke, Jan (2015), "Digital nudging",
3748: 3641: 3605: 3557: 3455: 3316: 3288: 3028: 3000: 2974: 2925: 2885: 2825: 2780: 2743: 2696: 2653: 2624: 2529: 2509: 2469: 2449: 2383: 2363: 2296: 2259: 2180: 2144: 2136: 2087: 2044: 2002: 1943: 1883: 1849: 1672: 1585: 1577: 1085: 907: 708: 99: 6942:– interactive number triples exercise by Rod McFarland for Simon Fraser University 5855: 5035:
Roach, Kent (2010), "Wrongful convictions: Adversarial and inquisitorial themes",
2170: 599:: a reasoning shortcut that is imperfect but easy to compute. Klayman and Ha used 10851: 10678: 10351: 10282: 10261: 10049: 10029: 9749: 9648: 9463: 8540: 8460: 8348: 7980: 7925: 7561: 7551: 7328: 7308: 7223: 7126: 7101: 7096: 7069: 7047: 6959: 5005:
Critical thinking across the curriculum: A brief edition of thought and knowledge
4699: 4438: 4235: 3593: 3219: 3208: 3185: 3174: 3004: 2513: 2367: 2184: 2091: 1295: 1284: 787: 771: 465: 263: 224: 183: 107: 8612: 6909: 6899: 6321: 5332: 4774: 4634: 11121: 10881: 10796: 10786: 10774: 10690: 10663: 10608: 10554: 10405: 10373: 10368: 9754: 9339: 9187: 8873: 8851: 8408: 7820: 7800: 7603: 7598: 7588: 7511: 7428: 7388: 7338: 7283: 7273: 7258: 7253: 7218: 7173: 7138: 7042: 6991: 6513: 5950: 5635: 5288: 5163: 4985: 4546: 3645: 2863: 2700: 2628: 1947: 1853: 1521:"Assimilation bias" is another term used for biased interpretation of evidence. 1454: 1262: 1200: 1002:
have also been shown to involve confirmation bias for threatening information.
899: 791: 685: 298: 89:(when people falsely perceive an association between two events or situations). 6781: 6610: 6387: 4053:
Thornhill, Calum; Meeus, Quentin; Peperkamp, Jeroen; Berendt, Bettina (2019),
3752: 3459: 3292: 2929: 2889: 2784: 2300: 1887: 676: 11095: 10981: 10928: 10856: 10702: 10513: 10297: 9658: 9423: 8926: 8160: 7810: 7805: 7541: 7521: 7484: 7458: 7443: 7423: 7403: 7366: 7278: 7238: 7233: 7228: 7106: 7010: 6873: 6835: 6789: 6366: 6329: 6275: 6268: 6068: 6020: 5958: 5785: 5656: 5493: 5340: 5296: 5252: 5244: 5218: 5171: 4959: 4895: 4686: 4642: 4564: 4472: 4080: 4071: 3760: 3653: 3467: 3300: 2837: 2708: 2461: 2375: 2263: 2140: 2014: 1955: 1895: 1861: 1299: 1215: 1099: 987: 832: 766: 531: 504: 499: 470: 434: 372: 123: 9302: 6891: 6759: 6733: 6707: 6681: 6652: 6506: 6480: 6427: 6405:
Don't believe everything you think: The 6 basic mistakes we make in thinking
6301: 6059: 5525: 5108: 5022: 4927: 4608: 4377: 4319: 3709: 3609: 3579: 3395: 3353: 2829: 2585: 1690: 11075: 11063: 10764: 10544: 10415: 10059: 9633: 9608: 9588: 9415: 9344: 9334: 9260: 9235: 9182: 9033: 8563: 8031: 8013: 7952: 7775: 7501: 7263: 7248: 6869:
The political brain: The role of emotion in deciding the fate of the nation
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showed confirmation bias when playing down the first signs of the Japanese
999: 828: 775: 757: 119: 10430: 8921: 6337: 6197: 5966: 5376: 5179: 4572: 3308: 2716: 2058: 639: 179: 10839: 10769: 10603: 10481: 10398: 9388: 9240: 8644: 8026: 7957: 7881: 7728: 7418: 7188: 7178: 7168: 7064: 6659: 5777: 4807: 4024: 2733: 1155: 1131: 1103: 926: 728: 563: 536: 479: 381: 135: 3826:
The righteous mind: Why good people are divided by politics and religion
1017:
allow researchers to examine confirmation biases in a realistic setting.
842:
The rise of social media has contributed greatly to the rapid spread of
590:
Hypothesis testing (positive test strategy) explanation (Klayman and Ha)
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The adapted mind: evolutionary psychology and the generation of culture
3141:
Schopenhauer, Arthur (2011) , Carus, David; Aquila, Richard E. (eds.),
3044: 2049: 1080: 1023: 1014: 733: 484: 441: 302: 278: 236: 199: 195: 74:(when beliefs persist after the evidence for them is shown to be false) 7659: 6922: 4910:
Cognitive therapy for depression & anxiety: a practitioner's guide
4425: 1010: 430: 10739: 10673: 10640: 10393: 10233: 10126: 9726: 9578: 8036: 7861: 7790: 7780: 7624: 7111: 6597:(1998), "Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises", 6462: 6012: 5134: 5037:
North Carolina Journal of International Law and Commercial Regulation
3148: 1917:"Confirmation, disconfirmation and information in hypothesis testing" 1581: 1469: 1449: 1043: 943: 843: 836: 335: 321:
In this experiment, the participants made their judgments while in a
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Fiske, Susan T.; Gilbert, Daniel T.; Lindzey, Gardner, eds. (2010),
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Myers, D.G.; Lamm, H. (1976), "The group polarization phenomenon",
762: 724: 720: 3881: 11028: 10834: 10668: 8931: 8917: 8165: 7985: 7815: 6489:
Personal control in action: Cognitive and motivational mechanisms
4414:
Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology
1122: 995: 873: 334:
induced by reading about their favored candidate's irrational or
326: 174: 81:(a greater reliance on information encountered early in a series) 51: 6845:
What intelligence tests miss: The psychology of rational thought
3211:. Translated from Russian by Constance Garnett, New York, 1894. 3016: 10182: 9096: 5544: 5093:, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, pp. 125–128, 2249: 752:, James Friedrich suggests that people do not primarily aim at 712: 46: 5540:"Here is how bias can affect recruitment in your organization" 4052: 3938:"Forget fake news on Facebook – the real filter bubble is you" 625: 615: 309: 10356: 10054: 7733: 4940:
Harvey, Allison G.; Watkins, Edward; Mansell, Warren (2004),
1298:
ratings of two firefighters, along with their responses to a
774:
students, who are more sensitive to their environment and to
753: 388:
One study showed how selective memory can maintain belief in
3995: 3338:(2nd ed.), London: Pinter and Martin, pp. 95–103, 1154:
Unconscious cognitive bias (including confirmation bias) in
1098:
Confirmation bias can play a key role in the propagation of
1034:
criminal justice systems are affected by confirmation bias.
656:
a wider range of effects in how people process information.
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Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?
4014: 3177:. Translated from Russian by Aylmer Maude, New York, 1904. 2770: 1707: 668:
explanations of confirmation bias, plus a recent addition.
293:
Another study of biased interpretation occurred during the
134:
Confirmation bias, a phrase coined by English psychologist
6946:
Brief summary of the 1979 Stanford assimilation bias study
6518:"Biases in the interpretation and use of research results" 1567: 6951: 5735:"Facts matter after all: rejecting the "backfire effect"" 4760: 2544:
Zeitschrift fĂŒr Experimentelle und Angewandte Psychologie
2486: 342: 4202: 3968:"Did Facebook's big study kill my filter bubble thesis?" 2126: 364:
experimental contexts, with no theory winning outright.
6280:
A Mind of its Own: how your brain distorts and deceives
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Emerging perspectives on judgment and decision research
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Barkow, Jerome H.; Cosmides, Leda; Tooby, John (1995),
2911:"The locus of the myside bias in written argumentation" 250: 6931:– class handout and instructor's notes by K.H. Grobman 6253:(3rd ed.), New York: Cambridge University Press, 5984: 5982: 5980: 5799:"Fact-checking doesn't 'backfire,' new study suggests" 5620: 4407: 3248: 1990: 1340: 659: 564:
Hypothesis-testing (falsification) explanation (Wason)
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is the search for confirming or supportive evidence (
794:
distinguish two different kinds of thinking process.
178:
Confirmation bias has been described as an internal "
6436:
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
4939: 1416: 417:
thinking can influence how arguments are generated.
9130: 5977: 3847: 3796:Shanteau, James (2003), Sandra L. Schneider (ed.), 3730:Dardenne, Benoit; Leyens, Jacques-Philippe (1995), 3591: 3365: 2964: 2866:(1995), "Myside bias in thinking about abortion.", 2286: 1549: 1314: 54:charged issues, and for deeply entrenched beliefs. 6742:Believing in magic: The psychology of superstition 5988: 5190: 5188: 4944:, Oxford University Press, pp. 172–173, 176, 4816:Trick or treatment?: Alternative medicine on trial 4706:, Melbourne: Scribe Publications, pp. 64–66, 3279:Wason, Peter C. (1968), "Reasoning about a rule", 2686: 2425: 2423: 2421: 2419: 1162: 853: 781: 5936: 5880:Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases 5443:"The constant: A history of getting things wrong" 5400:(Thesis). Department of Law, Uppsala University. 4907: 4110: 3188:released 23 March 2021. Retrieved 17 August 2021. 1741: 1739: 11093: 6718:, Cambridge University Press, pp. 110–130, 6155: 5829: 5827: 5825: 5823: 5149: 4908:Blackburn, Ivy-Marie; Davidson, Kate M. (1995), 4878:Cognitive therapy: 100 key points and techniques 3447:The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 3222:released 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 August 2021. 2811: 2809: 1839: 671: 169: 145:. They differ from what is sometimes called the 6158:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 6039:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 5302: 5185: 5145: 5143: 4363: 4193: 4191: 4189: 4177: 4175: 3795: 3692:Social psychology: Handbook of basic principles 2908: 2639: 2637: 2614: 2416: 831:, confirmation bias is amplified by the use of 707:Motivational explanations involve an effect of 353: 122:, confirmation bias is amplified by the use of 6664:The psychology of judgment and decision making 6624: 5440: 4522: 4055:"A digital nudge to counter confirmation bias" 3729: 3714: 3665: 3488: 3407: 3266: 3010: 2984: 2602: 2553: 2343: 1736: 1730: 1265:, Riecken, and Schachter. These psychologists 680:Happy events are more likely to be remembered. 10446: 8149: 7915: 7675: 6967: 6910:https://doi.org/10.1080/15205436.2019.1599956 6900:https://doi.org/10.1080/10810730.2019.1583701 6713: 5820: 5680: 5478:, London: Wiley-Blackwell, pp. 149–151, 4754: 3689: 3443: 3329: 3327: 3325: 3064:canto XIII: 118–120. Trans. Allen Mandelbaum. 2904: 2902: 2900: 2898: 2806: 2541: 2482: 2480: 2478: 2282: 2280: 2122: 2120: 1713: 1702: 1669:Stereotypes and prejudice: essential readings 1530:Wason also used the term "verification bias". 1005: 10117: 6769:Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 6625:Oswald, Margit E.; Grosjean, Stefan (2004), 6215: 6213: 6211: 6139: 6137: 6107: 6105: 6103: 6101: 6099: 5991:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 5939:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 5833: 5624:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 5570: 5568: 5566: 5425: 5352: 5311:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 5152:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 5140: 5007:, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, p. 194, 4875: 4208: 4186: 4172: 3633:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 3281:Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 3140: 2815: 2689:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 2643: 2634: 2346:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 2289:Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 2245: 2243: 2241: 2239: 2079:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 1910: 1908: 1906: 1904: 1876:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 1842:Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 1638: 1636: 1634: 1632: 1630: 1628: 1320:given the same words in reverse order. This 1149: 10944:Political polarization in the United States 10460: 5469: 5467: 5120: 4912:(2 ed.), Wiley-Blackwell, p. 19, 4662: 4552:Journal of the American Medical Association 4304:, Cambridge University Press, p. 292, 3725: 3723: 3119:The English philosophers from Bacon to Mill 3092: 3090: 3073: 2598: 2596: 2594: 2570:, New York: Psychology Press, p. 394, 2394: 2392: 2339: 2337: 2335: 2333: 2331: 2329: 2252:Current Directions in Psychological Science 2107: 2105: 2075: 1873: 1811: 1809: 1796: 1794: 1792: 1790: 1726: 1724: 1722: 1666: 1626: 1624: 1622: 1620: 1618: 1616: 1614: 1612: 1610: 1608: 1057:A two-decade study of political pundits by 575:whether each triple conformed to the rule. 10453: 10439: 8662: 7682: 7668: 7630:Heuristics in judgment and decision-making 6974: 6960: 6032: 5763: 5233:Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 4806: 4719: 4344:, Cambridge University Press, p. 49, 4335: 4333: 3908:"Ted talk: Beware online "filter bubbles"" 3740:Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 3629: 3598:Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 3333: 3322: 2958: 2895: 2856: 2818:Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 2565: 2475: 2429: 2277: 2129:Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 2117: 1167: 972:, whose proponents are swayed by positive 10997:Facebook–Cambridge Analytica data scandal 6935:Confirmation bias at You Are Not So Smart 6841: 6593: 6307: 6225: 6208: 6187: 6177: 6134: 6096: 6076: 6058: 6002: 5909: 5686: 5563: 5322: 5308: 5198:Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 5194: 5058: 4990: 4971: 4853: 4725: 4663:Krueger, David; Mann, John David (2009), 4385: 4296: 4244: 4234: 4088: 4070: 3828:, London: Penguin Books, pp. 87–88, 3677: 3511: 3128: 2990: 2879: 2729: 2727: 2725: 2646:Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 2503: 2443: 2357: 2236: 2148: 2048: 2030: 2028: 1994:Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 1937: 1914: 1901: 1642: 1589: 395: 129: 8811: 6687: 6459:Social cognition: Making sense of people 6343: 6124: 6122: 6120: 5918: 5464: 4996: 4794: 4698: 4545: 3720: 3413: 3254: 3107: 3105: 3087: 2766: 2764: 2662: 2591: 2389: 2326: 2211:, Gothenburg: University of Gothenburg, 2204: 2102: 2096: 1806: 1787: 1764:"How to ignore the yes-man in your head" 1719: 1605: 1009: 675: 638: 624: 614: 429: 425: 308: 182:", echoing back a person's beliefs like 173: 8600: 7689: 6923:Skeptic's Dictionary: confirmation bias 6811: 6633:, Hove, UK: Psychology Press, pp.  6565: 6512: 6486: 6433: 6033:Cacciatore, Michael A. 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Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger, 2011. 3875: 3020:Contemporary Educational Psychology 2993:Learning and Individual Differences 2173:Basic and Applied Social Psychology 1973:from the original on 1 October 2011 1750: 1746:Hergovich, Schott & Burger 2010 1561: 1341:Illusory association between events 1111:Seattle windshield pitting epidemic 660:Information processing explanations 141:Confirmation biases are effects in 24: 10085:Springfield, Ohio, cat-eating hoax 6805: 6554:from the original on 9 August 2017 5699:from the original on 25 April 2012 5589:10.1111/j.1467-9280.1996.tb00340.x 5369:10.1111/j.1467-6494.1975.tb00574.x 5123:Psychology, Public Policy, and Law 3896: 3191: 3156: 3144:The World as Will and Presentation 2979:10.1016/j.learninstruc.2006.09.007 1227:Persistence of discredited beliefs 880:) as well as falsifying evidence ( 27:Bias confirming existing attitudes 25: 11163: 11019:Effects of violence in mass media 10723:Smartphones and pedestrian safety 9717:Western-backed Iranian Revolution 9449:Proposed "Islamo-leftism" inquiry 6940:Confirmation bias learning object 6916: 5687:Silverman, Craig (17 June 2011), 5552:from the original on 31 July 2019 5508:James Randi: Psychic investigator 4465:10.1038/scientificamerican0706-36 3851:The handbook of social psychology 2947:from the original on 4 March 2016 2491:Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience 2225:from the original on 6 April 2023 1762:Zweig, Jason (19 November 2009), 1093: 10992:2021 Facebook company files leak 10718:Mobile phones and driving safety 9176:Gas chambers for Poles in Warsaw 9113:Pont-Saint-Esprit mass poisoning 8479:South African Airways Flight 295 6929:Teaching about confirmation bias 6149: 6026: 5930: 5903: 5791: 5727: 5714: 5649: 5614: 5602: 5531: 5499: 5434: 5419: 5382: 5346: 5276:Journal of Counseling Psychology 5266: 5224: 5114: 5082: 5070: 5028: 4965: 4933: 4901: 4880:, Psychology Press, p. ix, 4869: 4831: 4800: 4788: 4692: 4656: 4614: 4578: 4539: 4486: 4431: 4401: 3199:The Kingdom of God Is Within You 2454:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00214.x 1433: 1419: 1315:Preference for early information 551:The Kingdom of God Is Within You 10964:2020 U.S. presidential election 10959:2016 U.S. presidential election 9760:Petrograd Military Organization 9283:International Jewish conspiracy 9131:Race, religion and/or ethnicity 8793:Denial of the 7 October attacks 8618:California drought manipulation 6716:Critical thinking in psychology 4357: 4342:Critical Thinking in Psychology 4302:Critical thinking in psychology 4290: 4260: 4138: 4104: 4046: 4008: 4004:(4, Fall, Special Issue): 84–89 3989: 3959: 3936:Self, Will (28 November 2016), 3929: 3841: 3817: 3789: 3683: 3671: 3659: 3623: 3585: 3541: 3529: 3517: 3505: 3494: 3482: 3437: 3425: 3401: 3359: 3272: 3236: 3225: 3134: 3117:Burtt, E. A., ed. (1939), 3067: 3054: 3038: 2680: 2668: 2608: 2559: 2535: 2314: 2198: 2164: 2069: 1984: 1867: 1833: 1821: 1524: 1163:Associated effects and outcomes 854:Science and scientific research 822: 808: 782:Exploratory versus confirmatory 739: 664:There are currently three main 554:, Tolstoy had earlier written: 482:noticed the same effect in his 295:2004 U.S. presidential election 9709:Israel-related animal theories 6948:– Keith Rollag, Babson College 6692:, Hove, UK: Psychology Press, 6568:Cognitive Therapy and Research 6537:10.1146/annurev.psych.49.1.259 6491:, Springer, pp. 233–255, 5914:, New York: Harper Torchbooks. 5882:, Cambridge University Press, 4509:10.1001/archinternmed.2010.406 4113:Cognitive Therapy and Research 2568:Social cognition: key readings 1660: 1648: 1515: 1503: 966:arrival of scientific medicine 902:is often cited as an example. 210:happy with your social life?" 148:behavioral confirmation effect 13: 1: 11102:Barriers to critical thinking 10535:Betteridge's law of headlines 9881:First Catilinarian conspiracy 8913:Ideology in incel communities 6629:, in Pohl, RĂŒdiger F. (ed.), 5856:10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 4623:Journal of Behavioral Finance 4496:Archives of Internal Medicine 4267:Ball, Phillip (14 May 2015), 3854:(5th ed.), Hoboken, NJ: 3552:, in Pohl, RĂŒdiger F. (ed.), 3033:10.1016/S0361-476X(03)00024-9 1537: 672:Cognitive versus motivational 452: 445: 241:oppositional news consumption 170:Biased search for information 11049:Social aspects of television 10949:Social media use in politics 10599:Missing white woman syndrome 10324: 10247:Freeman on the land movement 10137:Maricopa County ballot audit 10095:"Vast right-wing conspiracy" 9543: 8512:Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 7796:Global catastrophe scenarios 7711: 6690:Hypothesis-testing behaviour 6599:Review of General Psychology 5211:10.1016/0022-1031(81)90043-3 4585:Pompian, Michael M. (2006), 4236:10.1371/journal.pone.0222213 4147:American Sociological Review 3694:, New York: Guilford Press, 3548:Matlin, Margaret W. 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1354:Rorschach inkblot test 1324:is independent of the 1252: 1052:attack on Pearl Harbor 1018: 925:The social process of 700:availability heuristic 681: 666:information processing 648: 634: 620: 561: 546: 514: 495: 437: 396:Individual differences 318: 259: 191: 143:information processing 130:Definition and context 11117:Design of experiments 10987:Criticism of Facebook 10867:Social influence bias 10755:Information pollution 10745:Information explosion 10728:Texting while driving 10684:Low information voter 10582:Pink-slime journalism 10107:Stab-in-the-back myth 9911:Clockwork Orange plot 9429:Bihar human sacrifice 9360:Stab-in-the-back myth 9183:German POWs post-WWII 9065:Germ theory denialism 9060:Electronic harassment 8781:Smolensk air disaster 8745:Oklahoma City bombing 8623:Climate change denial 8419:Accidents / disasters 8355:Nepalese royal family 7842:Attitude polarization 7572:Arab–Israeli conflict 7299:Social influence bias 7244:Out-group homogeneity 6866:Westen, Drew (2007), 6850:Yale University Press 6818:Peter Lang Publishers 6595:Nickerson, Raymond S. 6251:Thinking and deciding 5739:Oxford Education Blog 5689:"The backfire effect" 5577:Psychological Science 5506:Randi, James (1991), 4530:Steven James Bartlett 4059:Frontiers in Big Data 3550:"Pollyanna Principle" 3197:Tolstoy, Leo (1894). 3184:7 August 2021 at the 3162:Tolstoy, Leo (1896). 2736:Cognition and Emotion 1247: 1174:Attitude polarization 1143:Great Pyramid of Giza 1013: 746:cost-benefit analysis 679: 642: 629:If the true rule (T) 628: 618: 556: 541: 509: 490: 461:The Peloponnesian War 433: 426:Informal observations 312: 255: 177: 63:attitude polarization 11142:Misuse of statistics 11004:Criticism of Netflix 10810:Availability cascade 10750:Information overload 10659:Attention management 10654:Attention inequality 10550:Human-interest story 10492:Behavioral modernity 10477:Cognitive psychology 10178:Dead Internet theory 9669:Daktari Ranch affair 9454:Trojan Horse scandal 8832:anti-gender movement 8812:Gender and sexuality 8769:Madrid train bombing 8715:Lufthansa Flight 615 8403:Sushant Singh Rajput 7943:Apollo Moon landings 7847:Cognitive dissonance 7214:Mere-exposure effect 7144:Extrinsic incentives 7090:Selective perception 6310:Psychological Review 5778:10.2139/ssrn.2819073 4671:, pp. 112–113, 4593:, pp. 187–190, 4298:Sternberg, Robert J. 4025:10.2139/ssrn.2708250 3479:(Experiment IV) 3074:Ibn Khaldun (1958), 2037:Memory and Cognition 1925:Psychological Review 1485:Selective perception 1347:Illusory correlation 1239:Cognitive dissonance 970:alternative medicine 918:(coupled with their 802:confirmatory thought 601:Bayesian probability 570:Wason selection task 548:In his essay (1894) 529:In his essay (1897) 332:cognitive dissonance 151:, commonly known as 86:illusory correlation 11137:Inductive fallacies 10917:Post-truth politics 10847:Mean world syndrome 10252:Redemption movement 10020:Georgia Guidestones 9293:Cultural Bolshevism 8932:Soy and masculinity 8602:Energy, environment 8506:EgyptAir Flight 990 8247:Lal Bahadur Shastri 8217:Subhas Chandra Bose 7691:Conspiracy theories 7439:Social desirability 7334:von Restorff effect 7209:Mean world syndrome 7184:Hostile attribution 6925:– Robert T. Carroll 6627:"Confirmation bias" 6170:1996PNAS...93.2895R 6051:2021PNAS..11812437C 6045:(15): e1912437117, 5848:1974Sci...185.1124T 5842:(4157): 1124–1131, 5805:, 2 November 2016, 5447:constantpodcast.com 5389:LidĂ©n, Moa (2018). 5067:, pp. 191, 195 4591:John Wiley and Sons 4457:2006SciAm.295a..36S 4444:Scientific American 4227:2019PLoSO..1422213L 3998:Scientific American 3099:, pp. 195–196. 1769:Wall Street Journal 1365: 1281:belief perseverance 1273:When Prophecy Fails 1233:Belief perseverance 978:scientific evidence 956:Medicine and health 912:experimental design 882:deductive reasoning 878:inductive reasoning 874:scientific thinking 797:Exploratory thought 717:Pollyanna principle 535:, Russian novelist 524:Arthur Schopenhauer 275:Stanford University 116:inductive reasoning 71:belief perseverance 10735:Influence-for-hire 10713:Media multitasking 10708:Human multitasking 10626:Tabloid television 10577:Media manipulation 10347:Conspiracy fiction 10257:Sovereign citizens 10010:FBI secret society 9995:Clinton body count 9805:Gezi Park protests 9770:Ukraine bioweapons 9569:Greater Bangladesh 9311:Judeo-Masonic plot 9108:Water fluoridation 9075:HIV/AIDS denialism 8822:Alpha / beta males 8721:WiderĂže Flight 933 8199:WƂadysƂaw Sikorski 7938:Ancient astronauts 7354:Statistical biases 7132:Curse of knowledge 6580:10.1007/BF01173636 6514:MacCoun, Robert J. 6376:Current Psychology 6234:, pp. 162–164 6222:, pp. 127–130 6146:, pp. 164–166 6114:, pp. 197–200 5766:Political Behavior 5722:Political Behavior 4993:, pp. 193–194 4704:How doctor's think 4547:Horrobin, David F. 4125:10.1007/BF01186796 3885:Skeptical Inquirer 3060:Alighieri, Dante. 2677:, pp. 225–232 2401:, pp. 201–202 2050:10.3758/bf03197186 1803:, pp. 112–115 1645:, pp. 175–220 1363: 1243:Monty Hall problem 1193:affirmative action 1117:Paranormal beliefs 1019: 980:hyper-critically. 974:anecdotal evidence 908:file drawer effect 889:history of science 887:Many times in the 868:Replication crisis 860:Planck's principle 818:Real-world effects 682: 649: 635: 621: 605:information theory 476:St. Thomas Aquinas 456: 395 BC 449: 460 BC 438: 319: 233:selective exposure 192: 11112:Cognitive inertia 11089: 11088: 10912:Fake news website 10872:Spiral of silence 10825:Confirmation bias 10649:Attention economy 10631:Yellow journalism 10519:Social psychology 10428: 10427: 10424: 10423: 10315: 10314: 10311: 10310: 10293:Birds Aren't Real 10158: 10157: 10154: 10153: 10150: 10149: 9980:Black helicopters 9891:Mano Negra affair 9861:Itavia Flight 870 9788:2016 coup attempt 9692:In the Arab world 9624: 9534: 9533: 9530: 9529: 9522:Serbs during WWII 9439:Great Replacement 9297:Jewish Bolshevism 9213:War against Islam 9192:Product labeling 9161:French Revolution 9121: 9120: 8960:5G misinformation 8940: 8939: 8802: 8801: 8757:advance knowledge 8739:Pan Am Flight 103 8653: 8652: 8591: 8590: 8587: 8586: 8535:Yemenite children 8265:Robert F. Kennedy 8241:Lee Harvey Oswald 8223:Johnny Stompanato 8140: 8139: 8136: 8135: 8132: 8131: 8093:Aztec, New Mexico 7996:Cryptoterrestrial 7906: 7905: 7902: 7901: 7857:Confirmation bias 7657: 7656: 7294:Social comparison 7075:Choice-supportive 6883:978-1-58648-425-5 6859:978-0-300-12385-2 6751:978-0-19-513634-0 6725:978-0-521-60834-3 6699:978-1-84169-159-6 6673:978-0-07-050477-6 6644:978-1-84169-351-4 6498:978-0-306-45720-3 6472:978-0-262-61143-5 6419:978-1-59102-408-8 6358:978-0-00-724019-7 6293:978-1-84046-678-2 6282:, Cambridge, UK: 6260:978-0-521-65030-4 5945:(5): 880–is 892, 5889:978-0-521-28414-1 5741:. 12 March 2018. 5657:"Backfire effect" 5517:978-1-85283-144-8 5485:978-1-4051-8122-8 5100:978-0-691-12302-8 5014:978-0-8058-2731-6 4951:978-0-19-852888-3 4919:978-0-632-03986-9 4887:978-1-58391-858-6 4825:978-0-593-06129-9 4734:(11): 1184–1204, 4713:978-1-921215-69-8 4678:978-0-07-162339-1 4600:978-0-471-74517-4 4559:(10): 1438–1441, 4503:(21): 1934–1339, 4426:10.1002/asi.22784 4351:978-0-521-60834-3 4311:978-0-521-60834-3 4279:on 7 October 2019 4019:, Rochester, NY, 3869:978-0-470-13749-9 3835:978-0-14-103916-9 3811:978-0-521-52718-7 3747:(11): 1229–1239, 3701:978-1-57230-100-9 3604:(10): 1379–1387, 3571:978-1-84169-351-4 3387:978-0-19-510107-2 3345:978-1-905177-07-3 3078:, Princeton, NJ: 2577:978-0-86377-591-8 2498:(11): 1947–1958, 2352:(11): 2098–2109, 2218:978-91-88212-95-5 2135:(12): 1565–1584, 2114:, pp. 117–18 2086:(11): 1202–1212, 1830:, pp. 162–65 1818:, pp. 162–64 1682:978-0-86377-589-5 1490:Semmelweis reflex 1441:Psychology portal 1427:Philosophy portal 1406:positive-positive 1401: 1400: 1076:Self-verification 1069:Social psychology 1059:Philip E. Tetlock 1048:Husband E. Kimmel 1040:Stuart Sutherland 986:was developed by 984:Cognitive therapy 920:systematic review 653: 652: 647:way to falsify H. 43:congeniality bias 35:confirmatory bias 31:Confirmation bias 18:Confirmation Bias 16:(Redirected from 11159: 11107:Cognitive biases 10934:Knowledge divide 10830:Crowd psychology 10820:Bandwagon effect 10592:Public relations 10509:Media psychology 10455: 10448: 10441: 10432: 10431: 10362:pseudoskepticism 10321: 10320: 10230: 10229: 10164: 10163: 10115: 10114: 10000:Cultural Marxism 9841:Global War Party 9622: 9551: 9550: 9540: 9539: 9340:Killing of Jesus 9288:Committee of 300 9271:Holocaust denial 9224: 9223: 9208:Tartarian Empire 9178: 9169: 9146:CERN ritual hoax 9141:Bhagwa Love Trap 9127: 9126: 9080:origins theories 8965:Anti-vaccination 8946: 8945: 8896:Transvestigation 8808: 8807: 8659: 8658: 8597: 8596: 8557:Body double hoax 8391:Alejandro Castro 8289:Pope John Paul I 8271:Salvador Allende 8205:Benito Mussolini 8157: 8156: 8146: 8145: 8099:Southern England 8057: 8056: 8000:Extraterrestrial 7969: 7968: 7931:Nibiru cataclysm 7912: 7911: 7867:Locus of control 7821:Secret societies 7719: 7718: 7708: 7707: 7684: 7677: 7670: 7661: 7660: 7454:Systematic error 7409:Omitted-variable 7324:Trait ascription 7164:Frog pond effect 6992:Cognitive biases 6976: 6969: 6962: 6953: 6952: 6894: 6862: 6838: 6800: 6762: 6736: 6710: 6684: 6655: 6621: 6590: 6562: 6561: 6559: 6553: 6522: 6509: 6483: 6450: 6430: 6410:Prometheus Books 6398: 6369: 6340: 6304: 6271: 6235: 6229: 6223: 6217: 6206: 6200: 6191: 6181: 6164:(7): 2895–2896, 6153: 6147: 6141: 6132: 6131:, pp. 66–70 6126: 6115: 6109: 6094: 6093: 6080: 6062: 6030: 6024: 6023: 6013:10.1037/h0077720 6006: 5997:(6): 1037–1049, 5986: 5975: 5969: 5934: 5928: 5922: 5916: 5915: 5907: 5901: 5900: 5874: 5831: 5818: 5817: 5816: 5814: 5795: 5789: 5788: 5761: 5755: 5754: 5752: 5750: 5731: 5725: 5718: 5712: 5711: 5706: 5704: 5684: 5678: 5677: 5676: 5674: 5653: 5647: 5646: 5618: 5612: 5606: 5600: 5599: 5572: 5561: 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11162: 11161: 11160: 11158: 11157: 11156: 11092: 11091: 11090: 11085: 10970: 10885: 10876: 10852:Negativity bias 10800: 10791: 10679:Cognitive miser 10635: 10528:Media practices 10523: 10468: 10459: 10429: 10420: 10352:Conspirituality 10326: 10307: 10271: 10262:Strawman theory 10228: 10169: 10146: 10113: 10074:Saddam–al-Qaeda 10050:Project Azorian 10030:Montauk Project 9932: 9916:Elm Guest House 9877:Roman Republic 9821: 9810:SĂšvres syndrome 9774: 9733: 9680: 9649:Leuchter report 9621: 9615: 9599:Finger-pinching 9545: 9526: 9467: 9464:Genocide denial 9458: 9410: 9364: 9350:New World Order 9222: 9174: 9163: 9132: 9117: 8987:in chiropractic 8951: 8936: 8903:Finger pinching 8891:litter box hoax 8857:HIV/AIDS stigma 8813: 8798: 8775:London bombings 8667: 8649: 8604: 8603: 8583: 8552: 8517: 8461:Lost Cosmonauts 8414: 8397:Jeffrey Epstein 8373:Osama bin Laden 8349:Alois Estermann 8235:John F. Kennedy 8181:Louis Le Prince 8164: 8151: 8128: 8055: 7981:Alien abduction 7967: 7926:2012 phenomenon 7917: 7898: 7830: 7713: 7702: 7693: 7688: 7658: 7653: 7634: 7608: 7473: 7348: 7329:Turkey illusion 7097:Compassion fade 6994: 6985: 6980: 6919: 6884: 6860: 6828: 6808: 6806:Further reading 6803: 6752: 6726: 6700: 6674: 6666:, McGraw-Hill, 6645: 6557: 6555: 6551: 6520: 6499: 6473: 6420: 6408:, Amherst, NY: 6359: 6294: 6261: 6244: 6239: 6238: 6230: 6226: 6218: 6209: 6154: 6150: 6142: 6135: 6127: 6118: 6110: 6097: 6031: 6027: 5987: 5978: 5935: 5931: 5923: 5919: 5908: 5904: 5890: 5876: 5832: 5821: 5812: 5810: 5797: 5796: 5792: 5762: 5758: 5748: 5746: 5733: 5732: 5728: 5719: 5715: 5702: 5700: 5685: 5681: 5672: 5670: 5655: 5654: 5650: 5619: 5615: 5607: 5603: 5573: 5564: 5555: 5553: 5536: 5532: 5518: 5504: 5500: 5486: 5472: 5465: 5456: 5454: 5439: 5435: 5424: 5420: 5410: 5408: 5404: 5393: 5387: 5383: 5351: 5347: 5324:10.1.1.537.2324 5307: 5303: 5271: 5267: 5229: 5225: 5193: 5186: 5148: 5141: 5119: 5115: 5101: 5087: 5083: 5075: 5071: 5063: 5059: 5033: 5029: 5015: 5001: 4997: 4970: 4966: 4952: 4938: 4934: 4920: 4906: 4902: 4888: 4874: 4870: 4836: 4832: 4826: 4805: 4801: 4793: 4789: 4759: 4755: 4724: 4720: 4714: 4697: 4693: 4679: 4661: 4657: 4619: 4615: 4601: 4583: 4579: 4544: 4540: 4527: 4523: 4491: 4487: 4436: 4432: 4406: 4402: 4372:(7303): 42–46, 4362: 4358: 4352: 4338: 4331: 4312: 4295: 4291: 4282: 4280: 4265: 4261: 4221:(9): e0222213, 4207: 4203: 4196: 4187: 4180: 4173: 4159:10.2307/2094423 4143: 4139: 4109: 4105: 4051: 4047: 4013: 4009: 3994: 3990: 3981: 3979: 3964: 3960: 3951: 3949: 3934: 3930: 3921: 3919: 3904: 3897: 3880: 3876: 3870: 3846: 3842: 3836: 3822: 3818: 3812: 3804:, p. 445, 3794: 3790: 3781: 3779: 3775: 3734: 3728: 3721: 3702: 3688: 3684: 3676: 3672: 3664: 3660: 3628: 3624: 3592:Dawson, Erica; 3590: 3586: 3572: 3546: 3542: 3534: 3530: 3522: 3518: 3510: 3506: 3499: 3495: 3487: 3483: 3442: 3438: 3430: 3426: 3418: 3414: 3406: 3402: 3388: 3364: 3360: 3346: 3332: 3323: 3277: 3273: 3265: 3261: 3253: 3249: 3241: 3237: 3230: 3226: 3220:Wayback Machine 3209:Wayback Machine 3196: 3192: 3186:Wayback Machine 3175:Wayback Machine 3161: 3157: 3139: 3135: 3115:. reprinted in 3110: 3103: 3095: 3088: 3072: 3068: 3059: 3055: 3043: 3039: 3015: 3011: 2989: 2985: 2963: 2959: 2950: 2948: 2944: 2913: 2907: 2896: 2881:10.1.1.112.1603 2864:Baron, Jonathan 2861: 2857: 2814: 2807: 2769: 2762: 2732: 2723: 2685: 2681: 2673: 2669: 2642: 2635: 2613: 2609: 2601: 2592: 2578: 2564: 2560: 2540: 2536: 2505:10.1.1.578.8097 2485: 2476: 2445:10.1.1.472.7064 2428: 2417: 2409: 2405: 2397: 2390: 2359:10.1.1.372.1743 2342: 2327: 2319: 2315: 2285: 2278: 2248: 2237: 2228: 2226: 2219: 2203: 2199: 2169: 2165: 2125: 2118: 2110: 2103: 2074: 2070: 2033: 2026: 1989: 1985: 1976: 1974: 1970: 1939:10.1.1.174.5232 1919: 1913: 1902: 1872: 1868: 1838: 1834: 1826: 1822: 1814: 1807: 1799: 1788: 1779: 1777: 1760: 1751: 1744: 1737: 1729: 1720: 1712: 1708: 1701: 1697: 1683: 1675:, p. 212, 1665: 1661: 1653: 1649: 1641: 1606: 1566: 1562: 1554: 1550: 1545: 1540: 1535: 1534: 1529: 1525: 1520: 1516: 1508: 1504: 1499: 1494: 1439: 1434: 1432: 1425: 1420: 1418: 1415: 1349: 1343: 1317: 1296:job performance 1285:attitude change 1267:spent time with 1258: 1254: 1245: 1235: 1229: 1210:backfire effect 1209: 1208: 1176: 1170: 1165: 1156:job recruitment 1152: 1119: 1096: 1071: 1008: 958: 946: 936: 870: 856: 825: 820: 811: 788:Jennifer Lerner 784: 772:self-monitoring 742: 674: 662: 592: 572: 566: 466:Dante Alighieri 455: 448: 428: 423: 398: 356: 268: 264:Michael Shermer 261: 253: 184:Charles Dickens 172: 167: 132: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 11165: 11155: 11154: 11149: 11144: 11139: 11134: 11129: 11124: 11119: 11114: 11109: 11104: 11087: 11086: 11084: 11083: 11078: 11073: 11072: 11071: 11061: 11056: 11051: 11046: 11041: 11036: 11031: 11026: 11021: 11016: 11011: 11006: 11001: 11000: 10999: 10994: 10984: 10978: 10976: 10975:Related topics 10972: 10971: 10969: 10968: 10967: 10966: 10961: 10956: 10946: 10941: 10936: 10931: 10926: 10925: 10924: 10919: 10909: 10904: 10903: 10902: 10891: 10889: 10882:Digital divide 10878: 10877: 10875: 10874: 10869: 10864: 10859: 10854: 10849: 10844: 10843: 10842: 10837: 10827: 10822: 10817: 10812: 10806: 10804: 10797:Cognitive bias 10793: 10792: 10790: 10789: 10787:Sticky content 10784: 10783: 10782: 10777: 10775:Binge-watching 10767: 10762: 10757: 10752: 10747: 10742: 10737: 10732: 10731: 10730: 10725: 10720: 10715: 10705: 10700: 10699: 10698: 10691:Digital zombie 10688: 10687: 10686: 10676: 10671: 10666: 10664:Attention span 10661: 10656: 10651: 10645: 10643: 10637: 10636: 10634: 10633: 10628: 10623: 10618: 10617: 10616: 10609:Sensationalism 10606: 10601: 10596: 10595: 10594: 10589: 10584: 10574: 10569: 10568: 10567: 10562: 10557: 10555:Junk food news 10552: 10542: 10537: 10531: 10529: 10525: 10524: 10522: 10521: 10516: 10511: 10506: 10505: 10504: 10499: 10494: 10484: 10479: 10473: 10470: 10469: 10458: 10457: 10450: 10443: 10435: 10426: 10425: 10422: 10421: 10419: 10418: 10413: 10408: 10406:Radicalization 10403: 10402: 10401: 10391: 10386: 10381: 10376: 10374:Fringe science 10371: 10369:Falsifiability 10366: 10365: 10364: 10354: 10349: 10344: 10337: 10331: 10328: 10327: 10317: 10316: 10313: 10312: 10309: 10308: 10306: 10305: 10300: 10295: 10290: 10285: 10279: 10277: 10273: 10272: 10270: 10269: 10267:Tax protesters 10264: 10259: 10254: 10249: 10244: 10238: 10236: 10227: 10226: 10221: 10220: 10219: 10214: 10209: 10199: 10197:New chronology 10190: 10185: 10180: 10174: 10171: 10170: 10160: 10159: 10156: 10155: 10152: 10151: 10148: 10147: 10145: 10144: 10142:Stop the Steal 10139: 10134: 10129: 10123: 10121: 10112: 10111: 10110: 10109: 10097: 10092: 10087: 10082: 10076: 10071: 10070: 10069: 10062: 10052: 10047: 10042: 10037: 10032: 10027: 10022: 10017: 10012: 10007: 10002: 9997: 9992: 9987: 9982: 9977: 9972: 9971: 9970: 9961: 9956: 9951: 9942: 9940: 9934: 9933: 9931: 9930: 9929: 9928: 9923: 9918: 9913: 9905: 9904: 9903: 9895: 9894: 9893: 9885: 9884: 9883: 9875: 9874: 9873: 9865: 9864: 9863: 9855: 9854: 9853: 9845: 9844: 9843: 9835: 9829: 9827: 9826:Other European 9823: 9822: 9820: 9819: 9812: 9807: 9802: 9801: 9800: 9795: 9784: 9782: 9776: 9775: 9773: 9772: 9767: 9762: 9757: 9755:Golden billion 9752: 9747: 9745:Alaska payment 9741: 9739: 9735: 9734: 9732: 9731: 9730: 9729: 9721: 9720: 9719: 9711: 9706: 9705: 9704: 9699: 9688: 9686: 9682: 9681: 9679: 9678: 9677: 9676: 9671: 9663: 9662: 9661: 9653: 9652: 9651: 9646: 9638: 9637: 9636: 9627: 9625: 9617: 9616: 9614: 9613: 9612: 9611: 9603: 9602: 9601: 9593: 9592: 9591: 9583: 9582: 9581: 9573: 9572: 9571: 9566: 9557: 9555: 9547: 9546: 9536: 9535: 9532: 9531: 9528: 9527: 9525: 9524: 9519: 9514: 9509: 9504: 9499: 9494: 9489: 9484: 9479: 9473: 9471: 9460: 9459: 9457: 9456: 9451: 9446: 9441: 9436: 9431: 9426: 9420: 9418: 9412: 9411: 9409: 9408: 9403: 9398: 9397: 9396: 9391: 9386: 9375: 9373: 9371:Anti-Christian 9366: 9365: 9363: 9362: 9357: 9352: 9347: 9342: 9337: 9332: 9331: 9330: 9325: 9320: 9313: 9308: 9307: 9306: 9290: 9280: 9279: 9278: 9276:Trivialization 9268: 9263: 9258: 9253: 9248: 9243: 9238: 9232: 9230: 9221: 9220: 9218:White genocide 9215: 9210: 9205: 9204: 9203: 9198: 9190: 9188:Priory of Sion 9185: 9180: 9172: 9171: 9170: 9153: 9148: 9143: 9137: 9134: 9133: 9123: 9122: 9119: 9118: 9116: 9115: 9110: 9105: 9099: 9094: 9089: 9088: 9087: 9082: 9072: 9067: 9062: 9057: 9052: 9051: 9050: 9036: 9031: 9026: 9021: 9011: 9006: 9001: 8996: 8995: 8994: 8992:misinformation 8989: 8984: 8983: 8982: 8977: 8962: 8956: 8953: 8952: 8942: 8941: 8938: 8937: 8935: 8934: 8929: 8924: 8915: 8910: 8905: 8900: 8899: 8898: 8893: 8888: 8883: 8878: 8877: 8876: 8874:Lavender scare 8866: 8865: 8864: 8854: 8852:gay Nazis myth 8849: 8844: 8839: 8834: 8824: 8818: 8815: 8814: 8804: 8803: 8800: 8799: 8797: 8796: 8790: 8784: 8778: 8772: 8766: 8765: 8764: 8759: 8748: 8742: 8736: 8730: 8727:KAL Flight 007 8724: 8718: 8712: 8703: 8697: 8694:Reichstag fire 8691: 8682: 8672: 8669: 8668: 8655: 8654: 8651: 8650: 8648: 8647: 8642: 8637: 8632: 8631: 8630: 8628:false theories 8620: 8615: 8609: 8606: 8605: 8601: 8593: 8592: 8589: 8588: 8585: 8584: 8582: 8581: 8576: 8574:Vladimir Putin 8571: 8566: 8564:Paul McCartney 8560: 8558: 8554: 8553: 8551: 8550: 8544: 8538: 8532: 8525: 8523: 8519: 8518: 8516: 8515: 8509: 8503: 8500:TWA Flight 800 8497: 8488: 8482: 8476: 8470: 8467:JAT Flight 367 8464: 8458: 8452: 8449:Lynmouth Flood 8446: 8440: 8431: 8422: 8420: 8416: 8415: 8413: 8412: 8406: 8400: 8394: 8388: 8382: 8376: 8370: 8367:Benazir Bhutto 8364: 8358: 8352: 8346: 8340: 8334: 8328: 8322: 8316: 8310: 8304: 8298: 8292: 8286: 8283:Renny Ottolina 8280: 8274: 8268: 8262: 8256: 8250: 8244: 8238: 8232: 8229:Marilyn Monroe 8226: 8220: 8214: 8208: 8202: 8196: 8190: 8187:Lord Kitchener 8184: 8178: 8175:Zachary Taylor 8171: 8169: 8153: 8152: 8142: 8141: 8138: 8137: 8134: 8133: 8130: 8129: 8127: 8126: 8120: 8114: 8108: 8102: 8096: 8090: 8084: 8078: 8072: 8065: 8063: 8054: 8053: 8048: 8047: 8046: 8034: 8029: 8024: 8019: 8011: 8006: 7993: 7988: 7983: 7977: 7975: 7966: 7965: 7960: 7955: 7950: 7945: 7940: 7935: 7934: 7933: 7922: 7919: 7918: 7908: 7907: 7904: 7903: 7900: 7899: 7897: 7896: 7891: 7886: 7885: 7884: 7874: 7869: 7864: 7859: 7854: 7849: 7844: 7838: 7836: 7832: 7831: 7829: 7828: 7823: 7818: 7813: 7808: 7803: 7801:Hidden message 7798: 7793: 7788: 7783: 7778: 7773: 7768: 7755: 7754: 7753: 7748: 7745:Ă©minence grise 7741: 7731: 7725: 7723: 7715: 7714: 7704: 7703: 7698: 7695: 7694: 7687: 7686: 7679: 7672: 7664: 7655: 7654: 7652: 7651: 7646: 7639: 7636: 7635: 7633: 7632: 7627: 7622: 7616: 7614: 7613:Bias reduction 7610: 7609: 7607: 7606: 7601: 7596: 7591: 7589:Political bias 7586: 7581: 7580: 7579: 7574: 7569: 7564: 7559: 7554: 7549: 7544: 7534: 7529: 7524: 7519: 7517:Infrastructure 7514: 7509: 7504: 7499: 7492: 7487: 7481: 7479: 7475: 7474: 7472: 7471: 7466: 7461: 7456: 7451: 7446: 7441: 7436: 7434:Self-selection 7431: 7426: 7421: 7416: 7411: 7406: 7401: 7396: 7391: 7386: 7385: 7384: 7374: 7369: 7364: 7358: 7356: 7350: 7349: 7347: 7346: 7341: 7336: 7331: 7326: 7321: 7316: 7311: 7306: 7301: 7296: 7291: 7286: 7281: 7276: 7271: 7269:Pro-innovation 7266: 7261: 7256: 7254:Overton window 7251: 7246: 7241: 7236: 7231: 7226: 7221: 7216: 7211: 7206: 7201: 7196: 7191: 7186: 7181: 7176: 7171: 7166: 7161: 7156: 7151: 7146: 7141: 7136: 7135: 7134: 7124: 7122:Dunning–Kruger 7119: 7114: 7109: 7104: 7099: 7094: 7093: 7092: 7082: 7077: 7072: 7067: 7062: 7061: 7060: 7050: 7045: 7040: 7039: 7038: 7036:Correspondence 7033: 7031:Actor–observer 7023: 7018: 7013: 7008: 7003: 6997: 6995: 6990: 6987: 6986: 6979: 6978: 6971: 6964: 6956: 6950: 6949: 6943: 6937: 6932: 6926: 6918: 6917:External links 6915: 6914: 6913: 6904: 6903: 6895: 6882: 6863: 6858: 6839: 6826: 6807: 6804: 6802: 6801: 6776:(3): 129–140, 6763: 6750: 6737: 6724: 6711: 6698: 6685: 6672: 6656: 6643: 6622: 6605:(2): 175–220, 6591: 6574:(2): 161–175, 6563: 6510: 6497: 6484: 6471: 6451: 6431: 6418: 6399: 6382:(3): 188–209, 6370: 6357: 6341: 6316:(2): 298–319, 6305: 6292: 6276:Fine, Cordelia 6272: 6259: 6245: 6243: 6240: 6237: 6236: 6224: 6207: 6148: 6133: 6116: 6095: 6025: 6004:10.1.1.130.933 5976: 5929: 5917: 5902: 5888: 5819: 5790: 5756: 5726: 5713: 5679: 5648: 5630:(4): 561–574, 5613: 5601: 5583:(2): 115–120, 5562: 5530: 5516: 5498: 5484: 5463: 5433: 5418: 5381: 5345: 5301: 5283:(1): 120–126, 5265: 5223: 5205:(4): 351–372, 5184: 5158:(5): 782–791, 5139: 5129:(4): 315–334, 5113: 5099: 5081: 5069: 5057: 5027: 5013: 4995: 4991:Nickerson 1998 4980:(4): 602–527, 4964: 4950: 4932: 4918: 4900: 4886: 4868: 4830: 4824: 4799: 4787: 4769:(6): 350–351, 4753: 4718: 4712: 4691: 4677: 4655: 4613: 4599: 4577: 4538: 4521: 4485: 4430: 4410:Sugimoto, C.R. 4400: 4356: 4350: 4329: 4310: 4289: 4259: 4201: 4185: 4171: 4153:(4): 579–395, 4137: 4119:(3): 229–238, 4103: 4045: 4007: 3988: 3958: 3928: 3895: 3874: 3868: 3840: 3834: 3816: 3810: 3800:, Cambridge : 3788: 3719: 3700: 3682: 3678:Friedrich 1993 3670: 3658: 3640:(4): 568–584, 3622: 3584: 3570: 3540: 3528: 3516: 3512:Friedrich 1993 3504: 3493: 3481: 3454:(1): 109–123, 3436: 3424: 3412: 3400: 3386: 3358: 3344: 3321: 3287:(3): 273–278, 3271: 3259: 3247: 3235: 3224: 3190: 3155: 3133: 3131:, p. 176. 3129:Nickerson 1998 3101: 3086: 3076:The Muqadimmah 3066: 3053: 3037: 3009: 2999:(4): 423–434, 2983: 2973:(5): 492–509, 2957: 2894: 2874:(3): 221–235, 2855: 2805: 2779:(3): 195–203, 2760: 2742:(4): 393–417, 2721: 2695:(2): 229–241, 2679: 2667: 2652:(4): 330–342, 2633: 2607: 2590: 2576: 2558: 2534: 2474: 2438:(3): 755–769, 2415: 2403: 2388: 2325: 2313: 2295:(3): 395–406, 2276: 2258:(4): 259–264, 2235: 2217: 2197: 2179:(4): 340–347, 2163: 2116: 2101: 2068: 2043:(4): 546–556, 2024: 1983: 1932:(2): 211–228, 1900: 1866: 1848:(6): 952–963, 1832: 1820: 1805: 1786: 1749: 1735: 1718: 1716:, p. 113. 1706: 1695: 1681: 1659: 1647: 1643:Nickerson 1998 1604: 1576:(4): 555–588, 1560: 1558:, p. 195. 1547: 1546: 1544: 1541: 1539: 1536: 1533: 1532: 1523: 1514: 1501: 1500: 1498: 1495: 1493: 1492: 1487: 1482: 1477: 1472: 1467: 1462: 1457: 1455:Cherry picking 1452: 1446: 1445: 1444: 1430: 1414: 1411: 1399: 1398: 1395: 1392: 1388: 1387: 1384: 1381: 1377: 1376: 1373: 1370: 1345:Main article: 1342: 1339: 1316: 1313: 1246: 1231:Main article: 1228: 1225: 1172:Main article: 1169: 1166: 1164: 1161: 1151: 1148: 1118: 1115: 1100:mass delusions 1095: 1094:Mass delusions 1092: 1070: 1067: 1007: 1004: 957: 954: 935: 932: 900:parapsychology 855: 852: 833:filter bubbles 824: 821: 819: 816: 810: 807: 792:Philip Tetlock 786:Psychologists 783: 780: 741: 738: 723:or sources of 719:". Applied to 686:Robert MacCoun 673: 670: 661: 658: 651: 650: 636: 622: 591: 588: 584:selection task 568:Main article: 565: 562: 427: 424: 422: 419: 397: 394: 355: 352: 299:George W. Bush 254: 252: 249: 171: 168: 166: 163: 131: 128: 124:filter bubbles 112:overconfidence 91: 90: 82: 75: 67: 26: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 11164: 11153: 11150: 11148: 11147:Memory biases 11145: 11143: 11140: 11138: 11135: 11133: 11130: 11128: 11125: 11123: 11120: 11118: 11115: 11113: 11110: 11108: 11105: 11103: 11100: 11099: 11097: 11082: 11079: 11077: 11074: 11070: 11067: 11066: 11065: 11062: 11060: 11057: 11055: 11052: 11050: 11047: 11045: 11042: 11040: 11037: 11035: 11032: 11030: 11027: 11025: 11022: 11020: 11017: 11015: 11012: 11010: 11007: 11005: 11002: 10998: 10995: 10993: 10990: 10989: 10988: 10985: 10983: 10982:Computer rage 10980: 10979: 10977: 10973: 10965: 10962: 10960: 10957: 10955: 10954:United States 10952: 10951: 10950: 10947: 10945: 10942: 10940: 10937: 10935: 10932: 10930: 10929:Filter bubble 10927: 10923: 10922:United States 10920: 10918: 10915: 10914: 10913: 10910: 10908: 10905: 10901: 10898: 10897: 10896: 10893: 10892: 10890: 10888: 10883: 10879: 10873: 10870: 10868: 10865: 10863: 10860: 10858: 10857:Peer pressure 10855: 10853: 10850: 10848: 10845: 10841: 10838: 10836: 10833: 10832: 10831: 10828: 10826: 10823: 10821: 10818: 10816: 10813: 10811: 10808: 10807: 10805: 10803: 10798: 10794: 10788: 10785: 10781: 10778: 10776: 10773: 10772: 10771: 10768: 10766: 10763: 10761: 10758: 10756: 10753: 10751: 10748: 10746: 10743: 10741: 10738: 10736: 10733: 10729: 10726: 10724: 10721: 10719: 10716: 10714: 10711: 10710: 10709: 10706: 10704: 10703:Doomscrolling 10701: 10697: 10694: 10693: 10692: 10689: 10685: 10682: 10681: 10680: 10677: 10675: 10672: 10670: 10667: 10665: 10662: 10660: 10657: 10655: 10652: 10650: 10647: 10646: 10644: 10642: 10638: 10632: 10629: 10627: 10624: 10622: 10619: 10615: 10612: 10611: 10610: 10607: 10605: 10602: 10600: 10597: 10593: 10590: 10588: 10585: 10583: 10580: 10579: 10578: 10575: 10573: 10570: 10566: 10563: 10561: 10558: 10556: 10553: 10551: 10548: 10547: 10546: 10543: 10541: 10538: 10536: 10533: 10532: 10530: 10526: 10520: 10517: 10515: 10514:Media studies 10512: 10510: 10507: 10503: 10500: 10498: 10495: 10493: 10490: 10489: 10488: 10485: 10483: 10480: 10478: 10475: 10474: 10471: 10467: 10466:human factors 10463: 10456: 10451: 10449: 10444: 10442: 10437: 10436: 10433: 10417: 10414: 10412: 10409: 10407: 10404: 10400: 10397: 10396: 10395: 10392: 10390: 10387: 10385: 10382: 10380: 10377: 10375: 10372: 10370: 10367: 10363: 10360: 10359: 10358: 10355: 10353: 10350: 10348: 10345: 10343: 10342: 10338: 10336: 10333: 10332: 10329: 10322: 10318: 10304: 10301: 10299: 10296: 10294: 10291: 10289: 10286: 10284: 10281: 10280: 10278: 10274: 10268: 10265: 10263: 10260: 10258: 10255: 10253: 10250: 10248: 10245: 10243: 10242:Admiralty law 10240: 10239: 10237: 10235: 10231: 10225: 10222: 10218: 10215: 10213: 10210: 10208: 10205: 10204: 10203: 10200: 10198: 10194: 10191: 10189: 10186: 10184: 10183:NESARA/GESARA 10181: 10179: 10176: 10175: 10172: 10165: 10161: 10143: 10140: 10138: 10135: 10133: 10130: 10128: 10125: 10124: 10122: 10120: 10119:2020 election 10116: 10108: 10104: 10103:POW/MIA issue 10101: 10100: 10098: 10096: 10093: 10091: 10090:Trump–Ukraine 10088: 10086: 10083: 10080: 10077: 10075: 10072: 10068: 10067: 10063: 10061: 10058: 10057: 10056: 10053: 10051: 10048: 10046: 10043: 10041: 10038: 10036: 10033: 10031: 10028: 10026: 10023: 10021: 10018: 10016: 10013: 10011: 10008: 10006: 10003: 10001: 9998: 9996: 9993: 9991: 9988: 9986: 9983: 9981: 9978: 9976: 9975:Biden–Ukraine 9973: 9969: 9965: 9962: 9960: 9957: 9955: 9952: 9950: 9947: 9946: 9945:Barack Obama 9944: 9943: 9941: 9939: 9938:United States 9935: 9927: 9926:Voting pencil 9924: 9922: 9921:Harold Wilson 9919: 9917: 9914: 9912: 9909: 9908: 9906: 9902: 9899: 9898: 9896: 9892: 9889: 9888: 9886: 9882: 9879: 9878: 9876: 9872: 9869: 9868: 9866: 9862: 9859: 9858: 9856: 9852: 9849: 9848: 9846: 9842: 9839: 9838: 9836: 9834: 9831: 9830: 9828: 9824: 9818: 9817: 9813: 9811: 9808: 9806: 9803: 9799: 9796: 9794: 9791: 9790: 9789: 9786: 9785: 9783: 9781: 9777: 9771: 9768: 9766: 9763: 9761: 9758: 9756: 9753: 9751: 9748: 9746: 9743: 9742: 9740: 9736: 9728: 9725: 9724: 9722: 9718: 9715: 9714: 9712: 9710: 9707: 9703: 9700: 9698: 9695: 9694: 9693: 9690: 9689: 9687: 9683: 9675: 9672: 9670: 9667: 9666: 9664: 9660: 9659:Casa Matusita 9657: 9656: 9654: 9650: 9647: 9645: 9642: 9641: 9639: 9635: 9632: 9631: 9629: 9628: 9626: 9618: 9610: 9607: 9606: 9604: 9600: 9597: 9596: 9594: 9590: 9587: 9586: 9584: 9580: 9577: 9576: 9574: 9570: 9567: 9565: 9562: 9561: 9559: 9558: 9556: 9552: 9548: 9541: 9537: 9523: 9520: 9518: 9515: 9513: 9510: 9508: 9505: 9503: 9500: 9498: 9497:The Holocaust 9495: 9493: 9490: 9488: 9485: 9483: 9480: 9478: 9475: 9474: 9472: 9470: 9465: 9461: 9455: 9452: 9450: 9447: 9445: 9442: 9440: 9437: 9435: 9432: 9430: 9427: 9425: 9424:Counter-jihad 9422: 9421: 9419: 9417: 9413: 9407: 9406:Giuseppe Siri 9404: 9402: 9399: 9395: 9392: 9390: 9387: 9385: 9382: 9381: 9380: 9379:Anti-Catholic 9377: 9376: 9374: 9372: 9367: 9361: 9358: 9356: 9353: 9351: 9348: 9346: 9343: 9341: 9338: 9336: 9333: 9329: 9326: 9324: 9321: 9319: 9318: 9314: 9312: 9309: 9305: 9304: 9300: 9299: 9298: 9294: 9291: 9289: 9286: 9285: 9284: 9281: 9277: 9274: 9273: 9272: 9269: 9267: 9264: 9262: 9259: 9257: 9254: 9252: 9251:Doctors' plot 9249: 9247: 9244: 9242: 9239: 9237: 9234: 9233: 9231: 9229: 9225: 9219: 9216: 9214: 9211: 9209: 9206: 9202: 9199: 9197: 9194: 9193: 9191: 9189: 9186: 9184: 9181: 9177: 9173: 9167: 9162: 9159: 9158: 9157: 9154: 9152: 9149: 9147: 9144: 9142: 9139: 9138: 9135: 9128: 9124: 9114: 9111: 9109: 9106: 9103: 9100: 9098: 9095: 9093: 9090: 9086: 9083: 9081: 9078: 9077: 9076: 9073: 9071: 9068: 9066: 9063: 9061: 9058: 9056: 9053: 9049: 9048:United States 9045: 9041: 9037: 9035: 9032: 9030: 9027: 9025: 9022: 9020: 9017: 9016: 9015: 9012: 9010: 9007: 9005: 9002: 9000: 8997: 8993: 8990: 8988: 8985: 8981: 8978: 8976: 8973: 8972: 8971: 8968: 8967: 8966: 8963: 8961: 8958: 8957: 8954: 8947: 8943: 8933: 8930: 8928: 8927:Satanic panic 8925: 8923: 8919: 8916: 8914: 8911: 8909: 8906: 8904: 8901: 8897: 8894: 8892: 8889: 8887: 8884: 8882: 8879: 8875: 8872: 8871: 8870: 8867: 8863: 8862:United States 8860: 8859: 8858: 8855: 8853: 8850: 8848: 8845: 8843: 8840: 8838: 8835: 8833: 8830: 8829: 8828: 8825: 8823: 8820: 8819: 8816: 8809: 8805: 8794: 8791: 8788: 8785: 8782: 8779: 8776: 8773: 8770: 8767: 8763: 8760: 8758: 8755: 8754: 8752: 8749: 8746: 8743: 8740: 8737: 8734: 8731: 8728: 8725: 8722: 8719: 8716: 8713: 8710: 8709: 8704: 8701: 8698: 8695: 8692: 8689: 8688: 8683: 8680: 8679: 8674: 8673: 8670: 8665: 8660: 8656: 8646: 8643: 8641: 8638: 8636: 8633: 8629: 8626: 8625: 8624: 8621: 8619: 8616: 8614: 8611: 8610: 8607: 8598: 8594: 8580: 8579:Melania Trump 8577: 8575: 8572: 8570: 8569:Avril Lavigne 8567: 8565: 8562: 8561: 8559: 8555: 8548: 8545: 8542: 8541:Elvis Presley 8539: 8536: 8533: 8530: 8527: 8526: 8524: 8520: 8513: 8510: 8507: 8504: 8501: 8498: 8495: 8494: 8489: 8486: 8483: 8480: 8477: 8474: 8471: 8468: 8465: 8462: 8459: 8456: 8453: 8450: 8447: 8444: 8441: 8438: 8437: 8432: 8429: 8428: 8424: 8423: 8421: 8417: 8410: 8407: 8404: 8401: 8398: 8395: 8392: 8389: 8386: 8383: 8380: 8377: 8374: 8371: 8368: 8365: 8362: 8361:Yasser Arafat 8359: 8356: 8353: 8350: 8347: 8344: 8341: 8338: 8337:Yitzhak Rabin 8335: 8332: 8329: 8326: 8323: 8320: 8317: 8314: 8311: 8308: 8305: 8302: 8299: 8296: 8293: 8290: 8287: 8284: 8281: 8278: 8275: 8272: 8269: 8266: 8263: 8260: 8257: 8254: 8251: 8248: 8245: 8242: 8239: 8236: 8233: 8230: 8227: 8224: 8221: 8218: 8215: 8212: 8209: 8206: 8203: 8200: 8197: 8194: 8191: 8188: 8185: 8182: 8179: 8176: 8173: 8172: 8170: 8167: 8162: 8161:Assassination 8158: 8154: 8147: 8143: 8124: 8121: 8118: 8117:Alien autopsy 8115: 8112: 8109: 8106: 8103: 8100: 8097: 8094: 8091: 8088: 8085: 8082: 8079: 8076: 8073: 8070: 8067: 8066: 8064: 8062: 8058: 8052: 8051:Project Serpo 8049: 8045: 8044: 8040: 8039: 8038: 8035: 8033: 8030: 8028: 8025: 8023: 8020: 8017: 8016: 8012: 8010: 8007: 8005: 8001: 7997: 7994: 7992: 7989: 7987: 7984: 7982: 7979: 7978: 7976: 7974: 7970: 7964: 7961: 7959: 7956: 7954: 7951: 7949: 7946: 7944: 7941: 7939: 7936: 7932: 7929: 7928: 7927: 7924: 7923: 7920: 7913: 7909: 7895: 7892: 7890: 7887: 7883: 7880: 7879: 7878: 7875: 7873: 7870: 7868: 7865: 7863: 7860: 7858: 7855: 7853: 7850: 7848: 7845: 7843: 7840: 7839: 7837: 7833: 7827: 7824: 7822: 7819: 7817: 7814: 7812: 7811:Pseudoscience 7809: 7807: 7806:Pseudohistory 7804: 7802: 7799: 7797: 7794: 7792: 7789: 7787: 7784: 7782: 7779: 7777: 7776:Crisis actors 7774: 7772: 7769: 7767: 7763: 7759: 7756: 7752: 7749: 7747: 7746: 7742: 7740: 7737: 7736: 7735: 7732: 7730: 7727: 7726: 7724: 7720: 7716: 7709: 7705: 7701: 7696: 7692: 7685: 7680: 7678: 7673: 7671: 7666: 7665: 7662: 7650: 7647: 7645: 7641: 7640: 7637: 7631: 7628: 7626: 7623: 7621: 7618: 7617: 7615: 7611: 7605: 7602: 7600: 7597: 7595: 7592: 7590: 7587: 7585: 7582: 7578: 7575: 7573: 7570: 7568: 7567:United States 7565: 7563: 7560: 7558: 7555: 7553: 7550: 7548: 7545: 7543: 7542:False balance 7540: 7539: 7538: 7535: 7533: 7530: 7528: 7525: 7523: 7520: 7518: 7515: 7513: 7510: 7508: 7505: 7503: 7500: 7498: 7497: 7493: 7491: 7488: 7486: 7483: 7482: 7480: 7476: 7470: 7467: 7465: 7462: 7460: 7457: 7455: 7452: 7450: 7447: 7445: 7442: 7440: 7437: 7435: 7432: 7430: 7427: 7425: 7422: 7420: 7417: 7415: 7414:Participation 7412: 7410: 7407: 7405: 7402: 7400: 7397: 7395: 7392: 7390: 7387: 7383: 7382:Psychological 7380: 7379: 7378: 7375: 7373: 7370: 7368: 7365: 7363: 7360: 7359: 7357: 7355: 7351: 7345: 7342: 7340: 7337: 7335: 7332: 7330: 7327: 7325: 7322: 7320: 7317: 7315: 7312: 7310: 7307: 7305: 7302: 7300: 7297: 7295: 7292: 7290: 7287: 7285: 7282: 7280: 7277: 7275: 7272: 7270: 7267: 7265: 7262: 7260: 7257: 7255: 7252: 7250: 7247: 7245: 7242: 7240: 7237: 7235: 7232: 7230: 7227: 7225: 7222: 7220: 7217: 7215: 7212: 7210: 7207: 7205: 7202: 7200: 7197: 7195: 7192: 7190: 7187: 7185: 7182: 7180: 7177: 7175: 7172: 7170: 7167: 7165: 7162: 7160: 7157: 7155: 7152: 7150: 7149:Fading affect 7147: 7145: 7142: 7140: 7137: 7133: 7130: 7129: 7128: 7125: 7123: 7120: 7118: 7115: 7113: 7110: 7108: 7105: 7103: 7100: 7098: 7095: 7091: 7088: 7087: 7086: 7083: 7081: 7078: 7076: 7073: 7071: 7068: 7066: 7063: 7059: 7056: 7055: 7054: 7051: 7049: 7046: 7044: 7041: 7037: 7034: 7032: 7029: 7028: 7027: 7024: 7022: 7019: 7017: 7014: 7012: 7009: 7007: 7004: 7002: 6999: 6998: 6996: 6993: 6988: 6984: 6977: 6972: 6970: 6965: 6963: 6958: 6957: 6954: 6947: 6944: 6941: 6938: 6936: 6933: 6930: 6927: 6924: 6921: 6920: 6911: 6906: 6905: 6901: 6896: 6893: 6889: 6885: 6879: 6875: 6874:PublicAffairs 6871: 6870: 6864: 6861: 6855: 6851: 6847: 6846: 6840: 6837: 6833: 6829: 6827:9781453914908 6823: 6819: 6815: 6810: 6809: 6799: 6795: 6791: 6787: 6783: 6779: 6775: 6771: 6770: 6764: 6761: 6757: 6753: 6747: 6743: 6738: 6735: 6731: 6727: 6721: 6717: 6712: 6709: 6705: 6701: 6695: 6691: 6686: 6683: 6679: 6675: 6669: 6665: 6661: 6657: 6654: 6650: 6646: 6640: 6636: 6632: 6628: 6623: 6620: 6616: 6612: 6608: 6604: 6600: 6596: 6592: 6589: 6585: 6581: 6577: 6573: 6569: 6564: 6550: 6546: 6542: 6538: 6534: 6530: 6526: 6519: 6515: 6511: 6508: 6504: 6500: 6494: 6490: 6485: 6482: 6478: 6474: 6468: 6464: 6460: 6456: 6452: 6449: 6445: 6441: 6437: 6432: 6429: 6425: 6421: 6415: 6411: 6407: 6406: 6400: 6397: 6393: 6389: 6385: 6381: 6377: 6371: 6368: 6364: 6360: 6354: 6350: 6346: 6345:Goldacre, Ben 6342: 6339: 6335: 6331: 6327: 6323: 6319: 6315: 6311: 6306: 6303: 6299: 6295: 6289: 6285: 6281: 6277: 6273: 6270: 6266: 6262: 6256: 6252: 6247: 6246: 6233: 6228: 6221: 6216: 6214: 6212: 6205:, p. 127 6204: 6199: 6195: 6190: 6185: 6180: 6175: 6171: 6167: 6163: 6159: 6152: 6145: 6140: 6138: 6130: 6125: 6123: 6121: 6113: 6108: 6106: 6104: 6102: 6100: 6092: 6089:, p. 4: 6088: 6084: 6079: 6074: 6070: 6066: 6061: 6056: 6052: 6048: 6044: 6040: 6036: 6029: 6022: 6018: 6014: 6010: 6005: 6000: 5996: 5992: 5985: 5983: 5981: 5973: 5968: 5964: 5960: 5956: 5952: 5948: 5944: 5940: 5933: 5926: 5921: 5913: 5906: 5899: 5895: 5891: 5885: 5881: 5873: 5869: 5865: 5861: 5857: 5853: 5849: 5845: 5841: 5837: 5830: 5828: 5826: 5824: 5808: 5804: 5800: 5794: 5787: 5783: 5779: 5775: 5771: 5767: 5760: 5744: 5740: 5736: 5730: 5724:, 32, 303–320 5723: 5717: 5710: 5698: 5694: 5690: 5683: 5668: 5664: 5663: 5658: 5652: 5645: 5641: 5637: 5633: 5629: 5625: 5617: 5611:, p. 201 5610: 5605: 5598: 5594: 5590: 5586: 5582: 5578: 5571: 5569: 5567: 5551: 5547: 5546: 5541: 5534: 5527: 5523: 5519: 5513: 5509: 5502: 5495: 5491: 5487: 5481: 5477: 5470: 5468: 5452: 5448: 5444: 5437: 5429: 5422: 5403: 5399: 5392: 5385: 5378: 5374: 5370: 5366: 5363:(1): 94–108, 5362: 5358: 5357: 5349: 5342: 5338: 5334: 5330: 5325: 5320: 5316: 5312: 5305: 5298: 5294: 5290: 5286: 5282: 5278: 5277: 5269: 5262: 5258: 5254: 5250: 5246: 5242: 5238: 5234: 5227: 5220: 5216: 5212: 5208: 5204: 5200: 5199: 5191: 5189: 5181: 5177: 5173: 5169: 5165: 5161: 5157: 5153: 5146: 5144: 5136: 5132: 5128: 5124: 5117: 5110: 5106: 5102: 5096: 5092: 5085: 5079:, p. 155 5078: 5073: 5066: 5061: 5054: 5050: 5046: 5042: 5038: 5031: 5024: 5020: 5016: 5010: 5006: 4999: 4992: 4987: 4983: 4979: 4975: 4968: 4961: 4957: 4953: 4947: 4943: 4936: 4929: 4925: 4921: 4915: 4911: 4904: 4897: 4893: 4889: 4883: 4879: 4872: 4865: 4861: 4856: 4851: 4847: 4843: 4842: 4834: 4827: 4821: 4817: 4813: 4812:Ernst, Edzard 4809: 4803: 4797:, p. 233 4796: 4795:Goldacre 2008 4791: 4784: 4780: 4776: 4772: 4768: 4764: 4757: 4749: 4745: 4741: 4737: 4733: 4729: 4722: 4715: 4709: 4705: 4701: 4695: 4688: 4684: 4680: 4674: 4670: 4666: 4659: 4652: 4648: 4644: 4640: 4636: 4632: 4628: 4624: 4617: 4610: 4606: 4602: 4596: 4592: 4588: 4581: 4574: 4570: 4566: 4562: 4558: 4554: 4553: 4548: 4542: 4535: 4531: 4525: 4518: 4514: 4510: 4506: 4502: 4498: 4497: 4489: 4482: 4478: 4474: 4470: 4466: 4462: 4458: 4454: 4450: 4446: 4445: 4440: 4434: 4427: 4423: 4419: 4415: 4411: 4404: 4397: 4393: 4388: 4383: 4379: 4375: 4371: 4367: 4360: 4353: 4347: 4343: 4336: 4334: 4326: 4321: 4317: 4313: 4307: 4303: 4299: 4293: 4278: 4274: 4270: 4263: 4256: 4252: 4247: 4242: 4237: 4232: 4228: 4224: 4220: 4216: 4212: 4205: 4199: 4194: 4192: 4190: 4183: 4178: 4176: 4168: 4164: 4160: 4156: 4152: 4148: 4141: 4134: 4130: 4126: 4122: 4118: 4114: 4107: 4100: 4096: 4091: 4086: 4082: 4078: 4073: 4068: 4064: 4060: 4056: 4049: 4042: 4038: 4034: 4030: 4026: 4022: 4018: 4011: 4003: 3999: 3992: 3977: 3973: 3969: 3962: 3947: 3943: 3939: 3932: 3917: 3913: 3909: 3902: 3900: 3891: 3887: 3886: 3878: 3871: 3865: 3861: 3857: 3853: 3852: 3844: 3837: 3831: 3827: 3820: 3813: 3807: 3803: 3799: 3792: 3774: 3770: 3766: 3762: 3758: 3754: 3750: 3746: 3742: 3741: 3733: 3726: 3724: 3716: 3711: 3707: 3703: 3697: 3693: 3686: 3679: 3674: 3667: 3662: 3655: 3651: 3647: 3643: 3639: 3635: 3634: 3626: 3619: 3615: 3611: 3607: 3603: 3599: 3595: 3588: 3581: 3577: 3573: 3567: 3563: 3559: 3555: 3551: 3544: 3538:, p. 206 3537: 3532: 3525: 3520: 3514:, p. 298 3513: 3508: 3502: 3497: 3490: 3485: 3477: 3473: 3469: 3465: 3461: 3457: 3453: 3449: 3448: 3440: 3434:, p. 239 3433: 3428: 3422:, p. 233 3421: 3416: 3409: 3404: 3397: 3393: 3389: 3383: 3379: 3376:US, pp.  3375: 3371: 3370: 3362: 3355: 3351: 3347: 3341: 3337: 3336:Irrationality 3330: 3328: 3326: 3318: 3314: 3310: 3306: 3302: 3298: 3294: 3290: 3286: 3282: 3275: 3268: 3263: 3257:, p. 73. 3256: 3255:Poletiek 2001 3251: 3245:, p. 238 3244: 3239: 3233: 3228: 3221: 3217: 3214: 3210: 3206: 3203: 3200: 3194: 3187: 3183: 3180: 3176: 3172: 3169: 3165: 3159: 3151:, p. 246 3150: 3146: 3143: 3137: 3130: 3124: 3120: 3114: 3113:Novum Organum 3108: 3106: 3098: 3093: 3091: 3081: 3077: 3070: 3063: 3057: 3050: 3046: 3041: 3034: 3030: 3026: 3022: 3021: 3013: 3006: 3002: 2998: 2994: 2987: 2980: 2976: 2972: 2968: 2961: 2943: 2939: 2935: 2931: 2927: 2923: 2919: 2912: 2905: 2903: 2901: 2899: 2891: 2887: 2882: 2877: 2873: 2869: 2865: 2859: 2853:, p. 121 2852: 2847: 2843: 2839: 2835: 2831: 2827: 2823: 2819: 2812: 2810: 2802: 2798: 2794: 2790: 2786: 2782: 2778: 2774: 2767: 2765: 2757: 2753: 2749: 2745: 2741: 2737: 2730: 2728: 2726: 2718: 2714: 2710: 2706: 2702: 2698: 2694: 2690: 2683: 2676: 2671: 2665:, p. 231 2664: 2663:Goldacre 2008 2659: 2655: 2651: 2647: 2640: 2638: 2630: 2626: 2622: 2618: 2611: 2604: 2599: 2597: 2595: 2587: 2583: 2579: 2573: 2569: 2562: 2555: 2549: 2545: 2538: 2531: 2527: 2523: 2519: 2515: 2511: 2506: 2501: 2497: 2493: 2492: 2483: 2481: 2479: 2471: 2467: 2463: 2459: 2455: 2451: 2446: 2441: 2437: 2433: 2426: 2424: 2422: 2420: 2413:, p. 122 2412: 2407: 2400: 2395: 2393: 2385: 2381: 2377: 2373: 2369: 2365: 2360: 2355: 2351: 2347: 2340: 2338: 2336: 2334: 2332: 2330: 2323:, p. 157 2322: 2317: 2310: 2306: 2302: 2298: 2294: 2290: 2283: 2281: 2273: 2269: 2265: 2261: 2257: 2253: 2246: 2244: 2242: 2240: 2224: 2220: 2214: 2210: 2209: 2201: 2194: 2190: 2186: 2182: 2178: 2174: 2167: 2160: 2156: 2151: 2146: 2142: 2138: 2134: 2130: 2123: 2121: 2113: 2108: 2106: 2099:, p. 131 2098: 2097:Poletiek 2001 2093: 2089: 2085: 2081: 2080: 2072: 2065: 2060: 2056: 2051: 2046: 2042: 2038: 2031: 2029: 2021: 2016: 2012: 2008: 2004: 2000: 1996: 1995: 1987: 1969: 1965: 1961: 1957: 1953: 1949: 1945: 1940: 1935: 1931: 1927: 1926: 1918: 1911: 1909: 1907: 1905: 1897: 1893: 1889: 1885: 1881: 1877: 1870: 1863: 1859: 1855: 1851: 1847: 1843: 1836: 1829: 1824: 1817: 1812: 1810: 1802: 1797: 1795: 1793: 1791: 1775: 1771: 1770: 1765: 1758: 1756: 1754: 1747: 1742: 1740: 1732: 1727: 1725: 1723: 1715: 1710: 1704: 1699: 1692: 1688: 1684: 1678: 1674: 1670: 1663: 1657:, p. 233 1656: 1651: 1644: 1639: 1637: 1635: 1633: 1631: 1629: 1627: 1625: 1623: 1621: 1619: 1617: 1615: 1613: 1611: 1609: 1601: 1597: 1592: 1587: 1583: 1579: 1575: 1571: 1564: 1557: 1552: 1548: 1527: 1518: 1511: 1510:David Perkins 1506: 1502: 1491: 1488: 1486: 1483: 1481: 1478: 1476: 1473: 1471: 1468: 1466: 1463: 1461: 1458: 1456: 1453: 1451: 1448: 1447: 1442: 1431: 1428: 1417: 1410: 1407: 1396: 1393: 1391:No arthritis 1390: 1389: 1385: 1382: 1379: 1378: 1374: 1371: 1368: 1367: 1361: 1357: 1355: 1348: 1338: 1334: 1330: 1327: 1323: 1312: 1309: 1304: 1301: 1300:risk aversion 1297: 1292: 1288: 1286: 1282: 1277: 1275: 1274: 1268: 1264: 1257: 1251: 1244: 1240: 1234: 1224: 1222: 1217: 1216:Brendan Nyhan 1213: 1204: 1202: 1198: 1194: 1190: 1184: 1180: 1175: 1160: 1157: 1147: 1144: 1140: 1135: 1133: 1129: 1124: 1114: 1112: 1107: 1105: 1101: 1091: 1088: 1087: 1082: 1078: 1077: 1066: 1063: 1060: 1055: 1053: 1049: 1045: 1041: 1035: 1033: 1029: 1028:inquisitorial 1025: 1016: 1012: 1003: 1001: 997: 993: 989: 988:Aaron T. Beck 985: 981: 979: 975: 971: 967: 962: 953: 951: 945: 941: 931: 928: 923: 921: 917: 913: 909: 903: 901: 896: 892: 890: 885: 883: 879: 875: 869: 865: 861: 851: 847: 845: 840: 838: 834: 830: 815: 806: 803: 799: 798: 793: 789: 779: 777: 773: 768: 767:social skills 764: 759: 755: 751: 747: 737: 735: 730: 726: 722: 718: 714: 710: 705: 702: 701: 696: 695: 689: 687: 684:According to 678: 669: 667: 657: 646: 641: 637: 632: 627: 623: 617: 613: 609: 606: 602: 598: 587: 585: 580: 576: 571: 560: 555: 553: 552: 545: 540: 538: 534: 533: 527: 525: 521: 520: 513: 508: 506: 505:Francis Bacon 502: 501: 500:Novum Organum 494: 489: 487: 486: 481: 477: 473: 472: 471:Divine Comedy 467: 463: 462: 443: 436: 435:Francis Bacon 432: 418: 415: 410: 406: 402: 393: 391: 386: 383: 377: 374: 373:O. J. Simpson 369: 365: 362: 361:Schema theory 351: 347: 344: 339: 337: 333: 328: 324: 316: 311: 307: 304: 300: 296: 291: 287: 285: 280: 276: 271: 267: 265: 258: 248: 244: 242: 238: 234: 229: 226: 221: 215: 211: 209: 203: 201: 197: 189: 186:'s character 185: 181: 176: 162: 158: 156: 155: 150: 149: 144: 139: 137: 127: 125: 121: 117: 113: 109: 104: 101: 96: 88: 87: 83: 80: 76: 73: 72: 68: 65: 64: 60: 59: 58: 55: 53: 48: 44: 40: 36: 32: 19: 11076:Technophobia 11064:Technophilia 10907:Echo chamber 10824: 10765:Rage farming 10545:Infotainment 10416:Superstition 10339: 10195: / 10193:Phantom time 10132:"Pence Card" 10105: / 10099:Vietnam War 10064: 10025:Jade Helm 15 9966: / 9814: 9750:Dulles' Plan 9634:Andinia Plan 9609:Finland Plot 9595:South Korea 9589:Tallano gold 9585:Philippines 9416:Islamophobic 9369:Christian / 9345:Kalergi Plan 9335:Judeopolonia 9323:World War II 9315: 9301: 9295: / 9266:George Soros 9261:Epsilon Team 9236:Andinia Plan 9092:Lepers' plot 9046: / 9042: / 9034:turbo cancer 8920: / 8762:WTC collapse 8751:9/11 attacks 8707: 8700:Pearl Harbor 8686: 8677: 8492: 8485:Khamar-Daban 8455:Dyatlov Pass 8435: 8427:Mary Celeste 8426: 8325:Vince Foster 8211:Adolf Hitler 8075:Maury Island 8069:Dundy County 8041: 8032:Men in black 8014: 8002: / 7998: / 7953:Hollow Earth 7882:moral panics 7872:Manipulation 7856: 7764: / 7760: / 7743: 7527:In education 7494: 7478:Other biases 7464:Verification 7449:Survivorship 7399:Non-response 7372:Healthy user 7314:Substitution 7289:Self-serving 7085:Confirmation 7084: 7053:Availability 7001:Acquiescence 6868: 6844: 6813: 6773: 6767: 6741: 6715: 6689: 6663: 6660:Plous, Scott 6630: 6602: 6598: 6571: 6567: 6556:, retrieved 6528: 6524: 6488: 6458: 6439: 6435: 6404: 6379: 6375: 6348: 6313: 6309: 6279: 6250: 6227: 6161: 6157: 6151: 6090: 6042: 6038: 6028: 5994: 5990: 5974:, p. 99 5942: 5938: 5932: 5927:, p. 99 5920: 5911: 5905: 5879: 5839: 5835: 5811:, retrieved 5802: 5793: 5769: 5765: 5759: 5747:. Retrieved 5738: 5729: 5721: 5716: 5708: 5701:, retrieved 5692: 5682: 5671:, retrieved 5660: 5651: 5627: 5623: 5616: 5604: 5580: 5576: 5554:, retrieved 5543: 5533: 5507: 5501: 5475: 5455:, retrieved 5446: 5436: 5427: 5421: 5409:. Retrieved 5397: 5384: 5360: 5354: 5348: 5314: 5310: 5304: 5280: 5274: 5268: 5239:(1): 51–64, 5236: 5232: 5226: 5202: 5196: 5155: 5151: 5126: 5122: 5116: 5090: 5084: 5072: 5060: 5052: 5040: 5036: 5030: 5004: 4998: 4977: 4973: 4967: 4941: 4935: 4909: 4903: 4877: 4871: 4845: 4839: 4833: 4815: 4808:Singh, Simon 4802: 4790: 4766: 4762: 4756: 4731: 4727: 4721: 4703: 4694: 4664: 4658: 4629:(1): 37–39, 4626: 4622: 4616: 4586: 4580: 4556: 4550: 4541: 4533: 4524: 4500: 4494: 4488: 4448: 4442: 4433: 4417: 4413: 4403: 4369: 4365: 4359: 4341: 4323: 4301: 4292: 4281:, retrieved 4277:the original 4272: 4262: 4218: 4214: 4204: 4198:Mahoney 1977 4182:Koehler 1993 4150: 4146: 4140: 4116: 4112: 4106: 4062: 4058: 4048: 4016: 4010: 4001: 3997: 3991: 3980:, retrieved 3971: 3961: 3950:, retrieved 3942:NewStatesman 3941: 3931: 3920:, retrieved 3911: 3889: 3883: 3877: 3850: 3843: 3825: 3819: 3797: 3791: 3782:25 September 3780:, retrieved 3744: 3738: 3691: 3685: 3673: 3661: 3637: 3631: 3625: 3601: 3597: 3587: 3556:, Hove, UK: 3553: 3543: 3531: 3526:, p. 94 3519: 3507: 3501:MacCoun 1998 3496: 3484: 3451: 3445: 3439: 3432:Lewicka 1998 3427: 3415: 3403: 3368: 3361: 3335: 3284: 3280: 3274: 3262: 3250: 3243:Lewicka 1998 3238: 3227: 3198: 3193: 3164:What Is Art? 3163: 3158: 3145: 3142: 3136: 3125:, p. 36 3123:Random House 3121:, New York: 3118: 3112: 3082:, p. 71 3075: 3069: 3061: 3056: 3040: 3027:(1): 77–94, 3024: 3018: 3012: 2996: 2992: 2986: 2970: 2966: 2960: 2949:, retrieved 2921: 2917: 2871: 2867: 2858: 2824:(1): 83–88, 2821: 2817: 2776: 2772: 2739: 2735: 2692: 2688: 2682: 2670: 2649: 2645: 2623:(1): 42–61, 2620: 2616: 2610: 2567: 2561: 2556:, p. 89 2547: 2543: 2537: 2495: 2489: 2435: 2431: 2406: 2349: 2345: 2316: 2292: 2288: 2255: 2251: 2227:, retrieved 2207: 2200: 2176: 2172: 2166: 2132: 2128: 2083: 2077: 2071: 2040: 2036: 1998: 1992: 1986: 1975:, retrieved 1929: 1923: 1882:(1): 22–34, 1879: 1875: 1869: 1845: 1841: 1835: 1823: 1778:, retrieved 1767: 1709: 1698: 1668: 1662: 1650: 1573: 1569: 1563: 1551: 1526: 1517: 1505: 1465:Conservatism 1405: 1402: 1358: 1350: 1335: 1331: 1321: 1318: 1305: 1293: 1289: 1280: 1278: 1271: 1259: 1253: 1248: 1207: 1205: 1185: 1181: 1177: 1153: 1139:pyramidology 1136: 1128:cold reading 1120: 1108: 1104:Witch trials 1097: 1084: 1074: 1072: 1064: 1056: 1036: 1020: 1000:hypochondria 982: 963: 959: 947: 924: 904: 897: 893: 886: 871: 848: 841: 829:social media 826: 823:Social media 812: 809:Make-believe 801: 795: 785: 776:social norms 758:Yaacov Trope 743: 740:Cost-benefit 706: 698: 692: 690: 683: 663: 654: 644: 630: 593: 581: 577: 573: 557: 549: 547: 542: 532:What Is Art? 530: 528: 517: 515: 510: 498: 496: 491: 483: 469: 459: 439: 413: 411: 407: 403: 399: 387: 378: 370: 366: 357: 348: 340: 336:hypocritical 320: 292: 288: 272: 269: 260: 256: 245: 240: 230: 216: 212: 207: 204: 193: 159: 152: 146: 140: 133: 120:social media 105: 93:A series of 92: 84: 78: 69: 61: 56: 42: 38: 34: 30: 29: 10840:Moral panic 10770:Screen time 10604:News values 10540:Gatekeeping 10482:Externality 10399:hate speech 9985:CIA and JFK 9964:"Obamagate" 9949:citizenship 9851:German Plot 9389:Popish Plot 9355:Rothschilds 9241:Blood libel 9228:Antisemitic 9164: [ 9044:Philippines 8881:Recruitment 8666:allegations 8645:Red mercury 8529:Joan of Arc 8522:Other cases 8463:(1950s–60s) 8409:John McAfee 8379:Hugo ChĂĄvez 8331:Kurt Cobain 8319:Turgut Özal 8315:(1980s–90s) 8295:Airey Neave 8253:Harold Holt 8193:Tom Thomson 8111:Gulf Breeze 8105:Ilkley Moor 7958:Hollow Moon 7729:Antiscience 7722:Core topics 7594:Publication 7547:Vietnam War 7394:Length time 7377:Information 7319:Time-saving 7179:Horn effect 7169:Halo effect 7117:Distinction 7026:Attribution 7021:Attentional 6531:: 259–287, 6455:Kunda, Ziva 6349:Bad science 5772:: 135–163, 5457:19 February 5449:(Podcast), 5411:20 February 5043:: 387–446, 4408:Lee, C.J.; 3560:, pp.  2951:11 November 1189:gun control 1132:James Randi 1032:adversarial 1024:mock trials 1015:Mock trials 927:peer review 729:consistency 537:Leo Tolstoy 480:Ibn Khaldun 474:, in which 315:MRI scanner 279:U.S. states 136:Peter Wason 52:emotionally 39:myside bias 11096:Categories 11054:Social bot 11044:Sealioning 10802:Conformity 10587:Propaganda 10572:Media bias 10565:Soft media 10389:Paranormal 10298:Li's field 10217:synarchism 10212:Illuminati 10207:Bilderberg 10079:Sandy Hook 10015:FEMA camps 9867:Lithuania 9702:Cairo fire 9674:Golpe Azul 9665:Venezuela 9630:Argentina 9482:Bangladesh 9444:Love jihad 9303:Ć»ydokomuna 9246:Cohen Plan 9156:Freemasons 9019:Ivermectin 9009:Chemtrails 9004:Big Pharma 8980:Thiomersal 8847:gay agenda 8842:drag panic 8827:Anti-LGBTQ 8664:False flag 8307:Zia-ul-Haq 8301:Olof Palme 8123:Morristown 8087:Twin Falls 8043:Die Glocke 8009:Dulce Base 7963:Reptilians 7948:Flat Earth 7835:Psychology 7771:Conspiracy 7739:deep state 7557:South Asia 7532:Liking gap 7344:In animals 7309:Status quo 7224:Negativity 7127:Egocentric 7102:Congruence 7080:Commitment 7070:Blind spot 7058:Mean world 7048:Automation 6558:10 October 6284:Icon Books 6232:Plous 1993 6220:Kunda 1999 6203:Kunda 1999 6144:Plous 1993 6112:Baron 2000 5972:Kunda 1999 5925:Kunda 1999 5813:23 October 5749:23 October 5609:Baron 2000 5065:Baron 2000 3982:24 October 3952:24 October 3858:, p.  3536:Baron 2000 3524:Kunda 1999 3420:Plous 1993 3232:Wason 1960 3097:Baron 2000 3045:Thucydides 2675:Kunda 1999 2399:Baron 2000 2229:16 October 2112:Kunda 1999 1816:Baron 2000 1801:Kunda 1999 1655:Plous 1993 1556:Baron 2000 1538:References 1380:Arthritis 1237:See also: 1081:self-image 992:depression 976:but treat 938:See also: 858:See also: 734:Ziva Kunda 694:heuristics 485:Muqaddimah 442:Thucydides 382:correlated 338:behavior. 303:John Kerry 273:A team at 237:confidence 200:odd number 196:hypothesis 188:Uriah Heep 11132:Ignorance 11127:Fallacies 10740:Infodemic 10674:Clickbait 10641:Attention 10497:Cognition 10394:Prejudice 10288:Bielefeld 10276:Satirical 10234:Pseudolaw 10127:Italygate 10066:incidents 10040:Pizzagate 9959:parentage 9871:Statesmen 9793:Ergenekon 9727:Pallywood 9697:10 agorot 9605:Thailand 9579:Jinnahpur 9575:Pakistan 9502:Holodomor 9492:Cambodian 8999:Aspartame 8908:GamerGate 8869:Homintern 8837:Chemicals 8687:Lusitania 8613:Agenda 21 8547:Jonestown 8537:(1948–54) 8385:Seth Rich 8277:Aldo Moro 8113:(1987–88) 8037:Nazi UFOs 7862:Denialism 7791:Espionage 7781:Deception 7625:Debiasing 7604:White hat 7599:Reporting 7512:Inductive 7429:Selection 7389:Lead time 7362:Estimator 7339:Zero-risk 7304:Spotlight 7284:Restraint 7274:Proximity 7259:Precision 7219:Narrative 7174:Hindsight 7159:Frequency 7139:Emotional 7112:Declinism 7043:Authority 7016:Anchoring 7006:Ambiguity 6836:908685982 6790:1747-0226 6463:MIT Press 6442:: 28–55, 6396:145497196 6367:259713114 6330:0033-295X 6269:316403966 6129:Fine 2006 6069:0027-8424 6021:0022-3514 5999:CiteSeerX 5959:0022-3514 5872:143452957 5786:1556-5068 5597:145659040 5494:319499491 5391:"3.2.4.1" 5341:0022-3514 5319:CiteSeerX 5297:0022-0167 5261:144945319 5253:1552-7433 5219:0022-1031 5172:0022-3514 5077:Kida 2006 4960:602015097 4896:474568621 4848:(1): 33, 4687:277205993 4651:153379653 4643:1542-7579 4473:0036-8733 4451:(1): 36, 4283:6 October 4081:2624-909X 4033:219380211 3922:1 October 3769:146709087 3761:1552-7433 3654:0022-3514 3618:143957893 3476:143148831 3468:1747-0226 3301:1747-0226 3149:Routledge 2876:CiteSeerX 2851:Vyse 1997 2846:145060971 2838:1552-7433 2709:0022-3514 2550:: 360–374 2500:CiteSeerX 2462:0092-5853 2440:CiteSeerX 2411:Vyse 1997 2376:0022-3514 2354:CiteSeerX 2321:Kida 2006 2309:145419628 2193:143133082 2064:Fine 2006 2020:Fine 2006 2015:0022-1031 2001:: 62–63, 1977:14 August 1956:0033-295X 1934:CiteSeerX 1896:1939-1315 1862:1939-1315 1828:Kida 2006 1543:Citations 1470:Denialism 1450:Apophenia 1279:The term 1263:Festinger 1044:U.S. Navy 944:Sunk cost 844:fake news 837:democracy 721:arguments 597:heuristic 421:Discovery 327:emotional 284:deterrent 108:decisions 11069:Neophile 10696:Phubbing 10614:Hot take 10502:Mismatch 10325:See also 10188:New Coke 10045:The Plan 9954:religion 9847:Ireland 9837:Georgia 9833:Euromyth 9816:Üst akıl 9765:Rasputin 9620:Americas 9544:Regional 9477:Armenian 9029:vaccines 9024:lab leak 9014:COVID-19 8886:Grooming 8168:theories 7889:Paranoia 7786:Dystopia 7762:Criminal 7712:Overview 7522:Inherent 7485:Academic 7459:Systemic 7444:Spectrum 7424:Sampling 7404:Observer 7367:Forecast 7279:Response 7239:Optimism 7234:Omission 7229:Normalcy 7199:In-group 7194:Implicit 7107:Cultural 7011:Affinity 6892:86117725 6798:19237642 6760:35025826 6734:69423179 6708:44683470 6682:26931106 6662:(1993), 6653:55124398 6549:archived 6545:15012470 6516:(1998), 6507:39002877 6481:40618974 6457:(1999), 6428:63297791 6347:(2008), 6302:60668289 6278:(2006), 6087:33837143 5864:17835457 5807:archived 5743:Archived 5697:archived 5673:26 April 5667:archived 5644:14102789 5550:archived 5526:26359284 5451:archived 5402:Archived 5109:56825108 5023:37180929 4928:32699443 4864:15208545 4814:(2008), 4783:28614014 4748:12414468 4702:(2007), 4609:61864118 4517:21098355 4481:16830675 4420:: 2–17, 4396:11440947 4325:believe. 4320:69423179 4273:Nautilus 4255:31498834 4215:PLOS ONE 4099:33693334 3976:archived 3946:archived 3916:archived 3892:(6): 8–9 3773:archived 3710:34731629 3580:55124398 3396:33832963 3354:72151566 3216:Archived 3205:Archived 3182:Archived 3171:Archived 3062:Paradiso 2942:archived 2938:40527220 2924:: 1–27, 2801:24729233 2793:11469313 2756:22743423 2586:55078722 2522:17069484 2272:14505370 2223:archived 2159:15536240 1968:archived 1964:10853196 1774:archived 1691:42823720 1600:19586162 1413:See also 1375:No rain 1364:Example 1199:and the 1046:Admiral 763:empathic 725:evidence 631:overlaps 451: â€“ 359:recall. 11029:Griefer 10835:Mobbing 10669:Chumbox 10621:Spiking 9968:Spygate 9897:Sweden 9723:Israel 9640:Canada 9512:Rwandan 9507:Nanjing 9487:Bosnian 9434:Eurabia 9394:Vatican 9384:Jesuits 9179:(1940s) 9097:Medbeds 8922:Gaylors 8918:Larries 8753:(2001) 8708:Liberty 8493:Estonia 8436:Titanic 8166:suicide 8081:Roswell 7986:Area 51 7816:Secrecy 7644:General 7642:Lists: 7577:Ukraine 7502:Funding 7264:Present 7249:Outcome 7154:Framing 6619:8508954 6588:7350256 6338:8483985 6242:Sources 6198:8610138 6166:Bibcode 6078:8053916 6047:Bibcode 5967:1185517 5898:7578020 5844:Bibcode 5836:Science 5803:Poynter 5556:31 July 5377:1142062 5180:2810025 5049:1619124 4855:1140750 4573:2304222 4453:Bibcode 4387:1120670 4246:6733478 4223:Bibcode 4167:2094423 4133:9703186 4090:7931917 4041:2708250 3562:255–272 3378:181–184 3317:1212273 3309:5683766 3166:ch. 14 3049:4.108.4 2717:2213492 2530:8625992 2470:3770487 2384:7465318 2150:4803283 2059:8350746 1780:13 June 1591:4797953 1123:psychic 1026:. Both 996:Phobias 934:Finance 539:wrote: 512:rejects 497:In the 180:yes man 106:Flawed 47:beliefs 10081:(2012) 10060:Pastel 9887:Spain 9857:Italy 9780:Turkey 9738:Russia 9560:India 9328:Z.O.G. 9201:Kosher 9104:(2003) 9040:Canada 8970:autism 8950:Health 8795:(2023) 8789:(2014) 8783:(2010) 8777:(2005) 8771:(2004) 8747:(1995) 8741:(1988) 8735:(1986) 8729:(1983) 8723:(1982) 8717:(1972) 8711:(1967) 8702:(1941) 8696:(1933) 8690:(1915) 8681:(1898) 8549:(1978) 8543:(1977) 8531:(1431) 8514:(2014) 8508:(1999) 8502:(1996) 8496:(1994) 8487:(1993) 8481:(1987) 8475:(1972) 8469:(1972) 8457:(1959) 8451:(1952) 8445:(1923) 8439:(1912) 8430:(1872) 8411:(2021) 8405:(2020) 8399:(2019) 8393:(2018) 8387:(2016) 8381:(2013) 8375:(2011) 8369:(2007) 8363:(2004) 8357:(2001) 8351:(1998) 8345:(1997) 8339:(1995) 8333:(1994) 8327:(1993) 8321:(1993) 8309:(1988) 8303:(1986) 8297:(1979) 8291:(1978) 8285:(1978) 8279:(1978) 8273:(1973) 8267:(1968) 8261:(1968) 8255:(1967) 8249:(1966) 8243:(1963) 8237:(1963) 8231:(1962) 8225:(1958) 8219:(1945) 8213:(1945) 8207:(1945) 8201:(1943) 8195:(1917) 8189:(1916) 8183:(1890) 8177:(1850) 8125:(2009) 8119:(1995) 8107:(1987) 8101:(1967) 8095:(1949) 8089:(1947) 8083:(1947) 8077:(1947) 8071:(1884) 8061:Hoaxes 8018:(1948) 7734:Cabals 7649:Memory 7562:Sweden 7552:Norway 7419:Recall 7189:Impact 7065:Belief 6983:Biases 6890:  6880:  6856:  6834:  6824:  6796:  6788:  6758:  6748:  6732:  6722:  6706:  6696:  6680:  6670:  6651:  6641:  6617:  6586:  6543:  6505:  6495:  6479:  6469:  6426:  6416:  6394:  6365:  6355:  6336:  6328:  6300:  6290:  6267:  6257:  6196:  6186:  6085:  6075:  6067:  6019:  6001:  5965:  5957:  5896:  5886:  5870:  5862:  5784:  5642:  5595:  5545:Forbes 5524:  5514:  5492:  5482:  5375:  5339:  5321:  5295:  5259:  5251:  5217:  5178:  5170:  5107:  5097:  5047:  5021:  5011:  4958:  4948:  4926:  4916:  4894:  4884:  4862:  4852:  4822:  4781:  4746:  4710:  4685:  4675:  4649:  4641:  4607:  4597:  4571:  4515:  4479:  4471:  4394:  4384:  4348:  4318:  4308:  4253:  4243:  4165:  4131:  4097:  4087:  4079:  4065:: 11, 4039:  4031:  3866:  3832:  3808:  3767:  3759:  3708:  3698:  3652:  3616:  3578:  3568:  3474:  3466:  3394:  3384:  3352:  3342:  3315:  3307:  3299:  3168:p. 143 3047:  2936:  2878:  2844:  2836:  2799:  2791:  2773:Memory 2754:  2715:  2707:  2584:  2574:  2528:  2520:  2502:  2468:  2460:  2442:  2382:  2374:  2356:  2307:  2270:  2215:  2191:  2157:  2147:  2057:  2013:  1962:  1954:  1936:  1894:  1860:  1689:  1679:  1598:  1588:  866:, and 713:belief 709:desire 414:source 33:(also 11122:Error 10900:Youth 10462:Media 10357:Dogma 10168:Other 10055:QAnon 9713:Iran 9655:Peru 9517:Sayfo 9401:Bible 9196:Halal 9168:] 9055:Ebola 8678:Maine 8640:HAARP 8027:MJ-12 7758:Civil 7537:Media 7507:FUTON 6794:S2CID 6635:79–96 6615:S2CID 6584:S2CID 6552:(PDF) 6521:(PDF) 6392:S2CID 6189:39730 5868:S2CID 5703:1 May 5640:S2CID 5593:S2CID 5405:(PDF) 5394:(PDF) 5257:S2CID 4647:S2CID 4163:JSTOR 4129:S2CID 4029:S2CID 3972:Wired 3856:Wiley 3776:(PDF) 3765:S2CID 3735:(PDF) 3614:S2CID 3472:S2CID 3313:S2CID 3202:p. 49 2945:(PDF) 2934:S2CID 2914:(PDF) 2842:S2CID 2797:S2CID 2752:S2CID 2526:S2CID 2466:S2CID 2380:S2CID 2305:S2CID 2268:S2CID 2189:S2CID 1971:(PDF) 1960:S2CID 1920:(PDF) 1497:Notes 754:truth 165:Types 41:, or 10464:and 10283:Acre 9554:Asia 9102:SARS 9070:GMOs 8706:USS 8685:RMS 8676:USS 8434:RMS 7973:UFOs 6888:OCLC 6878:ISBN 6854:ISBN 6832:OCLC 6822:ISBN 6786:ISSN 6756:OCLC 6746:ISBN 6730:OCLC 6720:ISBN 6704:OCLC 6694:ISBN 6678:OCLC 6668:ISBN 6649:OCLC 6639:ISBN 6560:2010 6541:PMID 6503:OCLC 6493:ISBN 6477:OCLC 6467:ISBN 6424:OCLC 6414:ISBN 6363:OCLC 6353:ISBN 6334:PMID 6326:ISSN 6298:OCLC 6288:ISBN 6265:OCLC 6255:ISBN 6201:via 6194:PMID 6083:PMID 6065:ISSN 6017:ISSN 5970:via 5963:PMID 5955:ISSN 5894:OCLC 5884:ISBN 5860:PMID 5815:2018 5782:ISSN 5751:2018 5705:2012 5675:2012 5558:2019 5522:OCLC 5512:ISBN 5490:OCLC 5480:ISBN 5459:2020 5413:2020 5373:PMID 5337:ISSN 5293:ISSN 5249:ISSN 5215:ISSN 5176:PMID 5168:ISSN 5105:OCLC 5095:ISBN 5045:SSRN 5019:OCLC 5009:ISBN 4989:via 4956:OCLC 4946:ISBN 4924:OCLC 4914:ISBN 4892:OCLC 4882:ISBN 4860:PMID 4820:ISBN 4779:PMID 4744:PMID 4708:ISBN 4683:OCLC 4673:ISBN 4639:ISSN 4605:OCLC 4595:ISBN 4569:PMID 4513:PMID 4477:PMID 4469:ISSN 4392:PMID 4346:ISBN 4316:OCLC 4306:ISBN 4285:2019 4251:PMID 4095:PMID 4077:ISSN 4037:SSRN 4017:SSRN 3984:2017 3954:2017 3924:2017 3864:ISBN 3830:ISBN 3806:ISBN 3784:2019 3757:ISSN 3713:via 3706:OCLC 3696:ISBN 3650:ISSN 3576:OCLC 3566:ISBN 3464:ISSN 3392:OCLC 3382:ISBN 3350:OCLC 3340:ISBN 3305:PMID 3297:ISSN 3127:via 2953:2014 2849:via 2834:ISSN 2789:PMID 2713:PMID 2705:ISSN 2661:via 2582:OCLC 2572:ISBN 2552:via 2518:PMID 2458:ISSN 2372:ISSN 2231:2021 2213:ISBN 2155:PMID 2095:via 2062:via 2055:PMID 2018:via 2011:ISSN 1979:2009 1952:ISSN 1892:ISSN 1858:ISSN 1782:2010 1687:OCLC 1677:ISBN 1596:PMID 1372:Rain 1369:Days 1306:The 1241:and 1206:The 1191:and 1083:and 1030:and 998:and 942:and 790:and 645:only 603:and 559:him. 77:the 9907:UK 9038:in 8975:MMR 8491:MS 7584:Net 7469:Wet 6778:doi 6607:doi 6576:doi 6533:doi 6444:doi 6384:doi 6318:doi 6314:100 6184:PMC 6174:doi 6073:PMC 6055:doi 6043:118 6009:doi 5947:doi 5852:doi 5840:185 5774:doi 5632:doi 5585:doi 5365:doi 5329:doi 5285:doi 5241:doi 5207:doi 5160:doi 5131:doi 4982:doi 4850:PMC 4771:doi 4736:doi 4631:doi 4561:doi 4557:263 4505:doi 4501:170 4461:doi 4449:295 4422:doi 4382:PMC 4374:doi 4370:323 4241:PMC 4231:doi 4155:doi 4121:doi 4085:PMC 4067:doi 4021:doi 3860:811 3749:doi 3642:doi 3606:doi 3456:doi 3289:doi 3029:doi 3001:doi 2975:doi 2926:doi 2886:doi 2826:doi 2781:doi 2744:doi 2697:doi 2654:doi 2625:doi 2621:111 2510:doi 2450:doi 2364:doi 2297:doi 2260:doi 2181:doi 2145:PMC 2137:doi 2088:doi 2045:doi 2003:doi 1944:doi 1884:doi 1850:doi 1586:PMC 1578:doi 1574:135 1223:). 914:of 884:). 827:In 711:on 343:SAT 313:An 11098:: 9166:fr 6886:, 6876:, 6872:, 6852:, 6830:, 6820:, 6816:, 6792:, 6784:, 6774:12 6772:, 6754:, 6728:, 6702:, 6676:, 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2822:6 2783:: 2777:9 2746:: 2699:: 2656:: 2627:: 2512:: 2452:: 2366:: 2299:: 2262:: 2183:: 2139:: 2090:: 2047:: 2005:: 1946:: 1886:: 1852:: 1580:: 1394:7 444:( 262:— 190:. 20:)

Index

Confirmation Bias
beliefs
emotionally
attitude polarization
belief perseverance
illusory correlation
psychological experiments
wishful thinking
decisions
overconfidence
inductive reasoning
social media
filter bubbles
Peter Wason
information processing
behavioral confirmation effect
self-fulfilling prophecy
A drawing of a man sitting on a stool at a writing desk
yes man
Charles Dickens
Uriah Heep
hypothesis
odd number
introversion–extroversion
loaded questions
selective exposure
confidence
Michael Shermer
Stanford University
U.S. states

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