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Optimal stopping

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A special example of an application of search theory is the task of optimal selection of parking space by a driver going to the opera (theater, shopping, etc.). Approaching the destination, the driver goes down the street along which there are parking spaces – usually, only some places in the parking
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lot are free. The goal is clearly visible, so the distance from the target is easily assessed. The driver's task is to choose a free parking space as close to the destination as possible without turning around so that the distance from this place to the destination is the shortest.
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Economists have studied a number of optimal stopping problems similar to the 'secretary problem', and typically call this type of analysis 'search theory'. Search theory has especially focused on a worker's search for a high-wage job, or a consumer's search for a low-priced good.
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is allowed to exercise the right to buy (or sell) the underlying asset at a predetermined price at any time before or at the expiry date. Therefore, the valuation of American options is essentially an optimal stopping problem. Consider a classical
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are the sequences associated with this problem. This problem was solved in the early 1960s by several people. An elegant solution to the secretary problem and several modifications of this problem is provided by the more recent
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On the other hand, when the expiry date is finite, the problem is associated with a 2-dimensional free-boundary problem with no known closed-form solution. Various numerical methods can, however, be used. See
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When the underlying process is determined by a family of (conditional) transition functions leading to a Markov family of transition probabilities, powerful analytical tools provided by the theory of
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You have a fair coin and are repeatedly tossing it. Each time, before it is tossed, you can choose to stop tossing it and get paid (in dollars, say) the average number of heads observed.
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You are observing a sequence of objects which can be ranked from best to worst. You wish to choose a stopping rule which maximises your chance of picking the best object.
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There are generally two approaches to solving optimal stopping problems. When the underlying process (or the gain process) is described by its unconditional
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can often be utilized and this approach is referred to as the Markov method. The solution is usually obtained by solving the associated
2124:{\displaystyle V(y)=\sup _{\tau \leq \tau _{\mathcal {S}}}J^{\tau }(y)=\sup _{\tau \leq \tau _{\mathcal {S}}}\mathbb {E} _{y}\left.} 4547: 2140: 2295: 3037: 1502:{\displaystyle dY_{t}=b(Y_{t})dt+\sigma (Y_{t})dB_{t}+\int _{\mathbb {R} ^{k}}\gamma (Y_{t-},z){\bar {N}}(dt,dz),\quad Y_{0}=y} 3086: 5427: 5301: 5261: 3943: 2784: 1822: 1612: 2925: 2285:{\displaystyle \phi \in C({\bar {\mathcal {S}}})\cap C^{1}({\mathcal {S}})\cap C^{2}({\mathcal {S}}\setminus \partial D)} 2460: 207: 4856:{\displaystyle V(x)={\begin{cases}K-x&x\in (0,c]\\(K-c)(x/c)^{\tilde {\gamma }}&x\in (c,\infty )\end{cases}}} 4328: 1308: 5063: 2421: 1193: 1189: 2747: 2601: 5490: 5529: 2641: 4537:{\displaystyle V(x)={\begin{cases}(b-K)(x/b)^{\gamma }&x\in (0,b)\\x-K&x\in [b,\infty )\end{cases}}} 4315:{\displaystyle \max \left\{{\frac {1}{2}}\sigma ^{2}x^{2}V''(x)+(r-\delta )xV'(x)-rV(x),g(x)-V(x)\right\}=0} 3924:{\displaystyle S_{t}=S_{0}\exp \left\{\left(r-\delta -{\frac {\sigma ^{2}}{2}}\right)t+\sigma B_{t}\right\}} 3480:) is the sequence of offers for your house, and the sequence of reward functions is how much you will earn. 1180:
This is sometimes called the MLS (which stand for Mayer, Lagrange, and supremum, respectively) formulation.
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F. Thomas Bruss. "The art of a right decision: Why decision makers want to know the odds-algorithm."
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an expected reward or minimise an expected cost. Optimal stopping problems can be found in areas of
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is the chance you pick the best object if you stop intentionally rejecting objects at step i, then
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It turns out that under some regularity conditions, the following verification theorem holds:
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is concerned with the problem of choosing a time to take a particular action, in order to
8: 5371: 5108: 1221: 946: 916: 87: 5160: 879:{\displaystyle (\Omega ,{\mathcal {F}},({\mathcal {F}}_{t})_{t\geq 0},\mathbb {P} _{x})} 5507: 5447: 5325: 5307: 5206: 5181: 5156: 5103: 5098: 4378: 3797: 3733: 3348: 3328: 2680: 1588: 1535: 1515: 1203: 972: 926: 920: 704: 511: 314: 291: 5423: 5388: 5351: 5311: 5297: 5257: 5210: 5198: 3727: 3489: 79: 5277: 3028:≥ 1) forms a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables with 501:{\displaystyle (\Omega ,{\mathcal {F}},({\mathcal {F}}_{t})_{t\geq 0},\mathbb {P} )} 5499: 5415: 5407: 5380: 5343: 5289: 5249: 5190: 5176: 5142: 3718: 3714: 83: 75: 5461: 5347: 5241: 5134: 5083: 1553: 529: 4702:{\displaystyle \nu =(r-\delta )/\sigma -\sigma /2,\quad b=\gamma K/(\gamma -1).} 1275: 5503: 3678: 1236: 1228: 1197: 745: 698: 364:
to maximize your expected reward (or equivalently, minimize your expected loss)
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You wish to maximise the amount you get paid by choosing a stopping rule. If
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A more specific formulation is as follows. We consider an adapted strong
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MacQueen, J.; Miller Jr., R.G. (1960). "Optimal persistence policies".
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You wish to maximise the amount you earn by choosing a stopping rule.
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You are observing the sequence of random variables, and at each step
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be the dividend rate and volatility of the stock. The stock price
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which depend on the observed values of the random variables in 1:
82:. Optimal stopping problems can often be written in the form of a 2851:
These conditions can also be written is a more compact form (the
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You have a house and wish to sell it. Each day you are offered
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to the filtration. The optimal stopping problem is to find the
37:"Dynkin game" redirects here. For the coupling card trick, see 5414:. Stochastic Modelling and Applied Probability. Vol. 39. 3937:
When the option is perpetual, the optimal stopping problem is
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to continue advertising it. If you sell your house on day
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be the bankruptcy time. The optimal stopping problem is:
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is some large number) are the ranks of the objects, and
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Stopping rule problems are associated with two objects:
5483:"Search-theoretic models of the labor market: a survey" 4032:{\displaystyle V(x)=\sup _{\tau }\mathbb {E} _{x}\left} 78:). A key example of an optimal stopping problem is the 4395:
is the exercise boundary. The solution is known to be
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is finite, the problem can also be easily solved by
5132: 2951:{\displaystyle {\mathcal {S}}\setminus \partial D.} 5368: 5139:Great Expectations: The Theory of Optimal Stopping 5050: 4933: 4855: 4701: 4602: 4536: 4387: 4367: 4314: 4142: 4088: 4031: 3923: 3806: 3786: 3766: 3742: 3668: 3635: 3602: 3571: 3519: 3472: 3439: 3384: 3357: 3337: 3317: 3287: 3241: 3195: 3146: 3069: 3001: 2950: 2914: 2840: 2773: 2736: 2689: 2669: 2627: 2590: 2543: 2506: 2483:{\displaystyle {\mathcal {S}}\setminus \partial D} 2482: 2449: 2408: 2384: 2356: 2284: 2174: 2123: 1926: 1850: 1811: 1778: 1707: 1651: 1597: 1577: 1544: 1524: 1501: 1299: 1266: 1212: 1169: 981: 961: 935: 907: 878: 791: 733: 713: 689: 654: 554: 520: 500: 417: 350: 323: 300: 271: 194: 145: 5362: 5521: 5332:(2010). "House-hunting without second moments". 4160: 4150:for a put option. The variational inequality is 3963: 2865: 2801: 2010: 1963: 1883: 1786:are given functions such that a unique solution 1119: 1015: 616: 284:Given those objects, the problem is as follows: 272:{\displaystyle y_{i}=y_{i}(x_{1},\ldots ,x_{i})} 5474:Newsletter of the European Mathematical Society 5074:, calculation of the optimal time to exercise. 5066:for various valuation methods here, as well as 4368:{\displaystyle x\in (0,\infty )\setminus \{b\}} 5405: 5239: 3249:are the objects associated with this problem. 5481:Rogerson, R.; Shimer, R.; Wright, R. (2005). 5324: 5286:Applied Stochastic Control of Jump Diffusions 5276: 5126: 1196:theory, the most important concept being the 4362: 4356: 2835: 2804: 2351: 2305: 1921: 1886: 5399: 5270: 5246:Optimal Stopping and Free-Boundary Problems 5149: 2450:{\displaystyle {\mathcal {A}}\phi +L\leq 0} 2774:{\displaystyle y\in {\bar {\mathcal {S}}}} 2628:{\displaystyle y\in {\bar {\mathcal {S}}}} 1858:be an open set (the solvency region) and 1242: 5318: 5235: 5233: 3974: 3265: 2979: 2168: 2036: 1838: 1760: 1745: 1730: 1689: 1674: 1639: 1624: 1406: 1287: 1038: 895: 863: 638: 591: 491: 5155: 799:defined on a filtered probability space 5248:. Lectures in Mathematics. ETH Zürich. 5169: 3681:of optimal stopping (Bruss algorithm). 2670:{\displaystyle {\mathcal {A}}\phi +L=0} 368: 86:, and are therefore often solved using 14: 5522: 5230: 98: 5175: 5064:Black–Scholes model#American options 3483: 3572:{\displaystyle R_{1},\ldots ,R_{n}} 3288:{\displaystyle \mathbb {E} (y_{i})} 3002:{\displaystyle \mathbb {E} (y_{i})} 1183: 989:, the optimal stopping problem is 792:{\displaystyle X=(X_{t})_{t\geq 0}} 418:{\displaystyle G=(G_{t})_{t\geq 0}} 146:{\displaystyle X_{1},X_{2},\ldots } 24: 5464:. "Sum the odds to one and stop." 4840: 4521: 4347: 3814:follows geometric Brownian motion 3699: 2939: 2931: 2875: 2761: 2647: 2615: 2499: 2474: 2466: 2427: 2401: 2316: 2273: 2265: 2239: 2208: 2154: 2026: 1979: 1916: 1874: 1828: 831: 817: 809: 728: 562:which maximizes the expected gain 460: 446: 438: 25: 5551: 5452:Who solved the secretary problem? 5162:Optimal Stopping and Applications 4353: 3708: 3242:{\displaystyle (y_{i})_{i\geq 1}} 3196:{\displaystyle (X_{i})_{i\geq 1}} 2936: 2591:{\displaystyle \phi (y)\geq V(y)} 2471: 2292:where the continuation region is 2270: 195:{\displaystyle (y_{i})_{i\geq 1}} 156:A sequence of 'reward' functions 5179:(2009). "Knowing When to Stop". 3934:under the risk-neutral measure. 3684: 3440:{\displaystyle y_{n}=(X_{n}-nk)} 3252: 1300:{\displaystyle \mathbb {R} ^{k}} 1190:finite-dimensional distributions 908:{\displaystyle \mathbb {P} _{x}} 5412:Methods of Mathematical Finance 4994: 4663: 3453:In this example, the sequence ( 3295:does not necessarily converge) 2966: 1482: 107:A sequence of random variables 5491:Journal of Economic Literature 5042: 5030: 5021: 5007: 4966: 4954: 4920: 4888: 4876: 4843: 4831: 4816: 4807: 4792: 4789: 4777: 4770: 4758: 4727: 4721: 4693: 4681: 4635: 4623: 4589: 4557: 4524: 4512: 4488: 4476: 4459: 4444: 4441: 4429: 4415: 4409: 4350: 4338: 4298: 4292: 4283: 4277: 4268: 4262: 4250: 4244: 4230: 4218: 4212: 4206: 4143:{\displaystyle g(x)=(K-x)^{+}} 4131: 4118: 4112: 4106: 4089:{\displaystyle g(x)=(x-K)^{+}} 4077: 4064: 4058: 4052: 4021: 4008: 3956: 3950: 3663: 3650: 3630: 3617: 3514: 3501: 3434: 3412: 3282: 3269: 3224: 3210: 3178: 3164: 2996: 2983: 2853:integro-variational inequality 2765: 2731: 2725: 2716: 2710: 2619: 2585: 2579: 2570: 2564: 2538: 2525: 2507:{\displaystyle {\mathcal {A}}} 2409:{\displaystyle {\mathcal {S}}} 2348: 2342: 2333: 2327: 2279: 2260: 2244: 2234: 2218: 2212: 2201: 2164: 2158: 2104: 2091: 2067: 2054: 2003: 1997: 1956: 1950: 1806: 1793: 1755: 1684: 1634: 1569: 1476: 1458: 1452: 1443: 1421: 1380: 1367: 1352: 1339: 1156: 1143: 1106: 1093: 1069: 1056: 1008: 1002: 873: 843: 825: 806: 774: 760: 495: 472: 454: 435: 400: 386: 311:If you stop observing at step 266: 234: 177: 163: 27:Class of mathematical problems 13: 1: 5217:(For French translation, see 5114: 4042:where the payoff function is 2848:is an optimal stopping time. 2737:{\displaystyle \phi (y)=V(y)} 943:. Given continuous functions 93: 5348:10.1080/07474946.2010.487423 5119: 7: 5468:, Vol. 28, 1384–1391,(2000) 5077: 2961: 2385:{\displaystyle \phi \geq M} 74:(related to the pricing of 10: 5556: 5504:10.1257/002205105775362014 5440: 3688: 3487: 1578:{\displaystyle {\bar {N}}} 427:filtered probability space 331:, you will receive reward 36: 29: 5477:, Issue 62, 14–20, (2006) 5458:, Vol. 4.,282–296, (1989) 5294:10.1007/978-3-540-69826-5 5254:10.1007/978-3-7643-7390-0 5094:Optional stopping theorem 1605:-dimensional compensated 690:{\displaystyle V_{t}^{T}} 555:{\displaystyle \tau ^{*}} 32:Optional stopping theorem 3325:for your house, and pay 373:Consider a gain process 30:Not to be confused with 5137:; Siegmund, D. (1971). 5089:Markov decision process 3787:{\displaystyle \sigma } 3767:{\displaystyle \delta } 3752:risk-free interest rate 3669:{\displaystyle (y_{i})} 3636:{\displaystyle (R_{i})} 3520:{\displaystyle (X_{i})} 2544:{\displaystyle (Y_{t})} 2516:infinitesimal generator 1812:{\displaystyle (Y_{t})} 1243:A jump diffusion result 734:{\displaystyle \infty } 5052: 4935: 4857: 4703: 4604: 4538: 4389: 4369: 4316: 4144: 4096:for a call option and 4090: 4033: 3925: 3808: 3788: 3768: 3744: 3670: 3637: 3604: 3573: 3527:is a finite sequence) 3521: 3474: 3441: 3386: 3359: 3339: 3319: 3289: 3243: 3197: 3148: 3133: 3071: 3030:Bernoulli distribution 3003: 2952: 2916: 2842: 2775: 2738: 2691: 2671: 2629: 2592: 2545: 2508: 2484: 2451: 2410: 2386: 2358: 2286: 2176: 2125: 1928: 1852: 1813: 1780: 1709: 1653: 1607:Poisson random measure 1599: 1579: 1546: 1526: 1503: 1301: 1268: 1233:free-boundary problems 1214: 1171: 983: 963: 937: 909: 880: 793: 735: 715: 691: 656: 556: 522: 502: 419: 352: 325: 302: 273: 196: 147: 5466:Annals of Probability 5221:in the July issue of 5053: 4936: 4858: 4704: 4605: 4539: 4390: 4370: 4317: 4145: 4091: 4034: 3926: 3809: 3789: 3769: 3745: 3671: 3638: 3605: 3603:{\displaystyle y_{i}} 3574: 3522: 3475: 3473:{\displaystyle X_{i}} 3442: 3387: 3385:{\displaystyle y_{n}} 3360: 3340: 3320: 3318:{\displaystyle X_{n}} 3290: 3244: 3198: 3149: 3113: 3072: 3004: 2953: 2917: 2843: 2776: 2739: 2692: 2672: 2630: 2593: 2546: 2509: 2485: 2452: 2411: 2387: 2359: 2287: 2177: 2126: 1929: 1853: 1814: 1781: 1710: 1654: 1600: 1580: 1547: 1527: 1504: 1302: 1269: 1267:{\displaystyle Y_{t}} 1215: 1172: 984: 964: 938: 910: 881: 794: 736: 716: 692: 657: 557: 523: 503: 420: 360:You want to choose a 353: 351:{\displaystyle y_{i}} 326: 303: 274: 197: 148: 5530:Mathematical finance 5385:10.1287/opre.8.3.362 4945: 4867: 4715: 4614: 4548: 4403: 4379: 4329: 4157: 4100: 4046: 3944: 3821: 3798: 3778: 3758: 3734: 3647: 3614: 3587: 3537: 3498: 3457: 3396: 3369: 3349: 3329: 3302: 3261: 3207: 3161: 3087: 3038: 2975: 2926: 2862: 2785: 2748: 2704: 2681: 2642: 2602: 2558: 2522: 2494: 2461: 2422: 2396: 2370: 2296: 2189: 2141: 1944: 1865: 1823: 1790: 1719: 1663: 1613: 1589: 1560: 1536: 1516: 1317: 1282: 1251: 1204: 996: 973: 947: 927: 890: 803: 751: 725: 705: 669: 569: 539: 512: 432: 377: 369:Continuous time case 335: 315: 292: 208: 160: 111: 72:mathematical finance 5540:Dynamic programming 5456:Statistical Science 5406:Karatzas, Ioannis; 5372:Operations Research 5335:Sequential Analysis 5326:Ferguson, Thomas S. 5195:10.1511/2009.77.126 5157:Ferguson, Thomas S. 5109:Sequential analysis 3721:, the holder of an 3157:then the sequences 2087: 1222:dynamic programming 1089: 962:{\displaystyle M,L} 917:probability measure 686: 586: 88:dynamic programming 39:Dynkin's card trick 5535:Sequential methods 5448:Thomas S. Ferguson 5182:American Scientist 5104:Stochastic control 5099:Prophet inequality 5048: 4931: 4853: 4848: 4699: 4600: 4534: 4529: 4385: 4365: 4312: 4140: 4086: 4029: 3971: 3921: 3804: 3784: 3764: 3740: 3713:In the trading of 3666: 3633: 3600: 3569: 3517: 3470: 3437: 3382: 3355: 3335: 3315: 3285: 3239: 3193: 3144: 3067: 2999: 2948: 2912: 2838: 2771: 2734: 2687: 2667: 2625: 2588: 2541: 2504: 2480: 2447: 2406: 2382: 2354: 2282: 2172: 2121: 2073: 2033: 1986: 1924: 1848: 1809: 1776: 1705: 1649: 1595: 1575: 1542: 1522: 1499: 1297: 1264: 1210: 1167: 1139: 1075: 1035: 979: 959: 933: 921:stochastic process 905: 876: 789: 731: 711: 687: 672: 652: 636: 572: 552: 518: 498: 415: 348: 321: 298: 269: 192: 143: 99:Discrete time case 5429:978-0-387-94839-3 5408:Shreve, Steven E. 5330:Klass, Michael J. 5303:978-3-540-69825-8 5263:978-3-7643-2419-3 5177:Hill, Theodore P. 5033: 5010: 4912: 4879: 4819: 4581: 4399:(Perpetual call) 4388:{\displaystyle b} 4176: 3962: 3890: 3807:{\displaystyle S} 3743:{\displaystyle r} 3719:financial markets 3490:Secretary problem 3484:Secretary problem 3358:{\displaystyle n} 3338:{\displaystyle k} 3111: 3058: 3044: 2768: 2690:{\displaystyle D} 2622: 2215: 2161: 2009: 1962: 1598:{\displaystyle l} 1572: 1545:{\displaystyle m} 1525:{\displaystyle B} 1455: 1213:{\displaystyle T} 1118: 1014: 982:{\displaystyle K} 936:{\displaystyle x} 714:{\displaystyle T} 615: 521:{\displaystyle G} 324:{\displaystyle i} 301:{\displaystyle i} 80:secretary problem 16:(Redirected from 5547: 5515: 5487: 5434: 5433: 5403: 5397: 5396: 5366: 5360: 5359: 5322: 5316: 5315: 5274: 5268: 5267: 5242:Shiryaev, Albert 5237: 5228: 5214: 5173: 5167: 5166: 5153: 5147: 5146: 5143:Houghton Mifflin 5130: 5070:for a discrete, 5057: 5055: 5054: 5049: 5035: 5034: 5026: 5020: 5012: 5011: 5003: 4987: 4973: 4940: 4938: 4937: 4932: 4927: 4913: 4902: 4901: 4892: 4881: 4880: 4872: 4862: 4860: 4859: 4854: 4852: 4851: 4822: 4821: 4820: 4812: 4802: 4711:(Perpetual put) 4708: 4706: 4705: 4700: 4680: 4656: 4642: 4609: 4607: 4606: 4601: 4596: 4582: 4571: 4570: 4561: 4543: 4541: 4540: 4535: 4533: 4532: 4467: 4466: 4454: 4394: 4392: 4391: 4386: 4374: 4372: 4371: 4366: 4321: 4319: 4318: 4313: 4305: 4301: 4243: 4205: 4197: 4196: 4187: 4186: 4177: 4169: 4149: 4147: 4146: 4141: 4139: 4138: 4095: 4093: 4092: 4087: 4085: 4084: 4038: 4036: 4035: 4030: 4028: 4024: 4020: 4019: 4004: 4003: 3983: 3982: 3977: 3970: 3930: 3928: 3927: 3922: 3920: 3916: 3915: 3914: 3896: 3892: 3891: 3886: 3885: 3876: 3846: 3845: 3833: 3832: 3813: 3811: 3810: 3805: 3793: 3791: 3790: 3785: 3773: 3771: 3770: 3765: 3749: 3747: 3746: 3741: 3675: 3673: 3672: 3667: 3662: 3661: 3642: 3640: 3639: 3634: 3629: 3628: 3609: 3607: 3606: 3601: 3599: 3598: 3578: 3576: 3575: 3570: 3568: 3567: 3549: 3548: 3526: 3524: 3523: 3518: 3513: 3512: 3479: 3477: 3476: 3471: 3469: 3468: 3446: 3444: 3443: 3438: 3424: 3423: 3408: 3407: 3391: 3389: 3388: 3383: 3381: 3380: 3365:, you will earn 3364: 3362: 3361: 3356: 3344: 3342: 3341: 3336: 3324: 3322: 3321: 3316: 3314: 3313: 3294: 3292: 3291: 3286: 3281: 3280: 3268: 3248: 3246: 3245: 3240: 3238: 3237: 3222: 3221: 3202: 3200: 3199: 3194: 3192: 3191: 3176: 3175: 3153: 3151: 3150: 3145: 3143: 3142: 3132: 3127: 3112: 3104: 3099: 3098: 3076: 3074: 3073: 3068: 3063: 3059: 3051: 3045: 3042: 3008: 3006: 3005: 3000: 2995: 2994: 2982: 2957: 2955: 2954: 2949: 2935: 2934: 2921: 2919: 2918: 2913: 2905: 2901: 2879: 2878: 2847: 2845: 2844: 2839: 2828: 2827: 2797: 2796: 2780: 2778: 2777: 2772: 2770: 2769: 2764: 2759: 2743: 2741: 2740: 2735: 2696: 2694: 2693: 2688: 2676: 2674: 2673: 2668: 2651: 2650: 2634: 2632: 2631: 2626: 2624: 2623: 2618: 2613: 2597: 2595: 2594: 2589: 2550: 2548: 2547: 2542: 2537: 2536: 2513: 2511: 2510: 2505: 2503: 2502: 2489: 2487: 2486: 2481: 2470: 2469: 2456: 2454: 2453: 2448: 2431: 2430: 2415: 2413: 2412: 2407: 2405: 2404: 2391: 2389: 2388: 2383: 2363: 2361: 2360: 2355: 2320: 2319: 2291: 2289: 2288: 2283: 2269: 2268: 2259: 2258: 2243: 2242: 2233: 2232: 2217: 2216: 2211: 2206: 2181: 2179: 2178: 2173: 2171: 2163: 2162: 2157: 2152: 2130: 2128: 2127: 2122: 2117: 2113: 2103: 2102: 2086: 2081: 2066: 2065: 2045: 2044: 2039: 2032: 2031: 2030: 2029: 1996: 1995: 1985: 1984: 1983: 1982: 1933: 1931: 1930: 1925: 1920: 1919: 1910: 1909: 1879: 1878: 1877: 1857: 1855: 1854: 1849: 1847: 1846: 1841: 1832: 1831: 1818: 1816: 1815: 1810: 1805: 1804: 1785: 1783: 1782: 1777: 1775: 1774: 1763: 1754: 1753: 1748: 1739: 1738: 1733: 1714: 1712: 1711: 1706: 1704: 1703: 1692: 1683: 1682: 1677: 1658: 1656: 1655: 1650: 1648: 1647: 1642: 1633: 1632: 1627: 1604: 1602: 1601: 1596: 1584: 1582: 1581: 1576: 1574: 1573: 1565: 1551: 1549: 1548: 1543: 1531: 1529: 1528: 1523: 1508: 1506: 1505: 1500: 1492: 1491: 1457: 1456: 1448: 1436: 1435: 1417: 1416: 1415: 1414: 1409: 1395: 1394: 1379: 1378: 1351: 1350: 1332: 1331: 1306: 1304: 1303: 1298: 1296: 1295: 1290: 1273: 1271: 1270: 1265: 1263: 1262: 1229:Markov processes 1219: 1217: 1216: 1211: 1184:Solution methods 1176: 1174: 1173: 1168: 1163: 1159: 1155: 1154: 1138: 1105: 1104: 1088: 1083: 1068: 1067: 1047: 1046: 1041: 1034: 988: 986: 985: 980: 968: 966: 965: 960: 942: 940: 939: 934: 914: 912: 911: 906: 904: 903: 898: 885: 883: 882: 877: 872: 871: 866: 857: 856: 841: 840: 835: 834: 821: 820: 798: 796: 795: 790: 788: 787: 772: 771: 740: 738: 737: 732: 720: 718: 717: 712: 696: 694: 693: 688: 685: 680: 661: 659: 658: 653: 651: 650: 641: 635: 611: 610: 609: 608: 594: 585: 580: 561: 559: 558: 553: 551: 550: 527: 525: 524: 519: 508:and assume that 507: 505: 504: 499: 494: 486: 485: 470: 469: 464: 463: 450: 449: 424: 422: 421: 416: 414: 413: 398: 397: 357: 355: 354: 349: 347: 346: 330: 328: 327: 322: 307: 305: 304: 299: 278: 276: 275: 270: 265: 264: 246: 245: 233: 232: 220: 219: 201: 199: 198: 193: 191: 190: 175: 174: 152: 150: 149: 144: 136: 135: 123: 122: 84:Bellman equation 76:American options 52:optimal stopping 50:, the theory of 21: 5555: 5554: 5550: 5549: 5548: 5546: 5545: 5544: 5520: 5519: 5518: 5485: 5462:F. Thomas Bruss 5443: 5438: 5437: 5430: 5404: 5400: 5367: 5363: 5323: 5319: 5304: 5275: 5271: 5264: 5240:Peskir, Goran; 5238: 5231: 5223:Pour la Science 5174: 5170: 5154: 5150: 5131: 5127: 5122: 5117: 5084:Halting problem 5080: 5025: 5024: 5016: 5002: 5001: 4983: 4969: 4946: 4943: 4942: 4923: 4897: 4893: 4891: 4871: 4870: 4868: 4865: 4864: 4847: 4846: 4823: 4811: 4810: 4806: 4798: 4774: 4773: 4750: 4734: 4733: 4716: 4713: 4712: 4676: 4652: 4638: 4615: 4612: 4611: 4592: 4566: 4562: 4560: 4549: 4546: 4545: 4528: 4527: 4504: 4492: 4491: 4468: 4462: 4458: 4450: 4422: 4421: 4404: 4401: 4400: 4380: 4377: 4376: 4330: 4327: 4326: 4236: 4198: 4192: 4188: 4182: 4178: 4168: 4167: 4163: 4158: 4155: 4154: 4134: 4130: 4101: 4098: 4097: 4080: 4076: 4047: 4044: 4043: 4015: 4011: 3993: 3989: 3988: 3984: 3978: 3973: 3972: 3966: 3945: 3942: 3941: 3910: 3906: 3881: 3877: 3875: 3862: 3858: 3857: 3853: 3841: 3837: 3828: 3824: 3822: 3819: 3818: 3799: 3796: 3795: 3779: 3776: 3775: 3759: 3756: 3755: 3735: 3732: 3731: 3730:set-up and let 3723:American option 3711: 3702: 3700:Parking problem 3693: 3687: 3657: 3653: 3648: 3645: 3644: 3624: 3620: 3615: 3612: 3611: 3594: 3590: 3588: 3585: 3584: 3563: 3559: 3544: 3540: 3538: 3535: 3534: 3508: 3504: 3499: 3496: 3495: 3494:(Example where 3492: 3486: 3464: 3460: 3458: 3455: 3454: 3419: 3415: 3403: 3399: 3397: 3394: 3393: 3376: 3372: 3370: 3367: 3366: 3350: 3347: 3346: 3330: 3327: 3326: 3309: 3305: 3303: 3300: 3299: 3276: 3272: 3264: 3262: 3259: 3258: 3257:(Example where 3255: 3227: 3223: 3217: 3213: 3208: 3205: 3204: 3181: 3177: 3171: 3167: 3162: 3159: 3158: 3138: 3134: 3128: 3117: 3103: 3094: 3090: 3088: 3085: 3084: 3050: 3046: 3041: 3039: 3036: 3035: 3023: 2990: 2986: 2978: 2976: 2973: 2972: 2971:(Example where 2969: 2964: 2930: 2929: 2927: 2924: 2923: 2874: 2873: 2872: 2868: 2863: 2860: 2859: 2823: 2819: 2792: 2788: 2786: 2783: 2782: 2760: 2758: 2757: 2749: 2746: 2745: 2705: 2702: 2701: 2682: 2679: 2678: 2646: 2645: 2643: 2640: 2639: 2635:. Moreover, if 2614: 2612: 2611: 2603: 2600: 2599: 2559: 2556: 2555: 2532: 2528: 2523: 2520: 2519: 2498: 2497: 2495: 2492: 2491: 2465: 2464: 2462: 2459: 2458: 2426: 2425: 2423: 2420: 2419: 2400: 2399: 2397: 2394: 2393: 2371: 2368: 2367: 2315: 2314: 2297: 2294: 2293: 2264: 2263: 2254: 2250: 2238: 2237: 2228: 2224: 2207: 2205: 2204: 2190: 2187: 2186: 2167: 2153: 2151: 2150: 2142: 2139: 2138: 2098: 2094: 2082: 2077: 2061: 2057: 2050: 2046: 2040: 2035: 2034: 2025: 2024: 2020: 2013: 1991: 1987: 1978: 1977: 1973: 1966: 1945: 1942: 1941: 1915: 1914: 1905: 1901: 1873: 1872: 1868: 1866: 1863: 1862: 1842: 1837: 1836: 1827: 1826: 1824: 1821: 1820: 1800: 1796: 1791: 1788: 1787: 1764: 1759: 1758: 1749: 1744: 1743: 1734: 1729: 1728: 1720: 1717: 1716: 1693: 1688: 1687: 1678: 1673: 1672: 1664: 1661: 1660: 1643: 1638: 1637: 1628: 1623: 1622: 1614: 1611: 1610: 1590: 1587: 1586: 1564: 1563: 1561: 1558: 1557: 1554:Brownian motion 1537: 1534: 1533: 1517: 1514: 1513: 1487: 1483: 1447: 1446: 1428: 1424: 1410: 1405: 1404: 1403: 1399: 1390: 1386: 1374: 1370: 1346: 1342: 1327: 1323: 1318: 1315: 1314: 1291: 1286: 1285: 1283: 1280: 1279: 1258: 1254: 1252: 1249: 1248: 1245: 1237:Stefan problems 1205: 1202: 1201: 1186: 1150: 1146: 1122: 1100: 1096: 1084: 1079: 1063: 1059: 1052: 1048: 1042: 1037: 1036: 1018: 997: 994: 993: 974: 971: 970: 948: 945: 944: 928: 925: 924: 899: 894: 893: 891: 888: 887: 867: 862: 861: 846: 842: 836: 830: 829: 828: 816: 815: 804: 801: 800: 777: 773: 767: 763: 752: 749: 748: 726: 723: 722: 721:can take value 706: 703: 702: 681: 676: 670: 667: 666: 646: 642: 637: 619: 604: 600: 599: 595: 590: 581: 576: 570: 567: 566: 546: 542: 540: 537: 536: 513: 510: 509: 490: 475: 471: 465: 459: 458: 457: 445: 444: 433: 430: 429: 403: 399: 393: 389: 378: 375: 374: 371: 342: 338: 336: 333: 332: 316: 313: 312: 293: 290: 289: 260: 256: 241: 237: 228: 224: 215: 211: 209: 206: 205: 180: 176: 170: 166: 161: 158: 157: 131: 127: 118: 114: 112: 109: 108: 101: 96: 42: 35: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 5553: 5543: 5542: 5537: 5532: 5517: 5516: 5478: 5469: 5459: 5444: 5442: 5439: 5436: 5435: 5428: 5420:10.1007/b98840 5398: 5379:(3): 362–380. 5361: 5342:(3): 236–244. 5317: 5302: 5269: 5262: 5229: 5227: 5226: 5189:(2): 126–133. 5168: 5148: 5124: 5123: 5121: 5118: 5116: 5113: 5112: 5111: 5106: 5101: 5096: 5091: 5086: 5079: 5076: 5059: 5058: 5047: 5044: 5041: 5038: 5032: 5029: 5023: 5019: 5015: 5009: 5006: 5000: 4997: 4993: 4990: 4986: 4982: 4979: 4976: 4972: 4968: 4965: 4962: 4959: 4956: 4953: 4950: 4930: 4926: 4922: 4919: 4916: 4911: 4908: 4905: 4900: 4896: 4890: 4887: 4884: 4878: 4875: 4850: 4845: 4842: 4839: 4836: 4833: 4830: 4827: 4824: 4818: 4815: 4809: 4805: 4801: 4797: 4794: 4791: 4788: 4785: 4782: 4779: 4776: 4775: 4772: 4769: 4766: 4763: 4760: 4757: 4754: 4751: 4749: 4746: 4743: 4740: 4739: 4737: 4732: 4729: 4726: 4723: 4720: 4709: 4698: 4695: 4692: 4689: 4686: 4683: 4679: 4675: 4672: 4669: 4666: 4662: 4659: 4655: 4651: 4648: 4645: 4641: 4637: 4634: 4631: 4628: 4625: 4622: 4619: 4599: 4595: 4591: 4588: 4585: 4580: 4577: 4574: 4569: 4565: 4559: 4556: 4553: 4531: 4526: 4523: 4520: 4517: 4514: 4511: 4508: 4505: 4503: 4500: 4497: 4494: 4493: 4490: 4487: 4484: 4481: 4478: 4475: 4472: 4469: 4465: 4461: 4457: 4453: 4449: 4446: 4443: 4440: 4437: 4434: 4431: 4428: 4427: 4425: 4420: 4417: 4414: 4411: 4408: 4384: 4364: 4361: 4358: 4355: 4352: 4349: 4346: 4343: 4340: 4337: 4334: 4323: 4322: 4311: 4308: 4304: 4300: 4297: 4294: 4291: 4288: 4285: 4282: 4279: 4276: 4273: 4270: 4267: 4264: 4261: 4258: 4255: 4252: 4249: 4246: 4242: 4239: 4235: 4232: 4229: 4226: 4223: 4220: 4217: 4214: 4211: 4208: 4204: 4201: 4195: 4191: 4185: 4181: 4175: 4172: 4166: 4162: 4137: 4133: 4129: 4126: 4123: 4120: 4117: 4114: 4111: 4108: 4105: 4083: 4079: 4075: 4072: 4069: 4066: 4063: 4060: 4057: 4054: 4051: 4040: 4039: 4027: 4023: 4018: 4014: 4010: 4007: 4002: 3999: 3996: 3992: 3987: 3981: 3976: 3969: 3965: 3961: 3958: 3955: 3952: 3949: 3932: 3931: 3919: 3913: 3909: 3905: 3902: 3899: 3895: 3889: 3884: 3880: 3874: 3871: 3868: 3865: 3861: 3856: 3852: 3849: 3844: 3840: 3836: 3831: 3827: 3803: 3783: 3763: 3739: 3710: 3709:Option trading 3707: 3701: 3698: 3689:Main article: 3686: 3683: 3679:odds algorithm 3665: 3660: 3656: 3652: 3632: 3627: 3623: 3619: 3597: 3593: 3566: 3562: 3558: 3555: 3552: 3547: 3543: 3516: 3511: 3507: 3503: 3488:Main article: 3485: 3482: 3467: 3463: 3436: 3433: 3430: 3427: 3422: 3418: 3414: 3411: 3406: 3402: 3379: 3375: 3354: 3334: 3312: 3308: 3284: 3279: 3275: 3271: 3267: 3254: 3251: 3236: 3233: 3230: 3226: 3220: 3216: 3212: 3190: 3187: 3184: 3180: 3174: 3170: 3166: 3155: 3154: 3141: 3137: 3131: 3126: 3123: 3120: 3116: 3110: 3107: 3102: 3097: 3093: 3078: 3077: 3066: 3062: 3057: 3054: 3049: 3019: 2998: 2993: 2989: 2985: 2981: 2968: 2965: 2963: 2960: 2959: 2958: 2947: 2944: 2941: 2938: 2933: 2911: 2908: 2904: 2900: 2897: 2894: 2891: 2888: 2885: 2882: 2877: 2871: 2867: 2837: 2834: 2831: 2826: 2822: 2818: 2815: 2812: 2809: 2806: 2803: 2800: 2795: 2791: 2767: 2763: 2756: 2753: 2733: 2730: 2727: 2724: 2721: 2718: 2715: 2712: 2709: 2698: 2697: 2686: 2666: 2663: 2660: 2657: 2654: 2649: 2621: 2617: 2610: 2607: 2587: 2584: 2581: 2578: 2575: 2572: 2569: 2566: 2563: 2552: 2551: 2540: 2535: 2531: 2527: 2501: 2479: 2476: 2473: 2468: 2446: 2443: 2440: 2437: 2434: 2429: 2417: 2403: 2381: 2378: 2375: 2365: 2353: 2350: 2347: 2344: 2341: 2338: 2335: 2332: 2329: 2326: 2323: 2318: 2313: 2310: 2307: 2304: 2301: 2281: 2278: 2275: 2272: 2267: 2262: 2257: 2253: 2249: 2246: 2241: 2236: 2231: 2227: 2223: 2220: 2214: 2210: 2203: 2200: 2197: 2194: 2170: 2166: 2160: 2156: 2149: 2146: 2137:If a function 2132: 2131: 2120: 2116: 2112: 2109: 2106: 2101: 2097: 2093: 2090: 2085: 2080: 2076: 2072: 2069: 2064: 2060: 2056: 2053: 2049: 2043: 2038: 2028: 2023: 2019: 2016: 2012: 2008: 2005: 2002: 1999: 1994: 1990: 1981: 1976: 1972: 1969: 1965: 1961: 1958: 1955: 1952: 1949: 1935: 1934: 1923: 1918: 1913: 1908: 1904: 1900: 1897: 1894: 1891: 1888: 1885: 1882: 1876: 1871: 1845: 1840: 1835: 1830: 1808: 1803: 1799: 1795: 1773: 1770: 1767: 1762: 1757: 1752: 1747: 1742: 1737: 1732: 1727: 1724: 1702: 1699: 1696: 1691: 1686: 1681: 1676: 1671: 1668: 1646: 1641: 1636: 1631: 1626: 1621: 1618: 1594: 1571: 1568: 1541: 1521: 1510: 1509: 1498: 1495: 1490: 1486: 1481: 1478: 1475: 1472: 1469: 1466: 1463: 1460: 1454: 1451: 1445: 1442: 1439: 1434: 1431: 1427: 1423: 1420: 1413: 1408: 1402: 1398: 1393: 1389: 1385: 1382: 1377: 1373: 1369: 1366: 1363: 1360: 1357: 1354: 1349: 1345: 1341: 1338: 1335: 1330: 1326: 1322: 1294: 1289: 1261: 1257: 1244: 1241: 1209: 1198:Snell envelope 1185: 1182: 1178: 1177: 1166: 1162: 1158: 1153: 1149: 1145: 1142: 1137: 1134: 1131: 1128: 1125: 1121: 1117: 1114: 1111: 1108: 1103: 1099: 1095: 1092: 1087: 1082: 1078: 1074: 1071: 1066: 1062: 1058: 1055: 1051: 1045: 1040: 1033: 1030: 1027: 1024: 1021: 1017: 1013: 1010: 1007: 1004: 1001: 978: 958: 955: 952: 932: 902: 897: 875: 870: 865: 860: 855: 852: 849: 845: 839: 833: 827: 824: 819: 814: 811: 808: 786: 783: 780: 776: 770: 766: 762: 759: 756: 746:Markov process 730: 710: 699:value function 697:is called the 684: 679: 675: 663: 662: 649: 645: 640: 634: 631: 628: 625: 622: 618: 614: 607: 603: 598: 593: 589: 584: 579: 575: 549: 545: 517: 497: 493: 489: 484: 481: 478: 474: 468: 462: 456: 453: 448: 443: 440: 437: 412: 409: 406: 402: 396: 392: 388: 385: 382: 370: 367: 366: 365: 358: 345: 341: 320: 309: 297: 282: 281: 280: 279: 268: 263: 259: 255: 252: 249: 244: 240: 236: 231: 227: 223: 218: 214: 189: 186: 183: 179: 173: 169: 165: 154: 142: 139: 134: 130: 126: 121: 117: 100: 97: 95: 92: 56:early stopping 26: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 5552: 5541: 5538: 5536: 5533: 5531: 5528: 5527: 5525: 5513: 5509: 5505: 5501: 5498:(4): 959–88. 5497: 5493: 5492: 5484: 5479: 5476: 5475: 5470: 5467: 5463: 5460: 5457: 5453: 5449: 5446: 5445: 5431: 5425: 5421: 5417: 5413: 5409: 5402: 5394: 5390: 5386: 5382: 5378: 5374: 5373: 5365: 5357: 5353: 5349: 5345: 5341: 5337: 5336: 5331: 5327: 5321: 5313: 5309: 5305: 5299: 5295: 5291: 5287: 5283: 5279: 5273: 5265: 5259: 5255: 5251: 5247: 5243: 5236: 5234: 5224: 5220: 5216: 5215: 5212: 5208: 5204: 5200: 5196: 5192: 5188: 5184: 5183: 5178: 5172: 5164: 5163: 5158: 5152: 5144: 5140: 5136: 5129: 5125: 5110: 5107: 5105: 5102: 5100: 5097: 5095: 5092: 5090: 5087: 5085: 5082: 5081: 5075: 5073: 5069: 5065: 5045: 5039: 5036: 5027: 5017: 5013: 5004: 4998: 4995: 4991: 4988: 4984: 4980: 4977: 4974: 4970: 4963: 4960: 4957: 4951: 4948: 4928: 4924: 4917: 4914: 4909: 4906: 4903: 4898: 4894: 4885: 4882: 4873: 4837: 4834: 4828: 4825: 4813: 4803: 4799: 4795: 4786: 4783: 4780: 4767: 4764: 4761: 4755: 4752: 4747: 4744: 4741: 4735: 4730: 4724: 4718: 4710: 4696: 4690: 4687: 4684: 4677: 4673: 4670: 4667: 4664: 4660: 4657: 4653: 4649: 4646: 4643: 4639: 4632: 4629: 4626: 4620: 4617: 4597: 4593: 4586: 4583: 4578: 4575: 4572: 4567: 4563: 4554: 4551: 4518: 4515: 4509: 4506: 4501: 4498: 4495: 4485: 4482: 4479: 4473: 4470: 4463: 4455: 4451: 4447: 4438: 4435: 4432: 4423: 4418: 4412: 4406: 4398: 4397: 4396: 4382: 4359: 4344: 4341: 4335: 4332: 4309: 4306: 4302: 4295: 4289: 4286: 4280: 4274: 4271: 4265: 4259: 4256: 4253: 4247: 4240: 4237: 4233: 4227: 4224: 4221: 4215: 4209: 4202: 4199: 4193: 4189: 4183: 4179: 4173: 4170: 4164: 4153: 4152: 4151: 4135: 4127: 4124: 4121: 4115: 4109: 4103: 4081: 4073: 4070: 4067: 4061: 4055: 4049: 4025: 4016: 4012: 4005: 4000: 3997: 3994: 3990: 3985: 3979: 3967: 3959: 3953: 3947: 3940: 3939: 3938: 3935: 3917: 3911: 3907: 3903: 3900: 3897: 3893: 3887: 3882: 3878: 3872: 3869: 3866: 3863: 3859: 3854: 3850: 3847: 3842: 3838: 3834: 3829: 3825: 3817: 3816: 3815: 3801: 3781: 3761: 3753: 3737: 3729: 3728:Black–Scholes 3724: 3720: 3716: 3706: 3697: 3692: 3691:Search theory 3685:Search theory 3682: 3680: 3658: 3654: 3625: 3621: 3595: 3591: 3582: 3564: 3560: 3556: 3553: 3550: 3545: 3541: 3531: 3528: 3509: 3505: 3491: 3481: 3465: 3461: 3451: 3448: 3431: 3428: 3425: 3420: 3416: 3409: 3404: 3400: 3377: 3373: 3352: 3332: 3310: 3306: 3296: 3277: 3273: 3253:House selling 3250: 3234: 3231: 3228: 3218: 3214: 3188: 3185: 3182: 3172: 3168: 3139: 3135: 3129: 3124: 3121: 3118: 3114: 3108: 3105: 3100: 3095: 3091: 3083: 3082: 3081: 3064: 3060: 3055: 3052: 3047: 3034: 3033: 3032: 3031: 3027: 3022: 3018: 3013: 3010: 2991: 2987: 2945: 2942: 2909: 2906: 2902: 2898: 2895: 2892: 2889: 2886: 2883: 2880: 2869: 2858: 2857: 2856: 2854: 2849: 2832: 2829: 2824: 2820: 2816: 2813: 2810: 2807: 2798: 2793: 2789: 2754: 2751: 2728: 2722: 2719: 2713: 2707: 2684: 2664: 2661: 2658: 2655: 2652: 2638: 2637: 2636: 2608: 2605: 2582: 2576: 2573: 2567: 2561: 2533: 2529: 2517: 2477: 2444: 2441: 2438: 2435: 2432: 2418: 2379: 2376: 2373: 2366: 2345: 2339: 2336: 2330: 2324: 2321: 2311: 2308: 2302: 2299: 2276: 2255: 2251: 2247: 2229: 2225: 2221: 2198: 2195: 2192: 2185: 2184: 2183: 2147: 2144: 2135: 2118: 2114: 2110: 2107: 2099: 2095: 2088: 2083: 2078: 2074: 2070: 2062: 2058: 2051: 2047: 2041: 2021: 2017: 2014: 2006: 2000: 1992: 1988: 1974: 1970: 1967: 1959: 1953: 1947: 1940: 1939: 1938: 1911: 1906: 1902: 1898: 1895: 1892: 1889: 1880: 1869: 1861: 1860: 1859: 1843: 1833: 1801: 1797: 1771: 1768: 1765: 1750: 1740: 1735: 1725: 1722: 1700: 1697: 1694: 1679: 1669: 1666: 1644: 1629: 1619: 1616: 1608: 1592: 1566: 1555: 1552:-dimensional 1539: 1519: 1496: 1493: 1488: 1484: 1479: 1473: 1470: 1467: 1464: 1461: 1449: 1440: 1437: 1432: 1429: 1425: 1418: 1411: 1400: 1396: 1391: 1387: 1383: 1375: 1371: 1364: 1361: 1358: 1355: 1347: 1343: 1336: 1333: 1328: 1324: 1320: 1313: 1312: 1311: 1310: 1307:given by the 1292: 1278:diffusion in 1277: 1259: 1255: 1240: 1238: 1234: 1230: 1225: 1223: 1207: 1199: 1195: 1191: 1181: 1164: 1160: 1151: 1147: 1140: 1135: 1132: 1129: 1126: 1123: 1115: 1112: 1109: 1101: 1097: 1090: 1085: 1080: 1076: 1072: 1064: 1060: 1053: 1049: 1043: 1031: 1028: 1025: 1022: 1019: 1011: 1005: 999: 992: 991: 990: 976: 956: 953: 950: 930: 922: 918: 900: 868: 858: 853: 850: 847: 837: 822: 812: 784: 781: 778: 768: 764: 757: 754: 747: 742: 708: 700: 682: 677: 673: 647: 643: 632: 629: 626: 623: 620: 612: 605: 601: 596: 587: 582: 577: 573: 565: 564: 563: 547: 543: 535: 534:stopping time 531: 515: 487: 482: 479: 476: 466: 451: 441: 428: 425:defined on a 410: 407: 404: 394: 390: 383: 380: 363: 362:stopping rule 359: 343: 339: 318: 310: 295: 287: 286: 285: 261: 257: 253: 250: 247: 242: 238: 229: 225: 221: 216: 212: 204: 203: 187: 184: 181: 171: 167: 155: 140: 137: 132: 128: 124: 119: 115: 106: 105: 104: 91: 89: 85: 81: 77: 73: 69: 65: 61: 57: 53: 49: 44: 40: 33: 19: 5495: 5489: 5472: 5465: 5455: 5411: 5401: 5376: 5370: 5364: 5339: 5333: 5320: 5285: 5278:Øksendal, B. 5272: 5245: 5222: 5186: 5180: 5171: 5161: 5151: 5138: 5133:Chow, Y.S.; 5128: 5060: 4324: 4041: 3936: 3933: 3712: 3703: 3694: 3580: 3532: 3529: 3493: 3452: 3449: 3297: 3256: 3156: 3079: 3025: 3020: 3016: 3014: 3011: 2970: 2967:Coin tossing 2850: 2699: 2553: 2136: 2133: 1936: 1819:exists. Let 1511: 1246: 1226: 1187: 1179: 915:denotes the 743: 664: 372: 283: 102: 55: 51: 45: 43: 18:Dynkin games 5219:cover story 5135:Robbins, H. 3009:converges) 48:mathematics 5524:Categories 5141:. Boston: 5115:References 5072:tree based 2182:satisfies 1194:martingale 923:starts at 919:where the 94:Definition 64:statistics 5393:0030-364X 5356:0747-4946 5312:123531718 5282:Sulem, A. 5211:124798270 5203:1545-2786 5120:Citations 5037:− 5031:~ 5028:γ 5008:~ 5005:γ 4981:σ 4978:− 4975:σ 4964:δ 4961:− 4949:ν 4929:σ 4918:ν 4895:ν 4886:− 4877:~ 4874:γ 4841:∞ 4829:∈ 4817:~ 4814:γ 4784:− 4756:∈ 4745:− 4688:− 4685:γ 4671:γ 4650:σ 4647:− 4644:σ 4633:δ 4630:− 4618:ν 4598:σ 4587:ν 4584:− 4564:ν 4552:γ 4522:∞ 4510:∈ 4499:− 4474:∈ 4464:γ 4436:− 4354:∖ 4348:∞ 4336:∈ 4287:− 4254:− 4228:δ 4225:− 4180:σ 4125:− 4071:− 4017:τ 4001:τ 3995:− 3968:τ 3904:σ 3879:σ 3873:− 3870:δ 3867:− 3851:⁡ 3782:σ 3762:δ 3554:… 3533:Here, if 3426:− 3232:≥ 3186:≥ 3115:∑ 2940:∂ 2937:∖ 2899:ϕ 2896:− 2881:ϕ 2830:∉ 2794:∗ 2790:τ 2766:¯ 2755:∈ 2708:ϕ 2653:ϕ 2620:¯ 2609:∈ 2574:≥ 2562:ϕ 2475:∂ 2472:∖ 2442:≤ 2433:ϕ 2377:≥ 2374:ϕ 2325:ϕ 2312:∈ 2274:∂ 2271:∖ 2248:∩ 2222:∩ 2213:¯ 2196:∈ 2193:ϕ 2165:→ 2159:¯ 2145:ϕ 2084:τ 2075:∫ 2063:τ 2022:τ 2018:≤ 2015:τ 1993:τ 1975:τ 1971:≤ 1968:τ 1912:∉ 1870:τ 1834:⊂ 1769:× 1756:→ 1741:× 1723:γ 1698:× 1685:→ 1667:σ 1635:→ 1570:¯ 1453:¯ 1433:− 1419:γ 1401:∫ 1365:σ 1136:τ 1133:≤ 1127:≤ 1086:τ 1077:∫ 1065:τ 1029:≤ 1026:τ 1023:≤ 851:≥ 810:Ω 782:≥ 729:∞ 648:τ 630:≤ 627:τ 624:≤ 606:∗ 602:τ 548:∗ 544:τ 480:≥ 439:Ω 408:≥ 251:… 185:≥ 141:… 68:economics 5410:(1998). 5284:(2007). 5244:(2006). 5225:(2009).) 5159:(2007). 5078:See also 4325:for all 4241:′ 4203:″ 3392:, where 2962:Examples 2744:for all 2598:for all 2490:, where 60:maximise 5512:4129380 5441:Sources 5165:. UCLA. 3750:be the 3715:options 3080:and if 2514:is the 1532:is an 701:. Here 530:adapted 5510:  5426:  5391:  5354:  5310:  5300:  5260:  5209:  5201:  4863:where 4544:where 4375:where 3203:, and 1715:, and 1585:is an 1512:where 969:, and 886:where 665:where 70:, and 5508:JSTOR 5486:(PDF) 5308:S2CID 5207:S2CID 5068:Fugit 3024:(for 2700:Then 2554:then 2416:, and 1274:be a 5424:ISBN 5389:ISSN 5352:ISSN 5298:ISBN 5258:ISBN 5199:ISSN 4941:and 4610:and 3774:and 3754:and 3643:and 3043:Bern 2811:> 2781:and 2337:> 1893:> 1276:Lévy 1247:Let 5500:doi 5450:, " 5416:doi 5381:doi 5344:doi 5290:doi 5250:doi 5191:doi 4161:max 3964:sup 3848:exp 3717:on 2922:on 2866:max 2855:): 2802:inf 2677:on 2518:of 2457:on 2392:on 2011:sup 1964:sup 1884:inf 1309:SDE 1239:). 1120:sup 1016:sup 617:sup 528:is 54:or 46:In 5526:: 5506:. 5496:43 5494:. 5488:. 5454:" 5422:. 5387:. 5375:. 5350:. 5340:29 5338:. 5328:; 5306:. 5296:. 5288:. 5280:; 5256:. 5232:^ 5205:. 5197:. 5187:97 5185:. 3447:. 1659:, 1609:, 1556:, 1224:. 741:. 90:. 66:, 5514:. 5502:: 5432:. 5418:: 5395:. 5383:: 5377:8 5358:. 5346:: 5314:. 5292:: 5266:. 5252:: 5213:. 5193:: 5145:. 5046:. 5043:) 5040:1 5022:( 5018:/ 5014:K 4999:= 4996:c 4992:, 4989:2 4985:/ 4971:/ 4967:) 4958:r 4955:( 4952:= 4925:/ 4921:) 4915:+ 4910:r 4907:2 4904:+ 4899:2 4889:( 4883:= 4844:) 4838:, 4835:c 4832:( 4826:x 4808:) 4804:c 4800:/ 4796:x 4793:( 4790:) 4787:c 4781:K 4778:( 4771:] 4768:c 4765:, 4762:0 4759:( 4753:x 4748:x 4742:K 4736:{ 4731:= 4728:) 4725:x 4722:( 4719:V 4697:. 4694:) 4691:1 4682:( 4678:/ 4674:K 4668:= 4665:b 4661:, 4658:2 4654:/ 4640:/ 4636:) 4627:r 4624:( 4621:= 4594:/ 4590:) 4579:r 4576:2 4573:+ 4568:2 4558:( 4555:= 4525:) 4519:, 4516:b 4513:[ 4507:x 4502:K 4496:x 4489:) 4486:b 4483:, 4480:0 4477:( 4471:x 4460:) 4456:b 4452:/ 4448:x 4445:( 4442:) 4439:K 4433:b 4430:( 4424:{ 4419:= 4416:) 4413:x 4410:( 4407:V 4383:b 4363:} 4360:b 4357:{ 4351:) 4345:, 4342:0 4339:( 4333:x 4310:0 4307:= 4303:} 4299:) 4296:x 4293:( 4290:V 4284:) 4281:x 4278:( 4275:g 4272:, 4269:) 4266:x 4263:( 4260:V 4257:r 4251:) 4248:x 4245:( 4238:V 4234:x 4231:) 4222:r 4219:( 4216:+ 4213:) 4210:x 4207:( 4200:V 4194:2 4190:x 4184:2 4174:2 4171:1 4165:{ 4136:+ 4132:) 4128:x 4122:K 4119:( 4116:= 4113:) 4110:x 4107:( 4104:g 4082:+ 4078:) 4074:K 4068:x 4065:( 4062:= 4059:) 4056:x 4053:( 4050:g 4026:] 4022:) 4013:S 4009:( 4006:g 3998:r 3991:e 3986:[ 3980:x 3975:E 3960:= 3957:) 3954:x 3951:( 3948:V 3918:} 3912:t 3908:B 3901:+ 3898:t 3894:) 3888:2 3883:2 3864:r 3860:( 3855:{ 3843:0 3839:S 3835:= 3830:t 3826:S 3802:S 3738:r 3664:) 3659:i 3655:y 3651:( 3631:) 3626:i 3622:R 3618:( 3596:i 3592:y 3581:n 3579:( 3565:n 3561:R 3557:, 3551:, 3546:1 3542:R 3515:) 3510:i 3506:X 3502:( 3466:i 3462:X 3435:) 3432:k 3429:n 3421:n 3417:X 3413:( 3410:= 3405:n 3401:y 3378:n 3374:y 3353:n 3333:k 3311:n 3307:X 3283:) 3278:i 3274:y 3270:( 3266:E 3235:1 3229:i 3225:) 3219:i 3215:y 3211:( 3189:1 3183:i 3179:) 3173:i 3169:X 3165:( 3140:k 3136:X 3130:i 3125:1 3122:= 3119:k 3109:i 3106:1 3101:= 3096:i 3092:y 3065:, 3061:) 3056:2 3053:1 3048:( 3026:i 3021:i 3017:X 2997:) 2992:i 2988:y 2984:( 2980:E 2946:. 2943:D 2932:S 2910:0 2907:= 2903:} 2893:M 2890:, 2887:L 2884:+ 2876:A 2870:{ 2836:} 2833:D 2825:t 2821:Y 2817:: 2814:0 2808:t 2805:{ 2799:= 2762:S 2752:y 2732:) 2729:y 2726:( 2723:V 2720:= 2717:) 2714:y 2711:( 2685:D 2665:0 2662:= 2659:L 2656:+ 2648:A 2616:S 2606:y 2586:) 2583:y 2580:( 2577:V 2571:) 2568:y 2565:( 2539:) 2534:t 2530:Y 2526:( 2500:A 2478:D 2467:S 2445:0 2439:L 2436:+ 2428:A 2402:S 2380:M 2364:, 2352:} 2349:) 2346:y 2343:( 2340:M 2334:) 2331:y 2328:( 2322:: 2317:S 2309:y 2306:{ 2303:= 2300:D 2280:) 2277:D 2266:S 2261:( 2256:2 2252:C 2245:) 2240:S 2235:( 2230:1 2226:C 2219:) 2209:S 2202:( 2199:C 2169:R 2155:S 2148:: 2119:. 2115:] 2111:t 2108:d 2105:) 2100:t 2096:Y 2092:( 2089:L 2079:0 2071:+ 2068:) 2059:Y 2055:( 2052:M 2048:[ 2042:y 2037:E 2027:S 2007:= 2004:) 2001:y 1998:( 1989:J 1980:S 1960:= 1957:) 1954:y 1951:( 1948:V 1922:} 1917:S 1907:t 1903:Y 1899:: 1896:0 1890:t 1887:{ 1881:= 1875:S 1844:k 1839:R 1829:S 1807:) 1802:t 1798:Y 1794:( 1772:l 1766:k 1761:R 1751:k 1746:R 1736:k 1731:R 1726:: 1701:m 1695:k 1690:R 1680:k 1675:R 1670:: 1645:k 1640:R 1630:k 1625:R 1620:: 1617:b 1593:l 1567:N 1540:m 1520:B 1497:y 1494:= 1489:0 1485:Y 1480:, 1477:) 1474:z 1471:d 1468:, 1465:t 1462:d 1459:( 1450:N 1444:) 1441:z 1438:, 1430:t 1426:Y 1422:( 1412:k 1407:R 1397:+ 1392:t 1388:B 1384:d 1381:) 1376:t 1372:Y 1368:( 1362:+ 1359:t 1356:d 1353:) 1348:t 1344:Y 1340:( 1337:b 1334:= 1329:t 1325:Y 1321:d 1293:k 1288:R 1260:t 1256:Y 1235:( 1208:T 1165:. 1161:) 1157:) 1152:t 1148:X 1144:( 1141:K 1130:t 1124:0 1116:+ 1113:t 1110:d 1107:) 1102:t 1098:X 1094:( 1091:L 1081:0 1073:+ 1070:) 1061:X 1057:( 1054:M 1050:( 1044:x 1039:E 1032:T 1020:0 1012:= 1009:) 1006:x 1003:( 1000:V 977:K 957:L 954:, 951:M 931:x 901:x 896:P 874:) 869:x 864:P 859:, 854:0 848:t 844:) 838:t 832:F 826:( 823:, 818:F 813:, 807:( 785:0 779:t 775:) 769:t 765:X 761:( 758:= 755:X 709:T 683:T 678:t 674:V 644:G 639:E 633:T 621:t 613:= 597:G 592:E 588:= 583:T 578:t 574:V 516:G 496:) 492:P 488:, 483:0 477:t 473:) 467:t 461:F 455:( 452:, 447:F 442:, 436:( 411:0 405:t 401:) 395:t 391:G 387:( 384:= 381:G 344:i 340:y 319:i 296:i 267:) 262:i 258:x 254:, 248:, 243:1 239:x 235:( 230:i 226:y 222:= 217:i 213:y 188:1 182:i 178:) 172:i 168:y 164:( 138:, 133:2 129:X 125:, 120:1 116:X 41:. 34:. 20:)

Index

Dynkin games
Optional stopping theorem
Dynkin's card trick
mathematics
maximise
statistics
economics
mathematical finance
American options
secretary problem
Bellman equation
dynamic programming
stopping rule
filtered probability space
adapted
stopping time
value function
Markov process
probability measure
stochastic process
finite-dimensional distributions
martingale
Snell envelope
dynamic programming
Markov processes
free-boundary problems
Stefan problems
Lévy
SDE
Brownian motion

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