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484:, Mozambique; the subtropical depression was also slowly moving inland without having developed any significant sustained convective activity near the center. The next day, the system was designated as an overland tropical depression, while bringing locally heavy rainfall across portions of southern Mozambique. For the next several days, the system made a slow clockwise loop over Mozambique, while slowly organizing. By 15 February, the meandering system had turned back eastward and was expected to re-emerge into the
36:
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422:
499:, which slowed the storm's southward movement. The storm continued strengthening into the next day as thunderstorm activity became more concentrated around the center of the storm's circulation; however, the lack of upper-level divergence initially limited any significant intensification. Despite this, Guambe eventually strengthened into a severe tropical storm at 18:00 UTC on 18 February. Over the next several hours, Guambe began undergoing
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on infrared satellite imagery and a well-defined core structure, even as the storm turned southwestward. Soon afterward, Guambe reached its peak intensity, with 10-minute sustained winds of 155 km/h (96 mph), and a minimum central pressure of 953 millibars (28.1 inHg). Around the same
304:
in
Mozambique. The storm proceeded to make a clockwise loop over the country for the next several days, while dumping prolific amounts of rainfall in the region, before re-emerging into the Mozambique Channel on 16 February. Soon afterward, the system strengthened into a moderate tropical storm and
527:
disappearing and reappearing on satellite imagery, and sporadic convective bursts. However, Guambe soon began to weaken, with the storm's feeder bands unravelling and cloud tops warming, though the storm managed to maintain a symmetrical structure with a pinhole eye. Despite forecasts of further
580:, flooded hundreds of homes, and also destroyed numerous crops. On 15 February, a prison in southern Mozambique transferred 150 prisoners to another prison facility 80 kilometres (50 mi) away due to the risk of flooding from the storm. The storm struck less than a month after
488:. At 06:00 UTC on 16 February, the system re-emerged over warm open water and was designated as Tropical Disturbance 11. The storm resumed its organizing trend soon afterward, and at 18:00 UTC that day, the MRF upgraded the system to a tropical depression.
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on 16 February and began strengthening, local authorities in
Mozambique anticipated the threat of additional flooding from the storm in the southern portion of the country, especially the region between
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507:(CDO) configuration developing, as the cyclone continued becoming more organized. Guambe quickly reached tropical cyclone status at 06:00 UTC on 19 February, with the appearance of a very small
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On 17 February, the depression turned southward and strengthened into
Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe at 12:00 UTC that day, with the northern section of the storm becoming enveloped in deep
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520:(SSHWS), with 1-minute sustained winds at 155 km/h (96 mph), with the storm's 1-minute sustained wind speed having increased by 65 km/h (40 mph) over a 24-hour period.
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across the region for the next several days, leading to widespread flooding, and displacing over 27,000 people. The storm washed out two bridges on the
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was thought to be blamed on
Cyclone Guambe. However, there were no additional reports of damage to human property as Guambe accelerated southeastward.
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during this time. As a tropical disturbance, Guambe caused millions of dollars (2021 USD) in damages in South Africa. After Guambe re-emerged into the
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468:. For the next couple of days, the system slowly moved westward, approaching the coast of Mozambique while gradually organizing. On 12 February,
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After making landfall in
Mozambique on 12 February as a subtropical low, Guambe's precursor disturbance caused widespread flooding across
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556:. Subsequently, the MRF issued their last advisory on the storm. On 23 February, Guambe was absorbed into another larger
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832:"Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/15 AT 1200 UTC"
796:"Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/13 AT 1200 UTC"
760:"Bulletin for Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather in the Southwest Indian Ocean: 2021/02/12 AT 1200 UTC"
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strengthening, Guambe rapidly weakened back down to severe tropical storm status on 20 February, due to an
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had made landfall near the same place, worsening the ongoing crisis in the region. The storm also caused
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and weakened back into a severe tropical storm on 20 February. Afterward, Guambe transitioned into an
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on 22 February. On the next day, Guambe was absorbed into another extratropical cyclone.
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495:. Around that time, Guambe had a secondary low-level circulation center over northern
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near the same location. Guambe was estimated to have caused millions of dollars (2021
332:, which destroyed homes and crops, and also displaced thousands of people weeks after
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The storm's forward motion slowed as Guambe held onto its strength, with the storm's
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Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
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317:-equivalent tropical cyclone shortly afterward. Afterward, Guambe underwent an
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1520:
News
Central – Latest in Politics, Business, Sports and stories across Africa
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1403:"Prison evacuates 150 inmates for fear of flood risk in southern Mozambique"
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1485:"Experts investigating whether cyclone contributed to mass dolphin deaths"
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1340:"A Post-Tropical Depression 11 (Ex-Guambe) Warning Number 25/11/20202021"
1304:"A Post-Tropical Depression 11 (Ex-Guambe) Warning Number 23/11/20202021"
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Guambe near peak intensity east of the coast of
Mozambique on 19 February
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1432:"WEATHER WARNING: Moderate tropical storm 'Guambe' to hit Mozambique"
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1274:"A Severe Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 18/11/20202021"
1074:"A Severe Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 12/11/20202021"
1038:"A Severe Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 10/11/20202021"
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1212:"A Tropical Cyclone 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 15/11/20202021"
1173:"A Tropical Cyclone 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 14/11/20202021"
1110:"A Tropical Cyclone 11 (Guambe) Warning Number 13/11/20202021"
940:"A Moderate Tropical Storm 11 (Guambe) Warning 6/11/20202021"
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time, the JTWC estimated that Guambe had strengthened into a
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on 10 February. Two days later, the system developed into a
1002:"A Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe Warning Number 9/11/2021"
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Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
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Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
448:, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression
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Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
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Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
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La RĂ©union noted that the system had transitioned into a
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Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
868:"A Tropical Disturbance 11 Warning Number 1/11/20202021"
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on 12 February, the storm proceeded to produce prolific
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Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
1377:"Mozambique: Thousands Displaced After Heavy Rains Hit"
904:"A Tropical Depression 11 Warning Number 3/11/20202021"
292:, Guambe originated from a tropical disturbance in the
344:) in damages. No deaths were reported from the storm.
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After Guambe's precursor disturbance moved ashore in
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Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
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Direction Générale de la Météorologie de
Madagascar
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548:. Later on 21 February, Guambe began undergoing an
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1835:
1516:"Mozambique Investigates Death of 111 Dolphins"
1421:
456:On 10 February, a disturbance developed in the
1844:2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season
1600:2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season
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1248:"TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 007"
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976:"TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GUAMBE) WARNING NR 002"
290:2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season
253:2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season
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309:. A couple of days later, Guambe underwent
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722:"Global Catastrophe Recap – February 2021"
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697:"GUAMBE : 2021-02-10 TO 2021-02-22"
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1147:"Cyclone tropical Guambe au Mozambique"
16:South-West Indian Ocean cyclone in 2021
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138:Category 2-equivalent tropical cyclone
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1514:Lawal, Olorunwa (24 February 2021).
920:from the original on 14 January 2022
516:-equivalent tropical cyclone on the
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1375:Arnaldo Vieira (16 February 2021).
1356:from the original on 2 January 2022
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1145:Jacques Morvan (19 February 2021).
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605:. The mysterious deaths of 186
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1405:. Xinhua. 15 February 2021.
733:. 10 March 2021. p. 6.
163:165 km/h (105 mph)
110:220 km/h (140 mph)
101:155 km/h (100 mph)
7:
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540:warmed, brought on by high
205:>$ 1 million (2021
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1460:. NOAA. 19 February 2021.
1250:. JTWC. 19 February 2021.
978:. JTWC. 18 February 2021.
18:
1849:Tropical cyclones in 2021
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1598:Tropical cyclones of the
1149:(in French). MesVaccins.
699:. Météo-France La Réunion
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19:Not to be confused with
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1311:Meteo France La Reunion
1278:Meteo France La RĂ©union
1219:Meteo France La RĂ©union
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803:Meteo France La Reunion
767:Meteo France La Reunion
564:Preparations and impact
262:Tropical Cyclone Guambe
29:Tropical Cyclone Guambe
1859:Cyclones in Mozambique
668:Tropical Storm Chalane
505:central dense overcast
503:, with a well-defined
474:subtropical depression
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348:Meteorological history
298:subtropical depression
282:Tropical Storm Chalane
47:Meteorological history
1434:. February 17, 2021.
558:extratropical cyclone
501:rapid intensification
446:Extratropical cyclone
355:
311:rapid intensification
1349:. 22 February 2021.
1313:. 21 February 2021.
1280:. 20 February 2021.
1221:. 19 February 2021.
1182:. 19 February 2021.
1119:. 19 February 2021.
1083:. 19 February 2021.
1047:. 18 February 2021.
1011:. 18 February 2021.
949:. 17 February 2021.
913:. 16 February 2021.
877:. 16 February 2021.
841:. 15 February 2021.
805:. 13 February 2021.
769:. 12 February 2021.
518:Saffir–Simpson scale
367:Saffir–Simpson scale
168:Lowest pressure
116:Lowest pressure
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323:extratropical storm
87:10-minute sustained
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1854:2021 in Mozambique
594:Mozambique Channel
536:unraveled and its
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590:South Africa
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470:Météo-France
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226:South Africa
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1468:20 February
1442:17 February
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1387:17 February
1360:22 February
1324:21 February
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1232:20 February
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960:17 February
924:17 February
888:16 February
852:17 February
816:13 February
780:13 February
286:named storm
1838:Categories
684:References
570:Mozambique
554:jet stream
542:wind shear
538:cloud tops
514:Category 2
493:convection
466:Madagascar
462:Mozambique
416:Storm type
330:Mozambique
315:Category 2
305:was named
300:that made
274:Mozambique
222:Mozambique
218:Madagascar
194:Fatalities
71:Dissipated
603:Inhambane
544:and cool
534:rainbands
482:Inhambane
1823:Category
1524:Archived
1493:Archived
1489:The Hill
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771:Archived
744:15 March
735:Archived
617:See also
586:flooding
574:rainfall
478:landfall
460:between
410:Unknown
338:landfall
302:landfall
270:landfall
268:to make
230:Eswatini
1661:Chalane
1649:Bongoyo
1499:1 March
703:23 July
609:off of
360:Map key
237:IBTrACS
1769:Habana
1757:Marian
1745:Guambe
1733:Faraji
1709:Joshua
1697:Eloise
1685:Danilo
1625:Alicia
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307:Guambe
202:Damage
53:Formed
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599:Beira
480:near
336:made
149:SSHWS
1805:Jobo
1781:Iman
1764:VITC
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601:and
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280:and
182:inHg
178:mbar
172:960
153:JTWC
130:inHg
126:mbar
120:953
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174:hPa
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