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IPCC Fifth Assessment Report

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129: 150: 651: 22: 3522: 3510: 365:, physics, oceanography, statistics, engineering, ecology, social sciences and economics. In comparison to the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), participation from developing countries was increased, reflecting the ongoing efforts to improve regional coverage in the AR5. About 30% of authors came from developing countries or economies in transition. More than 60% of the experts chosen were new to the IPCC process, bringing fresh knowledge and perspectives. 3546: 3534: 119:
global annual and cumulative emissions of GHGs is not consistent with widely discussed goals of limiting global warming at 1.5 to 2 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level." Pledges made as part of the Cancún Agreements are broadly consistent with cost-effective scenarios that give a "likely" chance (66–100% probability) of limiting global warming (in 2100) to below 3 °C, relative to pre-industrial levels.
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In the end it all boils down to risk management. The stronger our efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the lower the risk of extreme climate impacts. The higher our emissions, the larger climate changes we'll face, which also means more expensive adaptation, more species extinctions, more food
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The summary also detailed the range of forecasts for warming, and climate impacts with different emission scenarios. Compared to the previous report, the lower bounds for the sensitivity of the climate system to emissions were slightly lowered, though the projections for global mean temperature rise
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More than 800 authors, selected from around 3,000 nominations, were involved in writing the report. Lead authors' meetings and a number of workshops and expert meetings, in support of the assessment process, were held. A schedule of AR5 related meetings, review periods, and other important dates was
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Working Group III: Without new policies to mitigate climate change, projections suggest an increase in global mean temperature in 2100 of 3.7 to 4.8 °C, relative to pre-industrial levels (median values; the range is 2.5 to 7.8 °C including climate uncertainty). "(T)he current trajectory of
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emissions, driven largely by economic and population growth, have led to greenhouse gas concentrations that are unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years. These, together with other anthropogenic drivers, are "extremely likely" (where that means more than 95% probability) to have been the
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and was completed in 2014. As had been the case in the past, the outline of the AR5 was developed through a scoping process which involved climate change experts from all relevant disciplines and users of IPCC reports, in particular representatives from governments. Governments and organizations
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In March 2010, the IPCC received approximately 3,000 author nominations from experts around the world. At the bureau session held in Geneva, 19–20 May 2010, the three working groups presented their selected authors and review editors for the AR5. Each of the selected scientists, specialists and
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On 23 June 2010, the IPCC announced the release of the final list of selected coordinating lead authors, comprising 831 experts. The working group reports would be published during 2013 and 2014. These experts would also provide contributions to the Synthesis Report published in late 2014.
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On 14 December 2012, drafts of the Working Group 1 (WG1) report were leaked and posted on the Internet. The release of the summary for policymakers occurred on 27 September 2013. Halldór Thorgeirsson, a UN official, warned that, because big companies are known to fund
324:, increasing the likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems. Limiting climate change would require substantial and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions which, together with adaptation, can limit climate change risks. 361:. A total of 559 authors and review editors had been selected for AR4 from 2,000 proposed nominees. On 23 June 2010 the IPCC announced the release of the final list of selected coordinating lead authors, comprising 831 experts who were drawn from fields including 106:
have increased to levels unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years". Human influence on the climate system is clear. It is extremely likely (95–100% probability) that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and
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experts was nominated in accordance with IPCC procedures, by respective national IPCC focal-points, by approved observer organizations, or by the bureau. The IPCC received 50% more nominations of experts to participate in AR5 than it did for
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makers were released on 27 September 2013 for the first report, on 31 March 2014 for the second report entitled "Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability", and on 14 April 2014 for the third report entitled "Mitigation of Climate Change".
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I in September 2013. It reported on the physical science basis, based on 9,200 peer-reviewed studies. The Synthesis Report was released on 2 November 2014, in time to pave the way for negotiations on reducing carbon emissions at the
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The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report followed the same general format as the Fourth Assessment Report, with three Working Group reports and a Synthesis report. The report was delivered in stages, starting with the report from Working
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was released in an unedited form on Monday, 30 September 2013. It was over 2,000 pages long and cited 9,200 scientific publications. The full, edited report was released online in January 2014 and published in physical form by
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Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II (WG2) to the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
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Working Group I: "Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unprecedented over decades to millennia". "Atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, and
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The Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) consists of three Working Group (WG) Reports and a Synthesis Report. The first Working Group Report was published in 2013 and the rest were completed in 2014. The summaries for
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to future climate change is reducing vulnerability and exposure to present climate variability". "The overall risks of climate change impacts can be reduced by limiting the rate and magnitude of climate
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Climate model simulations in support of AR5 use a different approach to account for increasing greenhouse gas concentrations than in the previous report. Instead of the scenarios from the
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This video presents projections of 21st century temperature and precipitation patterns based on a buildup of greenhouse gases with a combined effect equivalent to 650ppm of atmospheric CO
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Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III (WG3) to the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
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Working Group III Report (WGIII): Covering mitigation response strategies in an integrated risk and uncertainty framework and its assessments carried out by 271 experts.
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Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group 1 (WG1) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5)
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stated that warming of the climate system is 'unequivocal' with changes unprecedented over decades to millennia, including warming of the atmosphere and oceans,
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community to coordinate climate change experiments. Most of the CMIP5 and Earth System Model (ESM) simulations for AR5 WRI were performed with prescribed CO
1919: 1884: 2699: 2515: 981:. Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility (Section 12.3.1.3): Cambridge University Press. pp. 1045–1047. 551:. Many of the associated impacts such as sea level change (among other metrics) have occurred since 1950 at rates unprecedented in the historical record. 3592: 3587: 2694: 1415: 1459: 2562: 1812: 110:
Working Group II: "Increasing magnitudes of warming increase the likelihood of severe, pervasive, and irreversible impacts". "A first step towards
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Working Group II Report (WGII): Assessing the impacts, adaptation strategies and vulnerability related to climate change and involving 302 experts.
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responded to the report saying "This is yet another wakeup call: those who deny the science or choose excuses over action are playing with fire."
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secretary general, had declared his intention to call a meeting of heads of state in 2014 to develop such a treaty. The last such meeting, in
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that human influence has been the dominant cause of observed warming since 1950, with the level of confidence having increased since the
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were asked to submit comments and observations in writing with the submissions analysed by the panel. Projections in AR5 are based on "
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Model results, along with observations, provide confidence in the magnitude of global warming in response to past and future forcing.
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that the sea level rise since the middle of the 19th century has been larger than the mean sea level rise of the prior two millennia.
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will change, with increases in disparity between wet and dry regions, as well as wet and dry seasons, with some regional exceptions.
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addressed the IPCC at Stockholm on 27 September 2013. He stated that "the heat is on. We must act". Jennifer Morgan, from the
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Average IPCC AR5 climate model projections for 2081–2100 relative to 1986–2005, under low and high emission scenarios
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Continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and long-lasting changes in all components of the
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Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (Working Group I contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report)
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on 27 September 2013. The level of confidence in each finding was rated on a confidence scale, qualitatively from
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Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties
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2.6), 538 ppm (RCP4.5), 670 ppm (RCP6.0), and 936 ppm (RCP 8.5) by the year 2100. (IPCC AR5 WGI, page 22).
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The oceans will continue to warm, with heat extending to the deep ocean, affecting circulation patterns.
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of the earth system, relative to 1750, is positive and the most significant driver is the increase in CO
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IPCC pointed out that the longer we wait to reduce our emissions, the more expensive it will become.
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Working Group I Report (WGI): Focusing on the physical science basis and including 258 experts.
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IPCC (11 November 2013): D. Understanding the Climate System and its Recent Changes, in:
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production. Increased uptake by the oceans will increase the acidification of the oceans.
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in Arctic sea ice cover, Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover, and global glacier volume
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to exceed 1.5 °C relative to the 1850 to 1900 period for most scenarios, and is
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IPCC: SPM.3 Trends in stocks and flows of greenhouse gases and their drivers, in:
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in the atmosphere has increased to levels unprecedented on earth in 800,000 years.
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and Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover have continued to decrease in extent.
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dominant cause of the observed global warming since the mid-20th century.
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Climate dollars and sense – preventing global warming is the cheap option
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IPCC (11 November 2013): B.5 Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles, in:
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and water insecurities, more income losses, more conflicts, and so forth.
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IPCC (11 November 2013): B. Observed Changes in the Climate System, in:
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Further warming will continue if emissions of greenhouse gases continue.
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Future surface temperatures will be largely determined by cumulative CO
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A concise overview of Working Group I's findings was published as the
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IPCC (25 June 2014): B-1. Key risks across Sectors and Regions, in:
353:, its potential effects and options for adaptation and mitigation. 1208:
IPCC (25 June 2014):C-1. Principles for Effective Adaptation, in:
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In August 2020 scientists reported that observed ice-sheet losses
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ice sheets have been losing mass in the last two decades and that
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track worst-case scenarios of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report's
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Conclusions of the fifth assessment report are summarized below:
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IPCC (2 July 2014): SPM.4.1 Long‐term mitigation pathways, in:
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Cooperative Mechanisms under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement
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WG II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability – 31 March 2014
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Slater, Thomas; Hogg, Anna E.; Mottram, Ruth (2020-08-31).
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Changes in climate will cause an increase in the rate of CO
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Illustrative model of greenhouse effect on climate change
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IPCC AR5 WG1 (2013), Stocker, T.F.; et al. (eds.),
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IPCC AR5 WG2 A (2014), Field, C.B.; et al. (eds.),
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IPCC AR5 WG3 (2014), Edenhofer, O.; et al. (eds.),
1544:"Climate Panel Says Upper Limit on Emissions Is Nearing" 1495:. WCRP World Climate Research Programme. Archived from 1150: 1148: 1067:"Fossil fuels should be 'phased out by 2100' says IPCC" 394:
The Synthesis Report (SYR): Final summary and overview.
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Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation
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Global mean sea level will continue to rise at a rate
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WG I: The Physical Science Basis – 30 September 2013,
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United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
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Climate models have improved since the prior report.
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WG III: Mitigation of Climate Change – 15 April 2014
855:In Washington, President Obama's science adviser, 676:the models are performing simulations for various 16:Intergovernmental report on climate change in 2014 1643: 1289:"Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis" 3564: 3464:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 1918:: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown ( 1883:: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown ( 1704: 1014: 1012: 915:The IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) leaflet 875:, the NY Times reported, had ended in disarray. 1776: 1760:"Climate change stars fade, even if risks rise" 1408: 589:the upper ocean warmed from 1971 to 2010. This 554:There is a clear human influence on the climate 405:Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis 398: 381:) would be released in four distinct sections: 297:The AR5 provides an update of knowledge on the 1900: 1834: 1832: 1729: 1213: 1196: 1187: 1185: 1089: 1087: 547:Warming of the atmosphere and ocean system is 2199:History of climate change policy and politics 1994: 1493:"CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project" 1383: 1009: 685:Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 572: 1935: 1866: 1268: 1251: 1230: 1176: 1159: 1139: 1122: 831:Reporting on the publication of the report, 293:AR5 Synthesis Report (SYR) – 2 November 2014 2316:Atlantic meridional overturning circulation 1962:Climate Change 2013 Working Group 1 website 1952:: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list ( 1829: 1510: 1182: 1084: 755:to exceed the rate of the past four decades 723:increase by the end of the 21st century is 687:(CMIP5), an international effort among the 415: 3545: 3533: 2990: 2001: 1987: 1922:) CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list ( 1887:) CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list ( 1810: 1751: 1283: 1281: 1279: 1277: 3593:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 3588:Climate change assessment and attribution 3285: 3091:Adaptation strategies on the German coast 2224:United Nations Climate Change conferences 1468:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1389: 1171:IPCC (11 November 2013): Footnote 2, in: 432:and, where possible, quantitatively from 39:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2795:Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 1046: 927:"Report of the 31st Session of the IPCC" 731:to exceed 2.0 °C for many scenarios 649: 333:The IPCC was established in 1988 by the 316:A key statement of the report was that: 127: 20: 3151:National Adaptation Programme of Action 2940:Land use, land-use change, and forestry 1516: 1362: 1274: 1049:"IPCC climate change report by numbers" 974: 3565: 2800:Economics of climate change mitigation 2763:Gold Standard (carbon offset standard) 2276: 2104:Scientific consensus on climate change 1782: 1698: 1541: 1031: 328: 3459:Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3284: 2989: 2725: 2275: 2187: 2068: 2020: 1982: 1926:) CS1 maint: ref duplicates default ( 1891:) CS1 maint: ref duplicates default ( 1757: 1535: 1345:"Activities: Fifth Assessment report" 1020:Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report 678:Representative Concentration Pathways 674:Special Report on Emissions Scenarios 52:Representative Concentration Pathways 3481:Representative Concentration Pathway 2422:Tipping points in the climate system 2098:Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere 909: 907: 444:Likelihood scale used in the report 369:Climate change 2013: report overview 339:United Nations Environment Programme 3252:Nationally determined contributions 2962:Individual action on climate change 2167:World energy supply and consumption 223:Extreme events and disasters (2012) 132:Global Emissions by Economic Sector 13: 3391:Fixed anvil temperature hypothesis 2008: 807:the undermining of climate science 14: 3604: 3318:Satellite temperature measurement 2923:forestry for carbon sequestration 2204:History of climate change science 1967: 1733:; Readfern, Graham (2013-09-20). 975:Collins, M.; et al. (2013). 904: 695:concentrations reaching 421 ppm ( 335:World Meteorological Organization 123: 3544: 3532: 3521: 3520: 3508: 3169:Climate Change Performance Index 2548:Destruction of cultural heritage 1449:M. D. Mastrandrea, C. B. Field, 1390:Readfearn, Graham (2013-09-27). 943:from the original on 2023-12-03. 812:Marking the finalization of the 233:Climate Change & Land (2019) 148: 3308:Instrumental temperature record 3259:Sustainable Development Goal 13 1811:Nuccitelli, Dana (2014-03-31). 1804: 1723: 1705:Andrew C. Revkin (2012-12-13). 1637: 1613: 1584: 1560: 1485: 1473: 1443: 1337: 1320: 1295: 1257: 1248:Chapter 1: Introductory Chapter 1236: 1219: 1202: 1165: 1128: 1111: 1047:Redfearn, Graham (2013-09-27). 228:Global Warming of 1.5 °C (2018) 218:Renewable energy sources (2012) 3376:Climate variability and change 2726: 2407:Retreat of glaciers since 1850 1059: 1040: 1025: 968: 947: 919: 710: 1: 3486:Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 3021:Climate emergency declaration 1974:Official IPCC WGI AR5 website 1758:Doyle, Alister (2013-09-26). 1542:Gillis, Justin (2013-09-27). 898: 641:'s atmospheric concentration. 538:The principal findings were: 377:The Fifth Assessment Report ( 238:Ocean & Cryosphere (2019) 3469:IPCC Sixth Assessment Report 2695:Middle East and North Africa 2021: 1942:, Cambridge University Press 1598:. 2020-09-01. Archived from 1517:McGrath, Matt (2013-09-27). 1425:. 2013-09-27. Archived from 936:. Agenda item 3; Annex III. 893:IPCC Sixth Assessment Report 799: 399:Working group I contribution 284:published 27 September 2013. 69:UN Climate Change Conference 7: 2543:Depopulation of settlements 2188: 889:– IPCC special report, 2011 878: 10: 3609: 3303:Global surface temperature 3194:Popular culture depictions 3106:Ecosystem-based adaptation 2836:Carbon capture and storage 2758:Carbon offsets and credits 2069: 1860: 1482:The Guardian 22 April 2014 721:global surface temperature 573:Historical climate metrics 541: 492:50–100 % probability 484:66–100 % probability 476:90–100 % probability 468:95–100 % probability 460:99–100 % probability 452:Likelihood of the outcome 410:Cambridge University Press 213:Emissions Scenarios (2000) 140:Intergovernmental Panel on 3515:Climate change portal 3502: 3441: 3408:Extreme event attribution 3326: 3295: 3291: 3280: 3224: 3159: 3081: 3031:School Strike for Climate 3003: 2999: 2985: 2954: 2910:Climate-smart agriculture 2871: 2828: 2738: 2734: 2721: 2645: 2498: 2445: 2288: 2284: 2271: 2194: 2183: 2112: 2081: 2077: 2064: 2047:Climate change adaptation 2042:Climate change mitigation 2037:Effects of climate change 2027: 2016: 1670:10.1038/s41558-020-0893-y 1173:Summary for Policymakers 822:World Resources Institute 645: 170:1992 supplementary report 72:in Paris during late 2015 3418:Global warming potential 3225:International agreements 2872:Preserving and enhancing 2306:Arctic methane emissions 2228:Years in climate change 2135:Greenhouse gas emissions 2032:Causes of climate change 1265:Summary for Policymakers 1227:Summary for Policymakers 1210:Summary for Policymakers 1193:Summary for Policymakers 1156:Summary for Policymakers 1136:Summary for Policymakers 1119:Summary for Policymakers 1001:: CS1 maint: location ( 516:0–10 % probability 508:0–33 % probability 422:Summary for Policymakers 416:Summary for Policymakers 282:Summary for Policymakers 79:Summary for Policymakers 43:a series of such reports 37:) of the United Nations 3578:2014 in the environment 3449:Climate change scenario 3101:Disaster risk reduction 2753:Carbon emission trading 2563:U.S. insurance industry 2533:Civilizational collapse 2380:sea surface temperature 863:It went on to say that 532:0–1 % probability 529:Exceptionally unlikely 524:0–5 % probability 497:About as likely as not 349:information concerning 159:IPCC Assessment Reports 41:(IPCC) is the fifth in 31:Fifth Assessment Report 3442:Research and modelling 3126:Nature-based solutions 2946:Nature-based solutions 2888:Carbon dioxide removal 2805:Fossil fuel divestment 2790:Climate risk insurance 2700:Small island countries 2311:Arctic sea ice decline 1347:. IPCC. Archived from 861: 844: 814:Physical Science Basis 773:emissions are stopped. 669: 500:33 to 66% probability 434:exceptionally unlikely 326: 133: 26: 3403:Earth's energy budget 3286:Background and theory 3174:Climate crisis (term) 2846:Fossil fuel phase-out 2740:Economics and finance 2705:by individual country 2647:By country and region 2622:Security and conflict 2617:Psychological impacts 2296:Abrupt climate change 2219:Charles David Keeling 2052:By country and region 1650:Nature Climate Change 1462:27 April 2017 at the 1032:Nesbit, Jeff (2013). 853: 839: 816:UN Secretary General 663: 489:More likely than not 318: 131: 24: 3232:Glasgow Climate Pact 2893:Carbon sequestration 2458:Mass mortality event 1416:"IPCC PRESS RELEASE" 600:It can be said with 207:IPCC Special Reports 83:loss of snow and ice 3371:Climate sensitivity 3146:The Adaptation Fund 2602:Infectious diseases 2499:Social and economic 1662:2020NatCC..10..879S 1214:IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014 1197:IPCC AR5 WG2 A 2014 521:Extremely unlikely 445: 412:later in the year. 379:Climate Change 2013 329:Authors and editors 2942:(LULUCF and AFOLU) 2914:Forest management 2898:Direct air capture 2863:Sustainable energy 2820:Net zero emissions 2815:Low-carbon economy 2810:Green Climate Fund 2597:Indigenous peoples 2490:Plant biodiversity 2278:Effects and issues 1844:The New York Times 873:Copenhagen in 2009 848:The New York Times 683:AR5 relies on the 670: 457:Virtually certain 443: 134: 27: 3560: 3559: 3498: 3497: 3494: 3493: 3433:Radiative forcing 3276: 3275: 3272: 3271: 3096:Adaptive capacity 2981: 2980: 2977: 2976: 2841:Energy transition 2717: 2716: 2713: 2712: 2427:Tropical cyclones 2353:Urban heat island 2267: 2266: 2179: 2178: 2175: 2174: 2140:Carbon accounting 2094:Greenhouse effect 2060: 2059: 1269:IPCC AR5 WG3 2014 1252:IPCC AR5 WG3 2014 1242:IPCC Victor, D., 1231:IPCC AR5 WG3 2014 1177:IPCC AR5 WG1 2013 1160:IPCC AR5 WG1 2013 1140:IPCC AR5 WG1 2013 1123:IPCC AR5 WG1 2013 1034:"Settled Science" 988:978-1-107-66182-0 661: 635:radiative forcing 626:Concentration of 587:virtually certain 536: 535: 465:Extremely likely 438:virtually certain 403:The full text of 341:(UNEP) to assess 268: 267: 3600: 3548: 3547: 3536: 3535: 3524: 3523: 3513: 3512: 3511: 3476:Paleoclimatology 3293: 3292: 3282: 3281: 3043:Ecological grief 3026:Climate movement 3001: 3000: 2987: 2986: 2967:Plant-based diet 2858:Renewable energy 2736: 2735: 2723: 2722: 2558:Economic impacts 2480:Invasive species 2336:Coastal flooding 2286: 2285: 2273: 2272: 2209:Svante Arrhenius 2185: 2184: 2155:from agriculture 2145:Carbon footprint 2130:Greenhouse gases 2079: 2078: 2066: 2065: 2018: 2017: 2003: 1996: 1989: 1980: 1979: 1957: 1951: 1943: 1931: 1917: 1909: 1896: 1882: 1874: 1855: 1854: 1852: 1851: 1836: 1827: 1826: 1824: 1823: 1808: 1802: 1801: 1799: 1798: 1780: 1774: 1773: 1771: 1770: 1755: 1749: 1748: 1746: 1745: 1727: 1721: 1720: 1718: 1717: 1702: 1696: 1695: 1693: 1692: 1641: 1635: 1634: 1632: 1631: 1617: 1611: 1610: 1608: 1607: 1588: 1582: 1581: 1579: 1578: 1564: 1558: 1557: 1555: 1554: 1539: 1533: 1532: 1530: 1529: 1514: 1508: 1507: 1505: 1504: 1489: 1483: 1477: 1471: 1447: 1441: 1440: 1438: 1437: 1431: 1420: 1412: 1406: 1405: 1403: 1402: 1387: 1381: 1380: 1378: 1377: 1366: 1360: 1359: 1357: 1356: 1341: 1335: 1324: 1318: 1317: 1315: 1314: 1299: 1293: 1292: 1285: 1272: 1261: 1255: 1240: 1234: 1223: 1217: 1206: 1200: 1189: 1180: 1169: 1163: 1152: 1143: 1132: 1126: 1115: 1109: 1108: 1106: 1105: 1099: 1091: 1082: 1081: 1079: 1078: 1063: 1057: 1056: 1044: 1038: 1037: 1029: 1023: 1016: 1007: 1006: 1000: 992: 972: 966: 965: 959: 951: 945: 944: 942: 931: 923: 917: 911: 689:climate modeling 662: 628:greenhouse gases 559:extremely likely 446: 442: 345:, technical and 301:, technical and 152: 136: 135: 65: 46:involved in the 3608: 3607: 3603: 3602: 3601: 3599: 3598: 3597: 3573:2014 in science 3563: 3562: 3561: 3556: 3509: 3507: 3490: 3437: 3428:Orbital forcing 3322: 3287: 3268: 3242:Paris Agreement 3220: 3216:Warming stripes 3155: 3121:Managed retreat 3116:Loss and damage 3077: 3011:Business action 2995: 2973: 2950: 2873: 2867: 2824: 2785:Climate finance 2730: 2709: 2641: 2494: 2470:Extinction risk 2446:Flora and fauna 2441: 2402:Permafrost thaw 2397:Ozone depletion 2326:Extreme weather 2280: 2263: 2190: 2171: 2108: 2073: 2056: 2023: 2012: 2007: 1970: 1945: 1944: 1911: 1910: 1876: 1875: 1863: 1858: 1849: 1847: 1838: 1837: 1830: 1821: 1819: 1809: 1805: 1796: 1794: 1781: 1777: 1768: 1766: 1756: 1752: 1743: 1741: 1728: 1724: 1715: 1713: 1703: 1699: 1690: 1688: 1656:(10): 879–881. 1642: 1638: 1629: 1627: 1619: 1618: 1614: 1605: 1603: 1596:The Japan Times 1590: 1589: 1585: 1576: 1574: 1566: 1565: 1561: 1552: 1550: 1540: 1536: 1527: 1525: 1515: 1511: 1502: 1500: 1491: 1490: 1486: 1478: 1474: 1464:Wayback Machine 1448: 1444: 1435: 1433: 1429: 1418: 1414: 1413: 1409: 1400: 1398: 1388: 1384: 1375: 1373: 1368: 1367: 1363: 1354: 1352: 1343: 1342: 1338: 1325: 1321: 1312: 1310: 1301: 1300: 1296: 1287: 1286: 1275: 1262: 1258: 1241: 1237: 1224: 1220: 1207: 1203: 1190: 1183: 1170: 1166: 1153: 1146: 1133: 1129: 1116: 1112: 1103: 1101: 1097: 1093: 1092: 1085: 1076: 1074: 1065: 1064: 1060: 1045: 1041: 1030: 1026: 1017: 1010: 994: 993: 989: 973: 969: 957: 953: 952: 948: 940: 929: 925: 924: 920: 912: 905: 901: 881: 857:John P. Holdren 851:reported that: 802: 772: 768: 761: 713: 694: 667: 650: 648: 640: 621:high confidence 602:high confidence 595:high confidence 593:accounts, with 575: 544: 418: 401: 371: 331: 243: 242: 208: 200: 199: 160: 141: 126: 63: 17: 12: 11: 5: 3606: 3596: 3595: 3590: 3585: 3583:2014 documents 3580: 3575: 3558: 3557: 3555: 3554: 3542: 3530: 3518: 3503: 3500: 3499: 3496: 3495: 3492: 3491: 3489: 3488: 3483: 3478: 3473: 3472: 3471: 3461: 3456: 3451: 3445: 3443: 3439: 3438: 3436: 3435: 3430: 3425: 3420: 3415: 3410: 3405: 3400: 3395: 3394: 3393: 3383: 3381:Cloud feedback 3378: 3373: 3368: 3363: 3362: 3361: 3356: 3351: 3346: 3336: 3330: 3328: 3324: 3323: 3321: 3320: 3315: 3310: 3305: 3299: 3297: 3289: 3288: 3278: 3277: 3274: 3273: 3270: 3269: 3267: 3266: 3261: 3256: 3255: 3254: 3249: 3239: 3237:Kyoto Protocol 3234: 3228: 3226: 3222: 3221: 3219: 3218: 3213: 3212: 3211: 3206: 3201: 3191: 3189:Media coverage 3186: 3181: 3179:Climate spiral 3176: 3171: 3165: 3163: 3157: 3156: 3154: 3153: 3148: 3143: 3138: 3133: 3128: 3123: 3118: 3113: 3108: 3103: 3098: 3093: 3087: 3085: 3079: 3078: 3076: 3075: 3070: 3068:Public opinion 3065: 3060: 3055: 3050: 3045: 3040: 3035: 3034: 3033: 3023: 3018: 3016:Climate action 3013: 3007: 3005: 2997: 2996: 2983: 2982: 2979: 2978: 2975: 2974: 2972: 2971: 2970: 2969: 2958: 2956: 2952: 2951: 2949: 2948: 2943: 2937: 2936: 2935: 2930: 2928:REDD and REDD+ 2925: 2920: 2912: 2907: 2905:Carbon farming 2902: 2901: 2900: 2895: 2885: 2879: 2877: 2869: 2868: 2866: 2865: 2860: 2855: 2850: 2849: 2848: 2838: 2832: 2830: 2826: 2825: 2823: 2822: 2817: 2812: 2807: 2802: 2797: 2792: 2787: 2782: 2777: 2772: 2767: 2766: 2765: 2755: 2750: 2744: 2742: 2732: 2731: 2719: 2718: 2715: 2714: 2711: 2710: 2708: 2707: 2702: 2697: 2692: 2687: 2682: 2677: 2672: 2667: 2662: 2657: 2651: 2649: 2643: 2642: 2640: 2639: 2637:Water security 2634: 2632:Water scarcity 2629: 2627:Urban flooding 2624: 2619: 2614: 2609: 2604: 2599: 2594: 2589: 2588: 2587: 2577: 2572: 2567: 2566: 2565: 2555: 2550: 2545: 2540: 2535: 2530: 2525: 2520: 2519: 2518: 2513: 2502: 2500: 2496: 2495: 2493: 2492: 2487: 2482: 2477: 2475:Forest dieback 2472: 2467: 2462: 2461: 2460: 2449: 2447: 2443: 2442: 2440: 2439: 2434: 2429: 2424: 2419: 2414: 2412:Sea level rise 2409: 2404: 2399: 2394: 2393: 2392: 2387: 2385:stratification 2382: 2377: 2372: 2367: 2357: 2356: 2355: 2350: 2340: 2339: 2338: 2328: 2323: 2318: 2313: 2308: 2303: 2298: 2292: 2290: 2282: 2281: 2269: 2268: 2265: 2264: 2262: 2261: 2260: 2259: 2254: 2249: 2244: 2239: 2234: 2226: 2221: 2216: 2211: 2206: 2201: 2195: 2192: 2191: 2181: 2180: 2177: 2176: 2173: 2172: 2170: 2169: 2164: 2163: 2162: 2157: 2152: 2150:Carbon leakage 2147: 2142: 2132: 2127: 2122: 2116: 2114: 2110: 2109: 2107: 2106: 2101: 2091: 2089:Climate system 2085: 2083: 2075: 2074: 2062: 2061: 2058: 2057: 2055: 2054: 2049: 2044: 2039: 2034: 2028: 2025: 2024: 2014: 2013: 2010:Climate change 2006: 2005: 1998: 1991: 1983: 1977: 1976: 1969: 1968:External links 1966: 1965: 1964: 1959: 1933: 1898: 1862: 1859: 1857: 1856: 1828: 1803: 1786:(2013-09-27). 1775: 1750: 1722: 1711:New York Times 1697: 1636: 1612: 1583: 1559: 1548:New York Times 1534: 1509: 1484: 1472: 1442: 1407: 1382: 1370:"IPCC website" 1361: 1336: 1319: 1294: 1273: 1256: 1235: 1218: 1201: 1181: 1164: 1144: 1127: 1110: 1083: 1058: 1039: 1024: 1008: 987: 967: 946: 918: 902: 900: 897: 896: 895: 890: 880: 877: 869:United Nations 801: 798: 791:sea-level rise 775: 774: 770: 766: 763: 759: 756: 749: 744:Decreases are 742: 739: 732: 717: 712: 709: 708: 707: 704: 692: 665: 647: 644: 643: 642: 638: 631: 624: 617: 614:Arctic sea ice 598: 583: 574: 571: 570: 569: 566: 555: 552: 543: 540: 534: 533: 530: 526: 525: 522: 518: 517: 514: 513:Very unlikely 510: 509: 506: 502: 501: 498: 494: 493: 490: 486: 485: 482: 478: 477: 474: 470: 469: 466: 462: 461: 458: 454: 453: 450: 417: 414: 400: 397: 396: 395: 392: 389: 386: 370: 367: 351:climate change 347:socio-economic 337:(WMO) and the 330: 327: 322:climate system 307:climate change 303:socio-economic 295: 294: 291: 288: 285: 266: 265: 264: 263: 258: 253: 245: 244: 241: 240: 235: 230: 225: 220: 215: 209: 206: 205: 202: 201: 198: 197: 192: 187: 182: 177: 172: 167: 161: 158: 157: 154: 153: 145: 144: 142:Climate Change 125: 124:Current status 122: 121: 120: 116: 108: 91:Greenhouse gas 87:sea level rise 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 3605: 3594: 3591: 3589: 3586: 3584: 3581: 3579: 3576: 3574: 3571: 3570: 3568: 3553: 3552: 3543: 3541: 3540: 3531: 3529: 3528: 3519: 3517: 3516: 3505: 3504: 3501: 3487: 3484: 3482: 3479: 3477: 3474: 3470: 3467: 3466: 3465: 3462: 3460: 3457: 3455: 3454:Climate model 3452: 3450: 3447: 3446: 3444: 3440: 3434: 3431: 3429: 3426: 3424: 3421: 3419: 3416: 3414: 3411: 3409: 3406: 3404: 3401: 3399: 3396: 3392: 3389: 3388: 3387: 3386:Cloud forcing 3384: 3382: 3379: 3377: 3374: 3372: 3369: 3367: 3364: 3360: 3357: 3355: 3352: 3350: 3347: 3345: 3342: 3341: 3340: 3337: 3335: 3332: 3331: 3329: 3325: 3319: 3316: 3314: 3311: 3309: 3306: 3304: 3301: 3300: 3298: 3294: 3290: 3283: 3279: 3265: 3262: 3260: 3257: 3253: 3250: 3248: 3245: 3244: 3243: 3240: 3238: 3235: 3233: 3230: 3229: 3227: 3223: 3217: 3214: 3210: 3207: 3205: 3202: 3200: 3197: 3196: 3195: 3192: 3190: 3187: 3185: 3182: 3180: 3177: 3175: 3172: 3170: 3167: 3166: 3164: 3162: 3161:Communication 3158: 3152: 3149: 3147: 3144: 3142: 3141:Vulnerability 3139: 3137: 3134: 3132: 3129: 3127: 3124: 3122: 3119: 3117: 3114: 3112: 3111:Flood control 3109: 3107: 3104: 3102: 3099: 3097: 3094: 3092: 3089: 3088: 3086: 3084: 3080: 3074: 3071: 3069: 3066: 3064: 3061: 3059: 3056: 3054: 3051: 3049: 3046: 3044: 3041: 3039: 3036: 3032: 3029: 3028: 3027: 3024: 3022: 3019: 3017: 3014: 3012: 3009: 3008: 3006: 3002: 2998: 2994: 2988: 2984: 2968: 2965: 2964: 2963: 2960: 2959: 2957: 2953: 2947: 2944: 2941: 2938: 2934: 2933:reforestation 2931: 2929: 2926: 2924: 2921: 2919: 2918:afforestation 2916: 2915: 2913: 2911: 2908: 2906: 2903: 2899: 2896: 2894: 2891: 2890: 2889: 2886: 2884: 2881: 2880: 2878: 2876: 2870: 2864: 2861: 2859: 2856: 2854: 2853:Nuclear power 2851: 2847: 2844: 2843: 2842: 2839: 2837: 2834: 2833: 2831: 2827: 2821: 2818: 2816: 2813: 2811: 2808: 2806: 2803: 2801: 2798: 2796: 2793: 2791: 2788: 2786: 2783: 2781: 2778: 2776: 2773: 2771: 2768: 2764: 2761: 2760: 2759: 2756: 2754: 2751: 2749: 2748:Carbon budget 2746: 2745: 2743: 2741: 2737: 2733: 2729: 2724: 2720: 2706: 2703: 2701: 2698: 2696: 2693: 2691: 2688: 2686: 2683: 2681: 2678: 2676: 2673: 2671: 2668: 2666: 2663: 2661: 2658: 2656: 2653: 2652: 2650: 2648: 2644: 2638: 2635: 2633: 2630: 2628: 2625: 2623: 2620: 2618: 2615: 2613: 2610: 2608: 2605: 2603: 2600: 2598: 2595: 2593: 2590: 2586: 2585:Mental health 2583: 2582: 2581: 2578: 2576: 2573: 2571: 2568: 2564: 2561: 2560: 2559: 2556: 2554: 2551: 2549: 2546: 2544: 2541: 2539: 2536: 2534: 2531: 2529: 2526: 2524: 2521: 2517: 2516:United States 2514: 2512: 2509: 2508: 2507: 2504: 2503: 2501: 2497: 2491: 2488: 2486: 2483: 2481: 2478: 2476: 2473: 2471: 2468: 2466: 2463: 2459: 2456: 2455: 2454: 2451: 2450: 2448: 2444: 2438: 2435: 2433: 2430: 2428: 2425: 2423: 2420: 2418: 2415: 2413: 2410: 2408: 2405: 2403: 2400: 2398: 2395: 2391: 2388: 2386: 2383: 2381: 2378: 2376: 2373: 2371: 2370:deoxygenation 2368: 2366: 2365:acidification 2363: 2362: 2361: 2358: 2354: 2351: 2349: 2346: 2345: 2344: 2341: 2337: 2334: 2333: 2332: 2329: 2327: 2324: 2322: 2319: 2317: 2314: 2312: 2309: 2307: 2304: 2302: 2299: 2297: 2294: 2293: 2291: 2287: 2283: 2279: 2274: 2270: 2258: 2255: 2253: 2250: 2248: 2245: 2243: 2240: 2238: 2235: 2233: 2230: 2229: 2227: 2225: 2222: 2220: 2217: 2215: 2212: 2210: 2207: 2205: 2202: 2200: 2197: 2196: 2193: 2186: 2182: 2168: 2165: 2161: 2160:from wetlands 2158: 2156: 2153: 2151: 2148: 2146: 2143: 2141: 2138: 2137: 2136: 2133: 2131: 2128: 2126: 2123: 2121: 2120:Deforestation 2118: 2117: 2115: 2111: 2105: 2102: 2099: 2095: 2092: 2090: 2087: 2086: 2084: 2080: 2076: 2072: 2067: 2063: 2053: 2050: 2048: 2045: 2043: 2040: 2038: 2035: 2033: 2030: 2029: 2026: 2019: 2015: 2011: 2004: 1999: 1997: 1992: 1990: 1985: 1984: 1981: 1975: 1972: 1971: 1963: 1960: 1955: 1949: 1941: 1940: 1934: 1929: 1925: 1921: 1915: 1907: 1906: 1899: 1894: 1890: 1886: 1880: 1872: 1871: 1865: 1864: 1845: 1841: 1835: 1833: 1818: 1814: 1807: 1793: 1789: 1785: 1784:Harvey, Fiona 1779: 1765: 1761: 1754: 1740: 1736: 1732: 1731:Harvey, Fiona 1726: 1712: 1708: 1701: 1687: 1683: 1679: 1675: 1671: 1667: 1663: 1659: 1655: 1651: 1647: 1640: 1626: 1622: 1616: 1602:on 2021-08-02 1601: 1597: 1593: 1587: 1573: 1569: 1563: 1549: 1545: 1538: 1524: 1520: 1513: 1499:on 2009-09-01 1498: 1494: 1488: 1481: 1476: 1469: 1465: 1461: 1458: 1457: 1452: 1451:T. F. Stocker 1446: 1432:on 2014-05-06 1428: 1424: 1417: 1411: 1397: 1393: 1386: 1371: 1365: 1351:on 2014-05-06 1350: 1346: 1340: 1334: 1333: 1328: 1323: 1308: 1304: 1298: 1290: 1284: 1282: 1280: 1278: 1270: 1266: 1260: 1254:, p. 113 1253: 1249: 1245: 1239: 1232: 1228: 1222: 1215: 1211: 1205: 1198: 1194: 1188: 1186: 1178: 1174: 1168: 1161: 1157: 1151: 1149: 1141: 1137: 1131: 1124: 1120: 1114: 1096: 1090: 1088: 1072: 1068: 1062: 1054: 1050: 1043: 1035: 1028: 1021: 1015: 1013: 1004: 998: 990: 984: 980: 979: 971: 963: 956: 950: 939: 935: 928: 922: 916: 910: 908: 903: 894: 891: 888: 887: 883: 882: 876: 874: 870: 866: 860: 858: 852: 850: 849: 843: 838: 836: 835: 829: 827: 823: 819: 815: 810: 808: 797: 795: 792: 788: 784: 779: 764: 757: 754: 750: 747: 743: 740: 737: 733: 730: 726: 722: 718: 715: 714: 705: 702: 701: 700: 698: 690: 686: 681: 679: 675: 636: 632: 629: 625: 622: 618: 615: 611: 607: 603: 599: 596: 592: 591:ocean warming 588: 584: 581: 577: 576: 567: 564: 563:fourth report 560: 556: 553: 550: 546: 545: 539: 531: 528: 527: 523: 520: 519: 515: 512: 511: 507: 504: 503: 499: 496: 495: 491: 488: 487: 483: 480: 479: 475: 472: 471: 467: 464: 463: 459: 456: 455: 451: 448: 447: 441: 439: 435: 431: 427: 423: 413: 411: 406: 393: 390: 387: 384: 383: 382: 380: 375: 366: 364: 360: 354: 352: 348: 344: 340: 336: 325: 323: 317: 314: 310: 308: 304: 300: 292: 289: 286: 283: 279: 278: 277: 274: 262: 259: 257: 254: 252: 249: 248: 247: 246: 239: 236: 234: 231: 229: 226: 224: 221: 219: 216: 214: 211: 210: 204: 203: 196: 193: 191: 188: 186: 185:Fourth (2007) 183: 181: 178: 176: 175:Second (1995) 173: 171: 168: 166: 163: 162: 156: 155: 151: 147: 146: 143: 138: 137: 130: 117: 113: 109: 105: 104:nitrous oxide 100: 99: 98: 95: 92: 88: 84: 80: 77:The report's 75: 73: 70: 59: 57: 53: 49: 48:Fourth Report 44: 40: 36: 32: 23: 19: 3549: 3537: 3525: 3506: 3339:Carbon cycle 3296:Measurements 2991:Society and 2875:carbon sinks 2780:Climate debt 2770:Carbon price 2592:Human rights 2417:Season creep 2375:heat content 2301:Anoxic event 2214:James Hansen 1938: 1903: 1869: 1848:. Retrieved 1846:. 2013-09-27 1843: 1820:. Retrieved 1817:The Guardian 1816: 1806: 1795:. Retrieved 1792:The Guardian 1791: 1778: 1767:. Retrieved 1763: 1753: 1742:. Retrieved 1739:The Guardian 1738: 1725: 1714:. Retrieved 1710: 1700: 1689:. Retrieved 1653: 1649: 1639: 1628:. Retrieved 1624: 1615: 1604:. Retrieved 1600:the original 1595: 1586: 1575:. Retrieved 1571: 1562: 1551:. Retrieved 1547: 1537: 1526:. Retrieved 1522: 1512: 1501:. Retrieved 1497:the original 1487: 1475: 1455: 1445: 1434:. Retrieved 1427:the original 1422: 1410: 1399:. Retrieved 1396:The Guardian 1395: 1385: 1374:. Retrieved 1364: 1353:. Retrieved 1349:the original 1339: 1332:The Guardian 1330: 1322: 1311:. Retrieved 1309:. 2014-03-31 1306: 1297: 1271:, p. 12 1259: 1243: 1238: 1221: 1216:, p. 25 1204: 1199:, p. 14 1167: 1162:, p. 15 1142:, p. 11 1130: 1113: 1102:. Retrieved 1075:. Retrieved 1073:. 2014-11-02 1070: 1061: 1052: 1042: 1027: 1018:IPCC, 2014: 977: 970: 961: 949: 933: 921: 913:IPCC (2014) 884: 862: 854: 846: 845: 840: 834:The Guardian 832: 830: 813: 811: 803: 783:in Greenland 780: 776: 752: 745: 728: 724: 682: 671: 620: 601: 594: 586: 579: 558: 548: 537: 473:Very likely 437: 433: 429: 425: 421: 419: 404: 402: 378: 376: 372: 355: 332: 319: 315: 311: 296: 269: 195:Sixth (2022) 190:Fifth (2014) 189: 180:Third (2001) 165:First (1990) 96: 78: 76: 60: 34: 30: 28: 18: 3366:Carbon sink 3344:atmospheric 3209:video games 2883:Blue carbon 2506:Agriculture 2485:Marine life 2432:Water cycle 2390:temperature 2125:Fossil fuel 1625:www.esa.int 1233:, p. 8 1179:, p. 4 1125:, p. 4 1055:. Guardian. 865:Ban Ki-moon 837:said that: 818:Ban Ki-moon 794:projections 753:very likely 746:very likely 736:water cycle 734:The global 711:Projections 549:unequivocal 363:meteorology 313:published. 305:aspects of 56:RCP article 3567:Categories 3398:Cryosphere 3359:permafrost 3131:Resilience 3083:Adaptation 3058:Litigation 3048:Governance 2993:adaptation 2775:Carbon tax 2728:Mitigation 2665:Antarctica 2553:Disability 1932:. Archived 1897:. 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Index


Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
a series of such reports
Fourth Report
Representative Concentration Pathways
RCP article
UN Climate Change Conference
in Paris during late 2015
loss of snow and ice
sea level rise
Greenhouse gas
nitrous oxide
adaptation

Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change


First (1990)
1992 supplementary report
Second (1995)
Third (2001)
Fourth (2007)
Fifth (2014)
Sixth (2022)
Emissions Scenarios (2000)
Renewable energy sources (2012)
Extreme events and disasters (2012)
Global Warming of 1.5 °C (2018)
Climate Change & Land (2019)
Ocean & Cryosphere (2019)
UNFCCC

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