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Spectrum bias

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Diagnostic test performances reported by some studies may be artificially overestimated if it is a case-control design where a healthy population ('fittest of the fit') is compared with a population with advanced disease ('sickest of the sick'); that is two extreme populations are compared, rather
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may vary in different clinical settings because each setting has a different mix of patients. Because the performance may be dependent on the mix of patients, performance at one clinic may not be predictive of performance at another clinic. These differences are interpreted as a kind of
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Lachs MS, Nachamkin I, Edelstein PH, Goldman J, Feinstein AR, Schwartz JS (1992). "Spectrum bias in the evaluation of diagnostic tests: lessons from the rapid dipstick test for urinary tract infection".
45:, whilst others maintain it is a bias if the true performance of the test differs from that which is 'expected'. Usually the performance of a diagnostic test is measured in terms of its 60:
Generally spectrum bias is considered to have three causes. The first is due to a change in the case-mix of those patients with the target disorder (disease) and this affects the
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Leeflang MM, Bossuyt PM, Irwig L., Diagnostic test accuracy may vary with prevalence: implications for evidence-based diagnosis, J Clin Epidemiol. 2009 Jan;62(1) 5–12.
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Rutjes AWS, Reitsma JB, Vandenbroucke JP, Glas AS, Bossuyt PMM, Case-control and two-gate designs in diagnostic accuracy studies, Clin Chem 2005;51(8):1335–41.
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Goehring C, Perrier A, Morabia A (2004). "Spectrum bias: a quantitative and graphical analysis of the variability of medical diagnostic test performance".
1111: 1086: 295:"Evidence that disease prevalence may affect the performance of diagnostic tests with an implicit threshold: a cross sectional study" 1116: 54: 53:
and it is changes in these that are considered when referring to spectrum bias. However, other performance measures such as the
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Ransohoff DF, Feinstein AR (1978). "Problems of spectrum and bias in evaluating the efficacy of diagnostic tests".
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as well as theoretical arguments which suggest that it does indeed affect a test's performance.
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of subgroups can lead to insights about the test's performance in varying populations.
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change between different sub-groups of patients may be found with the
1164: 651: 373: 76:. This final cause is not widely appreciated, but there is mounting 1123: 1008: 299: 441: 522: 41:; this has led some authors to refer to the phenomenon as 491: 359: 24:refers to the phenomenon that the performance of a 153: 1201: 103:than typical healthy and diseased populations. 288: 286: 239: 235: 233: 191: 189: 187: 185: 507: 402: 353: 344: 283: 230: 182: 1170:Heuristics in judgment and decision-making 514: 500: 435: 396: 320: 213: 195: 147: 33:. Mathematically, the spectrum bias is a 261:10.7326/0003-4819-137-7-200210010-00011 57:may also be affected by spectrum bias. 1202: 292: 495: 106:If properly analyzed, recognition of 13: 14: 1236: 336: 240:Mulherin SA, Miller WC (2002). 479: 1: 140: 7: 1036:DĂ©formation professionnelle 457:10.7326/0003-4819-117-2-135 313:10.1136/bmjopen-2011-000746 168:10.1056/NEJM197810262991705 113: 10: 1241: 1030:Basking in reflected glory 521: 421:10.7326/0003-4819-104-1-66 405:"Carcinoembryonic antigen" 1178: 1160:Cognitive bias mitigation 1152: 1017: 892: 529: 744:Illusion of transparency 93:carcinoembryonic antigen 135:Reference class problem 362:Statistics in Medicine 37:and not a traditional 1220:Design of experiments 1112:Arab–Israeli conflict 839:Social influence bias 784:Out-group homogeneity 215:10.1093/fampra/cmn051 754:Mere-exposure effect 684:Extrinsic incentives 630:Selective perception 403:Fletcher RH (1986). 979:Social desirability 874:von Restorff effect 749:Mean world syndrome 724:Hostile attribution 293:Willis, BH (2012). 83:Examples where the 1225:Medical statistics 894:Statistical biases 672:Curse of knowledge 196:Willis BH (2008). 78:empirical evidence 1197: 1196: 834:Social comparison 615:Choice-supportive 120:Simpson's paradox 55:likelihood ratios 1232: 994:Systematic error 949:Omitted-variable 864:Trait ascription 704:Frog pond effect 532:Cognitive biases 516: 509: 502: 493: 492: 486: 483: 477: 476: 445:Ann. Intern. Med 439: 433: 432: 409:Ann. Intern. Med 400: 394: 393: 374:10.1002/sim.1591 357: 351: 348: 342: 341: 340: 334: 324: 290: 281: 280: 249:Ann. Intern. Med 246: 237: 228: 227: 217: 193: 180: 179: 151: 97:urinary dipstick 43:spectrum effects 39:statistical bias 1240: 1239: 1235: 1234: 1233: 1231: 1230: 1229: 1200: 1199: 1198: 1193: 1174: 1148: 1013: 888: 869:Turkey illusion 637:Compassion fade 534: 525: 520: 490: 489: 484: 480: 440: 436: 401: 397: 358: 354: 349: 345: 335: 291: 284: 244: 238: 231: 202:Family Practice 194: 183: 156:N. Engl. J. Med 152: 148: 143: 116: 26:diagnostic test 12: 11: 5: 1238: 1228: 1227: 1222: 1217: 1212: 1195: 1194: 1192: 1191: 1186: 1179: 1176: 1175: 1173: 1172: 1167: 1162: 1156: 1154: 1153:Bias reduction 1150: 1149: 1147: 1146: 1141: 1136: 1131: 1129:Political bias 1126: 1121: 1120: 1119: 1114: 1109: 1104: 1099: 1094: 1089: 1084: 1074: 1069: 1064: 1059: 1057:Infrastructure 1054: 1049: 1044: 1039: 1032: 1027: 1021: 1019: 1015: 1014: 1012: 1011: 1006: 1001: 996: 991: 986: 981: 976: 974:Self-selection 971: 966: 961: 956: 951: 946: 941: 936: 931: 926: 925: 924: 914: 909: 904: 898: 896: 890: 889: 887: 886: 881: 876: 871: 866: 861: 856: 851: 846: 841: 836: 831: 826: 821: 816: 811: 809:Pro-innovation 806: 801: 796: 794:Overton window 791: 786: 781: 776: 771: 766: 761: 756: 751: 746: 741: 736: 731: 726: 721: 716: 711: 706: 701: 696: 691: 686: 681: 676: 675: 674: 664: 662:Dunning–Kruger 659: 654: 649: 644: 639: 634: 633: 632: 622: 617: 612: 607: 602: 601: 600: 590: 585: 580: 579: 578: 576:Correspondence 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932: 930: 927: 923: 922:Psychological 920: 919: 918: 915: 913: 910: 908: 905: 903: 900: 899: 897: 895: 891: 885: 882: 880: 877: 875: 872: 870: 867: 865: 862: 860: 857: 855: 852: 850: 847: 845: 842: 840: 837: 835: 832: 830: 827: 825: 822: 820: 817: 815: 812: 810: 807: 805: 802: 800: 797: 795: 792: 790: 787: 785: 782: 780: 777: 775: 772: 770: 767: 765: 762: 760: 757: 755: 752: 750: 747: 745: 742: 740: 737: 735: 732: 730: 727: 725: 722: 720: 717: 715: 712: 710: 707: 705: 702: 700: 697: 695: 692: 690: 689:Fading affect 687: 685: 682: 680: 677: 673: 670: 669: 668: 665: 663: 660: 658: 655: 653: 650: 648: 645: 643: 640: 638: 635: 631: 628: 627: 626: 623: 621: 618: 616: 613: 611: 608: 606: 603: 599: 596: 595: 594: 591: 589: 586: 584: 581: 577: 574: 572: 569: 568: 567: 564: 562: 559: 557: 554: 552: 549: 547: 544: 542: 539: 538: 536: 533: 528: 524: 517: 512: 510: 505: 503: 498: 497: 494: 482: 474: 470: 466: 462: 458: 454: 451:(2): 135–40. 450: 446: 438: 430: 426: 422: 418: 414: 410: 406: 399: 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657:Distinction 566:Attribution 561:Attentional 89:specificity 85:sensitivity 74:specificity 70:sensitivity 66:specificity 62:sensitivity 51:specificity 47:sensitivity 1204:Categories 1097:South Asia 1072:Liking gap 884:In animals 849:Status quo 764:Negativity 667:Egocentric 642:Congruence 620:Commitment 610:Blind spot 598:Mean world 588:Automation 141:References 1165:Debiasing 1144:White hat 1139:Reporting 1052:Inductive 969:Selection 929:Lead time 902:Estimator 879:Zero-risk 844:Spotlight 824:Restraint 814:Proximity 799:Precision 759:Narrative 714:Hindsight 699:Frequency 679:Emotional 652:Declinism 583:Authority 556:Anchoring 546:Ambiguity 95:test and 1062:Inherent 1025:Academic 999:Systemic 984:Spectrum 964:Sampling 944:Observer 907:Forecast 819:Response 779:Optimism 774:Omission 769:Normalcy 739:In-group 734:Implicit 647:Cultural 551:Affinity 473:25381473 390:24636826 382:14695644 331:22307105 300:BMJ Open 277:35752032 269:12353947 224:18765409 114:See also 1184:General 1182:Lists: 1117:Ukraine 1042:Funding 804:Present 789:Outcome 694:Framing 465:1605428 429:3510056 322:3274715 99:tests. 1189:Memory 1102:Sweden 1092:Norway 959:Recall 729:Impact 605:Belief 523:Biases 471:  463:  427:  388:  380:  329:  319:  275:  267:  222:  176:692598 174:  1077:Media 1047:FUTON 469:S2CID 386:S2CID 273:S2CID 245:(PDF) 1215:Bias 461:PMID 425:PMID 378:PMID 327:PMID 265:PMID 220:PMID 172:PMID 87:and 72:and 49:and 31:bias 1124:Net 1009:Wet 453:doi 449:117 417:doi 413:104 370:doi 317:PMC 309:doi 257:doi 253:137 210:doi 164:doi 160:299 20:, 16:In 1206:: 467:. 459:. 447:. 423:. 411:. 407:. 384:. 376:. 366:23 364:. 325:. 315:. 303:. 297:. 285:^ 271:. 263:. 251:. 247:. 232:^ 218:. 206:25 204:. 200:. 184:^ 170:. 158:. 515:e 508:t 501:v 475:. 455:: 431:. 419:: 392:. 372:: 333:. 311:: 305:2 279:. 259:: 226:. 212:: 178:. 166::

Index

biostatistics
diagnostic test
sampling bias
statistical bias
sensitivity
specificity
likelihood ratios
sensitivity
specificity
sensitivity
specificity
empirical evidence
sensitivity
specificity
carcinoembryonic antigen
urinary dipstick
heterogeneity
Simpson's paradox
Biased sample
Reporting bias
Reference class problem
doi
10.1056/NEJM197810262991705
PMID
692598




"Spectrum bias – why clinicians need to be cautious when applying diagnostic test studies"

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