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Safe seat

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The ERS identifies what it calls "super safe seats", which have been held continuously by one party since the 19th century. In so doing, it equates seats with their rough equivalents under previous boundaries. For example, following the 2010 general election, it identifies the national representative
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Opposition supporters in safe seats have restricted means to affect election outcomes, and thus the incumbent parties can, in theory, decide to ignore those supporters' concerns, as they have no direct effect on the election result. Even those voters who are moderate supporters of the incumbent party
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electorate, take the opportunity to choose a candidate from the more ideological reaches of the membership. Opposing parties will often be compelled to nominate much less well-known individuals (such as backroom workers or youth activists in the party), who will sometimes do little more than serve as
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In countries with parliamentary government, parties often try to ensure that their most talented or influential politicians are selected to contest these seats – in part to ensure that these politicians can stay in parliament, regardless of the specific election result, and that they can concentrate
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In countries that do not apply the first past the post system, many of which equally operate a geographic division-based system, selected or party sub-nominated candidates can be allocated a safer or more tenuous list position. If a party is strong enough nationwide to gather representations in all
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or third-party candidate with an ideology close to that of the incumbent party may also be able to make a more credible challenge than more established parties, but these factors can combine: a retiring third-party member may turn a safe seat for that party into a marginal seat. For instance, in
586:, despite having both major victories and defeats during this time. Gedling would still be seen as a marginal seat, even though it had been held by Labour for a long time. Safe seats are usually seats that have been held by one party for a long time, but the two concepts are not interchangeable. 606:
Safe seats can become marginal seats (and vice versa) gradually as voter allegiances shift over time. This shift can happen more rapidly for a variety of reasons. The retirement or death of a popular sitting member may make a seat more competitive, as the accrued personal vote of a long-serving
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Candidate selection for a party's safe seats is usually keenly contested, although many parties restrict or forbid challenges to the nomination of sitting members. The selection process can see the incumbent party, untroubled by the need to have a representative that must appeal to a broader
2492:, which are located in the eastern part of the state. Both districts have been held by Republicans or their predecessors (except for two terms in the 1st) since 1859. These districts elected some of the few truly senior Southern Republican Congressmen before the 1950s. 787:
seats, and a few of the most affluent inner-middle urban seats are held by the Liberal Party. Marginals are generally concentrated in the middle-class outer-suburban areas of Australia's larger state capitals, which therefore decide most Australian federal elections.
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ended the Liberal fortress of Toronto when both Conservatives and New Democrats elected many new MPs in Toronto. The former Liberal strength was restored in 2015 as they won all 25 Toronto ridings. The city is not as safe at the provincial level; for instance, the
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who do little or no campaigning, or will use the contest to gain experience so that they become more likely to be selected for a more winnable seat. In some cases (especially in the United States), these seats may go uncontested by other major parties.
1079:, a riding in Southern New Brunswick, is usually a safe seat for Conservatives. It has only been held by two Liberal MPs since its founding in 1914, its first having held one term from 1993 to 1997 and the latest having been elected in 2015. 1519:
by New Zealand, beginning in 1996, has decreased the importance of winning votes in geographical electorates. It remains to be seen what long-term effect proportional representation will have on the safety of individual electorate seats.
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dominant over the country, PH and its predecessors performed well in these states despite never having a chance to rule over the states before. For Barisan Nasional, another major partner in the government, the southern states and
1999:, 382 (59%) were safe seats. Some of these seats have since been lost by the parties that held them at the time, notably most of the Liberal Democrat seats and some Labour seats, meaning they can no longer be considered "safe". 1094:, is considered to be a solid Conservative stronghold. In the 3 April 2017 by-elections, the Conservative candidate for Midnapore won by 77% of the vote and the Conservative candidate for Heritage won by 71% of the vote. In the 2382:". That expression has since been used to describe huge voting swings that generally usher in a new government, as occurred in 1997. Similarly, in 2015, the Labour Party lost many formerly safe seats in Scotland, including 1055:
is often considered a Liberal stronghold, having shut out the Conservative Party from the city in the six elections between 1993 and 2008, and having lost at most two ridings in the 2004, 2006 and 2008 elections to the
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election methods. Safe seats may receive far less political funding than marginal seats, as the parties will attempt to "buy" marginal seats with funding (a process known in North America and Australia as
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may be disenfranchised by having a representative whose views may be more extreme than their own. Political objectors in such areas may experience marginalisation from wider democratic processes and
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Even the safest of seats can be – and sometimes are – upset. Whilst it is rare for the opposition to take such seats, outside candidates may be able to. Examples include the election of
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governing the states with supermajority. For Sabah, despite being described as a swing state in the past, it has been consistently ruled by parties that once a part in BN. Prior to the
1338: 3191: 948:, is a solid Conservative stronghold and is considered one of the most solid seats in Canada. In the 2015 federal election, the Conservative candidate won by 80.91% of the vote. 635:
was gained from the Conservatives by an anti-sleaze independent candidate, despite the majority previously being that of a very safe seat for the Conservatives. The incumbent,
2391: 2325: 1178: 672:"), while ignoring safe seats which will reliably fall to the same party every time; this is especially true in cases where the safe seat is held by the minority party. 3313: 688:-preference allocation of all divisions, ensuring all divisions are near-identically demographically diverse which may be achieved by pairing non-adjoining areas. 460:
representative personally or a combination of both. With such seats, there is very little chance of a seat changing hands because of the political leanings of the
2329: 1118:, is considered a Conservative stronghold, despite its low population. In the 11 December 2017 by-election, the Conservative candidate won by 69% of the vote. 2471: 2721: 2313: 2293: 2332:
all since 1841. (For historical reasons, the Conservative Party being older than the other current main parties, it holds all the oldest safe seats.)
2317: 2288:, or won new ones. Despite the net gain in seats, several were still lost, such as Clegg's, whilst Farron's majority was reduced to less than 1,000. 2249: 1996: 1052: 2280:. Clegg held the seat, albeit with a much reduced majority of just 2,353 (4.2%). In 2017, several Lib Dem MPs either regained their seat, such as 3217: 3023: 2321: 2215: 1481:
with just under 60% of the vote, while her National rival won just under 20% of the vote even despite the nationwide Labour losses of that year.
647:, who was aided by the decision of the main opposition parties (Labour and the Liberal Democrats) not to field candidates. Without such pacts, a 613: 2877: 1673: 973: 559: 2942: 2899: 2444: 2364: 2265: 2226: 2091: 1756: 1752: 1748: 1582: 1177:, all Indo-Fijian seats remained safely Labour, while the SDL won all 23 indigenous seats. Among other minorities, only the communal seat of 2171:
Many areas of the Central Belt of Scotland, such as Glasgow and Edinburgh, were seen as safe Labour seats until the 2015 election, when the
2176: 1780: 985: 284: 2647: 2463: 2448: 2277: 1509: 3142: 2926: 2470:. This district and its predecessors have been in Democratic hands without interruption since 1949. Its current representative, former 1001: 3350: 3090: 3064: 2672: 2489: 2485: 2230: 2797: 3116: 1786: 1648: 1447: 1334: 1041: 879: 2540: 1438:
In New Zealand, many rural electorates, and those based in wealthy suburban areas, notably the North Shore and eastern suburbs of
2452: 2305: 1776: 1751:: A Fuentebella has served in Congress since 1925. The Fuentebellas have held this district since its creation in 2010, held the 1108:, is considered a Conservative stronghold. In the 23 October 2017 by-election, the Conservative candidate won by 77% of the vote. 2955: 2301: 1792: 1741: 1501: 631:, especially for governing parties. Safe seats may also become marginal if the sitting member is involved in scandal: in 1997, 17: 910:
became Progressive Conservative leader and needed a seat in the House of Commons, he chose to run in Central Nova. Liberal MP
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is a safe Conservative seat; in 2017 the party gathered 69.6% of the vote there, giving it a near-50% majority over Labour.
1153:, and 3 for members of all other ethnic minorities. There was a strong tendency toward voting on ethnic lines. Thus, in the 676:
subdivisions, the top candidate(s) on each list tend to be very safely elected to parliament. This is seen in the extremely
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abolished constituency representation altogether, in favour of party list seat allocation based on nationwide results. The
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Historically, some seats thought to be safe have witnessed surprise upsets. Perhaps the most dramatic recent case was the
2356: 1618: 1603: 1271: 632: 391: 1567: 1474: 3000: 2309: 1689: 1668: 1658: 1598: 1386:, the senior coalition in the current government has been a dominant coalition in highly industrialized states, namely 1759:
from 1925 to 1972, except from 1931 to 1935, and from 1946 to 1953. A Fuentebella represented Bicol from 1978 to 1984.
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in which a defeat for the seat holder is considered possible. In systems where candidates must first win the party's
1239: 523: 2459: 1899: 1836: 1714: 1709: 1557: 1552: 1142: 1128: 984:, often in landslide victories. In fact, the previous electoral district which comprises most of the constituency, 951: 792: 296: 2995: 2229:, where Labour received 86% of the vote, giving them a 77% majority over the second-placed Conservatives (at 9%). 1694: 1684: 1663: 1643: 1427: 1399: 1166: 697: 3403: 3050: 2481: 1377: 1282: 1235: 1095: 1061: 1057: 1035: 1027: 1015: 1005: 981: 967: 925: 899: 895: 891: 865: 857: 519: 289: 279: 1430:, these states were described as 'fixed deposits' for BN as they won almost all seats there with a landslide. 1843: 1593: 1562: 1157:, although the indigenous seats were split between several parties, all 19 Indo-Fijian seats were won by the 1070: 945: 917: 903: 300: 2772: 1134: 938:
reporter Dan Arnold, the district came in last in all of Canada, having an average margin of victory of 74%.
71: 3408: 2572: 2541:"Submission to the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters: The Conduct of the 1998 Federal Election" 2417:' in northern England. These defeats represented about 20% of the party's overall 2017 vote in such seats. 2240:, seven out of eight of the Liberal Democrats' remaining seats were marginal, with their soon-to-be leader 1982: 1765:: A Durano had held this seat until 2019 when they were defeated. Prior to redistricting, the Duranos held 1350:
In Malaysia, the percentage of votes secured by a winning candidate defines the seat margin. In this case:
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was held on that basis, thus putting an end to all safe seats. The Labour Party suffered a near wipe-out.
807:'s inner-northern suburbs, with a two-party-preferred margin of 26.0%. The safest seat for the opposition 2414: 1978: 1804: 1516: 1182: 1101: 1004:, yet another Liberal safe seat in Montreal. It has been held by the Liberals since its creation. In the 820: 776: 677: 664: 115: 2698: 3372: 2506: 2440: 1635: 1443: 1322:, who was elected by this constituency in 1991, is the only one who is not from the pro-democracy camp. 1305: 1231: 808: 780: 652: 636: 554:
There is a spectrum between safe and marginal seats. Supposedly safe seats can still change hands in a
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A seat with winning percentage between 56% and 59.9% by a candidate identified as 'Fairly safe' seat.
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needed an open seat to become Leader of the Opposition, he chose Beauséjour in a by-election and won.
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City centres in Southeastern Gyeongnam, Southern Gyeogbuk and parliamentary constituencies in rural
663:. This is often regarded as undemocratic, and is a major argument in favour of various multi-member 2395: 2245: 2165: 1988: 1544: 1459: 1289: 1220: 1173:– which later merged into the SDL. All 19 "Indian" seats were retained by the Labour Party. In the 1066: 911: 878:, which has previously been called a safe seat for the Conservative Party and its predecessor, the 707: 504: 158: 1795:: A Cojuangco has held this seat from 1907 to 1909, from 1934 to 1946, and continually since 1961. 2406: 2261: 2199: 2183: 2172: 2063: 2018: 1365: 1224: 847: 563: 508: 384: 241: 3287: 3262: 2153: 2048: 1789:: An Ortega has held this seat since 1945 except for two instances, and continually since 1969. 1423: 932:
won 82.04% of the vote, and in a ranking measuring the electoral competitiveness of ridings by
796: 784: 621: 608: 333: 2923: 1779:: An Albano has held this seat since 1987. Prior to redistricting, an Albano has represented 1419: 1048:. Since the district's re-establishment in 1952, it has been out of Liberal hands only twice. 591: 173: 168: 2557: 980:. It has elected a Liberal Member of Parliament each federal election since its creation in 1478: 1311: 812: 274: 27:
Electoral district in a legislative body seen as secure for a political party or incumbent
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Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information.
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Please expand the article to include this information. Further details may exist on the
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roles without needing to spend too much effort on managing electorate-specific issues.
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A seat with winning percentage more than 60% by a candidate identified as 'Safe' seat.
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A seat with winning percentage under 55.9% by a candidate identified as 'Margin' seat.
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party won 18 of the indigenous seats, with the other 5 going to the ultra-nationalist
3321: 3225: 3218:"In the safest Tory seat in the country, who do angry, alarmed voters want to be PM?" 3028: 2977: 2959: 2398: 2117: 2033: 1906: 1879: 1855: 1851: 1847: 1493: 1411:
are the safe seats for the coalition. During its dominant period, it also controlled
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since its creation in 1998, with the DAB candidate being unopposed from 2000 to 2008.
1158: 1091: 902:, when the Progressive Conservatives were reduced to just two seats nationwide and a 684:, for example. Safe seats and candidates can be avoided altogether by a purposefully 571: 480:" is often used to describe winning the dominant party's nomination for a safe seat. 319: 183: 153: 80: 36: 3192:"Labour now has all 10 of the safest seats in UK, House of Commons analysis reveals" 1145:' 71 seats on an ethnic basis. 23 were reserved for the indigenous majority, 19 for 2447:
on how strongly they lean toward either major party. As of the 2022 redistricting,
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Parliamentary constituencies in industrial areas and built-up residential areas in
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parliamentarian will sometimes have resisted countervailing demographic trends. An
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in the Philippines is rampant, certain congressional districts have been held by
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won with over 65% of the vote, and over 21,000 votes more than his closest rival.
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The northern, east coast, and rural constituencies have been safe seats for the
578:, whilst other seats may remain marginal despite large national swings, such as 51: 2651: 2509:, corrupt types of safe seat in the United Kingdom prior to the Reform Act 1832 2501: 1466: 1451: 1031: 1023: 929: 907: 648: 424: 198: 163: 95: 2272:, when opinion polls were forecasting a Labour gain despite the incumbent MP, 775:
In Australia's federal system, most rural seats are safe seats for either the
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in what ranked as the largest majority win in its history. His predecessor,
819:, with a margin of 18.3%. The Liberal Party's junior coalition partner, the 2848: 2776: 2526: 2474: 2387: 2157: 1926: 1922: 1465:. By contrast, inner-city and poorer suburban electorates such as those in 1395: 1314:
has been a safe seat of Pro-democracy camp since 1985, and a safe seat for
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concerned or the popularity of the incumbent member. This contrasts with a
465: 461: 188: 2296:(drawn as a constituency in 1997) as having been a Conservative since the 2426: 2352: 2304:(and a few others) have been held by the Conservative Party since 1885, 2281: 2149: 2078: 1918: 1770: 1731: 1489: 1315: 1301: 1076: 875: 669: 644: 628: 582:, which Labour narrowly won in every election for twenty years until the 66: 2989: 2987: 2252:
has been held by the Liberal Democrats and their predecessor party, the
362: 2434: 2344: 2273: 2241: 2129: 1871: 1859: 1462: 766: 617: 329: 208: 1500:, Labour lost many seats that they had held for decades prior such as 924:, which has been called the safest seat in the entire country. In the 783:. Conversely, inner-city and poorer suburban seats are typically safe 2984: 2336: 2145: 2125: 1867: 1863: 804: 457: 130: 2798:"History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Saint-Laurent--Cartierville" 1209: 894:. The only time the riding was not in Conservative control was from 493: 3024:"Week in Politics: The 'multiple reasons' why Labour lost so badly" 2873: 2648:"Swing voters could make anything happen next time in Central Nova" 2285: 2207: 1910: 1824: 1439: 1391: 1373: 1319: 1304:, the LEGCO member elected in this constituency are members of the 1105: 955: 218: 43: 3373:"November 3, 2020, General Election: United States Representative" 2595:"Economy, environment will be key factors in next week's election" 2374:
The loss of safe seats can become historic moments: the defeat of
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or the Cagayan Valley from 1957 to 1986, except from 1965 to 1969.
2943:"2001 election: summary by open seats and type of communal seats" 2120:
are in major urban areas and the industrial centres, such as the
1914: 1412: 1045: 1019: 994:, one of many rural, southern safe seats in the Prairies for the 921: 860:, located in southern Alberta, is considered a safe seat for the 639:, had been mired in controversy, and was defeated by the veteran 1418:
Sabah and Sarawak are safe states for their local parties, with
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Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong
1098:, the Conservative candidate for Shepard won by 65% of the vote. 409: 3117:"#HalalanResults: Albano, Dy dynasties win Isabela's top posts" 2822: 2750: 2620: 2211: 2191: 1492:, safe Labour seats for the previous 60 years, were all won by 1387: 1270:
There is no formal definition in Hong Kong, yet there are some
1150: 977: 959: 251: 2413:, Labour lost many formerly safe seats that were part of its ' 2477:, was most recently reelected with 77.6 percent of the vote. 1895: 1875: 1408: 1297: 2993: 3065:"Aga Muhlach clashes with 105-year-old Fuentebella dynasty" 2673:"How Justin Trudeau's Liberal majority swept across Canada" 914:
won the seat in 2015, and was re-elected in 2019 and 2021.
3091:"Frasco breaks 70-year-reign of Duranos in fifth district" 2386:, which had previously been held by former Prime Minister 1632: 962:, held by a succession of Liberal MPs since 1940. Liberal 827:, also located in rural Victoria, with a margin of 21.3%. 640: 1769:
since 1949. The Duranos have also held the mayorship of
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Traditionally safe seats can also be more vulnerable in
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which is regarded as fully secure, for either a certain
2900:"Toronto turns red as Liberals capture the entire city" 1034:, won 72% compared to 10% for his closest rival in the 772:
puts the cutoff between "safe" and "very safe" at 12%.
2573:"2007 Australian federal election electoral pendulum" 2378:
in his "safe" Conservative seat in 1997 created the "
1773:, the largest city in the district, for generations. 868:, the Conservative candidate won by 77% of the vote. 3305: 2870:"Tories struggle in Toronto's Liberal strongholds" 2546:. Australian Electoral Commission. 12 March 1999. 1469:are typically safe Labour seats. For example, in 1161:– which won none of the indigenous seats. In the 3390: 2363:in the Conservatives' historically safest seat, 2264:in the latter's national landslide. The seat of 1823:From the 1960s, parliamentary constituencies in 1296:in the colonial period, has been a safe seat of 920:, a Conservative stronghold located in southern 2974:"2006 election: Indian communal constituencies" 2956:"2006 election: Fijian communal constituencies" 2819:"Canada Votes 2004: Saint-Laurent-Cartierville" 2451:district is the most Democratic at D+40, while 1274:seats which are regarded as fully secured by a 616:, with the retirement of the popular incumbent 1018:, a Conservative stronghold, also in southern 976:, a Liberal stronghold in the eastern part of 906:candidate ran for the Liberals. In 1983, when 2466:, which currently covers most of the city of 385: 3143:"La Union is still Ortega clan's stronghold" 2560:. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 2010. 3311: 3169:"Election already over in nearly 400 seats" 3161: 1300:since 1985 until now. Except the incumbent 1238:. Unsourced material may be challenged and 522:. Unsourced material may be challenged and 2175:took all but one Labour seat in Scotland ( 1165:, the conservative indigenous nationalist 1069:won only 3 of Toronto's 41 ridings in the 846:, which is considered a safe seat for the 392: 378: 3351:The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter 2455:district is the most Republican at R+33. 1258:Learn how and when to remove this message 542:Learn how and when to remove this message 3314:"How the Tories won over Workington Man" 2527:"Elections – Frequently Asked Questions" 2464:California's 11th congressional district 1446:. An example of a safe National seat is 566:(and then-potential future party leader 3215: 3189: 2699:"Canada election results: Central Nova" 14: 3391: 3347:"2022 Cook PVI: District Map and List" 3021: 2770: 2719: 2490:Tennessee's 2nd congressional district 2486:Tennessee's 1st congressional district 2458:Other examples of a safe seat for the 1898:are also considered as safe seats for 1807:since 1946, except from 1953 to 1957. 1526:Examples of safe seats in New Zealand 1458:, with only 19% of votes going to her 988:, had been solidly Liberal since 1887. 890:for all but five of forty years until 620:, the seat was no longer safe for the 3312:Miscampbell, Guy (18 December 2019). 2645: 2592: 2570: 1929:are considered as safe seats for the 2696: 2248:being the only one considered safe. 1991:(ERS) estimated that going into the 1940: 1442:, are considered safe seats for the 1236:adding citations to reliable sources 1203: 520:adding citations to reliable sources 487: 403: 2722:"Canada's most competitive ridings" 2343:in very safe Labour seats in 2005, 1835:, are considered as safe seats for 1376:, PAS has been in government since 24: 3263:"Paisley & Renfrewshire South" 3190:Cowburn, Ashley (10 August 2017). 2994:New Zealand Electoral Commission. 2529:. Australian Electoral Commission. 2351:constituency in Scotland in 1997, 1044:, a safe seat for the Liberals in 25: 3420: 3022:Wilson, Peter (20 October 2023). 2623:. 7 November 2008. Archived from 2355:in the safe Conservative seat of 2268:was notable in the run up to the 1936: 1858:and affluent villages in such as 1051:The City of Toronto, which holds 700:defines seat margins as follows: 2924:"Elections 1999 Results Summary" 2747:"Canada Votes 2006: Mount Royal" 2593:Tower, Katie (14 October 2008). 2420: 1945: 1454:, who gained 71.52% of votes in 1208: 1190:new Constitution adopted in 2013 1137:, elections were held under the 1129:House of Representatives of Fiji 966:won over 75% of the vote in the 655:electoral system, as in the UK. 492: 421:about France, Germany and Italy. 408: 361: 50: 3365: 3339: 3280: 3255: 3243: 3216:Anthony, Andrew (25 May 2019). 3209: 3183: 3135: 3109: 3083: 3057: 3015: 2966: 2948: 2936: 2917: 2892: 2862: 2837: 2811: 2790: 2764: 2739: 2713: 2617:"Canada Votes 2008: BeausĂ©jour" 2300:. Similarly, it considers that 2186:tend to be in rural areas: the 2116:Examples of safe seats for the 1181:was a safe seat for the ethnic 1167:Soqosoqo Duavata ni Lewenivanua 1082:Southern Calgary, particularly 1026:, won 72.9% of the vote in the 799:'s safest seat was the seat of 698:Australian Electoral Commission 2773:"Grits and Greens make a deal" 2771:Bryden, Joan (12 April 2007). 2690: 2665: 2639: 2609: 2586: 2564: 2550: 2533: 2519: 2392:Paisley and Renfrewshire South 2326:Bognor Regis and Littlehampton 1818: 1725: 1433: 1062:2011 Canadian Federal Election 880:Progressive Conservative Party 13: 1: 3288:"Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath" 2697:Omar, Nida (15 August 2021). 2513: 2276:, being the party leader and 2260:, but was almost lost to the 1337:, which has been held by the 882:, having been held by either 483: 2720:Arnold, Dan (21 July 2009). 2359:in 1997, and most recently, 2102: 2089: 2074: 2059: 2044: 2029: 2014: 2003: 2001: 1983:Blue wall (British politics) 1799:Under the usual definition, 1744:for generations. These are: 1199: 996:Conservative Party of Canada 691: 7: 2996:"Māngere - Official Result" 2646:Davis, Jeff (7 July 2008). 2495: 1979:Red wall (British politics) 1921:and Jeolla regions such as 1781:Isabela's at-large district 1755:from 1992 to 2010, and the 1517:proportional representation 1477:was held by Labour list MP 1366:Pan Malaysian Islamic Party 1345: 1141:, which allotted 46 of the 1135:December 2006 military coup 842:, a riding in southeastern 665:proportional representation 224:Right to stand for election 10: 3425: 3252:, Electoral Reform Society 3171:. Electoral Reform Society 3049:: CS1 maint: url-status ( 2507:Rotten and pocket boroughs 2441:Cook Partisan Voting Index 2424: 2330:East Worthing and Shoreham 1976: 1909:, Southeastern Gyeongnam, 1729: 1306:Democratic Party Hong Kong 1126: 1104:, located in Alberta near 1002:Saint-Laurent—Cartierville 954:, a Liberal stronghold in 874:, located in east-central 765:In his election analysis, 2929:22 September 2001 at the 2431:Blue wall (U.S. politics) 2384:Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath 2256:, continuously since the 2103: 2090: 2004: 1954:This article needs to be 1634: 1543: 1530: 1525: 1335:Agriculture and Fisheries 928:, Conservative candidate 830: 2597:. Sackville Tribune Post 2396:shadow Foreign Secretary 2246:Westmorland and Lonsdale 2210:) and affluent areas of 2092:Northern Ireland parties 1989:Electoral Reform Society 1143:House of Representatives 1112:Battlefords—Lloydminster 1071:2018 provincial election 1067:Liberal Party of Ontario 680:election systems of the 576:1997 UK general election 2945:, Fiji Elections Office 2933:, Fiji Elections Office 2445:congressional districts 2314:Arundel and South Downs 2262:Scottish National Party 2221:The safest seat in the 2173:Scottish National Party 1415:and west coast states. 1380:(7 consecutive terms). 1272:functional constituency 1122: 1102:Sturgeon River—Parkland 823:'s safest seat was the 651:is more likely under a 2409:were recorded. In the 2294:Haltemprice and Howden 1827:, especially Northern 1424:Gabungan Parti Sarawak 1133:In Fiji, prior to the 797:Australian Labor Party 785:Australian Labor Party 478:tantamount to election 419:is missing information 290:Next general elections 18:Tantamount to election 3404:Political terminology 2411:2019 general election 2298:1837 general election 2278:Deputy Prime Minister 2270:2015 general election 2258:1950 general election 2238:2015 general election 2223:2017 general election 1993:2010 general election 1987:On 6 April 2010, the 1811:has been held by the 1803:has been held by the 1674:Taranaki-King Country 1420:Gabungan Rakyat Sabah 1326:Fully secured by the 1281:Fully secured by the 1278:or a political camp. 1194:2014 general election 1175:2006 general election 1171:Conservative Alliance 1163:2001 general election 1155:1999 general election 1114:, located in Eastern 1096:2015 federal election 1036:2006 federal election 1006:2004 federal election 968:2004 federal election 942:Battle River—Crowfoot 904:socially conservative 866:2015 federal election 793:2007 federal election 584:2019 general election 174:Boundary delimitation 3001:Electoral Commission 2318:Hampshire North East 2292:of the area forming 2156:county and parts of 1809:Bohol's 3rd district 1479:Lemauga Lydia Sosene 1450:, currently held by 1398:. Even prior to the 1372:(PN). Especially in 1232:improve this section 1183:United Peoples Party 1058:New Democratic Party 516:improve this section 275:Elections by country 3409:Electoral geography 2405:of over 25% to the 2369:by-election in 2021 2250:Orkney and Shetland 2182:Safe seats for the 1815:from 1946 to 1972. 944:, the successor to 653:first past the post 368:Politics portal 2880:on 21 October 2010 2558:"Election Q&A" 2322:Rutland and Melton 2216:Chelsea and Fulham 2184:Conservative Party 2144:); South and West 1900:People Power Party 1837:People Power Party 1813:Nacionalista Party 1742:political families 1510:Wellington Central 1370:Perikatan Nasional 1292:, formerly called 1283:pan-democracy camp 835:Examples include: 825:division of Mallee 801:Division of Batman 614:Berwick-upon-Tweed 562:being lost by the 556:landslide election 450:electoral district 3029:Radio New Zealand 2449:California's 12th 2401:. In both cases, 2399:Douglas Alexander 2148:, the Valleys of 2114: 2113: 1975: 1974: 1825:Gyeongsang region 1749:Camarines Sur–4th 1723: 1722: 1498:the 2023 election 1494:New Zealand First 1456:the 2023 election 1268: 1267: 1260: 1159:Fiji Labour Party 1139:1997 Constitution 1092:Calgary Midnapore 1022:. The incumbent, 763: 762: 622:Liberal Democrats 560:Enfield Southgate 552: 551: 544: 442: 441: 402: 401: 320:Election security 303:elections in 2024 257:Electoral systems 184:Electoral college 154:Anonymous elector 16:(Redirected from 3416: 3384: 3383: 3377: 3369: 3363: 3362: 3360: 3358: 3343: 3337: 3336: 3334: 3332: 3309: 3303: 3302: 3300: 3298: 3284: 3278: 3277: 3275: 3273: 3259: 3253: 3247: 3241: 3240: 3238: 3236: 3213: 3207: 3206: 3204: 3202: 3187: 3181: 3180: 3178: 3176: 3165: 3159: 3158: 3156: 3154: 3147:The Manila Times 3139: 3133: 3132: 3130: 3128: 3113: 3107: 3106: 3104: 3102: 3087: 3081: 3080: 3078: 3076: 3061: 3055: 3054: 3048: 3040: 3038: 3036: 3019: 3013: 3012: 3010: 3008: 2991: 2982: 2981: 2980:on 29 July 2012. 2976:. Archived from 2970: 2964: 2963: 2958:. Archived from 2952: 2946: 2940: 2934: 2921: 2915: 2914: 2912: 2910: 2896: 2890: 2889: 2887: 2885: 2876:. Archived from 2866: 2860: 2859: 2857: 2855: 2841: 2835: 2834: 2832: 2830: 2815: 2809: 2808: 2806: 2804: 2794: 2788: 2787: 2785: 2783: 2768: 2762: 2761: 2759: 2757: 2743: 2737: 2736: 2734: 2732: 2717: 2711: 2710: 2708: 2706: 2694: 2688: 2687: 2685: 2683: 2669: 2663: 2662: 2660: 2658: 2643: 2637: 2636: 2634: 2632: 2627:on 22 March 2009 2613: 2607: 2606: 2604: 2602: 2590: 2584: 2583: 2581: 2579: 2568: 2562: 2561: 2554: 2548: 2547: 2545: 2537: 2531: 2530: 2523: 2376:Michael Portillo 2365:North Shropshire 2320:since 1857, and 2266:Sheffield Hallam 2227:Liverpool Walton 2002: 1970: 1967: 1961: 1949: 1948: 1941: 1931:Democratic Party 1523: 1522: 1515:The adoption of 1496:. Meanwhile, in 1404:Barisan Nasional 1328:pro-Beijing camp 1263: 1256: 1252: 1249: 1243: 1212: 1204: 1088:Calgary Heritage 850:. In 1990, when 795:, the governing 703: 702: 682:Nordic countries 661:political apathy 600:paper candidates 568:Michael Portillo 547: 540: 536: 533: 527: 496: 488: 474:primary election 437: 434: 428: 412: 404: 394: 387: 380: 366: 365: 345:Election science 340:Electoral reform 194:Election silence 179:Crossover voting 136:Two-round system 54: 32: 31: 21: 3424: 3423: 3419: 3418: 3417: 3415: 3414: 3413: 3389: 3388: 3387: 3375: 3371: 3370: 3366: 3356: 3354: 3345: 3344: 3340: 3330: 3328: 3310: 3306: 3296: 3294: 3286: 3285: 3281: 3271: 3269: 3261: 3260: 3256: 3248: 3244: 3234: 3232: 3214: 3210: 3200: 3198: 3196:The Independent 3188: 3184: 3174: 3172: 3167: 3166: 3162: 3152: 3150: 3141: 3140: 3136: 3126: 3124: 3115: 3114: 3110: 3100: 3098: 3089: 3088: 3084: 3074: 3072: 3063: 3062: 3058: 3042: 3041: 3034: 3032: 3020: 3016: 3006: 3004: 2992: 2985: 2972: 2971: 2967: 2962:on 28 May 2006. 2954: 2953: 2949: 2941: 2937: 2931:Wayback Machine 2922: 2918: 2908: 2906: 2898: 2897: 2893: 2883: 2881: 2868: 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350:Paper candidate 325:Electoral fraud 315: 307: 306: 280:Close elections 270: 262: 261: 247:Political party 237: 229: 228: 149: 141: 140: 62: 37:Politics series 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 3422: 3412: 3411: 3406: 3401: 3386: 3385: 3364: 3353:. 12 July 2022 3338: 3304: 3279: 3254: 3242: 3208: 3182: 3160: 3134: 3108: 3082: 3056: 3014: 2983: 2965: 2947: 2935: 2916: 2891: 2861: 2836: 2825:. 29 June 2004 2810: 2789: 2763: 2738: 2712: 2689: 2664: 2652:The Hill Times 2638: 2608: 2585: 2563: 2549: 2532: 2517: 2515: 2512: 2511: 2510: 2504: 2502:Gerrymandering 2497: 2494: 2484:seats include 2422: 2419: 2394:, the seat of 2112: 2111: 2108: 2105: 2101: 2100: 2097: 2094: 2088: 2087: 2084: 2081: 2076: 2073: 2072: 2069: 2066: 2061: 2058: 2057: 2054: 2051: 2046: 2043: 2042: 2039: 2036: 2031: 2028: 2027: 2024: 2021: 2016: 2013: 2012: 2009: 2006: 1997:constituencies 1973: 1972: 1953: 1951: 1944: 1938: 1937:United Kingdom 1935: 1820: 1817: 1797: 1796: 1790: 1784: 1774: 1760: 1727: 1724: 1721: 1720: 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phrase " 440: 439: 416: 414: 407: 400: 399: 397: 396: 389: 382: 374: 371: 370: 357: 356: 353: 352: 347: 342: 337: 327: 322: 316: 313: 312: 309: 308: 305: 304: 293: 292: 287: 282: 277: 271: 268: 267: 264: 263: 260: 259: 254: 249: 244: 242:Administration 238: 235: 234: 231: 230: 227: 226: 221: 216: 211: 206: 201: 199:Gerrymandering 196: 191: 186: 181: 176: 171: 166: 161: 156: 150: 147: 146: 143: 142: 139: 138: 133: 128: 123: 118: 113: 108: 103: 98: 93: 88: 83: 74: 69: 63: 60: 59: 56: 55: 47: 46: 40: 39: 26: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 3421: 3410: 3407: 3405: 3402: 3400: 3397: 3396: 3394: 3381: 3380:elections.gov 3374: 3368: 3352: 3348: 3342: 3327: 3323: 3319: 3315: 3308: 3293: 3289: 3283: 3268: 3264: 3258: 3251: 3246: 3231: 3227: 3223: 3219: 3212: 3197: 3193: 3186: 3170: 3164: 3149:. 20 May 2019 3148: 3144: 3138: 3123:. 15 May 2019 3122: 3118: 3112: 3097:. 14 May 2019 3096: 3092: 3086: 3071:. 12 May 2013 3070: 3066: 3060: 3052: 3046: 3031: 3030: 3025: 3018: 3003: 3002: 2997: 2990: 2988: 2979: 2975: 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Global News 2700: 2693: 2678: 2674: 2668: 2653: 2649: 2642: 2626: 2622: 2618: 2612: 2596: 2589: 2574: 2567: 2559: 2553: 2542: 2536: 2528: 2522: 2518: 2508: 2505: 2503: 2500: 2499: 2493: 2491: 2487: 2483: 2478: 2476: 2473: 2472:House Speaker 2469: 2468:San Francisco 2465: 2461: 2456: 2454: 2453:Alabama's 4th 2450: 2446: 2442: 2436: 2432: 2428: 2421:United States 2418: 2416: 2412: 2408: 2404: 2400: 2397: 2393: 2389: 2385: 2381: 2377: 2372: 2370: 2366: 2362: 2358: 2354: 2350: 2346: 2342: 2338: 2333: 2331: 2327: 2323: 2319: 2315: 2311: 2307: 2303: 2299: 2295: 2289: 2287: 2283: 2279: 2275: 2271: 2267: 2263: 2259: 2255: 2254:Liberal Party 2251: 2247: 2243: 2239: 2234: 2232: 2228: 2224: 2219: 2217: 2213: 2209: 2205: 2201: 2197: 2193: 2189: 2188:Home Counties 2185: 2180: 2178: 2174: 2169: 2167: 2163: 2159: 2155: 2154:West Midlands 2151: 2147: 2143: 2139: 2135: 2131: 2127: 2123: 2119: 2109: 2106: 2098: 2095: 2093: 2085: 2082: 2080: 2077: 2075: 2070: 2067: 2065: 2062: 2060: 2055: 2052: 2050: 2047: 2045: 2040: 2037: 2035: 2032: 2030: 2025: 2022: 2020: 2019:Conservatives 2017: 2015: 2011:% safe seats 2010: 2007: 2000: 1998: 1995:, of the 650 1994: 1990: 1984: 1980: 1969: 1957: 1952: 1943: 1942: 1934: 1932: 1928: 1924: 1920: 1916: 1912: 1908: 1903: 1901: 1897: 1893: 1889: 1885: 1881: 1877: 1873: 1869: 1865: 1861: 1857: 1853: 1849: 1845: 1840: 1838: 1834: 1830: 1826: 1816: 1814: 1810: 1806: 1805:Liberal Party 1802: 1794: 1791: 1788: 1785: 1782: 1778: 1775: 1772: 1768: 1764: 1761: 1758: 1754: 1750: 1747: 1746: 1745: 1743: 1739: 1733: 1716: 1713: 1711: 1708: 1706: 1703: 1701: 1698: 1696: 1693: 1691: 1688: 1686: 1683: 1682: 1680: 1675: 1672: 1670: 1667: 1665: 1662: 1660: 1657: 1655: 1652: 1650: 1647: 1645: 1642: 1641: 1639: 1637: 1631: 1625: 1622: 1620: 1617: 1615: 1612: 1610: 1607: 1605: 1602: 1600: 1597: 1595: 1592: 1591: 1589: 1584: 1581: 1579: 1576: 1574: 1571: 1569: 1566: 1564: 1561: 1559: 1556: 1554: 1551: 1550: 1548: 1546: 1540: 1537:Former seats 1536: 1533: 1529: 1524: 1521: 1518: 1513: 1511: 1507: 1503: 1502:Mount Roskill 1499: 1495: 1491: 1487: 1486:1996 election 1482: 1480: 1476: 1472: 1468: 1464: 1461: 1457: 1453: 1449: 1445: 1441: 1431: 1429: 1425: 1421: 1416: 1414: 1410: 1405: 1401: 1397: 1393: 1389: 1385: 1381: 1379: 1375: 1371: 1367: 1359: 1356: 1353: 1352: 1351: 1340: 1336: 1333: 1332: 1331: 1329: 1321: 1317: 1313: 1310: 1307: 1303: 1299: 1295: 1291: 1288: 1287: 1286: 1284: 1279: 1277: 1273: 1262: 1259: 1251: 1241: 1237: 1233: 1227: 1226: 1222: 1217:This section 1215: 1211: 1206: 1205: 1197: 1195: 1191: 1186: 1184: 1180: 1176: 1172: 1168: 1164: 1160: 1156: 1152: 1148: 1144: 1140: 1136: 1130: 1117: 1113: 1110: 1107: 1103: 1100: 1097: 1093: 1089: 1085: 1081: 1078: 1075: 1072: 1068: 1063: 1059: 1054: 1050: 1047: 1043: 1040: 1037: 1033: 1029: 1028:2008 election 1025: 1021: 1017: 1014: 1011: 1010:StĂ©phane Dion 1007: 1003: 1000: 997: 993: 990: 987: 983: 979: 975: 974:Ottawa—Vanier 972: 969: 965: 961: 957: 953: 950: 947: 943: 940: 937: 936: 935:National Post 931: 927: 926:2008 election 923: 919: 916: 913: 909: 905: 901: 897: 893: 889: 885: 881: 877: 873: 870: 867: 863: 862:Conservatives 859: 856: 853: 852:Jean ChrĂ©tien 849: 848:Liberal Party 845: 844:New Brunswick 841: 838: 837: 836: 828: 826: 822: 818: 814: 810: 809:Liberal Party 806: 802: 798: 794: 789: 786: 782: 781:Liberal Party 778: 773: 771: 768: 758: 755: 752: 751: 747: 744: 741: 740: 736: 733: 730: 729: 725: 722: 719: 718: 714: 711: 709: 705: 704: 701: 699: 689: 687: 683: 679: 673: 671: 666: 662: 656: 654: 650: 646: 642: 638: 637:Neil Hamilton 634: 630: 625: 623: 619: 615: 610: 604: 601: 595: 593: 587: 585: 581: 577: 573: 569: 565: 564:Conservatives 561: 557: 546: 543: 535: 525: 521: 517: 511: 510: 506: 501:This section 499: 495: 490: 489: 481: 479: 475: 471: 470:marginal seat 467: 463: 459: 455: 451: 447: 436: 426: 420: 417:This article 415: 411: 406: 405: 395: 390: 388: 383: 381: 376: 375: 373: 372: 369: 364: 359: 358: 351: 348: 346: 343: 341: 338: 335: 331: 328: 326: 323: 321: 318: 317: 311: 310: 302: 298: 295: 294: 291: 288: 286: 283: 281: 278: 276: 273: 272: 266: 265: 258: 255: 253: 250: 248: 245: 243: 240: 239: 233: 232: 225: 222: 220: 217: 215: 214:Secret ballot 212: 210: 207: 205: 202: 200: 197: 195: 192: 190: 187: 185: 182: 180: 177: 175: 172: 170: 167: 165: 162: 160: 159:Apportionment 157: 155: 152: 151: 145: 144: 137: 134: 132: 129: 127: 124: 122: 119: 117: 114: 112: 109: 107: 104: 102: 99: 97: 94: 92: 89: 87: 84: 82: 78: 75: 73: 70: 68: 65: 64: 58: 57: 53: 49: 48: 45: 42: 41: 38: 34: 33: 30: 19: 3379: 3367: 3355:. 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Index

Tantamount to election
Politics series
Elections
Ballot box
By-election
Corporate
Direct
Indirect
Fixed-term
General
Local
Mid-term
Plurality
Primary
Proportional
Recall
Snap
Sortition
Two-round system
Anonymous elector
Apportionment
Audits
Competition
Boundary delimitation
Crossover voting
Electoral college
Election law
Election silence
Gerrymandering
Initiative

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