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Birthday effect

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2487: 166:(a total of 2,052,680 deaths over the time period) found that although people's life span tended to correlate with their month of birth, there was no consistent birthday effect, and people born in autumn or winter were more likely to die in the months further from their birthday. A study of all cancer deaths in Germany from 1995 to 2009 found no evidence of a birthday effect, although it did find a related Christmas effect. A small study by 2497: 132:(predominant in women) and suicides and accidents (predominant in men), as well as an increase in cancer deaths. Among 25 million Americans who died between 1998 and 2011, 6.7% more people than expected die on their birthday, and the effect was most pronounced at weekends and among the young — among 20 to 29 year olds, the excess was over 25%. An even greater excess was found in the population of 97: 136:, where between 1990 and 2000 there were 44.4% more deaths than expected among men on their birthdays and 36.2% more than expected among women. Smaller biographical studies have also shown a birthday effect within subpopulations, such as among Major League Baseball (MLB) players and people with entries in the 111:
With the introduction of statistical software that can process large datasets easily, a number of state- or country-wide studies have been carried out to investigate whether birthdays have any effect on mortality. The first large-scale study used the records of 2,745,149 Californians who died between
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found birthday effects among both male and female cohorts, where women were more likely to die immediately before a birthday and men more likely to die immediately after, but that when averaged together there was no birthday effect among the population as a whole. The same was found for a study of
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to confuse the date of birth and date of death fields, which would increase the apparent number of certificates in which these coincide. Additionally, where the exact date is not known, the 1st and 15th of the month are often used as placeholders. These will cause an excess of births and deaths
207:, as well as by exacerbating existing conditions and increasing suicide risk. In the US where the legal minimum drinking age is 21, there is a very large mortality rate excess on the 21st birthday and the day immediately following, almost entirely attributable to an increase in accidents. 88:, or a physiological cycle that causes the body to weaken annually. It has also been suggested that it may be a statistical artifact, perhaps as a result of anomalies in reporting, but the birthday effect has also been seen in studies that control for known reporting anomalies. 120:, there was a significant increase in deaths in the week before the individual's birthday for men, and in the week after the birthday for women — in both cases, mortality did not peak on the birthday, but close to it. This effect was consistent across age and race cohorts. 123:
A similar study among 12,275,033 Swiss found the highest mortality on the actual birthday (17% greater than the expected value), and the effect was largest for those over 80; another study on Swiss data found a 13.8% excess and was able to link this to specific causes:
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effects. On the one hand, a birthday provides a fixed date to focus on, allowing the terminally ill to hold on until the day itself. On the other hand, a birthday also reminds the individual of mortality and offers an occasion to look back on life. According to the
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recorded on these dates. However studies also find changes in the mortality rate in the days immediately before and after, which are unlikely to be caused by data processing anomalies, suggesting that statistical artifacts alone cannot explain the birthday effect.
230:, this causes stress which can accelerate death. The uneven mortality rate distribution between men and women, and between more and less successful baseball players, suggests that both may play a role in the birthday effect: people who have focused on the 853:
Reulbach, Udo; Biermann, Teresa; Markovic, Katrin; Kornhuber, Johannes; Bleich, Stefan (2007). "The myth of the birthday blues: a population-based study about the association between birthday and suicide".
56:) is a statistical phenomenon where an individual's likelihood of death appears to increase on or close to their birthday. The birthday effect has been seen in studies of general populations in 242:(such as stay-at-home parents and amateur sports players) are more aware of what they will lose in death and try to hold on. Related is the "broken promise effect", whereby a person suffering 171:
mortality data in England and Wales, where there was a statistically significant birthday effect among each subgroup (men and women; never married, married, divorced and widowed) but
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Williams A, While D, Windfuhr K, Bickley H, Hunt IM, Shaw J, et al. (2011). "Birthday blues: examining the association between birthday and suicide in a national sample".
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players. Studies do not consistently show this effect; some studies find that men's and women's mortality rates diverge in the run-up to the birthday, while others find no
2144: 1010:"The Effect of Alcohol Consumption on Mortality: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from the Minimum Drinking Age (Web Appendix A and B)" 2460: 84:
relating to the birthday, increased suicide risk, terminally ill patients attempting to hold on until their birthday, an increased
1476: 1009: 238:-driven people or professional athletes) might be reminded that their glory days have passed, while those who lived more in the 1537: 1501: 1471: 143:
Focusing on suicide deaths alone, large studies have found evidence for a peak in suicides on or just after a birthday in
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Ajdacic-Gross, Vladeta; et al. (2012). "Death has a preference for birthdays – an analysis of death time series".
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The psychosomatic/psychological model would also explain the similar increase in cancer deaths around holidays such as
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Abel, Ernest; Kruger, Michael (2009). "Mortality Salience of Birthdays on Day of Death in the Major Leagues".
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will wait until a birthday or other significant event to see whether their circumstances will improve.
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However, other studies have not found such a correlation. A study using the populations of Denmark and
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Abel, Ernest; Kruger, Michael (2006). "Heaping in Anniversary Reaction Studies: A Cautionary Note".
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Phillips, David; Van Voorhees, Camilla; Ruth, Todd (1992). "The Birthday: Lifeline or Deadline?".
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Peña, Pablo (2015). "A not so happy day after all: Excess death rates on birthdays in the U.S".
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Birthday celebrations are often associated with large increases in alcohol consumption.
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A study found that the risk of suicide may be greater for males on their birthday.
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Zusne, Leonard (1987). "Some Factors Affecting the Birthday-Deathday Phenomenon".
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Vaiserman, Alexander; Grigoryev, Pavel; Belaya, Irina; Voitenko, Vladimir (2003).
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gender effect. Suggested mechanisms for the effect include alcohol consumption,
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Two mutually contradictory explanations have been put forward that rely on
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Phenomenon where one is more likely to die on or close to one's birthday
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Zonda, Tamás; Bozsonyi, Károly; Veres, Előd; Kmetty, Zoltán (2010).
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that triggers internal stress and increases the chance of death.
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1969 and 1990. After correcting for confounding factors such as
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Carpenter, Christopher; Dobkin, Carlos (1 January 2009).
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Carpenter, Christopher; Dobkin, Carlos (1 January 2009).
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British Journal of Preventive & Social Medicine
368: 210: 2513: 116:in deaths, elective surgery, and people born on 1007: 1001: 958: 257:effect among the Jewish community (which moves 103:is one of the statistically unusual number of 1145: 714: 414: 273:It has been suggested that, like the 24-hour 1017:American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 965:American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 763: 518: 516: 514: 512: 510: 508: 506: 504: 502: 500: 369:Bovet, J; Spagnoli, J; Sudan, C (1997). "". 173:it was not seen in the population as a whole 72:, as well as in smaller populations such as 52:, especially when referring specifically to 410: 408: 364: 362: 1152: 1138: 1090: 848: 846: 811: 809: 807: 668: 622: 277:, the body also has a yearly "circannual" 1174: 1064: 1036: 984: 740: 710: 708: 706: 686: 664: 662: 536: 497: 452: 450: 448: 446: 342: 312: 310: 715:Medenwald, Daniel; Kuss, Oliver (2014). 405: 359: 316: 181: 95: 1084: 1067:"Birthdays: a Matter Of Life and Death" 1065:Blakeslee, Sandra (22 September 1992). 952: 843: 804: 757: 2514: 1060: 1058: 1056: 703: 659: 443: 307: 197:increase an individual's risk of death 26:For the mathematical coincidence, see 1502:List of ways people dishonor the dead 1133: 888: 882: 770:Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior 618: 616: 614: 612: 610: 574: 572: 107:players to have died on his birthday. 764:Jessen, Gert; Jensen, Børge (1999). 578: 1053: 13: 1507:List of ways people honor the dead 782:10.1111/j.1943-278X.1999.tb00302.x 607: 569: 14: 2553: 1538:Gompertz–Makeham law of mortality 1093:Omega: Journal of Death and Dying 891:OMEGA: Journal of Death and Dying 2495: 2486: 2485: 547:10.1097/00006842-199209000-00001 268: 138:Encyclopedia of American History 2496: 917: 868:10.1016/j.comppsych.2007.06.006 593:10.1016/j.socscimed.2014.12.014 429:10.1016/j.annepidem.2012.04.016 293:It is possible when processing 211:Psychosomatic and psychological 681:(3): &#91, 22&#93, p. 669:Doblhammer, Gabrielle (1999). 288: 1: 1558:Maternal mortality in fiction 581:Social Science & Medicine 301: 1472:Expressions related to death 1425:Medical declaration of death 371:Sozial- und Präventivmedizin 7: 1492:Preventable causes of death 1105:10.2190/V752-6773-1KMW-3334 903:10.2190/RR4D-4W0L-5QAK-X4YX 733:10.1136/bmjopen-2013-004423 10: 2558: 265:effect among the Chinese. 214: 186: 91: 32: 25: 18: 2481: 2207: 2137: 2023: 1977: 1859:Consciousness after death 1839: 1782: 1727: 1669: 1618: 1607: 1600: 1515: 1452: 1346: 1167: 1159: 938:10.1027/0227-5910/a000067 637:10.1080/07481180802138936 2260:Personification of death 1482:People by cause of death 856:Comprehensive Psychiatry 228:terror management theory 19:Not to be confused with 2337:Death-positive movement 2182:Post-mortem photography 1462:Causes of death by rate 1390:Death by natural causes 688:10.4054/DemRes.1999.1.3 475:10.1023/A:1025168932058 2372:Fascination with death 2010:Reincarnation research 2005:Out-of-body experience 1467:Notable deaths by year 1308:Immunogenic cell death 1224:Temporal lobe necrosis 525:Psychosomatic Medicine 417:Annals of Epidemiology 234:of life (for example, 108: 48:(sometimes called the 39:Birthday Blues (album) 2542:Unexplained phenomena 2177:Post-mortem chemistry 1990:Near-death experience 1886:Desecration of graves 1822:Postmortem caloricity 1787:Beating heart cadaver 1231:Programmed cell death 1199:Liquefactive necrosis 335:10.1136/jech.29.3.151 182:Possible explanations 99: 74:Major League Baseball 37:. For the album, see 2367:Festival of the Dead 2265:Dying-and-rising god 2220:Chinese burial money 2109:Prohibition of dying 2061:Death-qualified jury 1827:Post-mortem interval 1487:Premature obituaries 1194:Coagulative necrosis 675:Demographic Research 317:Anderson, M (1975). 201:alcohol intoxication 82:psychological stress 2427:Philosophy of death 2292:Death from laughter 1592:Perinatal mortality 1333:Mitotic catastrophe 1313:Ischemic cell death 1256:Intrinsic apoptosis 1204:Gangrenous necrosis 1029:10.1257/app.1.1.164 977:10.1257/app.1.1.164 825:Review of Sociology 263:Mid-Autumn Festival 2532:Medical statistics 2473:Thanatosensitivity 2377:Hierarchy of death 2317:Death notification 2225:Coins for the dead 2157:Forensic pathology 2041:Capital punishment 1995:Near-death studies 1587:Mortality salience 1219:Fibrinoid necrosis 1189:Avascular necrosis 383:10.1007/bf01300566 295:death certificates 217:Mortality salience 109: 86:mortality salience 2509: 2508: 2245:Death anniversary 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rhythm 203:, accidents and 28:Birthday problem 21:birthdate effect 2557: 2556: 2552: 2551: 2550: 2548: 2547: 2546: 2512: 2511: 2510: 2505: 2477: 2463: 2407:Museum of Death 2357:Dignified death 2312:Death messenger 2287:Death education 2203: 2147: 2133: 2071:Declared death 2019: 1969: 1926:Online mourning 1831: 1797:Cadaveric spasm 1778: 1723: 1665: 1656:Skeletonization 1596: 1528:Child mortality 1523:Birthday effect 1511: 1444: 1440:Unnatural death 1371:Brainstem death 1342: 1281:Pseudoapoptosis 1163: 1158: 1128: 1089: 1085: 1075: 1073: 1063: 1054: 1012: 1006: 1002: 957: 953: 922: 918: 887: 883: 851: 844: 820: 814: 805: 762: 758: 713: 704: 667: 660: 621: 608: 577: 570: 538:10.1.1.103.5726 521: 498: 455: 444: 413: 406: 367: 360: 315: 308: 304: 291: 271: 219: 213: 189: 184: 94: 46:birthday effect 42: 31: 24: 17: 12: 11: 5: 2555: 2545: 2544: 2539: 2534: 2529: 2524: 2507: 2506: 2504: 2503: 2493: 2482: 2479: 2478: 2476: 2475: 2470: 2458: 2457: 2456: 2446: 2445: 2444: 2434: 2429: 2424: 2419: 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York Times 1052: 1023:(1): 164–182. 1000: 971:(1): 164–182. 951: 916: 881: 862:(6): 554–557. 842: 803: 776:(3): 272–283. 756: 727:(4): e004423. 702: 658: 631:(2): 175–184. 606: 568: 531:(5): 532–542. 496: 469:(4): 221–225. 463:Biogerontology 442: 423:(8): 603–606. 404: 377:(3): 151–161. 358: 329:(3): 151–156. 305: 303: 300: 290: 287: 270: 267: 240:private sphere 212: 209: 193:Binge drinking 188: 185: 183: 180: 101:Gabby Hartnett 93: 90: 50:birthday blues 35:Birthday Blues 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 2554: 2543: 2540: 2538: 2535: 2533: 2530: 2528: 2525: 2523: 2520: 2519: 2517: 2502: 2494: 2492: 2484: 2483: 2480: 2474: 2471: 2467: 2462: 2459: 2455: 2452: 2451: 2450: 2447: 2443: 2440: 2439: 2438: 2435: 2433: 2430: 2428: 2425: 2423: 2420: 2418: 2415: 2413: 2410: 2408: 2405: 2403: 2400: 2398: 2395: 2393: 2390: 2388: 2385: 2383: 2380: 2378: 2375: 2373: 2370: 2368: 2365: 2363: 2360: 2358: 2355: 2353: 2350: 2348: 2345: 2343: 2340: 2338: 2335: 2333: 2330: 2328: 2325: 2323: 2320: 2318: 2315: 2313: 2310: 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1039: 1034: 1030: 1026: 1022: 1018: 1011: 1004: 996: 992: 987: 982: 978: 974: 970: 966: 962: 955: 947: 943: 939: 935: 932:(3): 134–42. 931: 927: 920: 912: 908: 904: 900: 896: 892: 885: 877: 873: 869: 865: 861: 857: 849: 847: 838: 834: 831:(2): 96–105. 830: 826: 819: 812: 810: 808: 799: 795: 791: 787: 783: 779: 775: 771: 767: 760: 752: 748: 743: 738: 734: 730: 726: 722: 718: 711: 709: 707: 698: 694: 689: 684: 680: 676: 672: 665: 663: 654: 650: 646: 642: 638: 634: 630: 626: 625:Death Studies 619: 617: 615: 613: 611: 602: 598: 594: 590: 586: 582: 575: 573: 564: 560: 556: 552: 548: 544: 539: 534: 530: 526: 519: 517: 515: 513: 511: 509: 507: 505: 503: 501: 492: 488: 484: 480: 476: 472: 468: 464: 460: 453: 451: 449: 447: 438: 434: 430: 426: 422: 418: 411: 409: 400: 396: 392: 388: 384: 380: 376: 373:(in French). 372: 365: 363: 354: 350: 345: 340: 336: 332: 328: 324: 320: 313: 311: 306: 299: 296: 286: 284: 280: 276: 269:Physiological 266: 264: 260: 256: 252: 247: 245: 241: 237: 233: 232:public sphere 229: 224: 223:psychosomatic 218: 208: 206: 205:drunk driving 202: 198: 194: 179: 176: 174: 169: 168:Leonard Zusne 165: 160: 158: 154: 151:, but not in 150: 146: 141: 139: 135: 131: 127: 121: 119: 115: 106: 102: 98: 89: 87: 83: 79: 75: 71: 70:United States 67: 63: 59: 55: 51: 47: 40: 36: 29: 22: 2347:Death threat 2230:Dark tourism 2172:Necrobiology 2114:Right to die 2072: 2031:Abortion law 1955:Resurrection 1943:Palingenesis 1840: 1802:Coffin birth 1709:Plastination 1670:Preservation 1646:Putrefaction 1641:Rigor mortis 1636:Algor mortis 1631:Livor mortis 1608: 1564:Memento mori 1562: 1522: 1415:Lazarus sign 1395:Death rattle 1338:Suicide gene 1323:Karyorrhexis 1214:Fat necrosis 1099:(1): 59–65. 1096: 1092: 1086: 1074:. Retrieved 1070: 1020: 1016: 1003: 968: 964: 954: 929: 925: 919: 894: 890: 884: 859: 855: 828: 824: 773: 769: 759: 724: 720: 678: 674: 628: 624: 584: 580: 528: 524: 466: 462: 420: 416: 374: 370: 326: 322: 292: 272: 248: 220: 190: 177: 161: 142: 137: 126:heart attack 122: 110: 49: 45: 43: 2464: [ 2422:Necrophobia 2417:Necrophilia 2387:Immortality 2342:Death squad 2322:Death panel 2307:Death march 2302:Death knell 2282:Death drive 2255:Death deity 2199:Thanatology 2148: [ 2094:Legal death 2073:in absentia 2051:Civil death 1896:Examination 1881:Crematorium 1764:Excarnation 1601:After death 1400:Dysthanasia 1366:Brain death 1298:Autoschizis 1276:Phenoptosis 1271:Parthanatos 1261:Necroptosis 1168:In medicine 897:(1): 9–26. 289:Statistical 118:February 29 114:seasonality 78:significant 62:Switzerland 2516:Categories 2392:Last rites 2362:Extinction 2332:Death pose 2327:Death poem 2297:Death hoax 2277:Death camp 2270:Psychopomp 2145:Death tech 2000:Necromancy 1978:Paranormal 1960:Underworld 1812:Dissection 1774:Resomation 1769:Promession 1747:Sky burial 1714:Prosection 1699:Maceration 1410:Euthanasia 1328:Karyolysis 1286:Pyroptosis 1266:Paraptosis 1176:Cell death 302:References 215:See also: 68:, and the 2522:Birthdays 2437:Sacrifice 2432:Predation 2397:Longevity 2187:Taphonomy 2124:Trust law 2079:Death row 1864:Afterlife 1817:Gibbeting 1754:Cremation 1719:Taxidermy 1694:Embalming 1570:Micromort 1516:Mortality 1293:Autolysis 1251:Autophagy 1246:Apoptosis 911:144694845 587:: 59–66. 533:CiteSeerX 283:zeitgeber 261:), and a 251:Christmas 2491:Category 2461:Thanabot 2412:Necronym 2382:Homicide 1933:Obituary 1921:Mourning 1911:Internet 1854:Cemetery 1729:Disposal 1682:Cryonics 1351:Abortion 1318:Pyknosis 1184:Necrosis 1121:24371210 1113:17844772 1047:20351794 995:20351794 946:21616762 876:17954141 837:20458134 798:23575686 790:10531639 751:24694623 721:BMJ Open 697:12178151 645:19143110 601:25528555 563:12190316 491:22678145 483:14501186 437:22658822 399:45657303 255:Passover 199:through 2537:Suicide 2501:Outline 2449:Suicide 2089:Inquest 2056:Coroner 1948:Saṃsāra 1916:Midwife 1901:Funeral 1876:Customs 1849:Carrion 1548:Karoshi 1361:Autopsy 1241:Anoikis 1076:7 April 1038:2846371 986:2846371 742:3987729 653:8439436 555:1438656 391:9334087 353:1191883 187:Alcohol 164:Austria 153:Bavaria 149:Hungary 145:Denmark 92:Studies 66:Ukraine 54:suicide 2402:Martyr 2138:Fields 2099:Murder 2015:Séance 1985:Ghosts 1869:Tukdam 1737:Burial 1619:Stages 1303:Eschar 1119:  1111:  1045:  1035:  993:  983:  944:  926:Crisis 909:  874:  835:  796:  788:  749:  739:  695:  651:  643:  599:  561:  553:  535:  489:  481:  435:  397:  389:  351:  344:478908 341:  236:career 157:Taiwan 130:stroke 2527:Death 2468:] 2442:human 2208:Other 2152:] 2024:Legal 1965:Vigil 1906:Grief 1454:Lists 1161:Death 1117:S2CID 1013:(PDF) 907:S2CID 821:(PDF) 794:S2CID 649:S2CID 559:S2CID 487:S2CID 395:S2CID 2129:Will 1610:Body 1580:RAMR 1236:AICD 1109:PMID 1078:2016 1043:PMID 991:PMID 942:PMID 872:PMID 833:PMID 786:PMID 747:PMID 693:PMID 641:PMID 597:PMID 551:PMID 479:PMID 433:PMID 387:PMID 349:PMID 195:can 147:and 134:Kyiv 128:and 44:The 1383:DOA 1101:doi 1033:PMC 1025:doi 981:PMC 973:doi 934:doi 899:doi 864:doi 778:doi 737:PMC 729:doi 683:doi 633:doi 589:doi 585:126 543:doi 471:doi 425:doi 379:doi 339:PMC 331:doi 155:or 105:MLB 2518:: 2466:ca 2150:pt 1115:. 1107:. 1097:54 1095:. 1069:. 1055:^ 1041:. 1031:. 1019:. 1015:. 989:. 979:. 967:. 963:. 940:. 930:32 928:. 905:. 895:17 893:. 870:. 860:48 858:. 845:^ 829:20 827:. 823:. 806:^ 792:. 784:. 774:29 772:. 768:. 745:. 735:. 723:. 719:. 705:^ 691:. 677:. 673:. 661:^ 647:. 639:. 629:33 627:. 609:^ 595:. 583:. 571:^ 557:. 549:. 541:. 529:54 527:. 499:^ 485:. 477:. 465:. 461:. 445:^ 431:. 421:22 419:. 407:^ 393:. 385:. 375:42 361:^ 347:. 337:. 327:29 325:. 321:. 309:^ 175:. 159:. 140:. 64:, 60:, 1153:e 1146:t 1139:v 1123:. 1103:: 1080:. 1049:. 1027:: 1021:1 997:. 975:: 969:1 948:. 936:: 913:. 901:: 878:. 866:: 839:. 800:. 780:: 753:. 731:: 725:4 699:. 685:: 679:1 655:. 635:: 603:. 591:: 565:. 545:: 493:. 473:: 467:4 439:. 427:: 401:. 381:: 355:. 333:: 41:. 30:. 23:.

Index

birthdate effect
Birthday problem
Birthday Blues
Birthday Blues (album)
suicide
England and Wales
Switzerland
Ukraine
United States
Major League Baseball
significant
psychological stress
mortality salience

Gabby Hartnett
MLB
seasonality
February 29
heart attack
stroke
Kyiv
Denmark
Hungary
Bavaria
Taiwan
Austria
Leonard Zusne
it was not seen in the population as a whole
Binge drinking
increase an individual's risk of death

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