33:
933:
245:'There is, I think, a strong danger of some ill-considered military intervention to try to secure oil. A stock market crash seems inevitable, as some investment managers are now telling us. The global market may collapse because of high transport costs and global recession. Self-sufficiency will become a priority.'
216:, who predicted in 1956 that oil production would peak in the United States between 1965 and 1970. US oil production peaked in 1970. Hubbert's theories, particularly his evaluation of oil availability in any given area reaching a peak, to be followed by inevitable and sometimes rapid decline, were expounded in his
450:"Banks had been lending more than they had on deposit assuming that tomorrow's growth was collateral for today's debt but failing to see that growth depends on growing, cheap, oil-based energy...So in short, Peak Oil means that debt goes bad." (speaking on the 2008 crash at the New Energy Era Forum, 8 May 2012)
328:
It states: "The peaking of world oil production presents the US and the world with an unprecedented risk management problem. As peaking is approached, liquid fuel prices and price volatility will increase dramatically, and, without timely mitigation, the economic, social, and political costs will be
311:
stated that
Campbell failed to take into account future reserve growth in existing fields. The authors concluded that curve-fitting techniques, such as Campbell's, tended to underestimate ultimate recoverable reserves. The report cited Campbell's record of premature peak predictions, systematically
303:
In 1989 Campbell claimed that there would be a shortage towards the late 1990s. In 1990 he claimed that 1998 would represent a "depletion midpoint." These early assessments were, however, according to
Campbell himself, "based on public domain data, before the degree of misreporting by industry and
199:
The
Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, founded by Campbell in 2000, has been gaining recognition in the recent years. The association has organised yearly international conferences since 2002. The most recent conference of the USA chapter (ASPO-USA) was at the University of Texas in
236:
announced, as he left his post that year, that 'Mid-East production is unlikely to expand much, if at all, and is unlikely to drop below current levels'. (Wall Street
Journal 1979). In December 2000 Colin Campbell warned in a public lecture held at the
723:
166:
for the vast majority of its energy. His theories have received wide attention but are disputed and have not significantly changed governmental energy policies at this time. To deal with declining global oil production, he proposed the
697:
436:"But this peak has no real great significance, it is the perception and the vision of the long decline that comes into sight on the other side of the peak. That's really what matters." (speaking on the
1150:
447:"It's quite a simple theory and one that any beer drinker understands. The glass starts full and ends empty and the faster you drink it the quicker it's gone." (on peak oil, in 2007)
329:
unprecedented. Viable mitigation options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have substantial impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of peaking."
1436:
528:
1157:
821:
752:
1299:
1245:
982:
370:
626:
1252:
428:, a small town in South West Cork, Ireland with his wife Bobbins. He died at his home in Ireland on 13 November 2022, at the age of 91.
861:
1431:
1416:
592:
325:, proposes an urgent mitigation approach to deal with the possibility of oil production going into decline in the immediate future.
1426:
1421:
396:, and he also tried to build public awareness of the issue, which included lecturing extensively. He addressed a committee of the
957:
1279:
1143:
1451:
350:
118:
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and DPhil 1957), and worked as a petroleum geologist in the field, as a manager, and as a consultant. He was employed by
1002:
889:
767:
532:
238:
922:
745:
338:
257:
229:
1182:
571:
381:, and worked with the Bulgarian and Swedish governments. His writing included two books and more than 150 papers.
1446:
1441:
502:
408:
1284:
389:
262:
Global oil discovery peaked in 1964, and since the early 1980s oil production has outpaced new discoveries.
342:
110:
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833:
827:
673:
183:
162:
by 2007. He claimed the consequences of this are uncertain but drastic, due to the world's dependency on
791:(Sept. 2009 video interview with Colin Campbell by Dave Bowden, Oil Education TV / SustainableMedia.net)
784:(Sept. 2009 video interview with Colin Campbell by Dave Bowden, Oil Education TV / SustainableMedia.net)
586:
639:
803:
308:
288:
countries are inflated, to increase their quotas, or improve their chance of getting a loan from the
397:
60:
1164:
882:
850:
716:
Dire prophecy: as prices soar, doomsayers provoke debate on oil's future, by
Jeffrey Ball from
473:
400:, and officials from investment and automotive companies. He appeared in the documentary films
346:
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64:
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8:
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917:
589:
529:"Energy Information Administration – Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government"
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Later, he founded the
Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, was affiliated with
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C.J. Campbell, Presentation at the
Technical University of Clausthal, December 2000
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by Dr. Colin J. Campbell, at the
Clausthal University of Technology, Dec. 2000.
698:"World oil supplies are set to run out faster than expected, warn scientists",
469:
68:
299:, instead of all at once, artificially inflates the current rate of discovery.
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Peaking of World Oil
Production: Impacts, Mitigation, and Risk Management
312:
shifting forward over time, as evidence that his methodology was flawed.
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90:
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The practice of gradually adding new discoveries to a country's list of
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864:
Dr. Colin J. Campbell speaking at the New Energy Era Form, 8 May 2012
815:
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270:
853:
at 'Fuelling the Future' conference, in
Kinsale, Ireland, June 2005.
740:, by Colin J. Campbell. Independent Publishers Group, 1 April 2004.
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209:
159:
1224:
762:, edited by Colin J. Campbell. Inspire Books, 25 September 2012.
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Long-range environmental outlook: proceedings of a workshop
285:
824:, by Julian Darley. Global Public Media, 18 December 2002.
804:
The Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas (ASPO)
629:, UK Energy Research Centre, Aug. 2009, p.86-87, 111-112.
362:
787:Peak Oil: Off Limits to Government & Industry:
1300:Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries
1246:The Power of Community: How Cuba Survived Peak Oil
753:The Truth about Oil and the Looming Energy Crisis
1398:
983:Oil and gas reserves and resource quantification
789:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSrxwO6i0A4'
782:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yaiHXt1AtO0'
671:
337:Campbell had over 40 years of experience in the
154:(24 July 1931 – 13 November 2022) was a British
200:Austin, TX on 30 November and 1 December 2012.
883:
606:
604:
497:
495:
1437:People educated at St Paul's School, London
1253:What a Way to Go: Life at the End of Empire
720:, volume 244, number 57, 21 September 2004.
890:
876:
780:Arrival of Peak Oil as an Historic Event:
756:, by Colin J. Campbell. (booklet; no ISBN)
601:
492:
273:sufficiently large to reduce this future
182:in 1998 and credited with convincing the
818:from the Coming Global Oil Crisis. 2004.
392:in London. He conducted research on the
158:who predicted that oil production would
174:Influential papers by Campbell include
16:British petroleum geologist (1931–2022)
1399:
862:Peak Oil – A Turning Point for Mankind
796:Peak Oil – A Turning Point for Mankind
667:
665:
1280:International Renewable Energy Agency
871:
672:Richard Heinberg (16 November 2022).
307:A 2007 study of oil depletion by the
640:"Troposdoc peak oil DVD documentary"
958:Global energy crisis (2021–present)
662:
315:The US Department of Energy report
13:
1003:Renewable energy commercialization
834:ASPO depletion profiles by country
710:
625:Steven Sorrell and Jaimie Speirs,
239:Clausthal University of Technology
14:
1463:
923:Predicting the timing of peak oil
774:
258:Predicting the timing of peak oil
251:
230:United States Secretary of Energy
1432:People in the petroleum industry
1417:Alumni of Wadham College, Oxford
1183:A Crude Awakening: The Oil Crash
931:
419:
388:in Geneva, was a trustee of the
220:, and became popular during the
31:
1427:21st-century British geologists
1422:20th-century British geologists
851:Speech by Dr. Colin J. Campbell
691:
632:
619:
580:
562:
547:
521:
409:Crude Awakening: The Oil Crash
304:governments was appreciated."
1:
1285:Oil Depletion Analysis Centre
485:
390:Oil Depletion Analysis Centre
332:
190:, published the same year in
897:
674:"Colin Campbell Remembrance"
613:Evolution of oil assessments
558:, 14–16 November 1979, p.20.
414:Peak Oil – Imposed by Nature
7:
1452:Scientists from County Cork
1275:International Energy Agency
846:ASPO Lisbon Conference 2005
842:, by Dr. Colin J. Campbell.
836:, by Dr. Colin J. Campbell.
830:, by Dr. Colin J. Campbell.
726:, by Colin J. Campbell and
554:National Research Council,
453:
321:, often referred to as the
269:There are no new potential
184:International Energy Agency
10:
1468:
822:Colin Campbell interviewed
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812:(Colin Campbell's Office)
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309:UK Energy Research Centre
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98:
75:
42:
37:Campbell in Italy in 2006
30:
23:
398:British House of Commons
186:of the coming peak; and
718:The Wall Street Journal
265:According to Campbell:
1447:People from Ballydehob
1442:Scientists from Berlin
1165:Twilight in the Desert
760:Peak Oil Personalities
574:6 January 2010 at the
474:Malthusian catastrophe
347:Wadham College, Oxford
249:
1305:Post Carbon Institute
1069:James Howard Kunstler
1034:Albert Allen Bartlett
913:Fossil fuel phase-out
738:The Coming Oil Crisis
595:23 March 2007 at the
341:. He was educated at
256:Further information:
243:
176:The Coming Oil Crisis
1239:PetroApocalypse Now?
1211:Escape from Suburbia
1116:The Limits to Growth
724:The end of cheap oil
627:Global Oil Depletion
424:Campbell resided in
188:The End of Cheap Oil
1204:The End of Suburbia
1084:Dale Allen Pfeiffer
1044:Kenneth S. Deffeyes
953:2000s energy crisis
948:1970s energy crisis
918:Hubbert peak theory
732:Scientific American
480:Dale Allen Pfeiffer
460:Kenneth S. Deffeyes
403:The End of Suburbia
218:Hubbert peak theory
193:Scientific American
156:petroleum geologist
1270:Energy Watch Group
1137:The Long Emergency
1054:John Michael Greer
806:– official website
535:on 7 November 2009
349:(BA Geology 1954,
226:1979 energy crisis
222:1973 energy crisis
212:petrogeologist is
1394:
1393:
1175:Documentary films
1089:Richard Rainwater
1039:Colin J. Campbell
968:Export Land Model
941:Results/responses
816:Colin J. Campbell
728:Jean H. Laherrère
644:www.troposdoc.com
590:Peak oil timeline
440:phenomenon, from
363:British Petroleum
355:Oxford University
234:James Schlesinger
224:, and during the
152:Colin J. Campbell
149:
148:
129:Geologist, author
1459:
1151:The Party's Over
1059:Richard Heinberg
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878:
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695:
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646:. Archived from
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531:. Archived from
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505:. Archived from
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386:Petroconsultants
343:St Paul's School
208:The most famous
137:Bobbins Campbell
82:
79:13 November 2022
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35:
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1315:Transition town
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1099:Matthew Simmons
1094:Michael Ruppert
1064:M. King Hubbert
1049:David Goodstein
1022:
1008:Rimini protocol
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857:Energy Bulletin
840:Depletion model
828:ASPO newsletter
798:(video lecture)
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711:Further reading
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700:The Independent
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611:C.J. Campbell,
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597:Wayback Machine
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576:Wayback Machine
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509:on 9 April 2008
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297:proven reserves
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214:M. King Hubbert
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178:, written with
169:Rimini protocol
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1130:The End of Oil
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1079:Jeremy Leggett
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1074:Jean Laherrère
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1018:Swing producer
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775:External links
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768:978-1908378088
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702:, 14 June 2007
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470:Thomas Malthus
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465:Jean Laherrère
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371:Shenandoah Oil
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252:Current debate
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228:when even the
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180:Jean Laherrère
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1013:Simple living
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978:Hirsch report
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973:Food vs. fuel
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963:Energy crisis
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746:0-906522-11-0
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734:, March 1998.
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503:"Peak Oil CV"
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420:Personal life
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280:The reported
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275:energy crisis
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19:
1290:The Oil Drum
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1189:
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1142:
1135:
1128:
1121:
1114:
1038:
998:Price of oil
993:Pickens Plan
988:Permaculture
810:ASPO Ireland
795:
759:
751:
737:
731:
717:
699:
693:
681:. Retrieved
677:
652:. Retrieved
648:the original
643:
634:
621:
612:
582:
564:
555:
549:
537:. Retrieved
533:the original
523:
511:. Retrieved
507:the original
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339:oil industry
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282:oil reserves
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261:
247:
244:
207:
198:
191:
187:
175:
173:
164:fossil fuels
151:
150:
81:(2022-11-13)
53:24 July 1931
18:
1412:2022 deaths
1407:1931 births
1324:Other peaks
906:Core issues
683:22 November
375:Norsk Hydro
99:Nationality
91:County Cork
61:Brandenburg
1401:Categories
1366:Phosphorus
1158:Power Down
1144:Out of Gas
1123:Beyond Oil
678:Resilience
654:12 January
587:Feasta.org
539:18 October
486:References
472:, and the
442:End of Oil
426:Ballydehob
333:Activities
290:World Bank
271:oil fields
87:Ballydehob
49:1931-07-24
379:Petrofina
111:St Paul's
107:Education
93:, Ireland
1361:Minerals
1190:Collapse
899:Peak oil
593:Archived
572:Archived
513:27 March
454:See also
444:(2005))
438:peak oil
394:oil peak
284:of many
210:peak oil
142:Children
121:, DPhil)
1225:GasHole
204:Remarks
102:British
69:Germany
65:Prussia
1341:Copper
1027:People
766:
744:
432:Quotes
412:, and
377:, and
359:Texaco
134:Spouse
115:Oxford
57:Berlin
1381:Wheat
1376:Water
1310:REN21
1197:Crude
1108:Books
367:Amoco
241:that
1386:Wood
1371:Soil
1356:Gold
1346:Food
1336:Coal
1295:OPEC
1218:Fuel
764:ISBN
742:ISBN
685:2022
656:2022
541:2009
515:2008
345:and
286:OPEC
160:peak
76:Died
43:Born
1351:Gas
1331:Car
1403::
730:.
676:.
664:^
642:.
603:^
494:^
416:.
406:,
373:,
369:,
365:,
361:,
357:,
351:MA
232:,
196:.
171:.
119:MA
113:,
89:,
67:,
63:,
59:,
891:e
884:t
877:v
770:.
748:.
687:.
658:.
615:.
543:.
517:.
476:.
292:.
277:.
145:2
117:(
51:)
47:(
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