Nate Silver - Knowledge

1985:. "I've always felt like something of an outsider. I've always had friends but I've always come from an outside point of view. I think that's important. If you grow up gay, or in a household that's agnostic, when most people are religious, then from the get-go, you are saying there are things that the majority of society believes that I don't believe", he told an interviewer in 2012. When asked "what made you feel more of a misfit, being gay or being a geek", he replied, "Probably the numbers stuff since I had that from when I was six." When asked in 2008 if he had noticed people looking at him as a "gay icon", he responded, "I've started to notice it a little bit, although so far it seems like I'm more a subject of geek affection than gay affection". 836: 2126: 1072:, Silver introduced his prediction models for the 2010 elections to the U.S. Senate, the U.S. House of Representatives, and state governorships. Each of these models relied initially on a combination of electoral history, demographics, and polling. Silver eventually published detailed forecasts and analyses of the results for all three sets of elections. He correctly predicted the winner in 34 of the 37 contested Senate races. His 2010 congressional mid-term predictions were not as accurate as those made in 2008, but were still within the reported 7017: 7002: 2140: 1466: 1413: 1324:"Politics is a messy sport. And just as ball players who drink beer and eat fried chicken in dugouts across America can screw up the smartest sabermetrician's forecast, Nate Silver's formula is sure to let his fervent admirers down from time to time. But judging from what I saw of him this morning, Nate is a grounded guy who admits as much in his book. I was too tough on him and there's a 84.398264% chance I will be less dismissive of his good work in the future." 2112: 2168: 44: 525: 2098: 938:"confirmed that keeping Silver was not at the top of his agenda." The article stated that "the major reason Silver left was because he felt it was Thompson who had not committed to building his franchise. The mixed signals from Thompson and Abramson—his lack of enthusiasm for committing resources to Silver, her desire to keep a major star—frustrated Silver and his lawyer." 839: 838: 843: 842: 837: 2154: 844: 2450: 841: 958:

fall under the rubric of data journalism. These include statistical analysis, but also data visualization, computer programming and data-literate reporting. So in addition to written stories, we'll have interactive graphics and features. Within a couple of months we'll launch a podcast, and we'll be collaborating with

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On the morning of the November 6, 2012, presidential election, the final update of Silver's model at 10:10 A.M. gave President Barack Obama a 90.9% chance of winning a majority of the 538 electoral votes. Both in summary tables and in an electoral map, Silver forecast the winner of each state. At the

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and statistics. Silver takes a big-picture approach to using statistical tools, combining sources of unique data (e.g., timing a minor league ball player's fastball using a radar gun), with historical data and principles of sound statistical analysis; Silver argues that many of these are violated by

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We've expanded our staff from two full-time journalists to 20 and counting. Few of them will focus on politics exclusively; instead, our coverage will span five major subject areas — politics, economics, science, life and sports. Our team also has a broad set of skills and experience in methods that

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magazine: " 'I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil,' he says. And in four , he might be even more macro, as he turns his forecasting talents to other fields. 'I'm 97 percent sure that the FiveThirtyEight model will

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declared her wish to keep Silver and his blog: "We would love to have Nate continue to be part of the New York Times family, and to expand on what he does", she said. "We know he began in sports anyway, so it is not an exclusively political product. I am excited to talk to Nate when he finishes his

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notes: "It's largely about evaluating predictions in a variety of fields, from finance to weather to epidemiology. We learn about a handful of successes: when, for instance, meteorologists predict a hurricane's landfall 72 hours in advance.... But mostly we learn about failures. It turns out we're

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as #12 for non-fiction hardback books after its first week in print. It dropped to #20 in the second week, before rising to #13 in the third, and remaining on the non-fiction hardback top 15 list for the following 13 weeks, with a highest weekly ranking of #4. Sales increased after the election on

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stated that Silver's prediction that day of a 73.6% chance of a win for Obama greatly exceeded the confidence of the Obama campaign itself, which Scarborough equated to that of the Romney campaign, both believing "they have a 50.1 percent chance of winning", and calling Silver an "ideologue" and a

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than Nate Silver.... ight now Silver is exhausted. He barely slept the last couple weeks of the campaign—'By the end, it was full-time plus'—and for that matter, he says he couldn't have kept it up had the campaign lasted two days longer. Plus, he has his Baseball Prospectus duties. 'We write our

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surged. Silver recalls the scenario: "I know the polls show it's really tight in NC, but we think Obama is going to win by thirteen, fourteen points, and he did. ... Any time you make a prediction like that people give you probably too much credit for it.... But after that started to really take

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of major league players. Unlike most other baseball projection systems, PECOTA relies on matching a given current player to a set of "comparable" players whose past performance can serve as a guide to how the given current player is likely to perform in the future. Unlike most other such systems,

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wrote: "There are good criticisms to make of Silver's model, not the least of which is that, while Silver is almost tediously detailed about what's going on in the model, he won't give out the code, and without the code, we can't say with certainty how the model works." Colby Cosh wrote that the

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a year prior to the election: "Is Obama Toast? Handicapping the 2012 Election". Accompanying the online release of this article, Silver also published "Choose Obama's Re-Election Adventure", an interactive toy that allowed readers to predict the outcome of the election based on their assumptions

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The Times does not release traffic figures, but a spokesperson said yesterday that Silver's blog provided a significant—and significantly growing, over the past year—percentage of Times pageviews. This fall, visits to the Times' political coverage (including FiveThirtyEight) have increased, both

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on his website: "My state has non-partisan registration, so I am not registered as anything. I vote for Democratic candidates the majority of the time (though by no means always). This year, I have been a supporter of Barack Obama". With respect to the impartiality of his electoral projections,

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blog marked the effective end of Silver's career as baseball analyst, though he continued to devote some attention to sports statistics and sports economics in his blog. In March 2009, he stepped down as Managing Partner of Baseball Prospectus and handed over responsibility for producing future

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Silver published the first iteration of his 2012 general election forecasts on June 7, 2012. According to the model, at that time Barack Obama was projected to win 291 electoral votes—21 more than the 270 required for a majority. Obama then had an estimated 61.8% chance of winning a majority.

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division. In April 2023, amid widespread layoffs at Disney and ABC affecting FiveThirtyEight, Silver announced that his contract with ABC would not be extended. After Silver's departure in May, a smaller FiveThirtyEight continues to operate under the data analytics division of ABC News.

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in Chicago. When asked in 2009, "What is your biggest regret in life?" Silver responded, "Spending four years of my life at a job I didn't like". While employed at KPMG, Silver continued to nurture his lifelong interest in baseball and statistics, and on the side he began to work on his

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Silver also worked on his book about prediction, which was published in September 2012. At that time, Silver began to drop hints that after 2012 he would turn his attention to matters other than detailed statistical forecasting of elections. As reported in

2497: 761:"FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus" commenced on August 25, 2010, with the publication of "New Forecast Shows Democrats Losing 6 to 7 Senate Seats". From that date the blog focused almost exclusively on forecasting the outcomes of the 2010 276:. The Tigers became his team and baseball his sport. And if there's anything that goes hand in glove with baseball, it's numbers, another of Silver's childhood interests ("It's always more interesting to apply it to batting averages than algebra class")". 5939: 2647: 4402:

Although Silver put a "toss-up" tag on the presidential election in Florida, his interactive electoral map on the website painted the state light blue and stated that there was a 50.3% probability that Obama would win a plurality of the state's

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that "I don't feel so good about not being able to investigate every complaint from every individual reader fully, or about making some misjudgments in individual posts — my Nate Silver commentary, among others, has probably been off-base...".

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absolutely and as a percentage of site visits. But FiveThirtyEight's growth is staggering: where earlier this year, somewhere between 10 and 20 percent of politics visits included a stop at FiveThirtyEight, last week that figure was 71 percent.

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came to him. 'I was just frustrated with the analysis. ... I saw a lot of discussion about strategy that was not all that sophisticated, especially when it came to quantitative things like polls and demographics'". His forecasts of the 2008

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reporter wrote on election eve, "Even though Silver launched the site as recently as March, its straightforward approach, daring predictions, and short but impressive track record has put it on the map of political sites to follow."

1313:"I won't apologize to Mr. Silver for predicting an outcome that I had also been predicting for a year. But I do need to tell Nate I'm sorry for leaning in too hard and lumping him with pollsters whose methodology is as rigorous as 5954: 4665: 220:

Much of Silver's approach can be characterized by using probabilistic and statistical modeling to try to understand complex social systems, such as professional sports, the popularity of political platforms, and elections.

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Silver's self-unmasking at the end of May 2008 brought him a lot of publicity focused on his combined skill as both baseball statistician-forecaster and political statistician-forecaster, including articles about him in

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columnist Geoffrey Dunn described Silver as someone who "has never organized a precinct in his life, much less walked one, pontificating about the dynamics in the electoral processes as if he actually understood them."

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public editor Margaret Sullivan, while defending Silver's analysis, characterized the wager as "a bad idea" as it gave the appearance of a partisan motive for Silver, and "inappropriate" for someone perceived as a

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But Silver's blog has buoyed more than just the politics coverage, becoming a significant traffic-driver for the site as a whole. Earlier this year, approximately 1 percent of visits to the New York Times included

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PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm) is a statistical system that projects the future performance of hitters and pitchers. It is designed primarily for two users: fans interested in

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Although throughout 2011 Silver devoted a lot of attention on his blog to the 2012 Republican party primaries, his first effort to handicap the 2012 presidential general election appeared as the cover story in

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This source also gives the origin of Silver's middle name, Read, which was shared by his mother's mother and sister. Silver has a namesake, "Nathaniel Read" in the family line that dates from the early 18th

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His mother is the granddaughter of the late Harmon Lewis, once head of the Alcoa Steamship Company. Silver's middle name is also the first name of a maternal great-aunt and the middle name of his mother's

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model "is proprietary and irreproducible. That last feature makes it unwise to use Silver's model as a straw stand-in for 'science', as if the model had been fully specified in a peer-reviewed journal".

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not even close to predicting the next catastrophic earthquake or the spread of the next killer bird flu, despite the enormous amounts of brainpower trained on these questions in the past few decades".

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about three variables: President Obama's favorability ratings, the rate of GDP growth, and how conservative the Republican opponent would be. This analysis stimulated a lot of critical discussion.

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book from now through the first of the year,' said. 'I have a week to relax and then it gets just as busy again. In February 2009 I will just have to find an island in the Caribbean and throw my

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That Silver accurately predicted the outcome of the 2012 presidential race, in the face of numerous public attacks on his forecasts by critics, inspired many articles in the press, ranging from

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Although she linked to her "Nate Silver Went Against the Grain" article, Sullivan did not specify in what ways she had been off-base. See Margaret Sullivan, "A Year in the Life of a Watchdog",

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signed off on a proposal to share all of its private polling with Silver. After signing a confidentiality agreement, Silver was granted access to hundreds of polls the campaign had conducted.

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on the date of its announcement. He analyzed the speed of the change of public sentiment, pointing out that the change over only several decades has been palpable to the current generations.

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and that "for Abramson, Silver was a tentpole attraction for her favorite subject, national politics, and brought the kind of buzz she thought valuable", but the company's CEO and President

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proved to be substantially more accurate than those of the professional pollsters gained visibility and professional credibility for "Poblano", the pseudonym that Silver was then using.

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Silver set out to analyze quantitative aspects of the political game to enlighten a broader audience. Silver reports that "he was stranded in a New Orleans airport when the idea of

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that Silver clearly favored Obama and adjusted the weight he gave polls "based on what think of the pollster and the results and not based on what is actually inside the poll".

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Silver's quantitative focus on polling data, without insight from experience in political organizing or journalism, has been a recurring critique from experienced commentators.

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Silver stated, "Are results biased toward preferred candidates? I hope not, but that is for you to decide. I have tried to disclose as much about my methodology as possible".

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website and brand, and that "Silver will serve as editor-in-chief of the site and will build a team of journalists, editors, analysts and contributors in the coming months."

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Last week, that number was 13 percent. Yesterday, it was 20 percent. That is, one in five visitors to the sixth-most-trafficked U.S. news site took a look at Silver's blog.

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Silver showed a proficiency in math from a young age. According to journalist William Hageman, "Silver caught the baseball bug when he was 6.... It was 1984, the year the

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argued it projected a much higher chance (29%) of Donald Trump winning the presidency than other modelers, a projection which was criticized days before the election by

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story with another one, "What Obama Should Do Next". This story painted a more optimistic picture of President Obama's re-election chances. A companion article on his

4245: 3767: 867:/retire from elections forecasting, I expect that we'll be making forecasts in 2014 and 2016. Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. But the 2016 6080: 4449: 5988: 4313: 4171: 2668: 1001:

in which he developed a system for tracking polls and forecasting the outcome of the 2008 general election. At the same time, he continued making forecasts of the

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Considerable criticism during the 2012 elections came from political conservatives, who argued that Silver's election projections were politically biased against

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On November 1, 2007, while still employed by Baseball Prospectus, Silver began publishing a diary under the pseudonym "Poblano" on the progressive political blog

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decision, I suppose." In a 2023 newsletter, Silver said that he misspoke during that interview, and meant to say that he would have chosen between Johnson and

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conclusion of that day, when Mitt Romney had conceded to Barack Obama, Silver's model had correctly predicted the winner of every one of the 50 states and the

766: 6065: 5440: 4987: 4070: 2691: 3570: 3913: 5736: 5237:"Nate Silver sees soaring Amazon book sales: The FiveThirtyEight blogger's confident and steadfast Obama forecast gets readers curious and critics furious" 4492: 4423: 3854: 3501: 3437: 2719: 2770: 6338: 5409:, July 5, 2008. Also highlighting Silver's dual skills at baseball and political analysis were Alex Altman, "Q & A: Political Pollster Nate Silver", 3487: 2613: 4329: 5804: 3518: 953:

was relaunched under Disney's ESPN on March 17, 2014, Silver outlined the scope of topics that would be covered under the rubric of "data journalism":

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descent. His maternal great-grandfather, Harmon Lewis, was president of the Alcoa Steamship Company, Inc. Silver's father's family includes two uncles—

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Silver has been criticized for inaccurate predictions. In January 2010, journalist and blogger Colby Cosh criticized Silver's performance during the

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race. The accuracy of his predictions won him further acclaim, including abroad, and added to his reputation as a leading political prognosticator.

7057: 3790: 5698: 5548: 5486: 5433:, James Janega, "Odds are, he knows the score – Chicago statistician Nate Silver has turned from sports to politics, with striking results", 3726: 7604: 6051: 5889: 4379: 6276: 4200: 3680: 2371: 1131:

from multiple pollsters—thus was not only broadly correct about the election outcome, but also specifically predicted the outcomes for the nine

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I don't think Nate Silver ever really fit into the Times culture and I think he was aware of that. He was, in a word, disruptive. Much like the

6871: 6250: 4628: 4290: 4110: 3642: 1370:, using methodology similar to his model at 538. Silver criticized the new model used by 538 in the leadup to the 2024 elections, developed by 348:

system for projecting player performance and careers. He quit his job at KPMG in April 2004 and for a time earned his living mainly by playing

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techniques to a broad range of topics including forecasting the performance of individual players, the economics of baseball, metrics for the

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Derek Wallbank, "E. L. native's predictions pitch politics a curveball: Applying baseball stats analysis creates buzz around 30-year-old",

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Andrew Romano, "Making His Pitches: Nate Silver, an all-star in the world of baseball stats, may be the political arena's next big draw",

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In the near future, the blog will "re-launch" under a NYTimes.com domain. It will retain its own identity (akin to other Times blogs like

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blog, "The Fundamentals Now Favor Obama", explained how the model and the facts on the ground had changed between November and February.

1076:. Silver predicted a Republican pickup of 54 seats in the House of Representatives; the GOP won 63 seats. Of the 37 gubernatorial races, 770: 6522: 6470: 5456: 2273: 1970:. He is a great-grandson of Harmon Lewis, the President of Alcoa Steamship Company, as well as a great-great-nephew of the embryologist 1137:. In contrast, individual pollsters were less successful. For example, Rasmussen Reports "missed on six of its nine swing-state polls". 7935: 7930: 7920: 4519: 197:

in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in forty-nine of the fifty states in the

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While publishing numerous stories on the Republican primary elections, in mid-February 2012 Silver reprised and updated his previous

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Swing states in the 2012 election were Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin

3703: 3026: 8100: 7945: 7777: 5918: 4441: 3552: 3163: 2640:(February 29, 1996). Also see Patricia Montemurri, "Michigan native Nate Silver shows election predictions aren't magic but math", 2436: 2309: 2245: 1200: 1164: 214: 206: 202: 198: 6779:

in Silver's engagement in blogging see Dan Cohen, "The Ivory Tower and the Open Web: Introduction: Burritos, Browsers and Books",

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outlining the rationale underlying his focus on the statistical aspects of politics. He first appeared on national television on

7823: 6621: 6590: 3290: 6173:; Jonathan Stray, "Data, uncertainty, and specialization: What journalism can learn from FiveThirtyEight's election coverage", 5903: 5505: 5261: 2946: 2196: 6498: 6293: 5874: 5149: 4752: 3138: 471:

PECOTA also calculates a range of probable performance levels rather than a single predicted value on a given measure such as

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many pollsters and pundits who nonetheless have important media roles. Case studies in the book include baseball, elections,

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had a 64.5% chance of winning the election. Their final prediction on November 8, 2016, gave Clinton a 71% chance to win the

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In November 2009, ESPN introduced a new Soccer Power Index (SPi), designed by Nate Silver, for predicting the outcome of the

5771: 3756: 1266:, the Republican candidate for president. For example, Silver was accused of applying a double standard to his treatment of 8000: 7050: 4239: 935: 777:

feature first appeared on November 19, 2010, under the heading "Go Figure". It was later titled "Acts of Mild Subversion".

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Nate Silver, "The Most Livable Neighborhoods in New York: A Quantitative Index of the 50 Most Satisfying Places to Live",

913:" disrupted the old model of how to scout baseball players, Nate disrupted the traditional model of how to cover politics. 571:. Often colloquially referred to as just 538, the website takes its name from the number of electors in the United States 7985: 7980: 7950: 7597: 6370: 4163: 3331: 3320: 3256: 5609: 4775: 4463: 4307: 4064: 3827: 7990: 7970: 7915: 7693: 4853: 4357: 4216: 4146: 3909: 3453: 3183: 3089: 2481: 1577: 549: 3002: 917:

She added, "A number of traditional and well-respected Times journalists disliked his work." Later, Sullivan wrote in

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Sean Redmond, "Numerical Order: Famed Statistician Nate Silver Discusses the Future of His Near-Flawless Forecasts",

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Silver's final 2008 presidential election forecast accurately predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states and the

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PECOTA projections to other Baseball Prospectus staff members. In April 2009, he appeared as an analyst on ESPN's

8070: 7960: 7955: 7940: 7905: 7271: 7043: 6754: 6072:; Joe Weisenthal, "Here's The Real Reason Nate Silver's Perfect Election Call Was Such An Awesome Breakthrough", 5733: 5583: 5571: 3495: 1922: 1857: 1366:

of 538's election forecasting model as he left, and in June 2024, released his own election forecasting model at

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In an online chat session a week after the 2012 election Silver commented: "As tempting as it might be to pull a

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semi-professionally. He has $ 811,142 in total tournament earnings, including an 87th place finish in the 2023

1929: 1848: 898: 3908:; and Jim Naureckas, "Nate Silver Didn't Fit In at the New York Times Because He Believed in the Real World", 3481: 2605: 1059: 8075: 7965: 7879: 2191: 7668: 6671: 5801: 5205: 4539:

The reason for these misses might be found here: John Sides, "A Second Look at National Pollster Accuracy",

3957: 7184: 3543:"The Most Livable Neighborhoods in New York: a quantitative index of the 50 most satisfying places to live" 3406: 1294:"joke". Silver responded with the offer of a $ 1,000 wager (for charity) over the outcome of the election. 6648:

Japhy Grant, "Nate Silver on African-Americans, Prop 8. and Being A Hero to Gays & Geeks Everywhere",

4270: 3433: 3302: 7658: 7476: 7244: 7154: 7088:(weekday anchor and managing editor also chief breaking news election coverage and special report anchor) 1743: 2863:

Mind Game: How the Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning

2064:. He added that he has voted Democratic in every presidential election he voted in, though he voted for 1626:

Mind Game: How the Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning

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Mind Game: How the Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning

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amid widespread layoffs at Disney/ABC News in May 2023, Silver began publishing on his personal blog,

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had an 89% chance of winning the election; Biden won both the Electoral College and the popular vote.

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Nate Silver, "Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly",

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Silver discussed his sexuality in the context of growing up in East Lansing, in an article about the

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polls, such as a 2010 analysis asserting a statistical bias in its methodology. Josh Jordan wrote in

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Luc Vander Elst, "Honorary doctorate for Nate Silver, the man who made statistics cool", KU Leuven,

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In 2018, the Walt Disney Company transferred the FiveThirtyEight site from the ESPN division to the

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magazine reported that executive editor Jill Abramson "put on a full-court press" to keep Silver at

7066: 6931: 6899: 6087:; Irving Wladawsky-Berger, "Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Prove Predictive Analytics Getting Real", 3470: 2181: 1822: 1757: 1407: 1248: 971: 280: 165: 2923: 2590: 8080: 7818: 7747: 7703: 7698: 6089: 6043: 5947: 4517:

Jonathan D. Salant and Laura Curtis, "Nate Silver-led Statistics Men Crush Pundits in Election",

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The numbers have no way of speaking for themselves. We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning

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Silver's nondisclosure of the details of his analytical model has resulted in some skepticism.

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magazine, Silver created a quantitative index of "The Most Livable Neighborhoods in New York".

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off. It's pretty nonlinear, once you get one mention in the mainstream media, other people ".

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was the clear favourite; he changed his mind at midnight that evening and acknowledged that

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Conor Friedersdorf, "How Conservative Media Lost to the MSM and Failed the Rank and File",

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The first such posting was Nate Silver, "Today's Polls: The Bounce Hits the Badger State",

4597:"Final Election Update: There's A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton" 4548: 4040:. On this point see also Silver's discussion in Megan Garber, "Talking Shop: Nate Silver", 3980: 3383: 2988: 2018: 1994: 1739: 1605:, Nate Silver, Aaron S. Edlin, "What Is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference", 1041: 1006: 790:

exist in 2016,' he says, 'but it could be someone else who's running it or licensing it.'"

302:

In 2000, Silver graduated with honors with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the

295:

in 1996. Silver first showed his journalism skills as a writer and opinion page editor for

3800:. Also see Connor Simpson, "What the Future Holds for Nate Silver at The New York Times", 3711: 3207: 3034: 2340: 1925:, which recognizes "outstanding contributions by scientists to the literature of science". 1375: 8: 7808: 6000: 5885:, November 7, 2012; Jocelyn Noveck, "He called it, and now Silver's a pop-culture star", 5150:"Book Review: Nate Silver makes a compelling case for taking more risks in 'On the Edge'" 3952: 3547: 3542: 3160: 2954: 2241: 1975: 1971: 1796: 1719:

In early June he began to cross-post his daily "Today's Polls" updates on "The Plank" in

1619: 1536: 1531: 1495: 1328: 1181: 1073: 925: 754:. The partnership agreement, which is structured as a license, has a term of three years. 711: 703: 567: 483: 467: 379: 370: 19:

This article is about the author and statistician. For the American football player, see

7001: 6005: 7683: 7678: 7663: 7016: 5847: 5270: 4964: 4656:"Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight proves its worth with another close election prediction" 3893: 3783:

Alex Weprin, "The New York Times Wants To Keep Nate Silver, 'Expand On What He Does'",

3353: 2636: 2555: 2211: 2131: 2078: 1989: 1769: 1474: 1421: 654: 554: 529: 472: 436: 418: 234: 7813: 5448: 7737: 7718: 7011: 6432: 6158: 5930: 5914: 5382: 4910: 4142: 3357: 3287: 2906: 2886: 2866: 2846: 2487: 2314: 2145: 2125: 1999: 1903: 1888: 1727: 1673: 1665: 1651: 1643: 1629: 1573: 1371: 1267: 565:

On March 7, 2008, while still writing as "Poblano", Silver established his own blog,

383: 246: 238: 5030: 3263:

and Shanna Carpenter, "Race and the City: An Exclusive Interview with Nate Silver",

1946:

May 2017: Georgetown University awarded Silver a degree of Doctor of Humane Letters

1583:

Review of two children's books, with an autobiographical comment: "Beautiful Minds:

7673: 6567: 6115: 6073: 5871: 5588: 5576: 4744: 4000: 2526: 2341:"Exclusive: Nate Silver joins prediction market startup as more people bet on news" 2159: 2006: 1721: 1607: 1120: 1029: 910: 692: 666: 650: 594: 466:, and professionals in the baseball business trying to predict the performance and 463: 424: 336: 250: 90: 7313: 5715: 5419:, October 6, 2008, Joe Lemire, "The Sports-Politics Connection: FiveThirtyEight", 3264: 1310:, Scarborough published what he called a "(semi) apology", in which he concluded: 7642: 7563: 7532: 7507: 7420: 7259: 7172: 7130: 6791: 6737: 6683: 6678: 6659: 6636: 6605: 6545: 6526: 6477: 6458: 6393: 6374: 6280: 6221: 6207: 6184: 6170: 6144: 6127: 6101: 6084: 6069: 6055: 6038: 6012: 5995: 5958: 5943: 5925: 5910: 5893: 5878: 5854: 5808: 5789: 5778: 5760: 5740: 5722: 5702: 5683: 5638: 5519: 5493: 5463: 5444: 5430: 5415: 5391: 5364: 5337: 5310: 5016: 4918: 4839: 4812: 4698: 4693: 4640: 4635: 4555: 4526: 4496: 4477: 4468: 4427: 4386: 4339: 4317: 4294: 4249: 4226: 4204: 4120: 4097: 4074: 4051: 4037: 4010: 3920: 3905: 3814: 3797: 3785: 3771: 3574: 3528: 3505: 3491: 3477: 3457: 3416: 3393: 3335: 3324: 3309: 3303:

SXSW: Statistics guru Nate Silver talks Oscars, Manny Ramirez and President Obama

3294: 3283: 3271: 3260: 3192: 3167: 3148: 3125: 3012: 2933: 2742: 2723: 2651: 2345: 2206: 2186: 2117: 2103: 2073: 1940: 1880: 1290: 1272: 1160: 1128: 992: 514: 357: 193: 160: 122: 6698:"Scoresheet Fantasy Baseball Overview | The best fantasy baseball sim game" 6156:

Kelly McBride, "What Nate Silver's success says about the 4th and 5th estates",

6130:; Daniel Terdiman, "Among the top election quants, Nate Silver reigns supreme", 6058:; Steve LeVine, "The smart guesswork that applies even in Nate Silver's world", 1032:, missing only the prediction for Indiana. As his model predicted, the races in 335:

After college graduation in 2000, Silver worked for three and a half years as a

7854: 7844: 7627: 7543: 7524: 7471: 7432: 7426: 7397: 7332: 7286: 7163: 6410: 4936: 4028: 2221: 2216: 1963: 1911: 1808: 1775: 1748: 1738:

In 2009 through 2012, Silver appeared as a political analyst on MSNBC, CNN and

1449: 1244: 1216: 1037: 664:

website, in January 2009 Silver began a monthly feature column, "The Data", in

314: 308: 288: 269: 258: 6367: 5965:, November 21, 2012; Aluf Benn, "After 2012, make way for the digital press", 5605: 3328: 3317: 3253: 7894: 7839: 7553: 7381: 7292: 6439: 5468: 5452: 3888: 3379: 1640:

Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know about the Game Is Wrong

1602: 876: 643: 584: 24: 6993: 6908: 4353: 3450: 7864: 7792: 7782: 7727: 7632: 7496: 7491: 7450: 7193: 7136: 7097: 7091: 6626: 6595: 5983: 5898: 5567: 5355: 4660: 3802: 2173: 2061: 2053: 2041: 2010: 1953:

May 2018: Kenyon College awarded Silver a degree, Doctor of Humane Letters.

1843: 1706: 1465: 1412: 1374:, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and overly weighting Biden's 1314: 1224: 1168: 1012:

After the North Carolina and Indiana primaries on May 6, the popularity of

860: 559: 430: 349: 273: 210: 201:. His subsequent election forecasting systems predicted the outcome of the 151: 147: 6750: 6697: 1040:

were particularly close. He also correctly predicted the winners of every

7859: 7481: 7438: 7391: 7385: 7375: 7226: 7202: 7035: 6319: 5896:; Martin Robbins, "Can Nate Silver's example save political journalism?" 5377: 5296: 2310:"Mixed Signals: When Biden lost it & Nate Silver's election forecast" 2065: 2057: 2045: 1967: 1814: 1565: 1444: 1431:

was published in the United States on September 27, 2012. It reached the

1382:

from the race, 538 overhauled their model to put more emphasis on polls.

1285: 1263: 1133: 1124: 805: 696:. After March 2009, he published only two "Lies, Damned Lies" columns on 623: 375: 262: 254: 7582: 3948:"The Suit in the Newsroom: An unusual Times executive—for unusual times" 3612:"On Identifying a Rape Victim, Naming a Prophet, and Nate Silver's Role" 2111: 2017:, in which he ran a one-and-done competition among the taquerias in his 1303:

journalist (although Silver was not a member of the newspaper's staff).

7874: 7849: 7548: 7537: 7502: 7486: 7414: 7253: 7232: 7142: 7085: 7007: 6558: 5178:"On the Edge by Nate Silver review — we're living in a gamblers' world" 4816: 4328:

Nate Silver, "Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage",

3232:"Nate Silver Signs With Penguin In Two Book Deal Worth About $ 700,000" 3111: 2903:

It Ain't Over 'til It's Over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book

2517: 2049: 1761: 1662:

It Ain't over 'til It's over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book

1437: 1386: 1334: 959: 636: 407:

It Ain't Over 'til It's Over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book

181: 155: 6563:"Interfaith Celebrities: Nate Silver, Another Bond, and Happy Endings" 6196:

Jennifer Ouellette, "Why Math is Like the Honey Badger: Nate Silver",

6041:; Dorie Clark, "How Nate Silver Won the 2012 Presidential Election", 4629:

Why FiveThirtyEight Gave Trump A Better Chance Than Almost Anyone Else

2522:"Interfaith Celebrities: Nate Silver, Another Bond, and Happy Endings" 1505: 941: 746:. In addition, I will be contributing content to the print edition of 735: 360:, over a three-year period Silver earned $ 400,000 from online poker. 7708: 7369: 7217: 6113:

Eric Lundquist, "Nate Silver's Big Data Lessons For The Enterprise",

6024:

Tarun Wadhwa, "Nate Silver and the Rise of Political Data Science",

5241: 5182: 3203: 2483:

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

1862: 1735:

poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races.

1208: 1176: 963: 906: 856: 619: 538: 261:—who were distinguished geologists. Silver has described himself as " 6210:; and Bora Zivkovic, "Nate Silver and the Ascendance of Expertise", 5937:

Seely on Science: Nate Silver gains fame by harnessing power of math

5323: 4806:

Why Pundits and Politicians Hate NYT Election Forecaster Nate Silver

4776:"FiveThirtyHate?: Nate Silver Gets His Numbers Crossed in Charlotte" 4568:

Stern, Mark Joseph; Kirk, Chris; Morgan, Andrew (November 7, 2012).

4109:

Stephanie Clifford, "Finding Fame With a Prescient Call for Obama",

1618:

annual, Silver contributed chapters to one-off monographs edited by

43: 7423:(Chief Women's Health Correspondent and Senior Medical Contributor) 6971: 5882: 5328: 4687:

Nate Silver Is Unskewing Polls — All Of Them — In Trump's Direction

4063:

Stephanie Condon, "Q & A: The Formula Behind FiveThirtyEight",

3761: 3298: 3212: 3206:, "In baseball, and in politics, the numbers don't lie", "Page 2", 1875: 1700: 1359: 1318: 1033: 864: 731: 627: 582:

readers. On June 1, 2008, Silver published a two-page op-ed in the

524: 413: 284: 217:, although this was higher than any other forecasting competitors. 188: 173: 6320:"The Magicians Season 2 Episode 10 Review: The Girl Who Told Time" 4488:

Josh Putnam, "The Electoral College Map (11/6/12): Election Day",

2665:"Drunk Nate Silver? Here's a yearbook photo before he could drink" 1243:, saying he was "still arguing as late as Thursday afternoon that 670:

as well as contributed occasional articles to other media such as

7767: 5967: 5919:

Parsing polls: Nate Silver picks on target, Rasmussen not so much

5904:

Number crunchers were right about Obama despite what pundits said

5858: 5124:"How 538 is adjusting our election model for Harris versus Trump" 4380:

Obama's win a big vindication for Nate Silver, king of the quants

3755:"Skew Yourselves: Nate Silver Is Here To Answer Your Questions", 3560: 3001:

The first diary was titled, "HRC Electability in Purple States,

2712:

Stephen J. Dubner, "FREAK-Quently Asked Questions: Nate Silver",

1790: 871:

primary seems almost certain to be epic." In late November 2012,

146:(born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and 4462:

Simon Jackman, "Pollster Predictive Performance, 51 out of 51",

3182:

Nate Silver, "Frequently Asked Questions, Last Revised 8/7/08",

2013:. When he took up political writing, Silver abandoned his blog, 1443:

The book describes methods of mathematical model-building using

1436:

November 6, jumping 800% and becoming the second best seller on

1306:

After a post-election appearance by Silver on Joe Scarborough's

552:

elections drew considerable attention, including being cited by

299:, East Lansing High School's student newspaper, from 1993–1996. 7026: 6997: 6377:

of Ripon College honorary degree award and commencement speech.

6026: 5299:, "Baseball Analyst Draws Fans by Crunching Election Numbers", 4215:

Nate Silver, "Is Obama Toast? Handicapping the 2012 Election",

3566:

Nate Silver, "FiveThirtyEight to Partner with New York Times",

3494:. For a comment see Carl Bialik, "ESPN's New Soccer Rankings", 738:

section. Once this occurs, content will no longer be posted at

631: 456: 345: 292: 117: 6932:"Not everyone who disagrees with you is a closet right-winger" 4907:

New York Times wants to hold Nate Silver to newsroom standards

1628:. Steven Goldman, Ed. New York: Workman Publishing Co., 2005. 1514: 1487: 6386: 2025: 1935:

May 25, 2014: Silver received a Doctorate of Humane Letters,

1280: 213:, the ultimate winner, only a 28.6% chance of victory in the 6966: 6620:

Carole Cadwalladr, "Nate Silver: it's the numbers, stupid",

6589:

Carole Cadwalladr, "Nate Silver: it's the numbers, stupid",

5652:"Need to Know: Nate Silver on Why Polls Don't Always Add Up" 1664:. Steven Goldman, Ed. New York: Basic Books. Hardback 2007. 1123:. Silver, along with at least three academic-based analysts— 742:

on an ongoing basis, and the blog will re-direct to the new

601:

Silver described his partisan orientation as follows in the

486:

in the 2003 edition of its annual book as well as online by

7688: 6132: 4390: 3891:, "One Irony of Nate Silver's Leaving the New York Times", 1021: 615: 340: 3855:"Nate Silver Went Against the Grain for Some at The Times" 1385:

In June 2024, Silver joined the prediction market startup

1341: 209:

with a high degree of accuracy. His polls-only model gave

6904: 3994:

See, most notably, Mark Blumenthal, "The Poblano Model",

3635:"New Forecast Shows Democrats Losing 6 to 7 Senate Seats" 2372:"The World's Most Influential People – The 2009 TIME 100" 2044:, Silver said, "I'd say I'm somewhere in between being a 1982: 743: 602: 589: 134: 6339:"Nate Silver accuses Vox of recycling Knowledge entries" 4932:"Brooks vs. Silver: The Limits of Forecasting Elections" 3727:"Nate Silver Is a One-Man Traffic Machine for the Times" 2420: 880:

book tour about ways to expand that kind of reporting."

646:

to write two books, reportedly for a $ 700,000 advance.

5105:"The only place Biden is winning: 538's election model" 3288:

FiveThirtyEight.com's Nate Silver on life post-election

978: 4283:

Nate Silver, "Why Obama Will Embrace the 99 Percent",

3469:

Nate Silver, "The Purpose of the Soccer Power Index",

3178: 3176: 2974: 2972: 642:

Later in November 2008, Silver signed a contract with

6864:"Nate Silver Places 93rd in the 2023 WSOP Main Event" 5506:

Rasmussen Reports to Partner with FiveThirtyEight.com

5079:"Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast" 4238:

Nate Silver, "Choose Obama's Re-Election Adventure",

726:

On June 3, 2010, Silver announced on FiveThirtyEight

5677:

What's the Impact of the Debt Debate, August 2, 2011

5349:

Julie Rehmeyer, "Scooping the Political Pollsters",

4442:"Emory professor called Electoral landslide in June" 2457:. Pqasb.pqarchiver.com. July 5, 2008. Archived from 2093: 1865:

for "recycling Knowledge entries" in their content.

1552:

Nate Silver and Walter Hickey, "Best Picture Math",

5630:"Nate Silver: Why Gun Rights Rhetoric Is Winning", 5457:

Projecting politics & baseball with Nate Silver

5076: 4885:"Under Attack, Nate Silver Picks the Wrong Defense" 3173: 2969: 1895:– D.Sc. h.c.) and gave the commencement address at 1251:had a puncher's chance." (Brown won the election.) 1060:

FiveThirtyEight § 2010 U.S. mid-term elections

718: 6967:"Behind Nate Silver's war with The New York Times" 6753:. Burritobracket.blogspot.com. February 23, 2004. 6665: 5602:Video of Nate Silver on Bloomberg, March 8, 2010: 5077:Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli (July 17, 2024). 3828:"Statistician Silver joins ESPN in versatile role" 3480:and Nate Silver, "A Guide to ESPN's SPI Ratings", 1868: 887:) announced that it had acquired ownership of the 653:in February 2009, and keynote speaker at the 2009 578:On May 30, 2008, Poblano revealed his identity to 6520:"Georgetown Announces 2017 Commencement Speakers" 4306:Nate Silver, "The Fundamentals Now Favor Obama", 4164:""Obama Campaign Shared '08 Polling With Silver" 4161: 2979:Silver, Nate; Goldstein, Kevin (March 24, 2009). 2922:Nate Silver, "For Griffey, the Roads Not Taken", 1614:In addition to chapters in several issues of the 330: 7892: 237:, and Brian David Silver, a former chair of the 4567: 3704:"The. Polls. Have. Stopped. Making. Any. Sense" 2978: 2303: 2301: 2299: 1642:. Jonah Keri, Ed. New York: Basic Books, 2006. 1460: 5053: 5051: 5008:"Nate Silver and the Trials of a Forecaster", 4905:. For a critical comment see Andrew Beaujon, " 3964: 3517:Nate Silver, "SPI in review: How did it do?", 2692:"Random, Pretentious Observations from Europe" 2583:"Finding Fame With a Prescient Call for Obama" 2052:. So if I were to vote, it would be kind of a 1779:(October 17, 2012, and November 7, 2012), and 1231:forecast the better chances for Biden to win. 1227:prevailed in each of these contests, in which 901:wrote of Silver's decision to leave for ESPN: 609: 490:Silver produced the PECOTA forecasts for each 389:Between 2003 and 2009, Silver co-authored the 363: 7598: 7051: 6616: 6614: 5449:The 2008 Sports Nerd of the Year: Nate Silver 2070:2016 New York Republican presidential primary 1378:, and at worst as being "buggy". After Biden 497: 397:forecasts, as well as other books, including 5534:"Poll watchers waiting for Iowans to settle" 5376:Adam Sternbergh, "The Spreadsheet Psychic", 2296: 1852:as an earth wizard who uses polling spells. 883:On July 22, 2013, ESPN (a subsidiary of the 657:(SXSW) Interactive conference (March 2009). 16:American statistician and writer (born 1978) 5048: 4954: 4086:Editorial, "In Praise of ... Nate Silver", 3405:Nate Silver, "Crunching the Risk Numbers", 2365: 2363: 2308:Smith, Ben; Raza, Nayeema (June 28, 2024). 1399: 1185:as "unskewing" too much in favor of Trump. 997:In March 2008, Silver established his blog 827: 630:. No one in baseball had a more impressive 482:PECOTA projections were first published by 291:Scholarship Contest for senior high school 224: 7605: 7591: 7065: 7058: 7044: 7015: 7000: 6611: 6409:. Pbk.org. October 8, 2013. Archived from 5060:"Why I don't buy 538's new election model" 4624: 4622: 2556:"Answer This: Nate Silver - Patrick Gavin" 1910:) and presented a commencement address at 1902:May 24, 2013: Silver received an honorary 1887:May 12, 2013: Silver received an honorary 1471:On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything 1394:On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything 1127:, Simon Jackman, and Josh Putnam—who also 519: 412:He contributed articles about baseball to 325: 42: 7717: 7612: 6964: 6893:Rose, Charlie (host) (October 29, 2012). 6833:"Nate Silver's profile on The Hendon Mob" 5544:on July 21, 2012 – via Bing Videos, 4132: 3610:Sullivan, Margaret (September 21, 2012). 2634:"East Lansing Debater Wins Scholarship", 2512: 2510: 2307: 1876:"The World's 100 Most Influential People" 1773:(October 7, 2008, and November 5, 2012), 1048:Barack Obama's 2008 presidential campaign 1005:. That several of his forecasts based on 283:, Silver won first place in the state of 7778:Harris Interactive College Football Poll 6433:LStat: Leuven Statistics Research Centre 6399: 5603: 5455:, November 7, 2008. and Childs Walker, " 5259: 5175: 4882: 3852: 3701: 3609: 3555:from the original on September 21, 2012. 3427: 3425: 2581:Clifford, Stephanie (November 9, 2008). 2580: 2360: 1874:April 30, 2009: Silver was named one of 1855:In 2015, Silver appeared on the podcast 1464: 1411: 1201:2020 United States presidential election 1165:2016 United States presidential election 834: 523: 443:Silver wrote more than 200 articles for 7510:(senior national affairs correspondent) 6942:from the original on September 12, 2023 6807:"Players Place Bets on Poker as Career" 6687:, June 26, 2015, accessed June 29, 2015 6491:"193rd Commencement at Amherst College" 5010:ThreeHundredEight.com, November 6, 2012 4929: 4883:Sullivan, Margaret (November 1, 2012). 4619: 4576:from the original on September 21, 2013 4543:, November 7, 2012. . However, notably 4452:from the original on November 14, 2012. 4162:BuzzFeed Politics (September 5, 2012). 3440:from the original on November 26, 2012. 3318:Video of SXSW Keynote Interview, part 1 3229: 3056: 2981:"State of the Prospectus: Spring 2009"" 2832:from the original on February 10, 2007. 2769:Wolff, Alexander (September 17, 2012). 2738:"Players Place Bets on Poker as Career" 2603: 2338: 2274:"A Brutal Wonk Swap at FiveThirtyEight" 1962:Silver is a great-nephew of geologists 614:Shortly after the November 4 election, 505: 189:the world's 100 most influential people 7893: 6965:Calderone, Michael (August 15, 2019). 6861: 6804: 6431:"Honorary Doctorate for Nate Silver", 6407:"Phi Beta Kappa book award in science" 6336: 6253:from the original on December 31, 2013 5828:from the original on December 14, 2013 5612:from the original on February 18, 2013 5566: 5147: 5057: 5028: 4990:from the original on November 30, 2016 4955:Scarborough, Joe (November 21, 2012). 4851: 4711: 4594: 4490:FHQ (FrontloadingHQ), November 6, 2012 3970: 3737:from the original on February 28, 2021 3702:Zengerle, Jason (September 30, 2012). 3678: 3655: 3632: 3586: 3540: 3431: 3079: 3057:Kristol, William (February 11, 2008). 2865:(New York: Workman Publishers, 2005) ( 2819: 2817:from the original on February 6, 2007. 2804: 2735: 2689: 2662: 2507: 2479: 2400: 2248:from the original on February 20, 2012 2197:List of LGBT people from New York City 2076:", believing that it has become "more 1568:(Editor), Nate Silver (Introduction). 1188: 1140: 1083: 1080:correctly predicted the winner of 36. 1053: 986: 966:to produce original documentary films. 649:Silver was invited to be a speaker at 7773:FWAA-NFF Grantland Rice Super 16 Poll 7586: 7039: 6813:from the original on January 15, 2013 6757:from the original on January 14, 2013 6672:Change Doesn't Usually Come This Fast 6557: 6300:from the original on December 9, 2013 5902:, November 13, 2012; Ken Bensinger, " 5234: 5216:from the original on December 5, 2013 4977: 4895:from the original on November 2, 2012 4864:from the original on November 2, 2012 4786:from the original on October 12, 2012 4755:from the original on November 6, 2012 4668:from the original on November 9, 2016 4653: 4607:from the original on November 9, 2016 4439: 4356:. Fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com. 4260: 4174:from the original on October 26, 2013 3945: 3865:from the original on October 18, 2014 3724: 3587:Tenore, Mallory Jean (June 3, 2011). 3422: 3024: 2768: 2750:from the original on January 15, 2013 2271: 1241:Massachusetts special Senate election 48:Silver playing poker at Manifest 2023 8056:21st-century American mathematicians 8011:Mathematicians from New York (state) 7516:(senior congressional correspondent) 6892: 6247:"Silver on Daily Show, Nov. 7, 2012" 5952:What Nate Silver Really Accomplished 5783:Nate Silver on "Colbert Report" 2012 5772:Nate Silver on "Colbert Report" 2008 5549:"What are the consequences of Iowa?" 5278:from the original on October 6, 2016 5102: 4774:Dunn, Geoffrey (September 7, 2012). 4773: 4742: 4724:from the original on August 14, 2020 3853:Sullivan, Margaret (July 22, 2013). 3639:FiveThirtyEight / The New York Times 2604:Hageman, William (January 4, 2006). 2534:from the original on August 27, 2014 2500:from the original on June 29, 2016. 2426: 2334: 2332: 2267: 2265: 2263: 1800:, as well as a feature interview on 1542:Nate Silver, "The Influence Index", 1195:FiveThirtyEight: 2020 U.S. elections 1147:FiveThirtyEight: 2016 U.S. elections 1090:FiveThirtyEight: 2012 U.S. elections 942:Disney ownership and departure from 709:In April 2010, in an assignment for 368:In 2003, Silver became a writer for 172:, Silver has been publishing on his 8066:Sportswriters from New York (state) 6349:from the original on March 12, 2021 5950:, November 9, 2012; Greg Sargent, " 5917:, November 8, 2012; James Rainey, " 5592:. CNN Politics. September 25, 2011. 5540:. December 28, 2011. Archived from 5260:Scheiber, Noam (November 2, 2012). 4360:from the original on April 25, 2015 3434:"This Post Brought to You by Poker" 3230:Neyfakh, Leon (November 14, 2008). 3073: 2562:from the original on March 29, 2014 2480:Silver, Nate (September 27, 2012). 2005:Silver has long been interested in 1570:The Best American Infographics 2014 734:), but will be organized under the 13: 8091:21st-century American LGBTQ people 8086:21st-century American male writers 8006:People from East Lansing, Michigan 7926:American people of English descent 7694:Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings 6958: 6929: 6874:from the original on July 13, 2023 6843:from the original on July 13, 2023 6708:from the original on July 26, 2017 6387:New School 2013 commencement video 5887:Associated Press, November 9, 2012 5752:For example, on Keith Olbermann's 5658:from the original on March 8, 2013 5206:"New York Times Best Sellers List" 5203: 5148:Fauria, Krysta (August 12, 2024). 5121: 4957:"My (Semi) Apology to Nate Silver" 4930:Cassidy, John (October 24, 2012). 4547:by itself correctly predicted the 4351: 4261:Cohen, Micah (November 19, 2011). 3656:Silver, Nate (November 19, 2010). 3347: 3161:FiveThirtyEight.com, June 13, 2008 2616:from the original on April 5, 2023 2035: 1469:Silver signing copies of his book 1221:Maine's 2nd congressional district 550:United States presidential primary 245:. Silver's mother's family was of 233:, the son of Sally (née Thrun), a 168:, until May 2023. Since departing 23:. For the American filmmaker, see 14: 8112: 7936:American people of Jewish descent 7931:American people of German descent 7921:21st-century American journalists 6987: 6469:Honorary doctorate from Amherst, 6337:Wemple, Erik (November 9, 2015). 5551:. January 2, 2012. Archived from 5235:Notte, Jason (November 8, 2012). 5176:Freedman, Sam (August 10, 2024). 4852:Jordan, Josh (October 22, 2012). 4595:Silver, Nate (November 8, 2016). 3568:FiveThirtyEight.com, June 3, 2010 3301:, March 15, 2009, and Dan Fost, " 3137:Nate Silver, "Margins of Error", 2663:Swasko, Mick (November 8, 2012). 2558:. Politico.Com. October 5, 2012. 2516: 2369: 2329: 2284:from the original on June 2, 2023 2260: 1199:In their final prediction of the 1003:2008 Democratic primary elections 318:. He spent his third year at the 7679:English Chess Federation grading 6923: 6886: 6855: 6825: 6797: 6769: 6743: 6726:Zak Stambor, "Number Cruncher", 6720: 6690: 6642: 6583: 6551: 6532: 6513: 6483: 6463: 6444: 6425: 6380: 6361: 6330: 6312: 6286: 6265: 6239: 6227: 6190: 6150: 6107: 6018: 5975: 5864: 5840: 5814: 5795: 5765: 5754:"Countdown" on February 14, 2012 5746: 5727: 5708: 5689: 5670: 5644: 5624: 5596: 5559: 5525: 5498: 5475: 5397: 5370: 5343: 5316: 5290: 5253: 5228: 5197: 5169: 5141: 5115: 5096: 5070: 5022: 5002: 4978:Klein, Ezra (October 30, 2012). 4971: 4948: 4923: 4743:Cosh, Colby (January 19, 2010). 4712:Silver, Nate (August 12, 2020). 4654:Allen, Kate (November 9, 2016). 4644:; Nate Silver; November 11, 2016 4440:Perry, John (November 8, 2012). 3725:Tracy, Marc (November 6, 2012). 3633:Silver, Nate (August 25, 2010). 3382:, "No Country for Close Calls", 3027:"What Will Nate Silver Do Next?" 2822:"Lies, Damned Lies: More on Elo" 2807:"Lies, Damned Lies: We are Elo?" 2244:. Twitter.com. August 13, 2010. 2166: 2152: 2138: 2124: 2110: 2096: 1957: 1930:University of Leuven (KU Leuven) 1433:New York Times Best Sellers List 678:. He also tried his luck in the 8101:East Lansing High School alumni 7946:American political commentators 7208:Somara Theodore (meteorologist) 6805:Kaiser, Rob (October 3, 2004). 6803:See Hageman, cited previously; 5802:Nate Silver on "The Daily Show" 4876: 4845: 4822: 4798: 4767: 4736: 4705: 4680: 4647: 4588: 4561: 4533: 4511: 4502: 4482: 4456: 4433: 4406: 4396: 4372: 4345: 4322: 4300: 4277: 4254: 4232: 4209: 4186: 4155: 4126: 4103: 4080: 4057: 4016: 3988: 3971:Silver, Nate (March 17, 2014). 3939: 3926: 3877: 3846: 3820: 3777: 3749: 3718: 3695: 3679:Silver, Nate (March 17, 2011). 3672: 3649: 3626: 3603: 3580: 3541:Silver, Nate (April 11, 2010). 3534: 3511: 3463: 3444: 3399: 3372: 3341: 3277: 3246: 3223: 3197: 3153: 3131: 3104: 3080:Silver, Nate (August 7, 2008). 3050: 3018: 2995: 2939: 2916: 2905:(New York: Basic Books, 2007) ( 2896: 2885:(New York: Basic Books, 2006) ( 2876: 2856: 2836: 2798: 2762: 2736:Kaiser, Rob (October 3, 2004). 2729: 2706: 2683: 2656: 2628: 2597: 2574: 2548: 2427:Katz, Josh (November 8, 2016). 2339:Fischer, Sara (July 16, 2024). 1923:Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science 1869:Selected recognition and awards 1153:2016 U.S. presidential election 804:it drew a very large volume of 494:season from 2003 through 2009. 199:2008 U.S. presidential election 8051:Journalists from New York City 8021:The New York Times journalists 7429:(Chief Business and Economics) 6862:Silver, Nate (July 12, 2023). 6729:University of Chicago Magazine 6539:Kenyon College honorary degree 5935:November 8, 2012; Ron Seely, " 5572:"Nate Silver interview Part 1" 5522:. Retrieved November 27, 2012. 5058:Silver, Nate (July 18, 2024). 4418:Princeton Election Connection, 4192:Micah Cohen, "38 Days Later", 3946:Hagan, Joe (August 23, 2013). 3025:Hayes, Hannah (January 2009). 2805:Silver, Nate (June 28, 2006). 2473: 2443: 2401:Silver, Nate (June 29, 2016). 2394: 2234: 1825:as Editor-in-Chief of the new 1396:was published in August 2024. 1151:In the week leading up to the 382:of players, and developing an 331:Economic consultant: 2000–2004 1: 7793:USA Today/Amway Coaches' Poll 7704:Rating Percentage Index (RPI) 6837:The Hendon Mob Poker Database 5654:. Pbs.org. October 15, 2010. 5604:bizbuzz3 (November 3, 2008). 5029:Kaylor, Brian (May 7, 2024). 4702:; Ryan Grim; November 5, 2016 3432:Silver, Nate (July 2, 2009). 2947:"All Articles by Nate Silver" 2820:Silver, Nate (July 5, 2006). 2690:Silver, Nate (May 25, 2009). 2227: 2192:LGBT culture in New York City 1906:degree (Doctor of Literature 1893:Scientiæ Doctor honoris causa 1821:Silver's first appearance on 1572:, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. 767:U.S. House of Representatives 8046:Mathematicians from Michigan 8036:21st-century science writers 8026:University of Chicago alumni 4854:"Nate Silver's Flawed Model" 4446:Atlanta Journal-Constitution 3883:On the culture clash within 3082:"Frequently Asked Questions" 2883:Baseball Between the Numbers 2781:. p. 15. Archived from 2272:Stieb, Matt (May 19, 2023). 1842:Silver is referenced in the 1461:Blogs and other publications 1234: 403:Baseball Between the Numbers 180:and serves as an advisor to 7: 8001:American online journalists 7659:Advanced Football Analytics 7652:Methods and computer models 7155:GMA3: What You Need To Know 5822:"Real Time with Bill Maher" 5103:Tani, Max (July 19, 2024). 4338:September 11, 2015, at the 4286:The New York Times Magazine 4248:September 10, 2015, at the 4218:The New York Times Magazine 4036:September 27, 2010, at the 3681:"How to Beat the Salad Bar" 3662:The New York Times Magazine 3471:ESPN.com, November 11, 2009 3147:September 10, 2008, at the 2650:September 24, 2015, at the 2089: 1097:The New York Times Magazine 610:2008 election and aftermath 386:for Major League baseball. 364:Baseball analyst: 2003–2008 207:2020 presidential elections 10: 8117: 7986:LGBTQ people from Michigan 7981:American LGBTQ journalists 7951:American political writers 7341:Andrew Dymburt (co-anchor) 7023:Nate Silver's publications 6658:November 15, 2012, at the 6635:November 21, 2016, at the 6604:November 21, 2016, at the 6457:December 24, 2013, at the 6220:November 17, 2012, at the 6169:November 10, 2012, at the 6126:November 10, 2012, at the 6083:November 10, 2012, at the 6068:November 13, 2012, at the 6054:November 11, 2012, at the 6011:November 12, 2012, at the 5909:November 11, 2012, at the 5777:December 18, 2008, at the 5759:February 15, 2012, at the 4980:"The Nate Silver backlash" 4917:November 15, 2012, at the 4811:November 17, 2017, at the 4692:November 14, 2016, at the 4634:November 14, 2016, at the 4495:November 10, 2012, at the 4426:November 16, 2012, at the 4354:"FiveThirtyEight/NYT blog" 4316:September 6, 2015, at the 4225:February 27, 2017, at the 4096:November 21, 2016, at the 4073:December 16, 2019, at the 4050:November 16, 2008, at the 4043:Columbia Journalism Review 3813:November 29, 2012, at the 3796:November 29, 2012, at the 3770:November 17, 2012, at the 3490:November 19, 2009, at the 3476:November 14, 2009, at the 3415:November 24, 2017, at the 3259:December 26, 2008, at the 3191:February 27, 2014, at the 3159:Nate Silver, "CNN Video", 1405: 1192: 1144: 1087: 1057: 990: 680:2009 World Series of Poker 512: 454: 320:London School of Economics 215:2016 presidential election 18: 7991:American LGBTQ scientists 7971:Journalists from Michigan 7916:American male journalists 7832: 7801: 7760: 7651: 7620: 7562: 7523: 7464: 7407: 7362: 7351: 7344:Rhiannon Ally (co-anchor) 7323: 7302: 7269: 7242: 7215: 7182: 7152: 7107: 7074: 6392:February 3, 2014, at the 6279:January 27, 2013, at the 6206:November 8, 2012, at the 6183:November 7, 2012, at the 6143:November 8, 2012, at the 5994:January 20, 2017, at the 5924:November 9, 2012, at the 5877:November 8, 2012, at the 5807:October 18, 2012, at the 5788:November 6, 2012, at the 5739:October 25, 2010, at the 5734:ABC "Topline", 9–28, 2010 5721:January 25, 2012, at the 5637:November 5, 2013, at the 5518:January 16, 2013, at the 5443:October 28, 2008, at the 5429:October 12, 2008, at the 5390:October 17, 2008, at the 5264:The Signal and the Noise, 5015:November 9, 2012, at the 4838:November 8, 2012, at the 4554:November 9, 2012, at the 4525:November 8, 2012, at the 4385:November 7, 2012, at the 4293:February 7, 2012, at the 4203:October 11, 2014, at the 4133:Issenberg, Sasha (2012). 3904:November 5, 2013, at the 3658:"Go Figure: Who's No. 1?" 3527:January 28, 2012, at the 3456:January 21, 2012, at the 3334:February 1, 2017, at the 3323:February 1, 2017, at the 3293:February 7, 2012, at the 3124:December 4, 2008, at the 3110:Nate Silver, "No I'm Not 3059:"Obama's Path to Victory" 3011:October 28, 2012, at the 2606:"Baseball by the Numbers" 2202:New Yorkers in journalism 2040:In a 2012 interview with 2021:neighborhood in Chicago. 1806:, a return appearance on 1782:Real Time with Bill Maher 1416:Silver signing a copy of 450: 243:Michigan State University 129: 113: 105: 97: 82: 53: 41: 34: 21:Nate Silver (quarterback) 7669:Bowl Championship Series 7199:Janai Norman (co-anchor) 7029:bibliographic database. 6790:August 10, 2011, at the 5872:The Triumph of the Nerds 5848:Top 25 Nate Silver Facts 5682:August 27, 2018, at the 4714:"2020 Election Forecast" 4119:August 21, 2018, at the 3265:TED Blog, April 29, 2009 2722:August 17, 2018, at the 2429:"Who Will Be President?" 2403:"2016 Election Forecast" 2182:Computational statistics 1998:in favor of recognizing 1974:and his wife, biologist 1919:The Signal and the Noise 1767:Silver also appeared on 1686: 1429:The Signal and The Noise 1418:The Signal and the Noise 1408:The Signal and the Noise 1401:The Signal and the Noise 1317:' strip mall physician, 909:character in the movie " 793:During the last year of 306:. He also wrote for the 281:East Lansing High School 225:Early life and education 187:Silver was named one of 101:Statistician, journalist 7699:Pythagorean expectation 7169:Eva Pilgrim (co-anchor) 7031:(subscription required) 6090:The Wall Street Journal 6044:Harvard Business Review 6037:August 2, 2017, at the 5957:August 2, 2017, at the 5948:Wisconsin State Journal 5892:August 4, 2020, at the 5853:August 1, 2017, at the 5696:Democracy Now 5-18-2010 5462:April 11, 2009, at the 5302:The Wall Street Journal 4520:Bloomberg Business Week 4009:April 14, 2009, at the 3497:The Wall Street Journal 3436:. FiveThirtyEight.com. 3408:The Wall Street Journal 3392:August 2, 2017, at the 3308:March 22, 2009, at the 3270:April 30, 2009, at the 2932:August 2, 2017, at the 1917:October 2013: Silver's 1812:, and an appearance on 1695:The Wall Street Journal 698:BaseballProspectus.com. 676:The Wall Street Journal 520:Creation and motivation 488:BaseballProspectus.com. 326:Early career: 2000–2008 158:. He is the founder of 8071:American male bloggers 7961:Baseball statisticians 7956:American statisticians 7941:American poker players 7906:ABC News personalities 7499:(senior meteorologist) 7435:(Senior Investigative) 7400:(Chief Global Affairs) 7077:ABC World News Tonight 6736:July 21, 2008, at the 6677:June 28, 2015, at the 6575:on November 21, 2012. 6294:"ABC News "This Week"" 6175:Nieman Journalism Lab, 6100:June 23, 2018, at the 5942:June 23, 2018, at the 5570:(September 25, 2011). 5538:The Rachel Maddow Show 5511:Democratic Underground 5492:June 14, 2008, at the 5363:July 16, 2008, at the 5336:June 19, 2008, at the 4476:March 9, 2013, at the 4139:Crown Publishing Group 3919:July 28, 2013, at the 3622:on September 24, 2012. 3504:March 3, 2016, at the 3316:, March 16, 2009. See 3166:June 16, 2008, at the 1861:, where he criticized 1611:, 2012, 50(2): 321–26. 1585:The Boy Who Loved Math 1491:blog, now owned by ABC 1478: 1425: 1362:. Silver retained the 1223:in their projections. 968: 915: 852: 825: 815: 756: 660:While maintaining his 533: 231:East Lansing, Michigan 75:East Lansing, Michigan 7614:Sports rating systems 7445:George Stephanopoulos 7417:(Chief Legal Analyst) 7281:George Stephanopoulos 7175:(contributing anchor) 7145:(chief meteorologist) 7125:George Stephanopoulos 6911:on September 26, 2013 6561:(November 13, 2012). 6544:May 20, 2018, at the 6525:May 17, 2017, at the 6476:May 27, 2014, at the 6438:December 4, 2013, at 6283:on November 20, 2012. 5701:May 21, 2010, at the 5406:Lansing State Journal 5309:June 6, 2008, at the 5155:Associated Press News 4967:on November 23, 2012. 4944:on November 14, 2012. 4804:Gregory Ferenstein, " 4549:winner of every state 4545:Public Policy Polling 4263:"Reads and Reactions" 3645:on December 13, 2014. 3599:on February 25, 2011. 3573:June 6, 2010, at the 3069:on December 29, 2016. 3031:University of Chicago 2957:on September 12, 2011 2593:on February 24, 2015. 2453:Lansing State Journal 2030:World Series of Poker 1858:Employee of the Month 1839:on November 3, 2013. 1831:George Stephanopoulos 1754:The Charlie Rose Show 1713:Lansing State Journal 1468: 1415: 1215:only missed Florida, 955: 903: 847: 816: 810: 775:Times Sunday Magazine 769:elections as well as 728: 527: 492:Major League Baseball 395:Major League Baseball 304:University of Chicago 144:Nathaniel Read Silver 87:University of Chicago 58:Nathaniel Read Silver 8076:LGBTQ mathematicians 7966:American gay writers 7638:Strength of schedule 7326:America This Morning 7110:Good Morning America 6751:"BurritoBracket.com" 6373:May 4, 2016, at the 6249:. Thedailyshow.com. 6212:Scientific American, 6198:Scientific American, 5249:on January 15, 2013. 5122:Morris, G. Elliott. 3973:"What the Fox Knows" 3936:, September 1, 2013. 3691:on January 17, 2017. 3242:on December 2, 2008. 3117:FiveThirtyEight.com, 3092:on February 27, 2014 2439:on October 21, 2021. 1995:Obergefell v. Hodges 1904:Doctor of Literature 1785:(October 26, 2012). 1740:Bloomberg Television 1159:team predicted that 1121:District of Columbia 1030:District of Columbia 1007:demographic analysis 999:FiveThirtyEight.com, 7421:Dr. Jennifer Ashton 7352:Principal reporters 7173:Dr. Jennifer Ashton 6809:. Chicago Tribune. 6785:blog, July 26, 2011 6777:The Burrito Bracket 6731:, July–August, 2008 6653:, November 21, 2008 6413:on October 24, 2013 6343:The Washington Post 6236:, November 9, 2012. 5963:The Washington Post 5861:, November 7, 2012. 5386:, October 12, 2008 4984:The Washington Post 4913:, November 2, 2012 4819:, October 30, 2012. 4530:, November 7, 2012. 4472:, November 7, 2012 4393:, November 6, 2012. 4311:, February 15, 2012 4288:, February 15, 2012 4273:on October 9, 2015. 4114:, November 10, 2008 4045:, November 11, 2008 3960:on August 23, 2013. 3714:on October 1, 2012. 3499:, November 11, 2009 3185:FiveThirtyEight.com 3086:FiveThirtyEight.com 2985:Baseball Prospectus 2951:Baseball Prospectus 2843:Baseball Prospectus 2826:Baseball Prospectus 2811:Baseball Prospectus 2785:on October 26, 2012 2671:on November 8, 2012 2645:, November 11, 2012 2242:"Nate Silver tweet" 2015:The Burrito Bracket 1976:Margaret Reed Lewis 1972:Warren Harmon Lewis 1928:December 2013: The 1827:FiveThirtyEight.com 1797:Scientific American 1733:FiveThirtyEight.com 1710:, and his hometown 1620:Baseball Prospectus 1616:Baseball Prospectus 1508:The Burrito Bracket 1498:Baseball Prospectus 1189:2020 U.S. elections 1182:The Huffington Post 1141:2016 U.S. elections 1084:2012 U.S. elections 1074:confidence interval 1054:2010 U.S. elections 1014:FiveThirtyEight.com 987:2008 U.S. elections 885:Walt Disney Company 802:The New York Times, 780:While blogging for 773:contests. Silver's 771:state gubernatorial 740:FiveThirtyEight.com 704:2010 FIFA World Cup 687:FiveThirtyEight.com 685:The success of his 662:FiveThirtyEight.com 580:FiveThirtyEight.com 568:FiveThirtyEight.com 545:FiveThirtyEight.com 484:Baseball Prospectus 445:Baseball Prospectus 391:Baseball Prospectus 371:Baseball Prospectus 309:Chicago Weekly News 287:in the 49th annual 229:Silver was born in 7788:NAIA Coaches' Poll 7684:Litkenhous Ratings 7664:ARGH Power Ratings 7453:(Military Affairs) 7305:What Would You Do? 6783:Digital Humanities 6702:www.scoresheet.com 6631:November 17, 2012 6600:November 17, 2012 6296:. Abcnews.go.com. 5972:December 29, 2012. 5584:"Interview Part 2" 5555:on April 19, 2012. 5438:, October 27, 2008 5424:, October 13, 2008 5422:Sports Illustrated 5271:The New York Times 5210:The New York Times 4889:The New York Times 4833:, November 4, 2010 4412:A fourth analyst, 4378:Daniel Terdiman, " 4331:The New York Times 4309:The New York Times 4267:The New York Times 4243:, November 3, 2011 4241:The New York Times 4220:, November 6, 2011 4194:The New York Times 4168:September 5, 2012" 4112:The New York Times 4091:, November 6, 2008 4068:, November 3, 2008 4032:, January 9, 2009 3983:on March 17, 2014. 3934:The New York Times 3894:Washington Monthly 3859:The New York Times 3766:November 14, 2012 3685:The New York Times 3668:on August 2, 2017. 3616:The New York Times 3385:The New York Times 3063:The New York Times 3006:, November 1, 2007 2991:on March 27, 2009. 2925:The New York Times 2779:Sports Illustrated 2643:Detroit Free Press 2637:Detroit Free Press 2587:The New York Times 2433:The New York Times 2212:Political analysis 2132:Mathematics portal 1770:The Colbert Report 1672:; paperback 2008. 1593:The New York Times 1589:On a Beam of Light 1524:Other publications 1479: 1475:Politics and Prose 1454:The New York Times 1426: 1346:career: since 2023 1296:The New York Times 1171:won the election. 1070:The New York Times 982:election forecasts 895:The New York Times 853: 850:The New York Times 848:Silver on leaving 759:The New York Times 748:The New York Times 721:The New York Times 672:The New York Times 655:South by Southwest 622:observed, "Forget 598:on June 13, 2008. 555:The New York Times 534: 473:earned run average 437:The New York Times 419:Sports Illustrated 354:Sports Illustrated 235:community activist 154:, basketball, and 7911:American bloggers 7888: 7887: 7761:Polls and opinion 7756: 7755: 7580: 7579: 7460: 7459: 7447:(Chief Political) 7394:(Senior National) 7372:(Senior National) 7356:primary coverage) 7354:(by base city and 6452:December 18, 2013 6215:November 14, 2012 6095:December 16, 2012 6078:November 10, 2012 6063:November 11, 2012 5931:Los Angeles Times 5915:Los Angeles Times 5632:December 17, 2012 5514:, June 14, 2008. 5383:New York Magazine 5262:"Known Unknowns: 5204:Cowles, Gregory. 4198:December 10, 2010 3953:New York Magazine 3808:November 27, 2012 3791:November 27, 2012 3708:New York Magazine 3485:November 11, 2009 3410:, January 8, 2010 3314:Los Angeles Times 3236:New York Observer 3217:November 7, 2008 2771:"Scorecard: He's 2493:978-1-101-59595-4 2146:Journalism portal 2000:same-sex marriage 1889:Doctor of Science 1731:began to use the 1728:Rasmussen Reports 1372:G. Elliott Morris 1268:Rasmussen Reports 980:FiveThirtyEight's 899:Margaret Sullivan 875:executive editor 845: 644:Penguin Group USA 573:electoral college 384:Elo rating system 239:political science 152:analyzes baseball 141: 140: 106:Years active 8108: 8096:Substack writers 8061:Data journalists 8031:Science bloggers 7715: 7714: 7674:Dickinson System 7607: 7600: 7593: 7584: 7583: 7441:(Chief National) 7363:Washington, D.C. 7360: 7359: 7060: 7053: 7046: 7037: 7036: 7032: 7019: 7004: 6983: 6981: 6979: 6952: 6951: 6949: 6947: 6927: 6921: 6920: 6918: 6916: 6907:. Archived from 6890: 6884: 6883: 6881: 6879: 6859: 6853: 6852: 6850: 6848: 6829: 6823: 6822: 6820: 6818: 6801: 6795: 6773: 6767: 6766: 6764: 6762: 6747: 6741: 6724: 6718: 6717: 6715: 6713: 6694: 6688: 6669: 6663: 6646: 6640: 6618: 6609: 6587: 6581: 6580: 6571:. Archived from 6568:InterfaithFamily 6555: 6549: 6536: 6530: 6517: 6511: 6510: 6508: 6506: 6497:. Archived from 6487: 6481: 6467: 6461: 6448: 6442: 6429: 6423: 6422: 6420: 6418: 6403: 6397: 6384: 6378: 6368:Ripon 2013 video 6365: 6359: 6358: 6356: 6354: 6334: 6328: 6327: 6316: 6310: 6309: 6307: 6305: 6290: 6284: 6269: 6263: 6262: 6260: 6258: 6243: 6237: 6231: 6225: 6201:November 7, 2012 6194: 6188: 6178:October 31, 2012 6164:November 8, 2012 6154: 6148: 6138:November 8, 2012 6121:November 8, 2012 6116:Information Week 6111: 6105: 6074:Business Insider 6049:November 7, 2012 6032:November 7, 2012 6022: 6016: 6006:November 9, 2012 5989:November 7, 2012 5979: 5973: 5868: 5862: 5844: 5838: 5837: 5835: 5833: 5818: 5812: 5799: 5793: 5769: 5763: 5750: 5744: 5731: 5725: 5716:January 23, 2012 5712: 5706: 5693: 5687: 5674: 5668: 5667: 5665: 5663: 5648: 5642: 5628: 5622: 5621: 5619: 5617: 5600: 5594: 5593: 5589:Reliable Sources 5581: 5577:Reliable Sources 5563: 5557: 5556: 5545: 5529: 5523: 5502: 5496: 5483:The New Republic 5479: 5473: 5472:, April 8, 2009. 5401: 5395: 5374: 5368: 5359:, July 11, 2008 5347: 5341: 5332:, June 16, 2008 5320: 5314: 5294: 5288: 5287: 5285: 5283: 5257: 5251: 5250: 5245:. Archived from 5232: 5226: 5225: 5223: 5221: 5201: 5195: 5194: 5192: 5190: 5173: 5167: 5166: 5164: 5162: 5145: 5139: 5138: 5136: 5134: 5119: 5113: 5112: 5100: 5094: 5093: 5091: 5089: 5074: 5068: 5067: 5055: 5046: 5045: 5043: 5041: 5031:"Thrice as Nice" 5026: 5020: 5006: 5000: 4999: 4997: 4995: 4975: 4969: 4968: 4963:. Archived from 4952: 4946: 4945: 4940:. Archived from 4927: 4921: 4904: 4902: 4900: 4880: 4874: 4873: 4871: 4869: 4849: 4843: 4826: 4820: 4802: 4796: 4795: 4793: 4791: 4771: 4765: 4764: 4762: 4760: 4740: 4734: 4733: 4731: 4729: 4709: 4703: 4684: 4678: 4677: 4675: 4673: 4651: 4645: 4626: 4617: 4616: 4614: 4612: 4592: 4586: 4585: 4583: 4581: 4565: 4559: 4537: 4531: 4515: 4509: 4506: 4500: 4486: 4480: 4460: 4454: 4453: 4437: 4431: 4421:November 6, 2012 4410: 4404: 4400: 4394: 4376: 4370: 4369: 4367: 4365: 4349: 4343: 4326: 4320: 4304: 4298: 4281: 4275: 4274: 4269:. Archived from 4258: 4252: 4236: 4230: 4213: 4207: 4190: 4184: 4183: 4181: 4179: 4170:. Buzzfeed.com. 4159: 4153: 4152: 4130: 4124: 4107: 4101: 4084: 4078: 4061: 4055: 4020: 4014: 4001:National Journal 3992: 3986: 3984: 3979:. Archived from 3968: 3962: 3961: 3956:. Archived from 3943: 3937: 3930: 3924: 3881: 3875: 3874: 3872: 3870: 3850: 3844: 3843: 3841: 3839: 3824: 3818: 3781: 3775: 3753: 3747: 3746: 3744: 3742: 3731:The New Republic 3722: 3716: 3715: 3710:. Archived from 3699: 3693: 3692: 3687:. Archived from 3676: 3670: 3669: 3664:. Archived from 3653: 3647: 3646: 3641:. Archived from 3630: 3624: 3623: 3618:. Archived from 3607: 3601: 3600: 3595:. Archived from 3584: 3578: 3564: 3558: 3556: 3538: 3532: 3515: 3509: 3467: 3461: 3448: 3442: 3441: 3429: 3420: 3403: 3397: 3387:, April 18, 2009 3378:Nate Silver and 3376: 3370: 3369: 3367: 3365: 3360:on July 29, 2012 3356:. Archived from 3345: 3339: 3281: 3275: 3250: 3244: 3243: 3238:. Archived from 3227: 3221: 3201: 3195: 3180: 3171: 3157: 3151: 3135: 3129: 3108: 3102: 3101: 3099: 3097: 3088:. 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Archived from 2367: 2358: 2357: 2355: 2353: 2336: 2327: 2326: 2324: 2322: 2305: 2294: 2293: 2291: 2289: 2269: 2258: 2257: 2255: 2253: 2238: 2176: 2171: 2170: 2169: 2162: 2160:Biography portal 2157: 2156: 2155: 2148: 2143: 2142: 2141: 2134: 2129: 2128: 2120: 2115: 2114: 2106: 2101: 2100: 2099: 2007:fantasy baseball 1722:The New Republic 1608:Economic Inquiry 1350:After departing 1129:aggregated polls 846: 821:FiveThirtyEight. 799: 693:Baseball Tonight 639:in the ocean'". 595:American Morning 558:op-ed columnist 464:fantasy baseball 339:consultant with 337:transfer pricing 279:As a student at 137: 71: 68:January 13, 1978 67: 65: 46: 32: 31: 8116: 8115: 8111: 8110: 8109: 8107: 8106: 8105: 7891: 7890: 7889: 7884: 7828: 7797: 7752: 7713: 7647: 7643:Win probability 7616: 7611: 7581: 7576: 7564:FiveThirtyEight 7558: 7533:David Blaustein 7519: 7508:Deborah Roberts 7465:Field reporters 7456: 7403: 7355: 7353: 7347: 7330: 7319: 7298: 7265: 7260:Deborah Roberts 7238: 7211: 7178: 7148: 7131:Michael Strahan 7103: 7070: 7064: 7030: 7025:indexed by the 6990: 6977: 6975: 6961: 6959:Further reading 6956: 6955: 6945: 6943: 6936:Silver Bulletin 6928: 6924: 6914: 6912: 6891: 6887: 6877: 6875: 6860: 6856: 6846: 6844: 6831: 6830: 6826: 6816: 6814: 6802: 6798: 6792:Wayback Machine 6775:On the role of 6774: 6770: 6760: 6758: 6749: 6748: 6744: 6738:Wayback Machine 6725: 6721: 6711: 6709: 6696: 6695: 6691: 6684:FiveThirtyEight 6681:, Nate Silver, 6679:Wayback Machine 6670: 6666: 6660:Wayback Machine 6647: 6643: 6637:Wayback Machine 6619: 6612: 6606:Wayback Machine 6588: 6584: 6556: 6552: 6546:Wayback Machine 6537: 6533: 6527:Wayback Machine 6518: 6514: 6504: 6502: 6501:on May 27, 2014 6489: 6488: 6484: 6478:Wayback Machine 6468: 6464: 6459:Wayback Machine 6449: 6445: 6430: 6426: 6416: 6414: 6405: 6404: 6400: 6394:Wayback Machine 6385: 6381: 6375:Wayback Machine 6366: 6362: 6352: 6350: 6335: 6331: 6318: 6317: 6313: 6303: 6301: 6292: 6291: 6287: 6281:Wayback Machine 6270: 6266: 6256: 6254: 6245: 6244: 6240: 6232: 6228: 6222:Wayback Machine 6208:Wayback Machine 6195: 6191: 6185:Wayback Machine 6171:Wayback Machine 6155: 6151: 6145:Wayback Machine 6128:Wayback Machine 6112: 6108: 6102:Wayback Machine 6085:Wayback Machine 6070:Wayback Machine 6056:Wayback Machine 6039:Wayback Machine 6023: 6019: 6013:Wayback Machine 5996:Wayback Machine 5980: 5976: 5959:Wayback Machine 5944:Wayback Machine 5926:Wayback Machine 5911:Wayback Machine 5894:Wayback Machine 5879:Wayback Machine 5870:Chris Taylor, " 5869: 5865: 5855:Wayback Machine 5845: 5841: 5831: 5829: 5820: 5819: 5815: 5809:Wayback Machine 5800: 5796: 5790:Wayback Machine 5779:Wayback Machine 5770: 5766: 5761:Wayback Machine 5751: 5747: 5741:Wayback Machine 5732: 5728: 5723:Wayback Machine 5713: 5709: 5703:Wayback Machine 5694: 5690: 5684:Wayback Machine 5675: 5671: 5661: 5659: 5650: 5649: 5645: 5639:Wayback Machine 5629: 5625: 5615: 5613: 5601: 5597: 5582: 5580:. CNN Politics; 5564: 5560: 5547: 5532: 5530: 5526: 5520:Wayback Machine 5503: 5499: 5494:Wayback Machine 5480: 5476: 5464:Wayback Machine 5447:, Ben Heller, " 5445:Wayback Machine 5436:Chicago Tribune 5431:Wayback Machine 5402: 5398: 5392:Wayback Machine 5375: 5371: 5365:Wayback Machine 5348: 5344: 5338:Wayback Machine 5321: 5317: 5311:Wayback Machine 5295: 5291: 5281: 5279: 5266:by Nate Silver" 5258: 5254: 5233: 5229: 5219: 5217: 5202: 5198: 5188: 5186: 5174: 5170: 5160: 5158: 5146: 5142: 5132: 5130: 5120: 5116: 5101: 5097: 5087: 5085: 5083:Silver Bulletin 5075: 5071: 5064:Silver Bulletin 5056: 5049: 5039: 5037: 5027: 5023: 5017:Wayback Machine 5007: 5003: 4993: 4991: 4976: 4972: 4953: 4949: 4928: 4924: 4919:Wayback Machine 4898: 4896: 4881: 4877: 4867: 4865: 4858:National Review 4850: 4846: 4840:Wayback Machine 4831:FiveThirtyEight 4827: 4823: 4813:Wayback Machine 4803: 4799: 4789: 4787: 4780:Huffington Post 4772: 4768: 4758: 4756: 4745:"Mr. Overrated" 4741: 4737: 4727: 4725: 4718:FiveThirtyEight 4710: 4706: 4699:Huffington Post 4694:Wayback Machine 4685: 4681: 4671: 4669: 4652: 4648: 4641:FiveThirtyEight 4636:Wayback Machine 4627: 4620: 4610: 4608: 4601:FiveThirtyEight 4593: 4589: 4579: 4577: 4566: 4562: 4556:Wayback Machine 4541:The Monkey Cage 4538: 4534: 4527:Wayback Machine 4516: 4512: 4507: 4503: 4497:Wayback Machine 4487: 4483: 4478:Wayback Machine 4469:Huffington Post 4461: 4457: 4438: 4434: 4428:Wayback Machine 4411: 4407: 4401: 4397: 4387:Wayback Machine 4377: 4373: 4363: 4361: 4350: 4346: 4340:Wayback Machine 4327: 4323: 4318:Wayback Machine 4305: 4301: 4295:Wayback Machine 4282: 4278: 4259: 4255: 4250:Wayback Machine 4237: 4233: 4227:Wayback Machine 4214: 4210: 4205:Wayback Machine 4191: 4187: 4177: 4175: 4160: 4156: 4149: 4141:. p. 290. 4135:The Victory Lab 4131: 4127: 4121:Wayback Machine 4108: 4104: 4098:Wayback Machine 4085: 4081: 4075:Wayback Machine 4062: 4058: 4052:Wayback Machine 4038:Wayback Machine 4021: 4017: 4011:Wayback Machine 3993: 3989: 3977:FiveThirtyEight 3969: 3965: 3944: 3940: 3931: 3927: 3921:Wayback Machine 3906:Wayback Machine 3882: 3878: 3868: 3866: 3851: 3847: 3837: 3835: 3834:. July 22, 2013 3826: 3825: 3821: 3815:Wayback Machine 3798:Wayback Machine 3782: 3778: 3772:Wayback Machine 3754: 3750: 3740: 3738: 3723: 3719: 3700: 3696: 3677: 3673: 3654: 3650: 3631: 3627: 3608: 3604: 3585: 3581: 3575:Wayback Machine 3565: 3561: 3539: 3535: 3529:Wayback Machine 3516: 3512: 3506:Wayback Machine 3492:Wayback Machine 3478:Wayback Machine 3468: 3464: 3458:Wayback Machine 3449: 3445: 3430: 3423: 3417:Wayback Machine 3404: 3400: 3394:Wayback Machine 3377: 3373: 3363: 3361: 3346: 3342: 3336:Wayback Machine 3325:Wayback Machine 3310:Wayback Machine 3295:Wayback Machine 3284:Daniel Terdiman 3282: 3278: 3272:Wayback Machine 3261:Wayback Machine 3254:TED2009 program 3251: 3247: 3228: 3224: 3202: 3198: 3193:Wayback Machine 3181: 3174: 3168:Wayback Machine 3158: 3154: 3149:Wayback Machine 3136: 3132: 3126:Wayback Machine 3109: 3105: 3095: 3093: 3078: 3074: 3055: 3051: 3040: 3038: 3037:on June 6, 2011 3023: 3019: 3013:Wayback Machine 3000: 2996: 2977: 2970: 2960: 2958: 2945: 2944: 2940: 2934:Wayback Machine 2921: 2917: 2901: 2897: 2881: 2877: 2861: 2857: 2841: 2837: 2803: 2799: 2788: 2786: 2767: 2763: 2753: 2751: 2743:Chicago Tribune 2734: 2730: 2724:Wayback Machine 2711: 2707: 2696:FiveThirtyEight 2688: 2684: 2674: 2672: 2661: 2657: 2652:Wayback Machine 2633: 2629: 2619: 2617: 2610:Chicago Tribune 2602: 2598: 2579: 2575: 2565: 2563: 2554: 2553: 2549: 2537: 2535: 2515: 2508: 2494: 2478: 2474: 2464: 2462: 2449: 2448: 2444: 2425: 2421: 2411: 2409: 2407:FiveThirtyEight 2399: 2395: 2385: 2383: 2368: 2361: 2351: 2349: 2337: 2330: 2320: 2318: 2306: 2297: 2287: 2285: 2270: 2261: 2251: 2249: 2240: 2239: 2235: 2230: 2207:NYC Pride March 2187:Editorial board 2172: 2167: 2165: 2158: 2153: 2151: 2144: 2139: 2137: 2130: 2123: 2118:Politics portal 2116: 2109: 2104:Baseball portal 2102: 2097: 2095: 2092: 2074:political class 2038: 2036:Political views 1960: 1941:Amherst College 1871: 1689: 1650:(hardback) and 1517:Silver Bulletin 1500:article archive 1489:FiveThirtyEight 1463: 1410: 1404: 1389:as an advisor. 1368:Silver Bulletin 1356:Silver Bulletin 1352:FiveThirtyEight 1348: 1344:FiveThirtyEight 1330:Washington Post 1291:Joe Scarborough 1273:National Review 1256:Huffington Post 1237: 1229:FiveThirtyEight 1213:FiveThirtyEight 1207:predicted that 1205:FiveThirtyEight 1197: 1191: 1173:FiveThirtyEight 1161:Hillary Clinton 1157:FiveThirtyEight 1149: 1143: 1109:FiveThirtyEight 1092: 1086: 1078:FiveThirtyEight 1066:FiveThirtyEight 1062: 1056: 995: 993:FiveThirtyEight 989: 984: 951:FiveThirtyEight 947: 944:FiveThirtyEight 889:FiveThirtyEight 835: 833: 828:Departure from 797: 795:FiveThirtyEight 752:Sunday Magazine 724: 612: 522: 517: 515:FiveThirtyEight 511: 507:FiveThirtyEight 503: 499:FiveThirtyEight 477:batting average 459: 453: 393:annual book of 366: 358:Alexander Wolff 352:. According to 333: 328: 227: 178:Silver Bulletin 170:FiveThirtyEight 161:FiveThirtyEight 133: 123:FiveThirtyEight 78: 72: 69: 63: 61: 60: 59: 49: 37: 28: 17: 12: 11: 5: 8114: 8104: 8103: 8098: 8093: 8088: 8083: 8081:Gay scientists 8078: 8073: 8068: 8063: 8058: 8053: 8048: 8043: 8038: 8033: 8028: 8023: 8018: 8013: 8008: 8003: 7998: 7993: 7988: 7983: 7978: 7973: 7968: 7963: 7958: 7953: 7948: 7943: 7938: 7933: 7928: 7923: 7918: 7913: 7908: 7903: 7886: 7885: 7883: 7882: 7877: 7872: 7867: 7862: 7857: 7855:Kenneth Massey 7852: 7847: 7845:John Hollinger 7842: 7836: 7834: 7830: 7829: 7827: 7826: 7821: 7816: 7811: 7805: 7803: 7799: 7798: 7796: 7795: 7790: 7785: 7780: 7775: 7770: 7764: 7762: 7758: 7757: 7754: 7753: 7751: 7750: 7745: 7740: 7735: 7730: 7724: 7722: 7712: 7711: 7706: 7701: 7696: 7691: 7686: 7681: 7676: 7671: 7666: 7661: 7655: 7653: 7649: 7648: 7646: 7645: 7640: 7635: 7630: 7628:Home advantage 7624: 7622: 7618: 7617: 7610: 7609: 7602: 7595: 7587: 7578: 7577: 7575: 7574: 7568: 7566: 7560: 7559: 7557: 7556: 7551: 7546: 7544:Steven Portnoy 7541: 7540:(Capitol Hill) 7535: 7529: 7527: 7525:ABC News Radio 7521: 7520: 7518: 7517: 7511: 7505: 7500: 7494: 7489: 7484: 7479: 7477:Chris Connelly 7474: 7472:Abbie Boudreau 7468: 7466: 7462: 7461: 7458: 7457: 7455: 7454: 7448: 7442: 7436: 7433:Aaron Katersky 7430: 7427:Rebecca Jarvis 7424: 7418: 7411: 7409: 7405: 7404: 7402: 7401: 7398:Martha Raddatz 7395: 7389: 7379: 7373: 7366: 7364: 7357: 7349: 7348: 7346: 7345: 7342: 7338: 7336: 7333:World News Now 7321: 7320: 7318: 7317: 7310: 7308: 7300: 7299: 7297: 7296: 7290: 7287:Martha Raddatz 7284: 7277: 7275: 7267: 7266: 7264: 7263: 7257: 7250: 7248: 7240: 7239: 7237: 7236: 7230: 7223: 7221: 7213: 7212: 7210: 7209: 7206: 7200: 7197: 7190: 7188: 7180: 7179: 7177: 7176: 7170: 7167: 7164:Demarco Morgan 7160: 7158: 7150: 7149: 7147: 7146: 7140: 7134: 7128: 7122: 7115: 7113: 7105: 7104: 7102: 7101: 7095: 7089: 7082: 7080: 7072: 7071: 7063: 7062: 7055: 7048: 7040: 7034: 7033: 7020: 7005: 6989: 6988:External links 6986: 6985: 6984: 6960: 6957: 6954: 6953: 6930:Silver, Nate. 6922: 6885: 6854: 6824: 6796: 6768: 6742: 6719: 6689: 6664: 6641: 6610: 6582: 6550: 6531: 6512: 6482: 6462: 6443: 6424: 6398: 6379: 6360: 6329: 6311: 6285: 6264: 6238: 6226: 6189: 6149: 6106: 6017: 5974: 5863: 5846:Nick Stango, " 5839: 5813: 5794: 5764: 5745: 5726: 5707: 5688: 5669: 5643: 5623: 5595: 5558: 5524: 5497: 5474: 5396: 5369: 5342: 5315: 5304:, June 2, 2008 5289: 5252: 5227: 5196: 5168: 5140: 5114: 5095: 5069: 5047: 5021: 5001: 4970: 4947: 4937:The New Yorker 4922: 4875: 4844: 4821: 4797: 4766: 4735: 4704: 4679: 4646: 4618: 4587: 4560: 4532: 4510: 4501: 4481: 4455: 4432: 4405: 4395: 4371: 4352:Silver, Nate. 4344: 4333:, June 7, 2012 4321: 4299: 4276: 4253: 4231: 4208: 4185: 4154: 4148:978-0307954794 4147: 4125: 4102: 4079: 4056: 4029:Chicago Weekly 4015: 3987: 3963: 3938: 3925: 3876: 3845: 3819: 3776: 3748: 3717: 3694: 3671: 3648: 3625: 3602: 3579: 3559: 3533: 3510: 3462: 3443: 3421: 3398: 3371: 3348:Silver, Nate. 3340: 3276: 3245: 3222: 3196: 3172: 3152: 3140:New York Post, 3130: 3103: 3072: 3049: 3017: 2994: 2968: 2938: 2927:, May 11, 2008 2915: 2895: 2875: 2855: 2835: 2797: 2761: 2728: 2705: 2682: 2655: 2627: 2596: 2573: 2547: 2506: 2492: 2472: 2442: 2419: 2393: 2382:on May 8, 2009 2359: 2328: 2295: 2259: 2232: 2231: 2229: 2226: 2225: 2224: 2222:Allan Lichtman 2219: 2217:Sports betting 2214: 2209: 2204: 2199: 2194: 2189: 2184: 2178: 2177: 2163: 2149: 2135: 2121: 2107: 2091: 2088: 2037: 2034: 1964:Caswell Silver 1959: 1956: 1955: 1954: 1951: 1944: 1933: 1926: 1915: 1912:The New School 1900: 1885: 1870: 1867: 1809:The Daily Show 1803:The Today Show 1776:The Daily Show 1749:Democracy Now! 1688: 1685: 1684: 1683: 1682: 1681: 1659: 1637: 1612: 1600: 1581: 1578:978-0547974514 1563: 1550: 1547:April 29, 2010 1540: 1537:April 11, 2010 1526: 1525: 1521: 1520: 1515:Nate Silver's 1512: 1506:Nate Silver's 1503: 1496:Nate Silver's 1493: 1484: 1483: 1462: 1459: 1450:climate change 1406:Main article: 1403: 1398: 1392:Silver's book 1347: 1340: 1236: 1233: 1217:North Carolina 1193:Main article: 1190: 1187: 1145:Main article: 1142: 1139: 1088:Main article: 1085: 1082: 1064:Shortly after 1058:Main article: 1055: 1052: 1038:North Carolina 991:Main article: 988: 985: 983: 977: 946: 940: 897:public editor 832: 826: 808:to the paper: 806:online traffic 723: 719:Transition to 717: 611: 608: 521: 518: 513:Main article: 510: 504: 502: 496: 455:Main article: 452: 449: 365: 362: 332: 329: 327: 324: 315:Chicago Maroon 289:John S. Knight 270:Detroit Tigers 259:Caswell Silver 241:department at 226: 223: 139: 138: 135:natesilver.net 131: 127: 126: 115: 114:Known for 111: 110: 107: 103: 102: 99: 95: 94: 84: 80: 79: 73: 57: 55: 51: 50: 47: 39: 38: 35: 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 8113: 8102: 8099: 8097: 8094: 8092: 8089: 8087: 8084: 8082: 8079: 8077: 8074: 8072: 8069: 8067: 8064: 8062: 8059: 8057: 8054: 8052: 8049: 8047: 8044: 8042: 8039: 8037: 8034: 8032: 8029: 8027: 8024: 8022: 8019: 8017: 8016:Psephologists 8014: 8012: 8009: 8007: 8004: 8002: 7999: 7997: 7996:Living people 7994: 7992: 7989: 7987: 7984: 7982: 7979: 7977: 7974: 7972: 7969: 7967: 7964: 7962: 7959: 7957: 7954: 7952: 7949: 7947: 7944: 7942: 7939: 7937: 7934: 7932: 7929: 7927: 7924: 7922: 7919: 7917: 7914: 7912: 7909: 7907: 7904: 7902: 7899: 7898: 7896: 7881: 7878: 7876: 7873: 7871: 7868: 7866: 7863: 7861: 7858: 7856: 7853: 7851: 7848: 7846: 7843: 7841: 7840:Mark Glickman 7838: 7837: 7835: 7831: 7825: 7824:Tennis (NTRP) 7822: 7820: 7817: 7815: 7812: 7810: 7807: 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Sides 3886: 3880: 3864: 3860: 3856: 3849: 3833: 3829: 3823: 3816: 3812: 3809: 3806: 3804: 3803:Atlantic Wire 3799: 3795: 3792: 3789: 3787: 3780: 3773: 3769: 3765: 3763: 3758: 3752: 3736: 3732: 3728: 3721: 3713: 3709: 3705: 3698: 3690: 3686: 3682: 3675: 3667: 3663: 3659: 3652: 3644: 3640: 3636: 3629: 3621: 3617: 3613: 3606: 3598: 3594: 3590: 3583: 3576: 3572: 3569: 3563: 3554: 3550: 3549: 3544: 3537: 3530: 3526: 3523: 3522:July 19, 2010 3521: 3514: 3507: 3503: 3500: 3498: 3493: 3489: 3486: 3484: 3479: 3475: 3472: 3466: 3459: 3455: 3452: 3447: 3439: 3435: 3428: 3426: 3418: 3414: 3411: 3409: 3402: 3395: 3391: 3388: 3386: 3381: 3380:Andrew Gelman 3375: 3359: 3355: 3351: 3344: 3337: 3333: 3330: 3326: 3322: 3319: 3315: 3311: 3307: 3304: 3300: 3296: 3292: 3289: 3285: 3280: 3273: 3269: 3266: 3262: 3258: 3255: 3249: 3241: 3237: 3233: 3226: 3219: 3216: 3214: 3209: 3205: 3200: 3194: 3190: 3187: 3186: 3179: 3177: 3169: 3165: 3162: 3156: 3150: 3146: 3143: 3142:June 1, 2008. 3141: 3134: 3127: 3123: 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Retrieved 6970: 6944:. Retrieved 6938:. Substack. 6935: 6925: 6913:. Retrieved 6909:the original 6900:Charlie Rose 6898: 6888: 6876:. Retrieved 6867: 6857: 6847:December 30, 6845:. Retrieved 6836: 6827: 6815:. Retrieved 6799: 6782: 6781:Dan Cohen's 6776: 6771: 6759:. Retrieved 6745: 6728: 6722: 6710:. Retrieved 6701: 6692: 6682: 6667: 6650: 6644: 6627:The Observer 6625: 6596:The Guardian 6594: 6585: 6576: 6573:the original 6566: 6553: 6534: 6515: 6503:. Retrieved 6499:the original 6495:masslive.com 6494: 6485: 6465: 6446: 6427: 6415:. Retrieved 6411:the original 6401: 6382: 6363: 6353:November 14, 6351:. Retrieved 6342: 6332: 6323: 6314: 6302:. Retrieved 6288: 6272: 6267: 6255:. Retrieved 6241: 6229: 6211: 6197: 6192: 6174: 6157: 6152: 6131: 6114: 6109: 6088: 6059: 6042: 6025: 6020: 5999: 5984:The Atlantic 5982: 5977: 5966: 5962: 5929: 5899:The Guardian 5897: 5866: 5842: 5830:. Retrieved 5816: 5797: 5767: 5748: 5729: 5710: 5691: 5672: 5660:. Retrieved 5646: 5626: 5614:. 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