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Program evaluation and review technique

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212: 162: 40: 2220: 294:: a PERT activity can be further decomposed into a set of sub-activities. For example, activity A1 can be decomposed into A1.1, A1.2 and A1.3. Sub-activities have all the properties of activities; in particular, a sub-activity has predecessor or successor events just like an activity. A sub-activity can be decomposed again into finer-grained sub-activities. 328:: the best estimate of the time required to accomplish an activity (te) or a path (TE), accounting for the fact that things don't always proceed as normal (the implication being that the expected time is the average time the task would require if the task were repeated on a number of occasions over an extended period of time). 288:: the actual performance of a task which consumes time and requires resources (such as labor, materials, space, machinery). It can be understood as representing the time, effort, and resources required to move from one event to another. A PERT activity cannot be performed until the predecessor event has occurred. 1722:
upon completion of the process, a far simpler mechanism involves computing the total of all activity durations. If an EF of more than the total is found, the computation should be terminated. It is worth saving the identities of the most recently visited dozen or so nodes to help identify the problem link.
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Depending upon the capabilities of the data input phase of the critical path algorithm, it may be possible to create a loop, such as A -> B -> C -> A. This can cause simple algorithms to loop indefinitely. Although it is possible to "mark" nodes that have been visited, then clear the "marks"
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In order to determine this information it is assumed that the activities and normal duration times are given. The first step is to determine the ES and EF. The ES is defined as the maximum EF of all predecessor activities, unless the activity in question is the first activity, for which the ES is
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others (there are two areas that need to be graded, but there are only enough bulldozers to do one). Additionally, the time estimates usually reflect the normal, non-rushed time. Many times, the time required to execute the task can be reduced for an additional cost or a reduction in the quality.
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During project execution a real-life project will never execute exactly as it was planned due to uncertainty. This can be due to ambiguity resulting from subjective estimates that are prone to human errors or can be the result of variability arising from unexpected events or risks. The main reason
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of time and range of time necessary to complete each activity between two successive events. Such time expectations include estimates of "most likely time", "optimistic time", and "pessimistic time" for each activity. The technique is a management control tool that sizes up the outlook for meeting
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PERT is a method of analyzing the tasks involved in completing a project, especially the time needed to complete each task, and to identify the minimum time needed to complete the total project. It incorporates uncertainty by making it possible to schedule a project while not knowing precisely the
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The first step for scheduling the project is to determine the tasks that the project requires and the order in which they must be completed. The order may be easy to record for some tasks (e.g., when building a house, the land must be graded before the foundation can be laid) while difficult for
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PERT and CPM are complementary tools, because "CPM employs one time estimation and one cost estimation for each activity; PERT may utilize three time estimates (optimistic, expected, and pessimistic) and no costs for each activity. Although these are distinct differences, the term PERT is applied
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is not specifically indicated on task 5 (d), though it can be observed on tasks 3 and 7 (b and f), (3) since weekends are indicated by a thin vertical line, and take up no additional space on the work calendar, bars on the Gantt chart are not longer or shorter when they do or don't carry over a
610: 665:: the longest possible continuous pathway taken from the initial event to the terminal event. It determines the total calendar time required for the project; and, therefore, any time delays along the critical path will delay the reaching of the terminal event by at least the same amount. 98:
of all the activities. It is more event-oriented than start- and completion-oriented, and is used more for projects where time is the major constraint rather than cost. It is applied to very large-scale, one-time, complex, non-routine infrastructure projects, as well as
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objectives on time; highlights danger signals requiring management decisions; reveals and defines both methodicalness and slack in the flow plan or the network of sequential activities that must be performed to meet objectives; compares current expectations with
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to complete. To determine the path times, add the task durations for all available paths. Activities that have slack can be delayed without changing the overall time of the project. Slack is computed in one of two ways, slack = LF − EF
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and the critical time is 19.51 work days. It is important to note that there can be more than one critical path (in a project more complex than this example) or that the critical path can change. For example, let's say that activities
480: 261:: a point that marks the start or completion of one or more activities. It consumes no time and uses no resources. When it marks the completion of one or more activities, it is not "reached" (does not occur) until 1017:
is the black lines connected to non-critical activities, (3) since Saturday and Sunday are not work days and are thus excluded from the schedule, some bars on the Gantt chart are longer if they cut through a
1393:. The LF is defined as the minimum LS of all successor activities, unless the activity is the last activity, for which the LF equals the EF. The LS is the LF minus the task duration (LS = LF − duration). 1389:, the project should take 19.51 work days to complete. The next step is to determine the late start (LS) and late finish (LF) of each activity. This will eventually show if there are activities that have 1701: 485: 198:
Through an electronic computer, the PERT technique processes data representing the major, finite accomplishments (events) essential to achieve end-objectives; the inter-dependence of those events; and
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By itself, the network diagram pictured above does not give much more information than a Gantt chart; however, it can be expanded to display more information. The most common information shown is:
237:. The Work Breakdown Structure provides "a framework for complete networking, the Work Breakdown Structure was formally introduced as the first item of analysis in carrying out basic PERT/CPM." 1792:
that PERT may provide inaccurate information about the project completion time is due to this schedule uncertainty. This inaccuracy may be large enough to render such estimates as not helpful.
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is a measure of the excess time and resources available to complete a task. It is the amount of time that a project task can be delayed without causing a delay in any subsequent tasks (
271:: an event that immediately precedes some other event without any other events intervening. An event can have multiple predecessor events and can be the predecessor of multiple events. 448: 387: 277:: an event that immediately follows some other event without any other intervening events. An event can have multiple successor events and can be the successor of multiple events. 1401:
is equal to the EF (19.51 work days) since it is the last activity in the project. Since the duration is zero, the LS is also 19.51 work days. This will be used as the LF for
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PERT provides for potentially reduced project duration due to better understanding of dependencies leading to improved overlapping of activities and tasks where feasible.
1060:). Activity on node diagrams are generally easier to create and interpret. To create an AON diagram, it is recommended (but not required) to start with a node named 671:: An activity that has total float equal to zero. An activity with zero free float is not necessarily on the critical path since its path may not be the longest. 17: 1603:
The activities on the critical path by definition have a slack of zero; however, it is always a good idea to check the math anyway when drawing by hand.
1799:, however, allowing for every possible disruption would be very slow and couldn't be accommodated by the baseline schedule. A second approach, termed 194:, Head of the Program Evaluation Branch, Special Projects Office, U.S. Navy, gave a detailed description of the main concepts of PERT. He explained: 316:: the maximum possible time required to accomplish an activity (p) or a path (P), assuming everything goes wrong (but excluding major catastrophes). 605:{\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}&\sigma _{te}={\frac {p-o}{6}}\\&\sigma _{TE}={\sqrt {\sum _{i=1}^{n}{\sigma _{te_{i}}}^{2}}}\end{aligned}}} 1795:
One possible method to maximize solution robustness is to include safety in the baseline schedule in order to absorb disruptions. This is called
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is 19.51 work days. The duration (5.17 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 14.34 work days. This will be used as the LF for
310:: the minimum possible time required to accomplish an activity (o) or a path (O), assuming everything proceeds better than is normally expected 1438:
is 14.34 work days. The duration (5.17 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 9.17 work days. This will be used as the LF for
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is 19.51 work days. The duration (4.5 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 15.01 work days. This will be used as the LF for
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completion dates and computes the probability for meeting scheduled dates; and simulates the effects of options for decision— before decision.
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must be completed in order to allow sufficient time for the activities that must elapse before a specific PERT event reaches completion.
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A network diagram can be created by hand or by using diagram software. There are two types of network diagrams, activity on arrow (
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to support the U.S. Navy's Polaris nuclear submarine project. It found applications throughout industry. An early example is the
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which used PERT from 1965 until the opening of the 1968 Games. This project model was the first of its kind, a revival for the
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PERT was developed primarily to simplify the planning and scheduling of large and complex projects. It was developed for the
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cited in: Stauber, B. Ralph; Douty, Harry M.; Fazar, Willard; Jordan, Richard H.; Weinfeld, William; and Manvel, Allen D.;
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but by 1959 was renamed. It had been made public in 1958 in two publications of the U.S. Department of the Navy, entitled
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is zero since it is the first activity. Since the duration is zero, the EF is also zero. This EF is used as the ES for
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The network charts tend to be large and unwieldy, requiring several pages to print and requiring specially-sized paper.
1064:. This "activity" has a duration of zero (0). Then you draw each activity that does not have a predecessor activity ( 2177: 1828: 2285: 2280: 1737: 1332:
is 9.17. The duration (5.17 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 14.34. This EF is used as the ES for
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is four. The duration (6.33 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 10.33. This EF is used as the ES for
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is zero. The duration (4 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of four. This EF is used as the ES for
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as a predecessor activity, so an arrow is drawn connecting the activities. Likewise, an arrow is drawn from
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is 15.01 work days. The duration (6.33 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 8.68 work days.
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The lack of a timeframe on most PERT/CPM charts makes it harder to show status, although colours can help,
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is 9.17 work days. The duration (5.33 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 3.84 work days.
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is 9.17 work days. The duration (5.17 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 4 work days.
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The large amount of project data can be organized and presented in diagram for use in decision making.
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There can be potentially hundreds or thousands of activities and individual dependency relationships.
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A node like this one can be used to display the activity name, duration, ES, EF, LS, LF, and slack.
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are milestones and by definition have no duration, therefore they can have no slack (0 work days).
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is 4 work days. The duration (4 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 0 work days.
2240: 1868: 1803:, defines a procedure to react to disruptions that cannot be absorbed by the baseline schedule. 752:
is complete). Additionally, each task has three time estimates: the optimistic time estimate (
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is reduced to 15.34 work days, which is slightly less than the time of the new critical path,
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Schedule, Cost, and Profit Control with PERT - A Comprehensive Guide for Program Management
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Assuming these scenarios do not happen, the slack for each activity can now be determined.
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in this example) and connect them with an arrow from start to each node. Next, since both
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PERT facilitates identification of early start, late start, and slack for each activity.
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PERT supplies a number of tools for management with determination of concepts, such as:
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slack = LS − ES. Activities that are on the critical path have a slack of zero (0).
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can be delayed almost 4 work days without delaying the project. Likewise, activity
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The Polaris System Development: Bureaucratic and Programmatic Success in Government
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Project Management ToolBox: Tools and Techniques for the Practicing Project Manager
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is 14.34. The duration (5.17 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 19.51.
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with about 150 publications on PERT and CPM, all published between 1958 and 1968.
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is 10.33. The duration (4.5 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 14.83.
1975:; "Application of a Technique for Research and Development Program Evaluation", 1294:
is four. The duration (5.17 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 9.17.
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is zero. The duration (5.33 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 5.33.
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Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling
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is a milestone (and therefore has a duration of zero), so the EF is also 19.51.
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PERT facilitates identification of the critical path and makes this visible.
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can be delayed 4.68 work days without delaying the project (alternatively,
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PERT offers a management tool, which relies "on arrow and node diagrams of
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For the subdivision of work units in PERT another tool was developed: the
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take their pessimistic (b) times to complete instead of their expected (T
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zero (0). The EF is the ES plus the task duration (EF = ES + duration).
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as a predecessor activity, their nodes are drawn with arrows coming from
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Next step, creating network diagram by hand or by using diagram software
744:) while others cannot be done until their predecessor task is complete ( 2037: 1574:
and the critical time is 22 work days. On the other hand, if activity
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has an LF of 19.51 and an EF of 14.83, so the slack is 4.68 work days.
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has an LF of 15.01 and an EF of 10.33, so the slack is 4.68 work days.
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Kelley, James E.; Walker, Morgan R.; Sayer, John S. (February 1989).
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has an LF of 9.17 and an EF of 5.33, so the slack is 3.84 work days.
461: : the variability of the time for accomplishing an activity (σ 303:
PERT defines four types of time required to accomplish an activity:
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or nodes that indicate each completed phase of the total project."
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PERT can provide a probability of completing before a given time.
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both primarily written by Charles F. Clark. In a 1959 article in
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Besides events, PERT also tracks activities and sub-activities:
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Next step, determination of critical path and possible slack
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of the activities leading to that event have been completed.
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Malcolm, Donald G.; Roseboom, John H.; Clark, Charles E.;
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Program Evaluation Research Task, Summary Report, Phase 1.
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PERT was originally developed by Charles E. Clark for the
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Program Evaluation Research Task, Summary Report, Phase 2
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Program Evaluation Research Task, Summary Report, Phase 1
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In the following example there are seven tasks, labeled
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Ten years after the introduction of PERT, the American
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PERT network chart for a seven-month project with five
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is the minimum LS of its successor activities. Since
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is the minimum LS of its successor activities. Since
158:'s CPM was invented at roughly the same time as PERT. 1934: 1932: 1930: 1928: 1926: 1924: 483: 396: 342: 150:
of Frederick Taylor and later refined by Henry Ford (
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in 1958; it is commonly used in conjunction with the
1979:, vol. 7, no. 5, September–October 1959, pp. 646–669 1786: 1772:
PERT is not easy to scale down for smaller projects.
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A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge
2024:, Government Printing Office, Washington (DC), 1958 2009:, Government Printing Office, Washington (DC), 1958 1501:
has an LS of 3.84 work days, the LS is 0 work days.
2188: 1921: 1578:can be reduced to one work day, the path time for 1357:is the greatest EF of its predecessor activities ( 1312:is the greatest EF of its predecessor activities ( 604: 442: 381: 250:In a PERT diagram, the main building block is the 66:, which was designed to analyze and represent the 1896: 1140:. Since there are no activities that come after 702:: performing more critical activities in parallel 47:(10 through 50) and six activities (A through F). 2232: 1736:PERT chart explicitly defines and makes visible 1518:. The critical path is the path that takes the 126:increasingly to all critical path scheduling." 2093:(5th ed.). Project Management Institute. 1725: 756:), the most likely or normal time estimate ( 710:: Shortening duration of critical activities 1967: 1965: 992:Once this step is complete, one can draw a 30:"PERT" redirects here. For other uses, see 27:Statistical tool used in project management 2027: 1704:A completed network diagram created using 85:(CPM), which was also introduced in 1958. 2148: 2107: 1951: 1949: 1947: 1892: 1890: 2186: 2110:Project Management: Tools and Trade-offs 1962: 1899:"The Origins of CPM: a personal history" 1699: 1482:has an LS of 8.68 work days, the LF for 1154: 1023: 1000: 736:. Some tasks can be done concurrently ( 443:{\displaystyle TE=\sum _{i=1}^{n}te_{i}} 245: 210: 160: 38: 2126: 2055:Program Evaluation and Review Technique 1938: 18:Program Evaluation and Review Technique 14: 2233: 2167: 1944: 1887: 1782:, specific colour for completed nodes. 1104:is drawn with arrows coming from both 760:), and the pessimistic time estimate ( 382:{\displaystyle te={\frac {o+4m+p}{6}}} 2089:Project Management Institute (2013). 1957:PERT and CPM: a selected bibliography 1909:(2). Project Management Institute: 18 1697:can be delayed 2.34 work days each). 226:Maribeth Brennan compiled a selected 2071:Handbook of Business Administration, 2044:, 13(2): 9–12 (April 1959), pp. 9–12 1989:1968 Winter Olympics official report 1991:, p. 49. Accessed 1 November 2010. 1570:) times. The critical path is now 1100:as predecessor activities, so node 619: 24: 2080: 1510:The next step is to determine the 25: 2302: 2212: 1829:Critical chain project management 1787:Uncertainty in project scheduling 1716: 768:) is computed using the formula ( 714: 694:can follow a specific PERT event. 645:). Positive slack would indicate 174:Program Evaluation Research Task, 136:U.S. Navy Special Projects Office 2218: 2038:"Federal Statistical Activities" 1763: 1159:A network diagram created using 653:; and zero slack would indicate 649:; negative slack would indicate 62:) is a statistical tool used in 2060: 1124:have been completed. Activity 690:: the earliest time by which a 118:or work necessary to reach the 70:involved in completing a given 56:evaluation and review technique 2047: 2012: 2003:U.S. Department of the Navy, 1997: 1982: 1373:has an EF of 19.51, the ES of 240: 13: 1: 2261:Schedule (project management) 2256:Project management techniques 2149:Milosevic, Dragan Z. (2003). 2018:U.S. Department of the Navy, 1880: 1730: 1497:has an LS of 0 work days and 1478:has an LS of 4 work days and 1328:has an EF of 9.17, the ES of 216:PERT Guide for Management Use 2195:. Harvard University Press. 2187:Sapolsky, Harvey M. (1971). 1028:A Gantt chart created using 1005:A Gantt chart created using 7: 1806: 1514:and if any activities have 166:PERT Summary Report Phase 2 88: 10: 2307: 2168:Miller, Robert W. (1963). 1834:Float (project management) 1726:As project scheduling tool 1232:The early finish time (EF) 1226:The expected duration time 723: 459:standard deviation of time 129: 29: 2042:The American Statistician 1849:Precedence diagram method 1238:The late finish time (LF) 1229:The early start time (ES) 1191: 794: 791: 788: 785: 187:The American Statistician 172:Initially PERT stood for 2134:(10th ed.). Wiley. 1819:Arrow diagramming method 1235:The late start time (LS) 1116:cannot begin until both 1056:) and activity on node ( 1036:is highlighted, (2) the 641:) or the whole project ( 235:Work Breakdown Structure 2112:(3rd ed.). Wiley. 2108:Klastorin, Ted (2003). 1993:(in English and French) 1869:Triangular distribution 1369:has an EF of 14.83 and 764:). The expected time ( 298: 114:: arrows represent the 2286:Engineering management 2281:Management cybernetics 2067:Maynard, Harold Bright 1713: 1324:has an EF of 5.33 and 1168: 1042: 1019: 996:or a network diagram. 707:crashing critical path 680:: the time by which a 606: 566: 444: 426: 383: 219: 209: 169: 48: 1703: 1553:The critical path is 1545:The duration of path 1538:The duration of path 1531:The duration of path 1158: 1027: 1009:(MSP). Note (1) the 1004: 607: 546: 445: 406: 384: 246:Events and activities 214: 196: 164: 148:scientific management 42: 32:PERT (disambiguation) 2227:at Wikimedia Commons 1797:proactive scheduling 1674:Therefore, activity 481: 394: 340: 140:1968 Winter Olympics 83:Critical Path Method 2276:Operations research 2271:Booz Allen Hamilton 2266:Systems engineering 1977:Operations Research 1955:Brennan, Maribeth; 1801:reactive scheduling 1647:= 19.51 − 19.51 = 0 1636:= 14.34 − 14.34 = 0 1586:(15.67 work days). 1549:is 15.67 work days. 1542:is 19.51 work days. 1535:is 14.83 work days. 1013:is in red, (2) the 748:cannot begin until 2291:Management science 2251:Evaluation methods 2053:Cook, Desmond L.; 1903:Project Management 1859:Project management 1714: 1169: 1112:, signifying that 1043: 1020: 602: 600: 440: 379: 220: 170: 79:United States Navy 64:project management 49: 2223:Media related to 2160:978-0-471-20822-8 2141:978-0-470-27870-3 2119:978-0-471-41384-4 2100:978-1-935589-67-9 1824:PERT distribution 1625:= 9.17 − 9.17 = 0 1387:unforeseen events 1223:The activity name 1211: 1210: 1163:(MSP). Note the 1161:Microsoft Project 1007:Microsoft Project 990: 989: 682:predecessor event 669:critical activity 647:ahead of schedule 596: 521: 377: 292:PERT sub-activity 269:predecessor event 16:(Redirected from 2298: 2222: 2206: 2194: 2183: 2164: 2145: 2123: 2104: 2074: 2064: 2058: 2051: 2045: 2031: 2025: 2016: 2010: 2001: 1995: 1994: 1986: 1980: 1969: 1960: 1953: 1942: 1936: 1919: 1918: 1916: 1914: 1894: 1864:Project planning 1814:Activity diagram 1174: 1173: 1032:. Note (1) the 783: 782: 620:Management tools 611: 609: 608: 603: 601: 597: 595: 594: 589: 588: 587: 586: 585: 565: 560: 545: 540: 539: 526: 522: 517: 506: 501: 500: 487: 449: 447: 446: 441: 439: 438: 425: 420: 388: 386: 385: 380: 378: 373: 353: 320:most likely time 314:pessimistic time 21: 2306: 2305: 2301: 2300: 2299: 2297: 2296: 2295: 2231: 2230: 2215: 2210: 2209: 2203: 2180: 2172:. McGraw-Hill. 2161: 2142: 2128:Kerzner, Harold 2120: 2101: 2083: 2081:Further reading 2078: 2077: 2065: 2061: 2052: 2048: 2032: 2028: 2017: 2013: 2002: 1998: 1992: 1987: 1983: 1970: 1963: 1954: 1945: 1937: 1922: 1912: 1910: 1895: 1888: 1883: 1878: 1854:Project network 1809: 1789: 1766: 1733: 1728: 1719: 1706:Microsoft Visio 1646: 1642: 1635: 1631: 1624: 1620: 1613: 1609: 1569: 1508: 1217: 1216: 1215: 1212: 1206: 1198: 1186: 1178: 1092:is listed with 1050: 792:Time estimates 726: 717: 692:successor event 651:behind schedule 622: 599: 598: 590: 581: 577: 573: 569: 568: 567: 561: 550: 544: 532: 528: 524: 523: 507: 505: 493: 489: 484: 482: 479: 478: 468: 464: 434: 430: 421: 410: 395: 392: 391: 354: 352: 341: 338: 337: 308:optimistic time 301: 275:successor event 248: 243: 132: 91: 35: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 2304: 2294: 2293: 2288: 2283: 2278: 2273: 2268: 2263: 2258: 2253: 2248: 2243: 2241:Network theory 2229: 2228: 2214: 2213:External links 2211: 2208: 2207: 2201: 2184: 2178: 2165: 2159: 2146: 2140: 2124: 2118: 2105: 2099: 2085: 2084: 2082: 2079: 2076: 2075: 2059: 2046: 2026: 2011: 1996: 1981: 1973:Fazar, Willard 1961: 1943: 1920: 1885: 1884: 1882: 1879: 1877: 1876: 1871: 1866: 1861: 1856: 1851: 1846: 1841: 1836: 1831: 1826: 1821: 1816: 1810: 1808: 1805: 1788: 1785: 1784: 1783: 1776: 1773: 1770: 1765: 1762: 1761: 1760: 1757: 1754: 1751: 1748: 1745: 1732: 1729: 1727: 1724: 1718: 1717:Avoiding loops 1715: 1672: 1671: 1664: 1657: 1650: 1649: 1648: 1644: 1640: 1637: 1633: 1629: 1626: 1622: 1618: 1615: 1611: 1607: 1601: 1567: 1551: 1550: 1543: 1536: 1507: 1504: 1503: 1502: 1487: 1468: 1461: 1454: 1447: 1432: 1421: 1410: 1383: 1382: 1351: 1344: 1337: 1306: 1295: 1288: 1281: 1266: 1246: 1245: 1239: 1236: 1233: 1230: 1227: 1224: 1213: 1209: 1208: 1203: 1200: 1194: 1193: 1189: 1188: 1183: 1180: 1172: 1171: 1170: 1049: 1046: 1045: 1044: 1021: 988: 987: 984: 981: 978: 975: 970: 964: 963: 960: 957: 954: 951: 946: 940: 939: 936: 933: 930: 927: 918: 912: 911: 908: 905: 902: 899: 894: 888: 887: 884: 881: 878: 875: 870: 864: 863: 860: 857: 854: 851: 848: 842: 841: 838: 835: 832: 829: 826: 820: 819: 812: 805: 797: 796: 795:Expected time 793: 790: 787: 725: 722: 716: 715:Implementation 713: 712: 711: 703: 695: 685: 672: 666: 658: 621: 618: 617: 616: 615: 614: 613: 612: 593: 584: 580: 576: 572: 564: 559: 556: 553: 549: 543: 538: 535: 531: 527: 525: 520: 516: 513: 510: 504: 499: 496: 492: 488: 486: 471: 470: 466: 465:) or a path (σ 462: 455: 454: 453: 452: 451: 450: 437: 433: 429: 424: 419: 416: 413: 409: 405: 402: 399: 389: 376: 372: 369: 366: 363: 360: 357: 351: 348: 345: 330: 329: 323: 317: 311: 300: 297: 296: 295: 289: 279: 278: 272: 266: 247: 244: 242: 239: 131: 128: 90: 87: 26: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 2303: 2292: 2289: 2287: 2284: 2282: 2279: 2277: 2274: 2272: 2269: 2267: 2264: 2262: 2259: 2257: 2254: 2252: 2249: 2247: 2244: 2242: 2239: 2238: 2236: 2226: 2221: 2217: 2216: 2204: 2198: 2193: 2192: 2185: 2181: 2179:9780070419940 2175: 2171: 2166: 2162: 2156: 2152: 2147: 2143: 2137: 2133: 2129: 2125: 2121: 2115: 2111: 2106: 2102: 2096: 2092: 2087: 2086: 2072: 2068: 2063: 2057:, 1966, p. 12 2056: 2050: 2043: 2039: 2035: 2034:Willard Fazar 2030: 2023: 2022: 2015: 2008: 2007: 2000: 1990: 1985: 1978: 1974: 1968: 1966: 1958: 1952: 1950: 1948: 1940: 1935: 1933: 1931: 1929: 1927: 1925: 1908: 1904: 1900: 1893: 1891: 1886: 1875: 1872: 1870: 1867: 1865: 1862: 1860: 1857: 1855: 1852: 1850: 1847: 1845: 1842: 1840: 1837: 1835: 1832: 1830: 1827: 1825: 1822: 1820: 1817: 1815: 1812: 1811: 1804: 1802: 1798: 1793: 1781: 1777: 1774: 1771: 1768: 1767: 1764:Disadvantages 1758: 1755: 1752: 1749: 1746: 1743: 1739: 1735: 1734: 1723: 1711: 1710:critical path 1707: 1702: 1698: 1696: 1692: 1688: 1684: 1681: 1677: 1669: 1665: 1662: 1658: 1655: 1651: 1638: 1627: 1616: 1605: 1604: 1602: 1599: 1595: 1592: 1591: 1590: 1587: 1585: 1581: 1577: 1573: 1565: 1561: 1556: 1548: 1544: 1541: 1537: 1534: 1530: 1529: 1528: 1526: 1521: 1517: 1513: 1512:critical path 1500: 1496: 1492: 1488: 1485: 1481: 1477: 1473: 1469: 1466: 1462: 1459: 1455: 1452: 1448: 1445: 1441: 1437: 1433: 1430: 1426: 1422: 1419: 1415: 1411: 1408: 1404: 1400: 1396: 1395: 1394: 1392: 1388: 1380: 1376: 1372: 1368: 1364: 1360: 1356: 1352: 1349: 1345: 1342: 1338: 1335: 1331: 1327: 1323: 1319: 1315: 1311: 1307: 1304: 1300: 1296: 1293: 1289: 1286: 1282: 1279: 1275: 1271: 1267: 1264: 1260: 1256: 1252: 1251: 1250: 1244: 1240: 1237: 1234: 1231: 1228: 1225: 1222: 1221: 1220: 1204: 1201: 1196: 1195: 1190: 1184: 1181: 1176: 1175: 1166: 1165:critical path 1162: 1157: 1153: 1151: 1147: 1143: 1139: 1135: 1131: 1127: 1123: 1119: 1115: 1111: 1107: 1103: 1099: 1095: 1091: 1087: 1083: 1079: 1075: 1071: 1067: 1063: 1059: 1055: 1039: 1035: 1034:critical path 1031: 1026: 1022: 1016: 1012: 1011:critical path 1008: 1003: 999: 998: 997: 995: 985: 982: 979: 976: 974: 971: 969: 966: 965: 961: 958: 955: 952: 950: 947: 945: 942: 941: 937: 934: 931: 928: 926: 922: 919: 917: 914: 913: 909: 906: 903: 900: 898: 895: 893: 890: 889: 885: 882: 879: 876: 874: 871: 869: 866: 865: 861: 858: 855: 852: 849: 847: 844: 843: 839: 836: 833: 830: 827: 825: 822: 821: 817: 813: 810: 806: 803: 799: 798: 784: 781: 779: 775: 771: 767: 763: 759: 755: 751: 747: 743: 739: 735: 731: 721: 709: 708: 704: 701: 700: 699:fast tracking 696: 693: 689: 686: 683: 679: 677: 673: 670: 667: 664: 663: 662:critical path 659: 656: 652: 648: 644: 640: 636: 635: 631: 627: 626: 625: 591: 582: 578: 574: 570: 562: 557: 554: 551: 547: 541: 536: 533: 529: 518: 514: 511: 508: 502: 497: 494: 490: 477: 476: 475: 474: 473: 472: 460: 457: 456: 435: 431: 427: 422: 417: 414: 411: 407: 403: 400: 397: 390: 374: 370: 367: 364: 361: 358: 355: 349: 346: 343: 336: 335: 334: 333: 332: 331: 327: 326:expected time 324: 321: 318: 315: 312: 309: 306: 305: 304: 293: 290: 287: 286:PERT activity 284: 283: 282: 276: 273: 270: 267: 264: 260: 257: 256: 255: 253: 238: 236: 231: 229: 225: 217: 213: 208: 206: 201: 195: 193: 192:Willard Fazar 189: 188: 183: 179: 175: 167: 163: 159: 157: 153: 149: 145: 141: 137: 127: 123: 121: 117: 113: 109: 104: 102: 97: 86: 84: 80: 75: 73: 69: 65: 61: 57: 54: 46: 41: 37: 33: 19: 2190: 2169: 2150: 2131: 2109: 2090: 2070: 2062: 2054: 2049: 2041: 2029: 2020: 2014: 2005: 1999: 1984: 1976: 1956: 1939:Kerzner 2009 1911:. Retrieved 1906: 1902: 1800: 1796: 1794: 1790: 1779: 1738:dependencies 1720: 1708:. Note the 1694: 1690: 1686: 1682: 1679: 1675: 1673: 1667: 1660: 1653: 1597: 1593: 1588: 1583: 1579: 1575: 1571: 1563: 1559: 1554: 1552: 1546: 1539: 1532: 1524: 1519: 1509: 1498: 1494: 1490: 1483: 1479: 1475: 1471: 1464: 1457: 1450: 1443: 1439: 1435: 1428: 1424: 1417: 1413: 1406: 1402: 1398: 1385:Barring any 1384: 1378: 1374: 1370: 1366: 1362: 1358: 1354: 1347: 1340: 1333: 1329: 1325: 1321: 1317: 1313: 1309: 1302: 1298: 1291: 1284: 1277: 1273: 1269: 1262: 1258: 1254: 1247: 1218: 1149: 1145: 1141: 1137: 1133: 1129: 1125: 1121: 1117: 1113: 1109: 1105: 1101: 1097: 1093: 1089: 1088:. Activity 1085: 1081: 1077: 1073: 1069: 1065: 1061: 1051: 991: 972: 967: 948: 943: 924: 920: 915: 896: 891: 872: 867: 845: 823: 815: 808: 801: 789:Predecessor 777: 773: 769: 765: 761: 757: 753: 749: 745: 741: 737: 733: 729: 727: 718: 705: 697: 691: 687: 681: 674: 668: 660: 654: 650: 646: 642: 638: 628: 623: 458: 325: 319: 313: 307: 302: 291: 285: 280: 274: 268: 262: 258: 251: 249: 232: 228:bibliography 221: 215: 197: 185: 181: 177: 173: 171: 165: 133: 124: 119: 115: 111: 107: 105: 94:details and 92: 76: 59: 55: 52: 50: 36: 2225:PERT charts 2073:1967, p. 17 1839:Gantt chart 1744:) elements. 1614:= 4 − 4 = 0 1489:The LF for 1470:The LF for 1463:The LF for 1456:The LF for 1449:The LF for 1434:The LF for 1423:The LF for 1412:The LF for 1397:The LF for 1377:is 19.51. 1353:The ES for 1346:The ES for 1339:The ES for 1308:The ES for 1297:The ES for 1290:The ES for 1283:The ES for 1268:The ES for 1253:The ES for 994:Gantt chart 655:on schedule 643:total float 241:Terminology 218:, June 1963 2235:Categories 2202:0674682254 1881:References 1731:Advantages 1712:is in red. 1365:). Since 1320:). Since 1192:Task Name 1167:is in red. 639:free float 259:PERT event 116:activities 108:activities 103:projects. 45:milestones 2153:. Wiley. 1685:activity 1666:Activity 1659:Activity 1652:Activity 1182:Duration 786:Activity 571:σ 548:∑ 530:σ 512:− 491:σ 408:∑ 224:librarian 205:scheduled 200:estimates 96:durations 2246:Diagrams 2130:(2009). 1913:20 March 1807:See also 1041:weekend. 1030:OmniPlan 1018:weekend. 807:Normal ( 732:through 688:lag time 182:Phase 2. 144:Grenoble 89:Overview 53:program 1874:PRINCE2 1520:longest 1207:finish 1187:finish 814:Pess. ( 780:) ÷ 6. 724:Example 152:Fordism 130:History 101:R&D 72:project 2199:  2176:  2157:  2138:  2116:  2097:  1598:finish 1399:finish 1379:Finish 1375:finish 1355:finish 1202:Slack 1199:Start 1179:Start 1150:finish 800:Opt. ( 168:, 1958 156:DuPont 120:events 112:events 1594:Start 1516:slack 1491:start 1391:slack 1255:start 1243:slack 1185:Early 1177:Early 1080:list 1062:start 1038:slack 1015:slack 986:5.17 962:4.50 938:5.17 910:6.33 886:5.17 862:5.33 840:4.00 634:slack 630:float 252:event 68:tasks 2197:ISBN 2174:ISBN 2155:ISBN 2136:ISBN 2114:ISBN 2095:ISBN 1915:2024 1844:GERT 1780:e.g. 1693:and 1643:– EF 1632:– EF 1621:– EF 1610:– EF 1596:and 1580:aceg 1562:and 1555:aceg 1540:aceg 1442:and 1405:and 1361:and 1316:and 1276:and 1261:and 1241:The 1205:Late 1197:Late 1128:has 1120:and 1108:and 1096:and 1076:and 1068:and 740:and 678:time 676:lead 299:Time 180:and 110:and 60:PERT 51:The 1742:WBS 1584:beg 1572:adf 1547:beg 1533:adf 1144:or 1136:to 1058:AON 1054:AOA 907:10 772:+ 4 632:or 263:all 154:). 142:in 2237:: 2069:, 2040:, 1964:^ 1946:^ 1923:^ 1905:. 1901:. 1889:^ 1683:or 1639:LF 1628:LF 1617:LF 1606:LF 1525:or 1152:. 983:8 980:5 977:3 959:8 956:4 953:3 935:7 932:5 929:4 923:, 904:6 901:4 883:7 880:5 877:4 859:9 856:5 853:3 850:— 837:6 834:4 831:2 828:— 818:) 811:) 804:) 776:+ 766:te 467:TE 463:te 190:, 74:. 2205:. 2182:. 2163:. 2144:. 2122:. 2103:. 1941:. 1917:. 1907:3 1695:f 1691:d 1687:f 1680:d 1676:b 1668:f 1661:d 1654:b 1645:g 1641:g 1634:e 1630:e 1623:c 1619:c 1612:a 1608:a 1576:c 1568:E 1564:f 1560:d 1499:b 1495:a 1484:a 1480:d 1476:c 1472:a 1465:b 1458:c 1451:d 1446:. 1444:c 1440:b 1436:e 1431:. 1429:d 1425:f 1420:. 1418:e 1414:g 1409:. 1407:g 1403:f 1371:g 1367:f 1363:g 1359:f 1348:g 1341:f 1336:. 1334:g 1330:e 1326:c 1322:b 1318:c 1314:b 1310:e 1305:. 1303:f 1299:d 1292:c 1285:b 1280:. 1278:d 1274:c 1270:a 1265:. 1263:b 1259:a 1146:g 1142:f 1138:g 1134:e 1130:d 1126:f 1122:c 1118:b 1114:e 1110:c 1106:b 1102:e 1098:c 1094:b 1090:e 1086:a 1082:a 1078:d 1074:c 1070:b 1066:a 973:E 968:G 949:D 944:F 925:C 921:B 916:E 897:A 892:D 873:A 868:C 846:B 824:A 816:p 809:m 802:o 778:p 774:m 770:o 762:p 758:m 754:o 750:A 746:C 742:B 738:A 734:G 730:A 657:. 592:2 583:i 579:e 575:t 563:n 558:1 555:= 552:i 542:= 537:E 534:T 519:6 515:o 509:p 503:= 498:e 495:t 469:) 436:i 432:e 428:t 423:n 418:1 415:= 412:i 404:= 401:E 398:T 375:6 371:p 368:+ 365:m 362:4 359:+ 356:o 350:= 347:e 344:t 58:( 34:. 20:)

Index

Program Evaluation and Review Technique
PERT (disambiguation)

milestones
project management
tasks
project
United States Navy
Critical Path Method
durations
R&D
U.S. Navy Special Projects Office
1968 Winter Olympics
Grenoble
scientific management
Fordism
DuPont

The American Statistician
Willard Fazar
estimates
scheduled

librarian
bibliography
Work Breakdown Structure
float
slack
critical path
lead

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