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Program evaluation and review technique

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201: 151: 29: 2209: 283:: a PERT activity can be further decomposed into a set of sub-activities. For example, activity A1 can be decomposed into A1.1, A1.2 and A1.3. Sub-activities have all the properties of activities; in particular, a sub-activity has predecessor or successor events just like an activity. A sub-activity can be decomposed again into finer-grained sub-activities. 317:: the best estimate of the time required to accomplish an activity (te) or a path (TE), accounting for the fact that things don't always proceed as normal (the implication being that the expected time is the average time the task would require if the task were repeated on a number of occasions over an extended period of time). 277:: the actual performance of a task which consumes time and requires resources (such as labor, materials, space, machinery). It can be understood as representing the time, effort, and resources required to move from one event to another. A PERT activity cannot be performed until the predecessor event has occurred. 1711:
upon completion of the process, a far simpler mechanism involves computing the total of all activity durations. If an EF of more than the total is found, the computation should be terminated. It is worth saving the identities of the most recently visited dozen or so nodes to help identify the problem link.
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Depending upon the capabilities of the data input phase of the critical path algorithm, it may be possible to create a loop, such as A -> B -> C -> A. This can cause simple algorithms to loop indefinitely. Although it is possible to "mark" nodes that have been visited, then clear the "marks"
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In order to determine this information it is assumed that the activities and normal duration times are given. The first step is to determine the ES and EF. The ES is defined as the maximum EF of all predecessor activities, unless the activity in question is the first activity, for which the ES is
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others (there are two areas that need to be graded, but there are only enough bulldozers to do one). Additionally, the time estimates usually reflect the normal, non-rushed time. Many times, the time required to execute the task can be reduced for an additional cost or a reduction in the quality.
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During project execution a real-life project will never execute exactly as it was planned due to uncertainty. This can be due to ambiguity resulting from subjective estimates that are prone to human errors or can be the result of variability arising from unexpected events or risks. The main reason
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of time and range of time necessary to complete each activity between two successive events. Such time expectations include estimates of "most likely time", "optimistic time", and "pessimistic time" for each activity. The technique is a management control tool that sizes up the outlook for meeting
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PERT is a method of analyzing the tasks involved in completing a project, especially the time needed to complete each task, and to identify the minimum time needed to complete the total project. It incorporates uncertainty by making it possible to schedule a project while not knowing precisely the
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The first step for scheduling the project is to determine the tasks that the project requires and the order in which they must be completed. The order may be easy to record for some tasks (e.g., when building a house, the land must be graded before the foundation can be laid) while difficult for
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PERT and CPM are complementary tools, because "CPM employs one time estimation and one cost estimation for each activity; PERT may utilize three time estimates (optimistic, expected, and pessimistic) and no costs for each activity. Although these are distinct differences, the term PERT is applied
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is not specifically indicated on task 5 (d), though it can be observed on tasks 3 and 7 (b and f), (3) since weekends are indicated by a thin vertical line, and take up no additional space on the work calendar, bars on the Gantt chart are not longer or shorter when they do or don't carry over a
599: 654:: the longest possible continuous pathway taken from the initial event to the terminal event. It determines the total calendar time required for the project; and, therefore, any time delays along the critical path will delay the reaching of the terminal event by at least the same amount. 87:
of all the activities. It is more event-oriented than start- and completion-oriented, and is used more for projects where time is the major constraint rather than cost. It is applied to very large-scale, one-time, complex, non-routine infrastructure projects, as well as
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objectives on time; highlights danger signals requiring management decisions; reveals and defines both methodicalness and slack in the flow plan or the network of sequential activities that must be performed to meet objectives; compares current expectations with
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to complete. To determine the path times, add the task durations for all available paths. Activities that have slack can be delayed without changing the overall time of the project. Slack is computed in one of two ways, slack = LF − EF
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and the critical time is 19.51 work days. It is important to note that there can be more than one critical path (in a project more complex than this example) or that the critical path can change. For example, let's say that activities
469: 250:: a point that marks the start or completion of one or more activities. It consumes no time and uses no resources. When it marks the completion of one or more activities, it is not "reached" (does not occur) until 1006:
is the black lines connected to non-critical activities, (3) since Saturday and Sunday are not work days and are thus excluded from the schedule, some bars on the Gantt chart are longer if they cut through a
1382:. The LF is defined as the minimum LS of all successor activities, unless the activity is the last activity, for which the LF equals the EF. The LS is the LF minus the task duration (LS = LF − duration). 1378:, the project should take 19.51 work days to complete. The next step is to determine the late start (LS) and late finish (LF) of each activity. This will eventually show if there are activities that have 1690: 474: 187:
Through an electronic computer, the PERT technique processes data representing the major, finite accomplishments (events) essential to achieve end-objectives; the inter-dependence of those events; and
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By itself, the network diagram pictured above does not give much more information than a Gantt chart; however, it can be expanded to display more information. The most common information shown is:
226:. The Work Breakdown Structure provides "a framework for complete networking, the Work Breakdown Structure was formally introduced as the first item of analysis in carrying out basic PERT/CPM." 1781:
that PERT may provide inaccurate information about the project completion time is due to this schedule uncertainty. This inaccuracy may be large enough to render such estimates as not helpful.
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is a measure of the excess time and resources available to complete a task. It is the amount of time that a project task can be delayed without causing a delay in any subsequent tasks (
260:: an event that immediately precedes some other event without any other events intervening. An event can have multiple predecessor events and can be the predecessor of multiple events. 437: 376: 266:: an event that immediately follows some other event without any other intervening events. An event can have multiple successor events and can be the successor of multiple events. 1390:
is equal to the EF (19.51 work days) since it is the last activity in the project. Since the duration is zero, the LS is also 19.51 work days. This will be used as the LF for
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PERT provides for potentially reduced project duration due to better understanding of dependencies leading to improved overlapping of activities and tasks where feasible.
1049:). Activity on node diagrams are generally easier to create and interpret. To create an AON diagram, it is recommended (but not required) to start with a node named 660:: An activity that has total float equal to zero. An activity with zero free float is not necessarily on the critical path since its path may not be the longest. 1592:
The activities on the critical path by definition have a slack of zero; however, it is always a good idea to check the math anyway when drawing by hand.
1788:, however, allowing for every possible disruption would be very slow and couldn't be accommodated by the baseline schedule. A second approach, termed 183:, Head of the Program Evaluation Branch, Special Projects Office, U.S. Navy, gave a detailed description of the main concepts of PERT. He explained: 305:: the maximum possible time required to accomplish an activity (p) or a path (P), assuming everything goes wrong (but excluding major catastrophes). 594:{\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}&\sigma _{te}={\frac {p-o}{6}}\\&\sigma _{TE}={\sqrt {\sum _{i=1}^{n}{\sigma _{te_{i}}}^{2}}}\end{aligned}}} 1784:
One possible method to maximize solution robustness is to include safety in the baseline schedule in order to absorb disruptions. This is called
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is 19.51 work days. The duration (5.17 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 14.34 work days. This will be used as the LF for
299:: the minimum possible time required to accomplish an activity (o) or a path (O), assuming everything proceeds better than is normally expected 1427:
is 14.34 work days. The duration (5.17 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 9.17 work days. This will be used as the LF for
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is 19.51 work days. The duration (4.5 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 15.01 work days. This will be used as the LF for
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completion dates and computes the probability for meeting scheduled dates; and simulates the effects of options for decision— before decision.
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must be completed in order to allow sufficient time for the activities that must elapse before a specific PERT event reaches completion.
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A network diagram can be created by hand or by using diagram software. There are two types of network diagrams, activity on arrow (
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to support the U.S. Navy's Polaris nuclear submarine project. It found applications throughout industry. An early example is the
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which used PERT from 1965 until the opening of the 1968 Games. This project model was the first of its kind, a revival for the
2147: 2128: 2106: 2087: 311:: the best estimate of the time required to accomplish an activity (m) or a path (M), assuming everything proceeds as normal. 123:
PERT was developed primarily to simplify the planning and scheduling of large and complex projects. It was developed for the
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cited in: Stauber, B. Ralph; Douty, Harry M.; Fazar, Willard; Jordan, Richard H.; Weinfeld, William; and Manvel, Allen D.;
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but by 1959 was renamed. It had been made public in 1958 in two publications of the U.S. Department of the Navy, entitled
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is zero since it is the first activity. Since the duration is zero, the EF is also zero. This EF is used as the ES for
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The network charts tend to be large and unwieldy, requiring several pages to print and requiring specially-sized paper.
1053:. This "activity" has a duration of zero (0). Then you draw each activity that does not have a predecessor activity ( 2166: 1817: 2274: 2269: 1726: 1321:
is 9.17. The duration (5.17 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 14.34. This EF is used as the ES for
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is four. The duration (6.33 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 10.33. This EF is used as the ES for
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is zero. The duration (4 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of four. This EF is used as the ES for
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as a predecessor activity, so an arrow is drawn connecting the activities. Likewise, an arrow is drawn from
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is 15.01 work days. The duration (6.33 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 8.68 work days.
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The lack of a timeframe on most PERT/CPM charts makes it harder to show status, although colours can help,
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is 9.17 work days. The duration (5.33 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 3.84 work days.
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is 9.17 work days. The duration (5.17 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 4 work days.
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The large amount of project data can be organized and presented in diagram for use in decision making.
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There can be potentially hundreds or thousands of activities and individual dependency relationships.
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A node like this one can be used to display the activity name, duration, ES, EF, LS, LF, and slack.
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are milestones and by definition have no duration, therefore they can have no slack (0 work days).
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is 4 work days. The duration (4 work days) is subtracted from the LF to get an LS of 0 work days.
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is complete). Additionally, each task has three time estimates: the optimistic time estimate (
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is reduced to 15.34 work days, which is slightly less than the time of the new critical path,
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Schedule, Cost, and Profit Control with PERT - A Comprehensive Guide for Program Management
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Assuming these scenarios do not happen, the slack for each activity can now be determined.
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in this example) and connect them with an arrow from start to each node. Next, since both
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PERT facilitates identification of early start, late start, and slack for each activity.
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PERT supplies a number of tools for management with determination of concepts, such as:
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slack = LS − ES. Activities that are on the critical path have a slack of zero (0).
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can be delayed almost 4 work days without delaying the project. Likewise, activity
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The Polaris System Development: Bureaucratic and Programmatic Success in Government
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Project Management ToolBox: Tools and Techniques for the Practicing Project Manager
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is 14.34. The duration (5.17 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 19.51.
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with about 150 publications on PERT and CPM, all published between 1958 and 1968.
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is 10.33. The duration (4.5 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 14.83.
1964:; "Application of a Technique for Research and Development Program Evaluation", 1283:
is four. The duration (5.17 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 9.17.
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is zero. The duration (5.33 work days) is added to the ES to get an EF of 5.33.
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Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling
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is a milestone (and therefore has a duration of zero), so the EF is also 19.51.
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PERT facilitates identification of the critical path and makes this visible.
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can be delayed 4.68 work days without delaying the project (alternatively,
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PERT offers a management tool, which relies "on arrow and node diagrams of
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For the subdivision of work units in PERT another tool was developed: the
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take their pessimistic (b) times to complete instead of their expected (T
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zero (0). The EF is the ES plus the task duration (EF = ES + duration).
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as a predecessor activity, their nodes are drawn with arrows coming from
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Next step, creating network diagram by hand or by using diagram software
733:) while others cannot be done until their predecessor task is complete ( 2026: 1563:
and the critical time is 22 work days. On the other hand, if activity
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has an LF of 19.51 and an EF of 14.83, so the slack is 4.68 work days.
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has an LF of 15.01 and an EF of 10.33, so the slack is 4.68 work days.
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Kelley, James E.; Walker, Morgan R.; Sayer, John S. (February 1989).
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has an LF of 9.17 and an EF of 5.33, so the slack is 3.84 work days.
450: : the variability of the time for accomplishing an activity (σ 292:
PERT defines four types of time required to accomplish an activity:
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or nodes that indicate each completed phase of the total project."
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PERT can provide a probability of completing before a given time.
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both primarily written by Charles F. Clark. In a 1959 article in
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Besides events, PERT also tracks activities and sub-activities:
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Next step, determination of critical path and possible slack
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of the activities leading to that event have been completed.
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Malcolm, Donald G.; Roseboom, John H.; Clark, Charles E.;
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Program Evaluation Research Task, Summary Report, Phase 1.
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PERT was originally developed by Charles E. Clark for the
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Program Evaluation Research Task, Summary Report, Phase 2
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Program Evaluation Research Task, Summary Report, Phase 1
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In the following example there are seven tasks, labeled
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Ten years after the introduction of PERT, the American
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PERT network chart for a seven-month project with five
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is the minimum LS of its successor activities. Since
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is the minimum LS of its successor activities. Since
147:'s CPM was invented at roughly the same time as PERT. 1923: 1921: 1919: 1917: 1915: 1913: 472: 385: 331: 139:
of Frederick Taylor and later refined by Henry Ford (
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in 1958; it is commonly used in conjunction with the
1968:, vol. 7, no. 5, September–October 1959, pp. 646–669 1775: 1761:
PERT is not easy to scale down for smaller projects.
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A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge
2013:, Government Printing Office, Washington (DC), 1958 1998:, Government Printing Office, Washington (DC), 1958 1490:
has an LS of 3.84 work days, the LS is 0 work days.
2177: 1910: 1567:can be reduced to one work day, the path time for 1346:is the greatest EF of its predecessor activities ( 1301:is the greatest EF of its predecessor activities ( 593: 431: 370: 239:In a PERT diagram, the main building block is the 55:, which was designed to analyze and represent the 1885: 1129:. Since there are no activities that come after 691:: performing more critical activities in parallel 36:(10 through 50) and six activities (A through F). 2221: 1725:PERT chart explicitly defines and makes visible 1507:. The critical path is the path that takes the 115:increasingly to all critical path scheduling." 2082:(5th ed.). Project Management Institute. 1714: 745:), the most likely or normal time estimate ( 699:: Shortening duration of critical activities 1956: 1954: 981:Once this step is complete, one can draw a 19:"PERT" redirects here. For other uses, see 16:Statistical tool used in project management 2016: 1693:A completed network diagram created using 74:(CPM), which was also introduced in 1958. 2137: 2096: 1940: 1938: 1936: 1881: 1879: 2175: 2099:Project Management: Tools and Trade-offs 1951: 1888:"The Origins of CPM: a personal history" 1688: 1471:has an LS of 8.68 work days, the LF for 1143: 1012: 989: 725:. Some tasks can be done concurrently ( 432:{\displaystyle TE=\sum _{i=1}^{n}te_{i}} 234: 199: 149: 27: 2115: 2044:Program Evaluation and Review Technique 1927: 2222: 2156: 1933: 1876: 1771:, specific colour for completed nodes. 1093:is drawn with arrows coming from both 749:), and the pessimistic time estimate ( 371:{\displaystyle te={\frac {o+4m+p}{6}}} 2078:Project Management Institute (2013). 1946:PERT and CPM: a selected bibliography 1898:(2). Project Management Institute: 18 1686:can be delayed 2.34 work days each). 215:Maribeth Brennan compiled a selected 2060:Handbook of Business Administration, 2033:, 13(2): 9–12 (April 1959), pp. 9–12 1978:1968 Winter Olympics official report 1980:, p. 49. Accessed 1 November 2010. 1559:) times. The critical path is now 1089:as predecessor activities, so node 608: 13: 2069: 1499:The next step is to determine the 14: 2291: 2201: 1818:Critical chain project management 1776:Uncertainty in project scheduling 1705: 757:) is computed using the formula ( 703: 683:can follow a specific PERT event. 634:). Positive slack would indicate 163:Program Evaluation Research Task, 125:U.S. Navy Special Projects Office 2207: 2027:"Federal Statistical Activities" 1752: 1148:A network diagram created using 642:; and zero slack would indicate 638:; negative slack would indicate 51:) is a statistical tool used in 2049: 1113:have been completed. Activity 679:: the earliest time by which a 107:or work necessary to reach the 59:involved in completing a given 45:evaluation and review technique 2036: 2001: 1992:U.S. Department of the Navy, 1986: 1971: 1362:has an EF of 19.51, the ES of 229: 1: 2250:Schedule (project management) 2245:Project management techniques 2138:Milosevic, Dragan Z. (2003). 2007:U.S. Department of the Navy, 1869: 1719: 1486:has an LS of 0 work days and 1467:has an LS of 4 work days and 1317:has an EF of 9.17, the ES of 205:PERT Guide for Management Use 2184:. Harvard University Press. 2176:Sapolsky, Harvey M. (1971). 1017:A Gantt chart created using 994:A Gantt chart created using 7: 1795: 1503:and if any activities have 155:PERT Summary Report Phase 2 77: 10: 2296: 2157:Miller, Robert W. (1963). 1823:Float (project management) 1715:As project scheduling tool 1221:The early finish time (EF) 1215:The expected duration time 712: 448:standard deviation of time 118: 18: 2031:The American Statistician 1838:Precedence diagram method 1227:The late finish time (LF) 1218:The early start time (ES) 1180: 783: 780: 777: 774: 176:The American Statistician 161:Initially PERT stood for 2123:(10th ed.). Wiley. 1808:Arrow diagramming method 1224:The late start time (LS) 1105:cannot begin until both 1045:) and activity on node ( 1025:is highlighted, (2) the 630:) or the whole project ( 224:Work Breakdown Structure 2101:(3rd ed.). Wiley. 2097:Klastorin, Ted (2003). 1982:(in English and French) 1858:Triangular distribution 1358:has an EF of 14.83 and 753:). The expected time ( 287: 103:: arrows represent the 2275:Engineering management 2270:Management cybernetics 2056:Maynard, Harold Bright 1702: 1313:has an EF of 5.33 and 1157: 1031: 1008: 985:or a network diagram. 696:crashing critical path 669:: the time by which a 595: 555: 433: 415: 372: 208: 198: 158: 37: 1692: 1542:The critical path is 1534:The duration of path 1527:The duration of path 1520:The duration of path 1147: 1016: 998:(MSP). Note (1) the 993: 596: 535: 434: 395: 373: 235:Events and activities 203: 185: 153: 137:scientific management 31: 21:PERT (disambiguation) 2216:at Wikimedia Commons 1786:proactive scheduling 1663:Therefore, activity 470: 383: 329: 129:1968 Winter Olympics 72:Critical Path Method 2265:Operations research 2260:Booz Allen Hamilton 2255:Systems engineering 1966:Operations Research 1944:Brennan, Maribeth; 1790:reactive scheduling 1636:= 19.51 − 19.51 = 0 1625:= 14.34 − 14.34 = 0 1575:(15.67 work days). 1538:is 15.67 work days. 1531:is 19.51 work days. 1524:is 14.83 work days. 1002:is in red, (2) the 737:cannot begin until 2280:Management science 2240:Evaluation methods 2042:Cook, Desmond L.; 1892:Project Management 1848:Project management 1703: 1158: 1101:, signifying that 1032: 1009: 591: 589: 429: 368: 209: 159: 68:United States Navy 53:project management 38: 2212:Media related to 2149:978-0-471-20822-8 2130:978-0-470-27870-3 2108:978-0-471-41384-4 2089:978-1-935589-67-9 1813:PERT distribution 1614:= 9.17 − 9.17 = 0 1376:unforeseen events 1212:The activity name 1200: 1199: 1152:(MSP). Note the 1150:Microsoft Project 996:Microsoft Project 979: 978: 671:predecessor event 658:critical activity 636:ahead of schedule 585: 510: 366: 281:PERT sub-activity 258:predecessor event 2287: 2211: 2195: 2183: 2172: 2153: 2134: 2112: 2093: 2063: 2053: 2047: 2040: 2034: 2020: 2014: 2005: 1999: 1990: 1984: 1983: 1975: 1969: 1958: 1949: 1942: 1931: 1925: 1908: 1907: 1905: 1903: 1883: 1853:Project planning 1803:Activity diagram 1163: 1162: 1021:. Note (1) the 772: 771: 609:Management tools 600: 598: 597: 592: 590: 586: 584: 583: 578: 577: 576: 575: 574: 554: 549: 534: 529: 528: 515: 511: 506: 495: 490: 489: 476: 438: 436: 435: 430: 428: 427: 414: 409: 377: 375: 374: 369: 367: 362: 342: 309:most likely time 303:pessimistic time 2295: 2294: 2290: 2289: 2288: 2286: 2285: 2284: 2220: 2219: 2204: 2199: 2198: 2192: 2169: 2161:. McGraw-Hill. 2150: 2131: 2117:Kerzner, Harold 2109: 2090: 2072: 2070:Further reading 2067: 2066: 2054: 2050: 2041: 2037: 2021: 2017: 2006: 2002: 1991: 1987: 1981: 1976: 1972: 1959: 1952: 1943: 1934: 1926: 1911: 1901: 1899: 1884: 1877: 1872: 1867: 1843:Project network 1798: 1778: 1755: 1722: 1717: 1708: 1695:Microsoft Visio 1635: 1631: 1624: 1620: 1613: 1609: 1602: 1598: 1558: 1497: 1206: 1205: 1204: 1201: 1195: 1187: 1175: 1167: 1081:is listed with 1039: 781:Time estimates 715: 706: 681:successor event 640:behind schedule 611: 588: 587: 579: 570: 566: 562: 558: 557: 556: 550: 539: 533: 521: 517: 513: 512: 496: 494: 482: 478: 473: 471: 468: 467: 457: 453: 423: 419: 410: 399: 384: 381: 380: 343: 341: 330: 327: 326: 297:optimistic time 290: 264:successor event 237: 232: 121: 80: 24: 17: 12: 11: 5: 2293: 2283: 2282: 2277: 2272: 2267: 2262: 2257: 2252: 2247: 2242: 2237: 2232: 2230:Network theory 2218: 2217: 2203: 2202:External links 2200: 2197: 2196: 2190: 2173: 2167: 2154: 2148: 2135: 2129: 2113: 2107: 2094: 2088: 2074: 2073: 2071: 2068: 2065: 2064: 2048: 2035: 2015: 2000: 1985: 1970: 1962:Fazar, Willard 1950: 1932: 1909: 1874: 1873: 1871: 1868: 1866: 1865: 1860: 1855: 1850: 1845: 1840: 1835: 1830: 1825: 1820: 1815: 1810: 1805: 1799: 1797: 1794: 1777: 1774: 1773: 1772: 1765: 1762: 1759: 1754: 1751: 1750: 1749: 1746: 1743: 1740: 1737: 1734: 1721: 1718: 1716: 1713: 1707: 1706:Avoiding loops 1704: 1661: 1660: 1653: 1646: 1639: 1638: 1637: 1633: 1629: 1626: 1622: 1618: 1615: 1611: 1607: 1604: 1600: 1596: 1590: 1556: 1540: 1539: 1532: 1525: 1496: 1493: 1492: 1491: 1476: 1457: 1450: 1443: 1436: 1421: 1410: 1399: 1372: 1371: 1340: 1333: 1326: 1295: 1284: 1277: 1270: 1255: 1235: 1234: 1228: 1225: 1222: 1219: 1216: 1213: 1202: 1198: 1197: 1192: 1189: 1183: 1182: 1178: 1177: 1172: 1169: 1161: 1160: 1159: 1038: 1035: 1034: 1033: 1010: 977: 976: 973: 970: 967: 964: 959: 953: 952: 949: 946: 943: 940: 935: 929: 928: 925: 922: 919: 916: 907: 901: 900: 897: 894: 891: 888: 883: 877: 876: 873: 870: 867: 864: 859: 853: 852: 849: 846: 843: 840: 837: 831: 830: 827: 824: 821: 818: 815: 809: 808: 801: 794: 786: 785: 784:Expected time 782: 779: 776: 714: 711: 705: 704:Implementation 702: 701: 700: 692: 684: 674: 661: 655: 647: 610: 607: 606: 605: 604: 603: 602: 601: 582: 573: 569: 565: 561: 553: 548: 545: 542: 538: 532: 527: 524: 520: 516: 514: 509: 505: 502: 499: 493: 488: 485: 481: 477: 475: 460: 459: 455: 454:) or a path (σ 451: 444: 443: 442: 441: 440: 439: 426: 422: 418: 413: 408: 405: 402: 398: 394: 391: 388: 378: 365: 361: 358: 355: 352: 349: 346: 340: 337: 334: 319: 318: 312: 306: 300: 289: 286: 285: 284: 278: 268: 267: 261: 255: 236: 233: 231: 228: 120: 117: 79: 76: 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 2292: 2281: 2278: 2276: 2273: 2271: 2268: 2266: 2263: 2261: 2258: 2256: 2253: 2251: 2248: 2246: 2243: 2241: 2238: 2236: 2233: 2231: 2228: 2227: 2225: 2215: 2210: 2206: 2205: 2193: 2187: 2182: 2181: 2174: 2170: 2168:9780070419940 2164: 2160: 2155: 2151: 2145: 2141: 2136: 2132: 2126: 2122: 2118: 2114: 2110: 2104: 2100: 2095: 2091: 2085: 2081: 2076: 2075: 2061: 2057: 2052: 2046:, 1966, p. 12 2045: 2039: 2032: 2028: 2024: 2023:Willard Fazar 2019: 2012: 2011: 2004: 1997: 1996: 1989: 1979: 1974: 1967: 1963: 1957: 1955: 1947: 1941: 1939: 1937: 1929: 1924: 1922: 1920: 1918: 1916: 1914: 1897: 1893: 1889: 1882: 1880: 1875: 1864: 1861: 1859: 1856: 1854: 1851: 1849: 1846: 1844: 1841: 1839: 1836: 1834: 1831: 1829: 1826: 1824: 1821: 1819: 1816: 1814: 1811: 1809: 1806: 1804: 1801: 1800: 1793: 1791: 1787: 1782: 1770: 1766: 1763: 1760: 1757: 1756: 1753:Disadvantages 1747: 1744: 1741: 1738: 1735: 1732: 1728: 1724: 1723: 1712: 1700: 1699:critical path 1696: 1691: 1687: 1685: 1681: 1677: 1673: 1670: 1666: 1658: 1654: 1651: 1647: 1644: 1640: 1627: 1616: 1605: 1594: 1593: 1591: 1588: 1584: 1581: 1580: 1579: 1576: 1574: 1570: 1566: 1562: 1554: 1550: 1545: 1537: 1533: 1530: 1526: 1523: 1519: 1518: 1517: 1515: 1510: 1506: 1502: 1501:critical path 1489: 1485: 1481: 1477: 1474: 1470: 1466: 1462: 1458: 1455: 1451: 1448: 1444: 1441: 1437: 1434: 1430: 1426: 1422: 1419: 1415: 1411: 1408: 1404: 1400: 1397: 1393: 1389: 1385: 1384: 1383: 1381: 1377: 1369: 1365: 1361: 1357: 1353: 1349: 1345: 1341: 1338: 1334: 1331: 1327: 1324: 1320: 1316: 1312: 1308: 1304: 1300: 1296: 1293: 1289: 1285: 1282: 1278: 1275: 1271: 1268: 1264: 1260: 1256: 1253: 1249: 1245: 1241: 1240: 1239: 1233: 1229: 1226: 1223: 1220: 1217: 1214: 1211: 1210: 1209: 1193: 1190: 1185: 1184: 1179: 1173: 1170: 1165: 1164: 1155: 1154:critical path 1151: 1146: 1142: 1140: 1136: 1132: 1128: 1124: 1120: 1116: 1112: 1108: 1104: 1100: 1096: 1092: 1088: 1084: 1080: 1076: 1072: 1068: 1064: 1060: 1056: 1052: 1048: 1044: 1028: 1024: 1023:critical path 1020: 1015: 1011: 1005: 1001: 1000:critical path 997: 992: 988: 987: 986: 984: 974: 971: 968: 965: 963: 960: 958: 955: 954: 950: 947: 944: 941: 939: 936: 934: 931: 930: 926: 923: 920: 917: 915: 911: 908: 906: 903: 902: 898: 895: 892: 889: 887: 884: 882: 879: 878: 874: 871: 868: 865: 863: 860: 858: 855: 854: 850: 847: 844: 841: 838: 836: 833: 832: 828: 825: 822: 819: 816: 814: 811: 810: 806: 802: 799: 795: 792: 788: 787: 773: 770: 768: 764: 760: 756: 752: 748: 744: 740: 736: 732: 728: 724: 720: 710: 698: 697: 693: 690: 689: 688:fast tracking 685: 682: 678: 675: 672: 668: 666: 662: 659: 656: 653: 652: 651:critical path 648: 645: 641: 637: 633: 629: 625: 624: 620: 616: 615: 614: 580: 571: 567: 563: 559: 551: 546: 543: 540: 536: 530: 525: 522: 518: 507: 503: 500: 497: 491: 486: 483: 479: 466: 465: 464: 463: 462: 461: 449: 446: 445: 424: 420: 416: 411: 406: 403: 400: 396: 392: 389: 386: 379: 363: 359: 356: 353: 350: 347: 344: 338: 335: 332: 325: 324: 323: 322: 321: 320: 316: 315:expected time 313: 310: 307: 304: 301: 298: 295: 294: 293: 282: 279: 276: 275:PERT activity 273: 272: 271: 265: 262: 259: 256: 253: 249: 246: 245: 244: 242: 227: 225: 220: 218: 214: 206: 202: 197: 195: 190: 184: 182: 181:Willard Fazar 178: 177: 172: 168: 164: 156: 152: 148: 146: 142: 138: 134: 130: 126: 116: 112: 110: 106: 102: 98: 93: 91: 86: 75: 73: 69: 64: 62: 58: 54: 50: 46: 43: 35: 30: 26: 22: 2179: 2158: 2139: 2120: 2098: 2079: 2059: 2051: 2043: 2038: 2030: 2018: 2009: 2003: 1994: 1988: 1973: 1965: 1945: 1928:Kerzner 2009 1900:. Retrieved 1895: 1891: 1789: 1785: 1783: 1779: 1768: 1727:dependencies 1709: 1697:. Note the 1683: 1679: 1675: 1671: 1668: 1664: 1662: 1656: 1649: 1642: 1586: 1582: 1577: 1572: 1568: 1564: 1560: 1552: 1548: 1543: 1541: 1535: 1528: 1521: 1513: 1508: 1498: 1487: 1483: 1479: 1472: 1468: 1464: 1460: 1453: 1446: 1439: 1432: 1428: 1424: 1417: 1413: 1406: 1402: 1395: 1391: 1387: 1374:Barring any 1373: 1367: 1363: 1359: 1355: 1351: 1347: 1343: 1336: 1329: 1322: 1318: 1314: 1310: 1306: 1302: 1298: 1291: 1287: 1280: 1273: 1266: 1262: 1258: 1251: 1247: 1243: 1236: 1207: 1138: 1134: 1130: 1126: 1122: 1118: 1114: 1110: 1106: 1102: 1098: 1094: 1090: 1086: 1082: 1078: 1077:. Activity 1074: 1070: 1066: 1062: 1058: 1054: 1050: 1040: 980: 961: 956: 937: 932: 913: 909: 904: 885: 880: 861: 856: 834: 812: 804: 797: 790: 778:Predecessor 766: 762: 758: 754: 750: 746: 742: 738: 734: 730: 726: 722: 718: 716: 707: 694: 686: 680: 676: 670: 663: 657: 649: 643: 639: 635: 631: 627: 617: 612: 447: 314: 308: 302: 296: 291: 280: 274: 269: 263: 257: 251: 247: 240: 238: 221: 217:bibliography 210: 204: 186: 174: 170: 166: 162: 160: 154: 122: 113: 108: 104: 100: 96: 94: 83:details and 81: 65: 48: 44: 41: 39: 25: 2214:PERT charts 2062:1967, p. 17 1828:Gantt chart 1733:) elements. 1603:= 4 − 4 = 0 1478:The LF for 1459:The LF for 1452:The LF for 1445:The LF for 1438:The LF for 1423:The LF for 1412:The LF for 1401:The LF for 1386:The LF for 1366:is 19.51. 1342:The ES for 1335:The ES for 1328:The ES for 1297:The ES for 1286:The ES for 1279:The ES for 1272:The ES for 1257:The ES for 1242:The ES for 983:Gantt chart 644:on schedule 632:total float 230:Terminology 207:, June 1963 2224:Categories 2191:0674682254 1870:References 1720:Advantages 1701:is in red. 1354:). Since 1309:). Since 1181:Task Name 1156:is in red. 628:free float 248:PERT event 105:activities 97:activities 92:projects. 34:milestones 2142:. Wiley. 1674:activity 1655:Activity 1648:Activity 1641:Activity 1171:Duration 775:Activity 560:σ 537:∑ 519:σ 501:− 480:σ 397:∑ 213:librarian 194:scheduled 189:estimates 85:durations 2235:Diagrams 2119:(2009). 1902:20 March 1796:See also 1030:weekend. 1019:OmniPlan 1007:weekend. 796:Normal ( 721:through 677:lag time 171:Phase 2. 133:Grenoble 78:Overview 42:program 1863:PRINCE2 1509:longest 1196:finish 1176:finish 803:Pess. ( 769:) ÷ 6. 713:Example 141:Fordism 119:History 90:R&D 61:project 2188:  2165:  2146:  2127:  2105:  2086:  1587:finish 1388:finish 1368:Finish 1364:finish 1344:finish 1191:Slack 1188:Start 1168:Start 1139:finish 789:Opt. ( 157:, 1958 145:DuPont 109:events 101:events 1583:Start 1505:slack 1480:start 1380:slack 1244:start 1232:slack 1174:Early 1166:Early 1069:list 1051:start 1027:slack 1004:slack 975:5.17 951:4.50 927:5.17 899:6.33 875:5.17 851:5.33 829:4.00 623:slack 619:float 241:event 57:tasks 2186:ISBN 2163:ISBN 2144:ISBN 2125:ISBN 2103:ISBN 2084:ISBN 1904:2024 1833:GERT 1769:e.g. 1682:and 1632:– EF 1621:– EF 1610:– EF 1599:– EF 1585:and 1569:aceg 1551:and 1544:aceg 1529:aceg 1431:and 1394:and 1350:and 1305:and 1265:and 1250:and 1230:The 1194:Late 1186:Late 1117:has 1109:and 1097:and 1085:and 1065:and 1057:and 729:and 667:time 665:lead 288:Time 169:and 99:and 49:PERT 40:The 1731:WBS 1573:beg 1561:adf 1536:beg 1522:adf 1133:or 1125:to 1047:AON 1043:AOA 896:10 761:+ 4 621:or 252:all 143:). 131:in 2226:: 2058:, 2029:, 1953:^ 1935:^ 1912:^ 1894:. 1890:. 1878:^ 1672:or 1628:LF 1617:LF 1606:LF 1595:LF 1514:or 1141:. 972:8 969:5 966:3 948:8 945:4 942:3 924:7 921:5 918:4 912:, 893:6 890:4 872:7 869:5 866:4 848:9 845:5 842:3 839:— 826:6 823:4 820:2 817:— 807:) 800:) 793:) 765:+ 755:te 456:TE 452:te 179:, 63:. 2194:. 2171:. 2152:. 2133:. 2111:. 2092:. 1930:. 1906:. 1896:3 1684:f 1680:d 1676:f 1669:d 1665:b 1657:f 1650:d 1643:b 1634:g 1630:g 1623:e 1619:e 1612:c 1608:c 1601:a 1597:a 1565:c 1557:E 1553:f 1549:d 1488:b 1484:a 1473:a 1469:d 1465:c 1461:a 1454:b 1447:c 1440:d 1435:. 1433:c 1429:b 1425:e 1420:. 1418:d 1414:f 1409:. 1407:e 1403:g 1398:. 1396:g 1392:f 1360:g 1356:f 1352:g 1348:f 1337:g 1330:f 1325:. 1323:g 1319:e 1315:c 1311:b 1307:c 1303:b 1299:e 1294:. 1292:f 1288:d 1281:c 1274:b 1269:. 1267:d 1263:c 1259:a 1254:. 1252:b 1248:a 1135:g 1131:f 1127:g 1123:e 1119:d 1115:f 1111:c 1107:b 1103:e 1099:c 1095:b 1091:e 1087:c 1083:b 1079:e 1075:a 1071:a 1067:d 1063:c 1059:b 1055:a 962:E 957:G 938:D 933:F 914:C 910:B 905:E 886:A 881:D 862:A 857:C 835:B 813:A 805:p 798:m 791:o 767:p 763:m 759:o 751:p 747:m 743:o 739:A 735:C 731:B 727:A 723:G 719:A 646:. 581:2 572:i 568:e 564:t 552:n 547:1 544:= 541:i 531:= 526:E 523:T 508:6 504:o 498:p 492:= 487:e 484:t 458:) 425:i 421:e 417:t 412:n 407:1 404:= 401:i 393:= 390:E 387:T 364:6 360:p 357:+ 354:m 351:4 348:+ 345:o 339:= 336:e 333:t 47:( 23:.

Index

PERT (disambiguation)

milestones
project management
tasks
project
United States Navy
Critical Path Method
durations
R&D
U.S. Navy Special Projects Office
1968 Winter Olympics
Grenoble
scientific management
Fordism
DuPont

The American Statistician
Willard Fazar
estimates
scheduled

librarian
bibliography
Work Breakdown Structure
float
slack
critical path
lead
fast tracking

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